Serbia - Netherlands
⚡ Pre-match analysis
18.46%
Win
Serbia
13.92%
Draw
67.62%
Win
Netherlands
1.64
3.44
Expected xG
Most likely outcome
Netherlands
67.62%
Probability
100.0%
1X2 accuracy · 2 predictions (3 months)
Market probabilities
Most likely result
1–3
(7.09%)
1X2 Result
1
18%
X
14%
2
68%
Double Chance
1X
32%
X2
82%
12
86%
Over / Under
Over 1.5
93%
Over 2.5
85%
The ForzaPitch prediction gives Netherlands a 67% win probability, against 13% for a draw and 18% for Serbia. Expected goals are 1.6 for Serbia and 3.4 for Netherlands (total 5.1), with a 93% probability of Over 1.5 goals. The most likely scoreline is 1–3 at 7.09% probability.
Season Stats
2W
4D
2L
2W
5D
1L
Averages per game
0.8
Goals
2.2
0.9
Conceded
1.5
2.6
Shots OT
5.5
3.0
Corners
4.9
36%
Poss.
58%
Percentages
75%
O 1.5
88%
13%
O 2.5
63%
25%
BTTS
75%
50%
Clean Sht
13%
ℹ
Based on the last 8 matches in UEFA Nations League. Bars use fixed scales (goals max 3.5, percentages 0–100%).
Venue Form
Goals signal (venue avg)
13%
O 3.5
38%
BTTS
2W
2D
0L
· at home
0W
3D
1L
· away
1.0
gls/g
1.2
0.0
Conceded
1.5
50%
Win %
0%
100%
Win or Draw
75%
50%
O 1.5
75%
0%
O 2.5
25%
0%
O 3.5
25%
0%
BTTS
75%
100%
Clean Sht
0%
50%
Failed to Score
25%
last 4
ℹ
Home team's record in home matches only · Away team's record in away matches only.
Score Matrix
↕ Serbia
Netherlands →
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0.6% | 2.1% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 3.6% | 2.5% |
| 1 | 1.0% | 3.5% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 4.1% |
| 2 | 0.8% | 2.9% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 3.4% |
| 3 | 0.5% | 1.6% | 2.7% | 3.1% | 2.7% | 1.8% |
| 4 | 0.2% | 0.6% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 1.1% | 0.8% |
| 5 | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.2% |
Recent form
Playing profile
Serbia
Attack
27
Defence
41
Form
14
Netherlands
Attack
45
Defence
70
Form
50
Indices on a 0–100 scale calculated by the model
Play-offs A/B
What's at stake · Play-offs A/B
Top 2 advance to the next round
| Current | #2 | #1 |
| → Serbia | #1 | #1 |
| → Draw | #2 | #1 |
| → Netherlands | #2 | #1 |
Projected ranking after this match only. Goal difference tiebreakers not applied.
Frequently Asked Questions
Who will win Serbia vs Netherlands?
The model gives Serbia a 18% win probability, 13% for a draw, and 67% for an Netherlands win.
How many goals are expected in Serbia vs Netherlands?
Expected goals: Serbia 1.6, Netherlands 3.4 (total 5.1). Probability of over 1.5 goals: 93%.
What is the most likely score in Serbia vs Netherlands?
1–3 is the most probable final score, with an estimated probability of 7.09%.