✓Model correct — prediction Senegal
H. Diarra
(ast. A. Seck)
4'
I. Sarr
(ast. L. Camara)
56'
P. Gueye
(ast. I. Sarr)
59'
P. Gueye
(ast. I. Ndiaye)
71'
I. Ndiaye
(ast. P. Gueye)
82'
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Senegal a 55% win probability (draw 27%, Iraq 16%). The final result was Senegal 5–0 Iraq.
Match statistics
23
Total shots
2
12
Shots on target
1
3.10
Actual xG
0.18
1
Saves
7
69%
Possession
31%
12
Corners
3
12
Tackles
20
2
🟨 Yellow cards
2
0
🟥 Red cards
1
Match Events
⚽H. Diarra
· ast. A. Seck
4'
13'
R. Sulaka
16'
M. Younis
/
A. Qasem
A. Seck
18'
46'
J. Hassan
/
A. Basil
⚽I. Sarr
· ast. L. Camara
56'
H. Diarra
/ P. Gueye
57'
I. Mbaye
/ I. Ndiaye
57'
L. Camara
/ N. Jackson
57'
58'
A. Maknzi
/
A. Jasim
58'
A. Yousif
/
A. Al Hamadi
A. Seck
/ P. Ciss
58'
⚽P. Gueye
· ast. I. Sarr
59'
67'
K. Yakob
/
Z. Iqbal
⚽P. Gueye
· ast. I. Ndiaye
71'
75'
A. Al Ammari
I. Sarr
/ A. Diao
81'
P. Gueye
81'
⚽I. Ndiaye
· ast. P. Gueye
82'
90'
M. Doski
Pre-match prediction
55.85%
Senegal ←
27.3%
X
16.85%
Iraq
✓ Correct prediction —
we assigned to the actual result (Senegal)
55.85%
(medium confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
1.48
3.10
+1.62
0.62
0.18
-0.44
Senegal dominated by xG (3.10 vs 0.18).
The final result reflects the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Lineups
23
Mory Diaw
G
Mory Diaw
G
14
Ismail Jakobs
D
Ismail Jakobs
D
19
Moussa Niakhaté
D
Moussa Niakhaté
D
4
Abdoulaye Seck
1 👟
58'
D
Abdoulaye Seck
1 👟
58'
D
15
Krépin Diatta
D
Krépin Diatta
D
8
L. Camara
1 👟
57'
M
L. Camara
1 👟
57'
M
5
Idrissa Gana Gueye
M
Idrissa Gana Gueye
M
21
H. Diarra
1 ⚽
57'
M
H. Diarra
1 ⚽
57'
M
10
S. Mané
F
S. Mané
F
18
I. Sarr
1 ⚽
1 👟
81'
F
I. Sarr
1 ⚽
1 👟
81'
F
20
Ibrahim Mbaye
57'
F
Ibrahim Mbaye
57'
F
Bench
24
Antoine Mendy
D
Antoine Mendy
D
7
Assane Diao
16'
F
Assane Diao
16'
F
22
Bara Sapoko Ndiaye
M
Bara Sapoko Ndiaye
M
9
B. Dieng
F
B. Dieng
F
12
C. Ndiaye
F
C. Ndiaye
F
25
El Hadji Malick Diouf
D
El Hadji Malick Diouf
D
13
I. Ndiaye
1 ⚽
1 👟
40'
F
I. Ndiaye
1 ⚽
1 👟
40'
F
3
K. Koulibaly
D
K. Koulibaly
D
2
Mamadou Sarr
D
Mamadou Sarr
D
11
N. Jackson
40'
F
N. Jackson
40'
F
17
Pape Matar Sarr
M
Pape Matar Sarr
M
6
P. Ciss
39'
M
P. Ciss
39'
M
26
P. Gueye
2 ⚽
1 👟
40'
M
P. Gueye
2 ⚽
1 👟
40'
M
1
Yehvann Diouf
G
Yehvann Diouf
G
22
Ahmed Basil
45'
G
Ahmed Basil
45'
G
23
Merchas Doski
D
Merchas Doski
D
5
Akam Hashem
D
Akam Hashem
D
2
Rebin Solaka
13'
D
Rebin Solaka
13'
D
26
Frans Putros
D
16
Amir Al-Ammari
M
Amir Al-Ammari
M
14
Zidane Iqbal
67'
M
Zidane Iqbal
67'
M
8
Ibrahim Bayesh
M
Ibrahim Bayesh
M
17
Ali Jasim
58'
M
Ali Jasim
58'
M
11
Ahmed Qasem
16'
M
Ahmed Qasem
16'
M
9
Ali Al-Hamadi
58'
F
Ali Al-Hamadi
58'
F
Bench
15
Ahmed Hasan Maknazi
39'
D
Ahmed Hasan Maknazi
39'
D
20
Aimar Sher
M
Aimar Sher
M
13
Ali Yousif Hashim
39'
F
Ali Yousif Hashim
39'
F
18
Aymen Hussein
F
1
Fahad Talib
G
Fahad Talib
G
3
Hussein Ali
D
Hussein Ali
D
12
Jalal Hassan
52'
G
Jalal Hassan
52'
G
19
Kevin Yakob
30'
M
Kevin Yakob
30'
M
21
Marko Farji
M
Marko Farji
M
10
Mohanad Ali
F
Mohanad Ali
F
6
Munaf Younus
81'
D
Munaf Younus
81'
D
25
Mustafa Saadoon
D
Mustafa Saadoon
D
7
Youssef Amyn
F
24
Zaid Ismail
M
Zaid Ismail
M
4
Zaid Tahseen
D
Best on the pitch
P. Gueye
M · Senegal
9.90
2 ⚽ 1 👟
4 shots
· 48 pass
I. Ndiaye
F · Senegal
8.60
1 ⚽ 1 👟
2 shots
· 22 pass
Idrissa Gana Gueye
M · Senegal
8.30
1 shots
· 94 pass
L. Camara
M · Senegal
8.20
1 👟
1 shots
· 45 pass
I. Sarr
F · Senegal
7.60
1 ⚽ 1 👟
3 shots
· 19 pass
H. Diarra
M · Senegal
7.50
1 ⚽
2 shots
· 17 pass
Senegal — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mory Diaw | G | 97 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 22 | 20% | — | — | — |
| Ismail Jakobs | D | 97 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 49 | 47% | 1 | — | — |
| Moussa Niakhaté | D | 97 | 7.20 | — | — | 1 | 72 | 65% | — | — | — |
| Abdoulaye Seck | D | 58 | 6.90 | — | 1 | 1 | 30 | 26% | — | 1 | — |
| Krépin Diatta | D | 97 | 7.20 | — | — | 1 | 66 | 62% | 3 | — | — |
| L. Camara | M | 57 | 8.20 | — | 1 | 1 | 45 | 36% | — | — | — |
| Idrissa Gana Gueye | M | 97 | 8.30 | — | — | 1 | 94 | 82% | 3 | — | — |
| H. Diarra | M | 57 | 7.50 | 1 | — | 2 | 17 | 16% | 2 | — | — |
| S. Mané | F | 97 | 6.90 | — | — | 3 | 43 | 31% | — | — | — |
| I. Sarr | F | 81 | 7.60 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 19 | 14% | — | — | — |
| Ibrahim Mbaye | F | 57 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 25 | 20% | — | — | — |
| Assane Diao | F | 16 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 13 | 13% | 1 | — | — |
| I. Ndiaye | F | 40 | 8.60 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 22 | 21% | — | — | — |
| N. Jackson | F | 40 | 7.30 | — | — | 2 | 6 | 4% | 1 | — | — |
| P. Ciss | M | 39 | 6.60 | — | — | 1 | 19 | 18% | — | — | — |
| P. Gueye | M | 40 | 9.90 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 48 | 43% | 1 | 1 | — |
Iraq — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ahmed Basil | G | 45 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 22 | 8% | — | — | — |
| Merchas Doski | D | 97 | 5.90 | — | — | — | 26 | 16% | 3 | 1 | — |
| Akam Hashem | D | 97 | 5.60 | — | — | — | 25 | 17% | 1 | — | — |
| Rebin Solaka | D | 13 | 3.00 | — | — | — | 10 | 8% | — | — | 1 |
| Frans Putros | D | 97 | 5.60 | — | — | — | 22 | 20% | 3 | — | — |
| Amir Al-Ammari | M | 97 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 30 | 21% | 1 | 1 | — |
| Zidane Iqbal | M | 67 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 33 | 31% | 1 | — | — |
| Ibrahim Bayesh | M | 97 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 11 | 10% | 4 | — | — |
| Ali Jasim | M | 58 | 6.20 | — | — | 1 | 20 | 14% | — | — | — |
| Ahmed Qasem | M | 16 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 2 | — | — | — | — |
| Ali Al-Hamadi | F | 58 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 7 | 4% | 1 | — | — |
| Ahmed Hasan Maknazi | D | 39 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 6 | 3% | 3 | — | — |
| Ali Yousif Hashim | F | 39 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 5 | 4% | 1 | — | — |
| Jalal Hassan | G | 52 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 13 | 2% | — | — | — |
| Kevin Yakob | M | 30 | 6.20 | — | — | 1 | 12 | 9% | 1 | — | — |
| Munaf Younus | D | 81 | 5.90 | — | — | — | 21 | 17% | 1 | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Senegal vs Iraq?
The final score was Senegal 5–0 Iraq.
What did the model predict before Senegal vs Iraq?
The model assigned 55% probability to a Senegal win, 27% to a draw, and 16% to an Iraq win.