✓Model correct — prediction Netherlands
Luka Jovic
(ast. Saša Lukić)
46'
(pen.)
30'
Mexx Meerdink
69'
(ast. Guus Til)
Mexx Meerdink
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Netherlands a 64% win probability (draw 20%, Serbia 15%). The final result was Serbia 1–2 Netherlands. In 1 previous meetings, Serbia have won 0 times, with 0 draws and 1 wins for Netherlands.
Match statistics
11
Total shots
25
6
Shots on target
8
6
Saves
5
33%
Possession
67%
3
Corners
4
17
Tackles
14
1
🟨 Yellow cards
1
Match Events
Saša Lukić
12'
17'
Ruben van Bommel
/
Cody Gakpo
30'
(pen.)
Mexx Meerdink⚽
Sergej Milinković-Savić
/ Dušan Tadić
45'
Dejan Joveljić
/ Luka Jovic
45'
⚽Luka Jovic
· ast. Saša Lukić
46'
Aleksandar Stankovic
/ Nemanja Maksimović
59'
Kosta Nedeljkovic
/ Strahinja Erakovic
59'
67'
Kenneth Taylor
/
Tijjani Reijnders
67'
Guus Til
/
Ryan Gravenberch
69'
ast. Guus Til ·
Mexx Meerdink⚽
Strahinja Pavlovic
/ Filip Kostić
71'
80'
Quinten Timber
/
Mexx Meerdink
80'
Jurriën Timber
/
Denzel Dumfries
85'
Jurriën Timber
Pre-match prediction
15.35%
Serbia
20.27%
X
64.38%
Netherlands ←
✓ Correct prediction —
we assigned to the actual result (Netherlands)
64.38%
(high confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
0.93
—
—
2.38
—
—
Lineups
23
V. Milinković-Savić
G
V. Milinković-Savić
G
17
A. Terzić
D
A. Terzić
D
3
S. Pavlović
71'
D
S. Pavlović
71'
D
15
S. Babić
D
S. Babić
D
6
N. Gudelj
D
N. Gudelj
D
2
K. Nedeljković
59'
D
K. Nedeljković
59'
D
20
S. Milinković-Savić
45'
M
S. Milinković-Savić
45'
M
22
S. Lukić
1 👟
M
S. Lukić
1 👟
M
7
A. Stanković
59'
M
A. Stanković
59'
M
14
A. Živković
M
A. Živković
M
9
D. Joveljić
45'
F
D. Joveljić
45'
F
Bench
1
Đ. Petrović
G
Đ. Petrović
G
10
D. Tadić
45'
F
D. Tadić
45'
F
11
F. Kostić
19'
M
F. Kostić
19'
M
12
F. Stanković
G
F. Stanković
G
8
L. Jović
1 ⚽
45'
F
L. Jović
1 ⚽
45'
F
21
L. Samardžić
M
L. Samardžić
M
18
Mihajlo Cvetković
F
Mihajlo Cvetković
F
5
N. Maksimović
31'
M
N. Maksimović
31'
M
13
N. Simić
D
N. Simić
D
19
S. Džodić
M
S. Džodić
M
16
Strahinja Eraković
31'
D
Strahinja Eraković
31'
D
4
V. Dragojević
M
V. Dragojević
M
1
B. Verbruggen
G
B. Verbruggen
G
15
M. van de Ven
D
M. van de Ven
D
4
V. van Dijk
D
V. van Dijk
D
6
J. van Hecke
D
J. van Hecke
D
22
D. Dumfries
80'
D
D. Dumfries
80'
D
14
T. Reijnders
67'
M
T. Reijnders
67'
M
18
J. Veerman
M
J. Veerman
M
8
R. Gravenberch
67'
M
R. Gravenberch
67'
M
11
C. Gakpo
17'
F
C. Gakpo
17'
F
17
M. Meerdink
2 ⚽
80'
F
M. Meerdink
2 ⚽
80'
F
7
C. Summerville
F
C. Summerville
F
Bench
16
G. Til
1 👟
23'
M
G. Til
1 👟
23'
M
3
J. Hato
D
J. Hato
D
2
J. Timber
10'
D
J. Timber
10'
D
9
J. Zirkzee
F
J. Zirkzee
F
12
K. Taylor
23'
M
K. Taylor
23'
M
23
M. Flekken
G
M. Flekken
G
5
N. Aké
D
N. Aké
D
10
N. Lang
F
N. Lang
F
19
Q. Timber
10'
M
Q. Timber
10'
M
13
R. Roefs
G
R. Roefs
G
21
R. van Bommel
73'
F
R. van Bommel
73'
F
20
T. Koopmeiners
M
T. Koopmeiners
M
Best on the pitch
M. Meerdink
F · Netherlands
8.20
2 ⚽
5 shots
· 19 pass
L. Jović
F · Serbia
7.84
1 ⚽
6 shots
· 12 pass
B. Verbruggen
G · Netherlands
7.84
· 22 pass
T. Reijnders
M · Netherlands
7.41
6 shots
· 25 pass
D. Dumfries
D · Netherlands
7.29
1 shots
· 47 pass
D. Tadić
F · Serbia
7.20
· 12 pass
Serbia — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| V. Milinković-Savić | G | 90 | 6.73 | — | — | 0 | 40 | 21% | 0 | — | — |
| A. Terzić | D | 90 | 5.93 | — | — | 0 | 30 | 25% | 2 | — | — |
| S. Pavlović | D | 71 | 5.63 | — | — | 0 | 26 | 19% | 1 | — | — |
| S. Babić | D | 90 | 6.41 | — | — | 0 | 44 | 41% | 1 | — | — |
| N. Gudelj | D | 90 | 6.39 | — | — | 0 | 29 | 27% | 1 | — | — |
| K. Nedeljković | D | 59 | 6.22 | — | — | 0 | 8 | 6% | 0 | — | — |
| S. Milinković-Savić | M | 45 | 6.46 | — | — | 1 | 16 | 12% | 2 | — | — |
| S. Lukić | M | 90 | 7.11 | — | 1 | 1 | 24 | 21% | 3 | 1 | — |
| A. Stanković | M | 59 | 6.13 | — | — | 0 | 16 | 15% | 3 | — | — |
| A. Živković | M | 90 | 6.05 | — | — | 1 | 26 | 19% | 0 | — | — |
| D. Joveljić | F | 45 | 6.26 | — | — | 1 | 11 | 6% | 1 | — | — |
| D. Tadić | F | 45 | 7.20 | — | — | 0 | 12 | 7% | 1 | — | — |
| F. Kostić | M | 19 | 6.17 | — | — | 1 | 2 | 2% | 1 | — | — |
| L. Jović | F | 45 | 7.84 | 1 | — | 6 | 12 | 7% | 1 | — | — |
| N. Maksimović | M | 31 | 6.04 | — | — | 0 | 7 | 5% | 0 | — | — |
| Strahinja Eraković | D | 31 | 6.09 | — | — | 0 | 1 | 1% | 0 | — | — |
Netherlands — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| B. Verbruggen | G | 90 | 7.84 | — | — | 0 | 22 | 19% | 0 | — | — |
| M. van de Ven | D | 90 | 6.63 | — | — | 0 | 48 | 43% | 2 | — | — |
| V. van Dijk | D | 90 | 6.91 | — | — | 0 | 71 | 71% | 0 | — | — |
| J. van Hecke | D | 90 | 7.14 | — | — | 1 | 117 | 109% | 0 | — | — |
| D. Dumfries | D | 80 | 7.29 | — | — | 1 | 47 | 45% | 2 | — | — |
| T. Reijnders | M | 67 | 7.41 | — | — | 6 | 25 | 23% | 0 | — | — |
| J. Veerman | M | 90 | 7.20 | — | — | 1 | 117 | 105% | 4 | — | — |
| R. Gravenberch | M | 67 | 6.56 | — | — | 2 | 39 | 35% | 0 | — | — |
| C. Gakpo | F | 17 | 6.74 | — | — | 1 | 9 | 6% | 1 | — | — |
| M. Meerdink | F | 80 | 8.20 | 2 | — | 5 | 19 | 14% | 0 | — | — |
| C. Summerville | F | 90 | 6.48 | — | — | 2 | 49 | 42% | 3 | — | — |
| G. Til | M | 23 | 7.04 | — | 1 | 1 | 9 | 9% | 1 | — | — |
| J. Timber | D | 10 | 5.96 | — | — | 0 | 4 | 2% | 0 | 1 | — |
| K. Taylor | M | 23 | 5.97 | — | — | 1 | 11 | 6% | 1 | — | — |
| Q. Timber | M | 10 | 6.23 | — | — | 0 | 10 | 9% | 0 | — | — |
| R. van Bommel | F | 73 | 6.98 | — | — | 4 | 37 | 33% | 0 | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Serbia vs Netherlands?
The final score was Serbia 1–2 Netherlands.
What did the model predict before Serbia vs Netherlands?
The model assigned 15% probability to a Serbia win, 20% to a draw, and 64% to an Netherlands win.