J. Guridi
52'
(pen.)
Peque
90'+7
(pen.)
4'
A. Garcia
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Sevilla a 34% win probability (draw 32%, Rayo Vallecano 32%). The final result was Sevilla 2–1 Rayo Vallecano. In 2 previous meetings, Sevilla have won 1 times, with 1 draws and 0 wins for Rayo Vallecano.
Match statistics
10
Total shots
6
4
Shots on target
3
2.30
Actual xG
2.00
2
Saves
2
49%
Possession
51%
1
Corners
2
20
Tackles
18
3
🟨 Yellow cards
3
1
🟥 Red cards
0
Match Events
4'
A. Garcia⚽
32'
I. Romero
45'+3
I. Romero
/ R. Ure
46'
N. Guilen
/ Peque
46'
⚽J. Guridi
(pen.)
52'
J. Guridi
60'
64'
S. Camello
/
I. Palazon
65'
Alemao
/
R. Nteka
67'
A. Garcia
M. Sierra
/ R. Vargas
70'
70'
F. Perez
/
A. Garcia
75'
U. Lopez
76'
F. Perez
Oso
/ C. Ejuke
78'
78'
P. Diaz
/
U. Lopez
79'
P. Fernandez
/
O. Valentin
G. Suazo
81'
J. Guridi
/ M. Bueno
82'
K. Salas
88'
⚽Peque
(pen.)
90'+7
L. Agoume
90'+12
90'+12
Alemao
Pre-match prediction
34.58%
Sevilla ←
32.84%
X
32.58%
Rayo
we assigned to the actual result (Sevilla)
34.58%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
1.11
2.30
+1.19
1.05
2.00
+0.95
xG dominance was balanced (2.30 – 2.00).
The final result does not reflect the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Lineups
1
O. Vlachodimos
G
O. Vlachodimos
G
17
G. Suazo
D
G. Suazo
D
4
Kike Salas
88'
D
Kike Salas
88'
D
12
A. Sangante
D
A. Sangante
D
2
Juan Iglesias
D
Juan Iglesias
D
27
N. Guillen
45'
M
N. Guillen
45'
M
6
L. Agoumé
M
L. Agoumé
M
19
Oso
78'
M
Oso
78'
M
18
Jon Guridi
1 ⚽
82'
M
Jon Guridi
1 ⚽
82'
M
30
M. Sierra
70'
M
M. Sierra
70'
M
16
Isaac
45'
F
Isaac
45'
F
Bench
5
Andrés Castrín
D
Andrés Castrín
D
21
C. Ejuke
24'
F
C. Ejuke
24'
F
39
Edu Altozano
M
Edu Altozano
M
13
Fran González
G
Fran González
G
37
Ibra Sow
F
Ibra Sow
F
34
Iker Muñoz
D
Iker Muñoz
D
22
José Ángel Carmona
D
José Ángel Carmona
D
3
Julio Díaz del Romo
D
Julio Díaz del Romo
D
28
Manu Bueno
20'
M
Manu Bueno
20'
M
10
Peque Fernández
1 ⚽
57'
F
Peque Fernández
1 ⚽
57'
F
9
R. Ure
57'
F
R. Ure
57'
F
11
R. Vargas
32'
M
R. Vargas
32'
M
13
Augusto Batalla
G
Augusto Batalla
G
20
Iván Balliu
D
Iván Balliu
D
6
Pathé Ismaël Ciss
D
24
Florian Lejeune
D
Florian Lejeune
D
2
A. Rațiu
D
A. Rațiu
D
23
Óscar Valentín
78'
M
Óscar Valentín
78'
M
8
Unai López
78'
M
18
Álvaro García
1 ⚽
70'
M
Álvaro García
1 ⚽
70'
M
7
Isi Palazón
64'
M
Isi Palazón
64'
M
19
Jorge de Frutos
M
Jorge de Frutos
M
11
Randy Nteka
65'
F
Randy Nteka
65'
F
Bench
9
Alemão
37'
F
Alemão
37'
F
1
Dani Cárdenas
G
Dani Cárdenas
G
21
Fran Pérez
32'
F
Fran Pérez
32'
F
34
Ivan Alonso Martin
D
Ivan Alonso Martin
D
33
Jozhua Vertrouwd
D
Jozhua Vertrouwd
D
26
Marco de las Sías
D
Marco de las Sías
D
31
M. Roman
M
M. Roman
M
4
Pedro Díaz
24'
M
22
Pelayo Fernández
24'
D
Pelayo Fernández
24'
D
10
Sergio Camello
38'
F
Sergio Camello
38'
F
27
Sergio Lozano
D
Sergio Lozano
D
Best on the pitch
O. Vlachodimos
G · Sevilla
7.20
· 28 pass
M. Sierra
M · Sevilla
7.20
· 16 pass
Juan Iglesias
D · Sevilla
7.00
· 27 pass
Alemão
F · Rayo
7.00
1 shots
· 5 pass
Unai López
M · Rayo
7.00
· 34 pass
G. Suazo
D · Sevilla
6.90
· 33 pass
Sevilla — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| O. Vlachodimos | G | 102 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 28 | 17% | — | — | — |
| G. Suazo | D | 102 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 33 | 27% | 3 | 1 | — |
| Kike Salas | D | 88 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 44 | 31% | 3 | — | 1 |
| A. Sangante | D | 102 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 47 | 39% | 1 | — | — |
| Juan Iglesias | D | 102 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 27 | 18% | 2 | — | — |
| N. Guillen | M | 45 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 12 | 10% | 3 | — | — |
| L. Agoumé | M | 102 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 34 | 25% | 4 | — | — |
| Oso | M | 78 | 6.50 | — | — | 1 | 17 | 8% | 1 | — | — |
| Jon Guridi | M | 82 | 6.60 | 1 | — | 2 | 20 | 19% | — | 1 | — |
| M. Sierra | M | 70 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 16 | 9% | 1 | — | — |
| Isaac | F | 45 | 6.20 | — | — | 2 | 13 | 8% | — | 1 | — |
| C. Ejuke | F | 24 | 6.30 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Manu Bueno | M | 20 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 3 | 3% | 1 | — | — |
| Peque Fernández | F | 57 | 6.90 | 1 | — | 2 | 11 | 10% | — | — | — |
| R. Ure | F | 57 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 6 | 6% | — | — | — |
| R. Vargas | M | 32 | 6.50 | — | — | 1 | 6 | 2% | 1 | — | — |
Rayo Vallecano — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Augusto Batalla | G | 102 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 35 | 20% | — | — | — |
| Iván Balliu | D | 102 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 27 | 18% | 1 | — | — |
| Pathé Ismaël Ciss | D | 102 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 53 | 46% | — | — | — |
| Florian Lejeune | D | 102 | 6.70 | — | — | 2 | 49 | 36% | 5 | — | — |
| A. Rațiu | D | 102 | 5.90 | — | — | 1 | 26 | 16% | — | — | — |
| Óscar Valentín | M | 78 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 23 | 15% | 1 | — | — |
| Unai López | M | 78 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 34 | 25% | 2 | 1 | — |
| Álvaro García | M | 70 | 6.90 | 1 | — | 1 | 13 | 8% | 2 | 1 | — |
| Isi Palazón | M | 64 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 15 | 11% | 2 | — | — |
| Jorge de Frutos | M | 102 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 16 | 12% | 3 | — | — |
| Randy Nteka | F | 65 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 5 | 5% | 1 | — | — |
| Alemão | F | 37 | 7.00 | — | — | 1 | 5 | 5% | 1 | — | — |
| Fran Pérez | F | 32 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 6 | 5% | — | 1 | — |
| Pedro Díaz | M | 24 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 9 | 9% | — | — | — |
| Pelayo Fernández | D | 24 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 10 | 7% | — | — | — |
| Sergio Camello | F | 38 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 11 | 8% | — | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Sevilla vs Rayo Vallecano?
The final score was Sevilla 2–1 Rayo Vallecano.
What did the model predict before Sevilla vs Rayo Vallecano?
The model assigned 34% probability to a Sevilla win, 32% to a draw, and 32% to an Rayo Vallecano win.