MLS
· Regular Season - 8
April 19, 2026 03:30
C. Roldan
(ast. A. Rusnak)
22'
C. Roldan
(ast. A. Rusnak)
37'
A. Rusnak
49'
(pen.)
O. De Rosario
(ast. J. Ferreira)
86'
90'+2
E. Lowen
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Seattle Sounders a 47% win probability (draw 27%, St. Louis City 24%). The final result was Seattle Sounders 4–1 St. Louis City. In 1 previous meetings, Seattle Sounders have won 1 times, with 0 draws and 0 wins for St. Louis City.
Match statistics
11
Total shots
7
9
Shots on target
2
1.71
Actual xG
0.55
1
Saves
5
50%
Possession
50%
5
Corners
8
9
Tackles
17
Match Events
⚽C. Roldan
· ast. A. Rusnak
22'
⚽C. Roldan
· ast. A. Rusnak
37'
P. Arriola
/ P. Rothrock
46'
⚽A. Rusnak
(pen.)
49'
A. Rusnak
/ J. Ferreira
54'
H. Dotson
/ J. Morris
54'
A. Roldan
/ P. Kingston
60'
63'
S. Cordova
/
S. Becher
63'
S. Jeong
/
C. Teuchert
63'
T. Totland
/
Rafael Santos
D. Musovski
/ O. De Rosario
80'
81'
B. McSorley
/
C. Wallem
⚽O. De Rosario
· ast. J. Ferreira
86'
89'
E. Lowen
/
M. Hartel
90'+2
E. Lowen⚽
Pre-match prediction
47.25%
Seattle ←
27.84%
X
24.91%
St.
we assigned to the actual result (Seattle Sounders)
47.25%
(medium confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
1.92
1.71
-0.22
0.71
0.55
-0.16
Seattle Sounders dominated by xG (1.71 vs 0.55).
The final result reflects the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates were accurate.
Lineups
26
G
5
D
35
D
16
A. Roldan
60'
D
A. Roldan
60'
D
85
K. Kossa-Rienzi
D
K. Kossa-Rienzi
D
7
C. Roldan
2 ⚽
M
C. Roldan
2 ⚽
M
31
H. Dotson
53'
M
H. Dotson
53'
M
17
P. Arriola
45'
M
P. Arriola
45'
M
11
A. Rusnák
1 ⚽
2 👟
53'
M
A. Rusnák
1 ⚽
2 👟
53'
M
37
S. Brunell
M
S. Brunell
M
19
D. Musovski
80'
F
D. Musovski
80'
F
Bench
9
Jesús Ferreira
1 👟
44'
F
Jesús Ferreira
1 👟
44'
F
13
J. Morris
44'
F
J. Morris
44'
F
95
O. De Rosario
1 ⚽
17'
F
O. De Rosario
1 ⚽
17'
F
45
P. Kingston
37'
M
P. Kingston
37'
M
14
P. Rothrock
52'
F
P. Rothrock
52'
F
1
G
21
D. Polvara
D
D. Polvara
D
32
T. Baumgartl
D
T. Baumgartl
D
5
L. MacNaughton
D
L. MacNaughton
D
20
Rafael Santos
62'
M
Rafael Santos
62'
M
24
D. Edelman
M
D. Edelman
M
8
C. Durkin
M
C. Durkin
M
6
C. Wallem
81'
M
C. Wallem
81'
M
17
M. Hartel
89'
F
M. Hartel
89'
F
11
S. Becher
62'
F
S. Becher
62'
F
36
Cedric Teuchert
62'
F
Cedric Teuchert
62'
F
Bench
80
Brendan McSorley
16'
F
Brendan McSorley
16'
F
10
E. Löwen
1 ⚽
8'
M
E. Löwen
1 ⚽
8'
M
77
Jeong Sang-Bin
35'
F
Jeong Sang-Bin
35'
F
28
M. Perez
M
M. Perez
M
16
S. Córdova
35'
F
S. Córdova
35'
F
14
T. Totland
35'
D
T. Totland
35'
D
Best on the pitch
C. Roldan
M · Seattle
9.70
2 ⚽
2 shots
· 79 pass
S. Brunell
M · Seattle
7.90
2 shots
· 40 pass
Jesús Ferreira
F · Seattle
7.90
1 👟
2 shots
· 26 pass
A. Rusnák
M · Seattle
7.60
1 ⚽ 2 👟
1 shots
· 18 pass
A. Roldan
D · Seattle
7.50
· 35 pass
E. Löwen
M · St.
7.30
1 ⚽
1 shots
· 4 pass
Seattle Sounders — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | 97 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 34 | 21% | — | — | — | |
| D | 97 | 6.50 | — | — | 1 | 61 | 55% | — | — | — | |
| D | 97 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 55 | 53% | 1 | — | — | |
| A. Roldan | D | 60 | 7.50 | — | — | — | 35 | 31% | 3 | — | — |
| K. Kossa-Rienzi | D | 97 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 52 | 43% | 1 | — | — |
| C. Roldan | M | 97 | 9.70 | 2 | — | 2 | 79 | 75% | 1 | — | — |
| H. Dotson | M | 53 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 23 | 18% | — | — | — |
| P. Arriola | M | 45 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 18 | 15% | 1 | — | — |
| A. Rusnák | M | 53 | 7.60 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 18 | 15% | — | — | — |
| S. Brunell | M | 97 | 7.90 | — | — | 2 | 40 | 34% | 1 | — | — |
| D. Musovski | F | 80 | 6.00 | — | — | 2 | 13 | 10% | — | — | — |
| Jesús Ferreira | F | 44 | 7.90 | — | 1 | 2 | 26 | 25% | 1 | — | — |
| J. Morris | F | 44 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 12 | 8% | — | — | — |
| O. De Rosario | F | 17 | 7.30 | 1 | — | 1 | 3 | 2% | — | — | — |
| P. Kingston | M | 37 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 25 | 23% | — | — | — |
| P. Rothrock | F | 52 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 18 | 14% | — | — | — |
St. Louis City — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | 97 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 31 | 27% | — | — | — | |
| D. Polvara | D | 97 | 6.00 | — | — | — | 71 | 61% | 1 | — | — |
| T. Baumgartl | D | 97 | 6.00 | — | — | — | 56 | 53% | 3 | — | — |
| L. MacNaughton | D | 97 | 6.00 | — | — | 1 | 59 | 50% | 3 | — | — |
| Rafael Santos | M | 62 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 26 | 22% | 1 | — | — |
| D. Edelman | M | 97 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 55 | 48% | — | — | — |
| C. Durkin | M | 97 | 6.60 | — | — | 1 | 57 | 49% | 4 | — | — |
| C. Wallem | M | 81 | 5.30 | — | — | 1 | 28 | 21% | — | — | — |
| M. Hartel | F | 89 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 33 | 27% | 1 | — | — |
| S. Becher | F | 62 | 6.20 | — | — | 1 | 8 | 7% | 1 | — | — |
| Cedric Teuchert | F | 62 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 18 | 12% | — | — | — |
| Brendan McSorley | F | 16 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 4 | 3% | — | — | — |
| E. Löwen | M | 8 | 7.30 | 1 | — | 1 | 4 | 4% | — | — | — |
| Jeong Sang-Bin | F | 35 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 17 | 14% | 1 | — | — |
| S. Córdova | F | 35 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 10 | 8% | — | — | — |
| T. Totland | D | 35 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 20 | 16% | 2 | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Seattle Sounders vs St. Louis City?
The final score was Seattle Sounders 4–1 St. Louis City.
What did the model predict before Seattle Sounders vs St. Louis City?
The model assigned 47% probability to a Seattle Sounders win, 27% to a draw, and 24% to an St. Louis City win.