MLS
· Regular Season - 8
April 19, 2026 03:30
C. Roldan
(ast. A. Rusnak)
22'
C. Roldan
(ast. A. Rusnak)
37'
A. Rusnak
49'
(pen.)
O. De Rosario
(ast. J. Ferreira)
86'
90'+2
E. Lowen
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Seattle Sounders a 47% win probability (draw 27%, St. Louis City 24%). The final result was Seattle Sounders 4–1 St. Louis City. In 1 previous meetings, Seattle Sounders have won 1 times, with 0 draws and 0 wins for St. Louis City.
Match statistics
11
Total shots
7
9
Shots on target
2
1.71
Actual xG
0.55
1
Saves
5
50%
Possession
50%
5
Corners
8
9
Tackles
17
Match Events
⚽C. Roldan
· ast. A. Rusnak
22'
⚽C. Roldan
· ast. A. Rusnak
37'
P. Arriola
/ P. Rothrock
46'
⚽A. Rusnak
(pen.)
49'
A. Rusnak
/ J. Ferreira
54'
H. Dotson
/ J. Morris
54'
A. Roldan
/ P. Kingston
60'
63'
S. Cordova
/
S. Becher
63'
S. Jeong
/
C. Teuchert
63'
T. Totland
/
Rafael Santos
D. Musovski
/ O. De Rosario
80'
81'
B. McSorley
/
C. Wallem
⚽O. De Rosario
· ast. J. Ferreira
86'
89'
E. Lowen
/
M. Hartel
90'+2
E. Lowen⚽
Pre-match prediction
47.25%
Seattle ←
27.84%
X
24.91%
St.
we assigned to the actual result (Seattle Sounders)
47.25%
(medium confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
1.92
1.71
-0.22
0.71
0.55
-0.16
Seattle Sounders dominated by xG (1.71 vs 0.55).
The final result reflects the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates were accurate.
Lineups
26
G
5
D
35
D
16
Alex Roldán
60'
D
Alex Roldán
60'
D
85
Kalani Kossa-Rienzi
D
Kalani Kossa-Rienzi
D
7
C. Roldan
2 ⚽
M
C. Roldan
2 ⚽
M
31
Hassani Dotson
53'
M
Hassani Dotson
53'
M
17
Paul Arriola
45'
M
Paul Arriola
45'
M
11
Albert Rusnák
1 ⚽
2 👟
53'
M
Albert Rusnák
1 ⚽
2 👟
53'
M
37
Snyder Brunell
M
Snyder Brunell
M
19
Daniel Musovski
80'
F
Daniel Musovski
80'
F
Bench
9
Jesús Ferreira
1 👟
44'
F
Jesús Ferreira
1 👟
44'
F
13
Jordan Morris
44'
F
Jordan Morris
44'
F
95
Osaze De Rosario
1 ⚽
17'
F
Osaze De Rosario
1 ⚽
17'
F
14
Paul Rothrock
52'
F
Paul Rothrock
52'
F
45
Peter Kingston
37'
M
Peter Kingston
37'
M
1
G
21
Dante Polvara
D
Dante Polvara
D
32
Timo Baumgartl
D
Timo Baumgartl
D
5
Lukas MacNaughton
D
Lukas MacNaughton
D
20
Rafael Santos
62'
M
Rafael Santos
62'
M
24
Daniel Edelman
M
Daniel Edelman
M
8
C. Durkin
M
C. Durkin
M
6
Conrad Wallem
81'
M
Conrad Wallem
81'
M
17
Marcel Hartel
89'
F
Marcel Hartel
89'
F
11
Simon Becher
62'
F
Simon Becher
62'
F
36
Cedric Teuchert
62'
F
Cedric Teuchert
62'
F
Bench
80
Brendan McSorley
16'
F
Brendan McSorley
16'
F
10
Eduard Löwen
1 ⚽
8'
M
Eduard Löwen
1 ⚽
8'
M
77
Jeong Sang-bin
35'
F
Jeong Sang-bin
35'
F
28
Miguel Perez
M
Miguel Perez
M
16
Sergio Córdova
35'
F
Sergio Córdova
35'
F
14
Tomas Totland
35'
D
Tomas Totland
35'
D
Best on the pitch
C. Roldan
M · Seattle
9.70
2 ⚽
2 shots
· 79 pass
Snyder Brunell
M · Seattle
7.90
2 shots
· 40 pass
Jesús Ferreira
F · Seattle
7.90
1 👟
2 shots
· 26 pass
Albert Rusnák
M · Seattle
7.60
1 ⚽ 2 👟
1 shots
· 18 pass
Alex Roldán
D · Seattle
7.50
· 35 pass
Eduard Löwen
M · St.
7.30
1 ⚽
1 shots
· 4 pass
Seattle Sounders — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | 97 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 34 | 21% | — | — | — | |
| D | 97 | 6.50 | — | — | 1 | 61 | 55% | — | — | — | |
| D | 97 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 55 | 53% | 1 | — | — | |
| Alex Roldán | D | 60 | 7.50 | — | — | — | 35 | 31% | 3 | — | — |
| Kalani Kossa-Rienzi | D | 97 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 52 | 43% | 1 | — | — |
| C. Roldan | M | 97 | 9.70 | 2 | — | 2 | 79 | 75% | 1 | — | — |
| Hassani Dotson | M | 53 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 23 | 18% | — | — | — |
| Paul Arriola | M | 45 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 18 | 15% | 1 | — | — |
| Albert Rusnák | M | 53 | 7.60 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 18 | 15% | — | — | — |
| Snyder Brunell | M | 97 | 7.90 | — | — | 2 | 40 | 34% | 1 | — | — |
| Daniel Musovski | F | 80 | 6.00 | — | — | 2 | 13 | 10% | — | — | — |
| Jesús Ferreira | F | 44 | 7.90 | — | 1 | 2 | 26 | 25% | 1 | — | — |
| Jordan Morris | F | 44 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 12 | 8% | — | — | — |
| Osaze De Rosario | F | 17 | 7.30 | 1 | — | 1 | 3 | 2% | — | — | — |
| Paul Rothrock | F | 52 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 18 | 14% | — | — | — |
| Peter Kingston | M | 37 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 25 | 23% | — | — | — |
St. Louis City — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | 97 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 31 | 27% | — | — | — | |
| Dante Polvara | D | 97 | 6.00 | — | — | — | 71 | 61% | 1 | — | — |
| Timo Baumgartl | D | 97 | 6.00 | — | — | — | 56 | 53% | 3 | — | — |
| Lukas MacNaughton | D | 97 | 6.00 | — | — | 1 | 59 | 50% | 3 | — | — |
| Rafael Santos | M | 62 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 26 | 22% | 1 | — | — |
| Daniel Edelman | M | 97 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 55 | 48% | — | — | — |
| C. Durkin | M | 97 | 6.60 | — | — | 1 | 57 | 49% | 4 | — | — |
| Conrad Wallem | M | 81 | 5.30 | — | — | 1 | 28 | 21% | — | — | — |
| Marcel Hartel | F | 89 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 33 | 27% | 1 | — | — |
| Simon Becher | F | 62 | 6.20 | — | — | 1 | 8 | 7% | 1 | — | — |
| Cedric Teuchert | F | 62 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 18 | 12% | — | — | — |
| Brendan McSorley | F | 16 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 4 | 3% | — | — | — |
| Eduard Löwen | M | 8 | 7.30 | 1 | — | 1 | 4 | 4% | — | — | — |
| Jeong Sang-bin | F | 35 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 17 | 14% | 1 | — | — |
| Sergio Córdova | F | 35 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 10 | 8% | — | — | — |
| Tomas Totland | D | 35 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 20 | 16% | 2 | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Seattle Sounders vs St. Louis City?
The final score was Seattle Sounders 4–1 St. Louis City.
What did the model predict before Seattle Sounders vs St. Louis City?
The model assigned 47% probability to a Seattle Sounders win, 27% to a draw, and 24% to an St. Louis City win.