M. Sierra
(ast. R. Ure)
66'
4'
(ast. Lee Kang-In)
A. Baena
26'
(ast. P. Barrios)
A. Lookman
33'
(ast. M. Llorente)
A. Baena
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Atletico Madrid a 35% win probability (draw 31%, Sevilla 32%). The final result was Sevilla 1–3 Atletico Madrid. In 2 previous meetings, Sevilla have won 1 times, with 0 draws and 1 wins for Atletico Madrid.
Match statistics
15
Total shots
8
5
Shots on target
5
0.96
Actual xG
0.93
2
Saves
4
42%
Possession
58%
4
Corners
2
11
Tackles
15
2
🟨 Yellow cards
2
Match Events
4'
ast. Lee Kang-In ·
A. Baena⚽
26'
ast. P. Barrios ·
A. Lookman⚽
33'
ast. M. Llorente ·
A. Baena⚽
45'+4
M. Llorente
J. Diaz
/ C. Ejuke
55'
J. Guridi
/ G. Kochorashvili
55'
66'
A. Ortiz
/
A. Lookman
66'
J. Gimenez
/
M. Llorente
⚽M. Sierra
· ast. R. Ure
66'
Peque
/ I. Romero
68'
72'
Koke
/
Lee Kang-In
M. Sierra
/ A. Gonzalez
80'
85'
J. Cardoso
/
M. Hjulmand
85'
R. Mendoza
/
A. Baena
I. Romero
89'
G. Suazo
90'+1
90'+5
M. Pubill
Pre-match prediction
32.95%
Sevilla
31.4%
X
35.65%
Atletico ←
we assigned to the actual result (Atletico Madrid)
35.65%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
1.29
0.96
-0.33
0.96
0.93
-0.03
xG dominance was balanced (0.96 – 0.93).
The final result does not reflect the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates were accurate.
Lineups
1
O. Vlachodimos
G
O. Vlachodimos
G
17
G. Suazo
D
G. Suazo
D
4
Kike Salas
D
Kike Salas
D
5
Andrés Castrín
D
Andrés Castrín
D
2
Juan Iglesias
D
Juan Iglesias
D
18
Jon Guridi
55'
M
Jon Guridi
55'
M
6
L. Agoumé
M
L. Agoumé
M
3
Julio Díaz del Romo
55'
M
Julio Díaz del Romo
55'
M
10
Peque Fernández
68'
M
Peque Fernández
68'
M
30
M. Sierra
1 ⚽
80'
M
M. Sierra
1 ⚽
80'
M
9
R. Ure
1 👟
F
R. Ure
1 👟
F
Bench
7
Alfon González
10'
F
Alfon González
10'
F
12
A. Sangante
D
A. Sangante
D
21
C. Ejuke
35'
F
C. Ejuke
35'
F
13
Fran González
G
Fran González
G
8
G. Kochorashvili
35'
M
G. Kochorashvili
35'
M
37
Ibra Sow
F
Ibra Sow
F
34
Iker Muñoz
D
Iker Muñoz
D
16
Isaac
22'
F
Isaac
22'
F
22
José Ángel Carmona
D
José Ángel Carmona
D
28
Manu Bueno
M
Manu Bueno
M
26
Manuel Ángel Castillo
F
Manuel Ángel Castillo
F
27
N. Guillen
M
N. Guillen
M
13
J. Oblak
G
J. Oblak
G
22
Álex Grimaldo
D
Álex Grimaldo
D
17
D. Hancko
D
D. Hancko
D
18
Marc Pubill
D
Marc Pubill
D
14
Marcos Llorente
1 👟
66'
D
Marcos Llorente
1 👟
66'
D
11
A. Lookman
1 ⚽
66'
M
A. Lookman
1 ⚽
66'
M
23
M. Hjulmand
85'
M
M. Hjulmand
85'
M
8
Pablo Barrios
1 👟
M
Pablo Barrios
1 👟
M
20
G. Simeone
M
G. Simeone
M
10
Álex Baena
2 ⚽
85'
F
Álex Baena
2 ⚽
85'
F
7
Lee Kang-In
1 👟
72'
F
Lee Kang-In
1 👟
72'
F
Bench
16
Arnau Ortiz
24'
F
Arnau Ortiz
24'
F
12
Carlos Martín
F
Carlos Martín
F
21
C. Romero
D
C. Romero
D
30
Dani MartÃnez
D
Dani MartÃnez
D
5
J. Cardoso
12'
M
J. Cardoso
12'
M
46
J. Castillo
M
J. Castillo
M
2
J. Giménez
24'
D
J. Giménez
24'
D
1
J. Musso
G
J. Musso
G
27
Jorge Domínguez
D
Jorge Domínguez
D
6
Koke
18'
M
Koke
18'
M
29
Miguel Cubo
F
Miguel Cubo
F
4
Rodrigo Mendoza
12'
M
Rodrigo Mendoza
12'
M
Best on the pitch
Álex Baena
F · Atletico
9.30
2 ⚽
3 shots
· 43 pass
Marcos Llorente
D · Atletico
7.90
1 👟
· 51 pass
Pablo Barrios
M · Atletico
7.70
1 👟
1 shots
· 80 pass
A. Lookman
M · Atletico
7.70
1 ⚽
1 shots
· 32 pass
M. Hjulmand
M · Atletico
7.50
· 49 pass
Lee Kang-In
F · Atletico
7.30
1 👟
· 32 pass
Sevilla — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| O. Vlachodimos | G | 90 | 5.60 | — | — | — | 18 | 11% | — | — | — |
| G. Suazo | D | 90 | 6.00 | — | — | — | 62 | 50% | — | 1 | — |
| Kike Salas | D | 90 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 55 | 40% | 1 | — | — |
| Andrés Castrín | D | 90 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 38 | 34% | — | — | — |
| Juan Iglesias | D | 90 | 6.70 | — | — | 1 | 21 | 14% | 2 | — | — |
| Jon Guridi | M | 55 | 6.00 | — | — | 1 | 18 | 15% | 1 | — | — |
| L. Agoumé | M | 90 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 45 | 40% | 2 | — | — |
| Julio Díaz del Romo | M | 55 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 12 | 10% | 1 | — | — |
| Peque Fernández | M | 68 | 6.70 | — | — | 1 | 19 | 16% | 1 | — | — |
| M. Sierra | M | 80 | 7.30 | 1 | — | 4 | 16 | 10% | 1 | — | — |
| R. Ure | F | 90 | 6.20 | — | 1 | 3 | 15 | 12% | 1 | — | — |
| Alfon González | F | 10 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 2 | 2% | — | — | — |
| C. Ejuke | F | 35 | 7.30 | — | — | 1 | 13 | 13% | — | — | — |
| G. Kochorashvili | M | 35 | 6.90 | — | — | 2 | 21 | 20% | 1 | — | — |
| Isaac | F | 22 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 4 | 3% | — | 1 | — |
Atletico Madrid — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Oblak | G | 90 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 34 | 22% | — | — | — |
| Álex Grimaldo | D | 90 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 35 | 28% | 2 | — | — |
| D. Hancko | D | 90 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 72 | 62% | 1 | — | — |
| Marc Pubill | D | 90 | 6.70 | — | — | 1 | 57 | 51% | — | 1 | — |
| Marcos Llorente | D | 66 | 7.90 | — | 1 | — | 51 | 48% | 2 | 1 | — |
| A. Lookman | M | 66 | 7.70 | 1 | — | 1 | 32 | 26% | — | — | — |
| M. Hjulmand | M | 85 | 7.50 | — | — | — | 49 | 46% | 3 | — | — |
| Pablo Barrios | M | 90 | 7.70 | — | 1 | 1 | 80 | 71% | 3 | — | — |
| G. Simeone | M | 90 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 27 | 20% | 3 | — | — |
| Álex Baena | F | 85 | 9.30 | 2 | — | 3 | 43 | 38% | — | — | — |
| Lee Kang-In | F | 72 | 7.30 | — | 1 | — | 32 | 30% | — | — | — |
| Arnau Ortiz | F | 24 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 2 | 2% | — | — | — |
| J. Cardoso | M | 12 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 3 | 2% | 1 | — | — |
| J. Giménez | D | 24 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 8 | 4% | — | — | — |
| Koke | M | 18 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 4 | 3% | — | — | — |
| Rodrigo Mendoza | M | 12 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 1 | 1% | — | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Sevilla vs Atletico Madrid?
The final score was Sevilla 1–3 Atletico Madrid.
What did the model predict before Sevilla vs Atletico Madrid?
The model assigned 32% probability to a Sevilla win, 31% to a draw, and 35% to an Atletico Madrid win.