N. Fontaine
59'
(pen.)
82'
B. Dimitrov
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Septemvri Sofia a 35% win probability (draw 47%, Montana 16%). The final result was Septemvri Sofia 1–1 Montana. In 2 previous meetings, Septemvri Sofia have won 1 times, with 0 draws and 1 wins for Montana.
Match statistics
2
Shots on target
7
0.77
Actual xG
1.29
43%
Possession
57%
4
Corners
8
Match Events
F. Herard
/ S. Stojanovic
46'
V. Ozornwafor
49'
Y. Baurenski
51'
57'
I. Markov
⚽N. Fontaine
59'
G. Ivanov
/ S. Stoichkov
63'
66'
Beji
/
T. Azevedo
M. Stamatov
/ S. Wade
76'
N. Fontaine
/ D. Ivkic
80'
81'
Vitinho
/
A. Todorov
82'
(pen.)
B. Dimitrov⚽
Pre-match prediction
35.97%
Septemvri
47.89%
X ←
16.14%
Montana
we assigned to the actual result (Draw)
47.89%
(medium confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
0.51
0.77
+0.26
0.30
1.29
+0.99
Montana dominated by xG (1.29 vs 0.77).
The final result does not reflect the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Lineups
21
G
30
M. Stamatov
D
26
V. Ozornwafor
D
4
M. Hristov
D
13
K. Önaşçı
D
5
Y. Baurenski
M
18
Ayoub Abou
M
17
N. Fontaine
1 ⚽
M
33
G. Ivanov
M
29
F. Herard
F
7
E. Ribeiro
F
Bench
19
Dominik Ivkić
D
23
Robin Schouten
D
3
Sebastian Wade
D
10
Stefan Stojanović
M
1
G
18
D
5
D
13
Jorginho Soares
D
14
D. Burov
D
24
M
27
Tomás Azevedo
M
16
D
10
A. Todorov
M
7
Boris Dimitrov
1 ⚽
F
20
Umaro Baldé
M
Bench
17
Ivan Kokonov
M
Septemvri Sofia — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| M. Stamatov | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| V. Ozornwafor | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| M. Hristov | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| K. Önaşçı | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Y. Baurenski | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Ayoub Abou | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| N. Fontaine | M | — | — | 1 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| G. Ivanov | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| F. Herard | F | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| E. Ribeiro | F | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Montana — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Jorginho Soares | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| D. Burov | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Tomás Azevedo | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| A. Todorov | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Boris Dimitrov | F | — | — | 1 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Umaro Baldé | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Septemvri Sofia vs Montana?
The final score was Septemvri Sofia 1–1 Montana.
What did the model predict before Septemvri Sofia vs Montana?
The model assigned 35% probability to a Septemvri Sofia win, 47% to a draw, and 16% to an Montana win.