Africa Cup of Nations - Qual.
· Group Stage - 1
September 25, 2026 15:00
✗Model wrong — prediction Senegal, result Draw
Geny Catamo
(ast. Witiness Quembo)
45'+2
32'
(ast. Abdallah Sima)
Nicolas Jackson
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Senegal a 65% win probability (draw 18%, Mozambique 15%). The final result was Mozambique 1–1 Senegal.
Match statistics
2
Shots on target
5
34%
Possession
66%
1
Corners
10
Match Events
Witiness Quembo
29'
32'
ast. Abdallah Sima ·
Nicolas Jackson⚽
Ricardo Martins Guimarães
38'
⚽Geny Catamo
· ast. Witiness Quembo
45'+2
62'
Lamine Camara
63'
Ibrahim Mbaye
/
Pape Matar Sarr
Gildo Vilanculos
/ Alcídio Raice
66'
Faisal Bangal
/ Chamito Alfandega
66'
Witiness Quembo
/ Fernando Data Chamboco
66'
Bheu Januário
/ Oscar Cherene
72'
Bruno Langa
74'
78'
Pape Gueye
83'
Idrissa Gueye
/
Assane Diao Diaoune
84'
Boulaye Dia
/
Nicolas Jackson
89'
Pape Moussa Fall
/
Pape Gueye
Ricardo Martins Guimarães
/ Manuel Nhanga Kambala
90'+2
Pre-match prediction
15.95%
Mozambique
18.31%
X ←
65.73%
Senegal
✗ Wrong prediction —
we assigned to the actual result (Draw)
18.31%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
1.45
—
—
3.66
—
—
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Mozambique vs Senegal?
The final score was Mozambique 1–1 Senegal.
What did the model predict before Mozambique vs Senegal?
The model assigned 15% probability to a Mozambique win, 18% to a draw, and 65% to an Senegal win.