Seattle Sounders 3–2 San Jose Earthquakes — pre-match prediction — MLS — May 14, 2026

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MLS · Regular Season - 13 May 14, 2026 03:30

Seattle Sounders

#7 · 38 pts

3 – 2

Final score

San Jose Earthquakes

#4 · 45 pts

A. Rusnak 43' (pen.)

J. Ferreira 55'

O. De Rosario (ast. Nouhou) 89'

2' (ast. N. Adimabua) N. Fernandez

69' P. Judd

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The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Seattle Sounders a 44% win probability (draw 26%, San Jose Earthquakes 29%). The final result was Seattle Sounders 3–2 San Jose Earthquakes. In 1 previous meetings, Seattle Sounders have won 1 times, with 0 draws and 0 wins for San Jose Earthquakes.

Match statistics

Total shots

Shots on target

3.30

Actual xG

1.10

Saves

63%

Possession

37%

Corners

Tackles

🟨 Yellow cards

Match Events

ast. N. Adimabua · N. Fernandez⚽

⚽A. Rusnak (pen.)

43'

45'+2

R. Roberts

46'

O. Bouda / P. Marie ↕

46'

P. Judd / N. Adimabua ↕

⚽J. Ferreira

55'

58'

P. Judd

64'

B. Leroux / N. Buck ↕

64'

I. Harkes / J. A. Gonzalez Mendoza ↕

↕ D. Musovski / J. Morris

68'

↕ S. Brunell / H. Dotson

68'

J. Ricketts / J. Skahan ↕

69'

P. Judd⚽

↕ A. Rusnak / O. De Rosario

75'

↕ K. Kossa-Rienzi / P. Kingston

75'

↕ P. Rothrock / P. Arriola

82'

⚽O. De Rosario · ast. Nouhou

89'

Pre-match prediction

44.18%

Seattle ←

26.1%

29.72%

San

we assigned to the actual result (Seattle Sounders) 44.18% (low confidence)

Expected vs actual xG

Exp.

Actual

Seattle

2.00

3.30

+1.3

San

1.47

1.10

-0.37

Seattle Sounders dominated by xG (3.30 vs 1.10). The final result reflects the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.

League Table

#	Team	G	Pts
1	Vancouver Whitecaps	26	50
2	St. Louis City	27	47
3	FC Dallas	27	47
4	San Jose Earthquakes	27	45
5	Houston Dynamo	27	44
6	Los Angeles FC	28	41
7	Seattle Sounders	27	38
8	Colorado Rapids	27	36
9	Los Angeles Galaxy	28	36
10	Portland Timbers	27	32
11	Real Salt Lake	27	32
12	San Diego	27	32
13	Austin	27	31
14	Minnesota United FC	27	29
15	Sporting Kansas City	27	21

Lineups

Seattle Sounders 4-2-3-1

A. Thomas G 6.70

N. Tolo 1 👟 D 8.20

J. Ragen D 6.90

A. Roldan D 7.50

K. Kossa-Rienzi 75' D 6.90

C. Roldan M 6.90

S. Brunell 68' M 7.20

P. Rothrock 82' M 6.30

A. Rusnák 1 ⚽ 75' M 7.20

Jesús Ferreira 1 ⚽ M 8.30

D. Musovski 68' F 6.20

Bench

Antino Lopez D

H. Dotson 26' M 6.20

J. Morris 26' F 6.90

Kim Kee-Hee D

O. De Rosario 1 ⚽ 19' F 7.50

P. Arriola 12' F 6.70

P. Kingston 19' M 6.90

S. Frei G

S. Gomez M

San Jose Earthquakes 4-2-3-1

Daniel G 7.30

D. Romney D 6.00

R. Roberts D 6.20

M. Floriani D 6.60

Jack Jasinski D 5.90

J. Gónzalez 64' M 6.30

N. Buck 64' M 6.50

P. Marie 45' M 6.20

N. Fernandez 1 ⚽ M 7.20

J. Skahan 68' M 6.50

Nonso Adimabua 1 👟 45' F 6.20

Bench

Beau Leroux 30' M 7.00

B. Kikanovic F

D. Munie D

I. Harkes 30' M 6.30

J. Ricketts 26' D 6.20

Nate Crockford G

O. Bouda 49' F 7.20

P. Judd 1 ⚽ 49' F 7.50

R. Vieira M

Best on the pitch

Jesús Ferreira

M · Seattle

8.30

1 ⚽

2 shots · 44 pass

N. Tolo

D · Seattle

8.20

1 👟

· 53 pass

P. Judd

F · San

7.50

1 ⚽

2 shots · 4 pass

A. Roldan

D · Seattle

7.50

· 81 pass

O. De Rosario

F · Seattle

7.50

1 ⚽

2 shots · 4 pass

Daniel

G · San

7.30

· 34 pass

Seattle Sounders — Player statistics

Team	Pos	Min	Rating	⚽	👟	Shots	Pass	Acc%	Tck	YC	RC
A. Thomas	G	94	6.70	—	—	—	20	15%	—	—	—
N. Tolo	D	94	8.20	—	1	—	53	52%	3	—	—
J. Ragen	D	94	6.90	—	—	3	76	70%	1	—	—
A. Roldan	D	94	7.50	—	—	—	81	66%	2	—	—
K. Kossa-Rienzi	D	75	6.90	—	—	—	38	31%	1	—	—
C. Roldan	M	94	6.90	—	—	—	62	56%	4	—	—
S. Brunell	M	68	7.20	—	—	3	40	32%	2	—	—
P. Rothrock	M	82	6.30	—	—	1	17	14%	2	—	—
A. Rusnák	M	75	7.20	1	—	2	42	35%	—	—	—
Jesús Ferreira	M	94	8.30	1	—	2	44	32%	1	—	—
D. Musovski	F	68	6.20	—	—	—	12	12%	—	—	—
H. Dotson	M	26	6.20	—	—	—	10	7%	—	—	—
J. Morris	F	26	6.90	—	—	1	4	3%	—	—	—
O. De Rosario	F	19	7.50	1	—	2	4	4%	—	—	—
P. Arriola	F	12	6.70	—	—	—	1	1%	—	—	—
P. Kingston	M	19	6.90	—	—	1	10	6%	—	—	—

San Jose Earthquakes — Player statistics

Team	Pos	Min	Rating	⚽	👟	Shots	Pass	Acc%	Tck	YC	RC
Daniel	G	94	7.30	—	—	—	34	19%	—	—	—
D. Romney	D	94	6.00	—	—	—	28	19%	—	—	—
R. Roberts	D	94	6.20	—	—	—	25	19%	—	1	—
M. Floriani	D	94	6.60	—	—	—	32	26%	1	—	—
Jack Jasinski	D	94	5.90	—	—	—	27	17%	1	—	—
J. Gónzalez	M	64	6.30	—	—	—	10	8%	—	—	—
N. Buck	M	64	6.50	—	—	—	15	15%	—	—	—
P. Marie	M	45	6.20	—	—	—	11	7%	1	—	—
N. Fernandez	M	94	7.20	1	—	1	26	20%	—	—	—
J. Skahan	M	68	6.50	—	—	2	21	16%	—	—	—
Nonso Adimabua	F	45	6.20	—	1	—	10	6%	—	—	—
Beau Leroux	M	30	7.00	—	—	—	17	14%	—	—	—
I. Harkes	M	30	6.30	—	—	1	15	10%	—	—	—
J. Ricketts	D	26	6.20	—	—	—	3	2%	—	—	—
O. Bouda	F	49	7.20	—	—	—	11	9%	1	—	—
P. Judd	F	49	7.50	1	—	2	4	4%	—	1	—

Frequently Asked Questions

What was the final score of Seattle Sounders vs San Jose Earthquakes?

The final score was Seattle Sounders 3–2 San Jose Earthquakes.

What did the model predict before Seattle Sounders vs San Jose Earthquakes?

The model assigned 44% probability to a Seattle Sounders win, 26% to a draw, and 29% to an San Jose Earthquakes win.