15'
Vinicius Junior
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Real Madrid a 45% win probability (draw 25%, Sevilla 28%). The final result was Sevilla 0–1 Real Madrid. In 1 previous meetings, Sevilla have won 0 times, with 0 draws and 1 wins for Real Madrid.
Match statistics
10
Total shots
7
5
Shots on target
1
0.59
Actual xG
1.03
1
Saves
5
41%
Possession
59%
3
Corners
4
25
Tackles
13
3
🟨 Yellow cards
0
Match Events
15'
Vinicius Junior⚽
N. Gudelj
48'
N. Maupay
/ A. Sanchez
53'
N. Gudelj
/ L. Agoume
54'
R. Vargas
/ C. Ejuke
54'
70'
F. Mastantuono
/
T. Pitarch
70'
E. Camavinga
/
A. Tchouameni
J. A. Carmona
/ J. Sanchez
70'
77'
G. Garcia
/
Vinicius Junior
77'
T. Alexander-Arnold
/
B. Diaz
Oso
/ I. Romero
78'
A. Sanchez
80'
J. Sanchez
84'
87'
A. Leiva
/
J. Bellingham
L. Agoume
90'+4
Pre-match prediction
28.95%
Sevilla
25.49%
X
45.56%
Real ←
we assigned to the actual result (Real Madrid)
45.56%
(medium confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
1.10
0.59
-0.51
1.43
1.03
-0.4
Real Madrid dominated by xG (1.03 vs 0.59).
The final result reflects the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Lineups
1
Odysseas Vlachodimos
G
Odysseas Vlachodimos
G
12
G. Suazo
D
G. Suazo
D
4
Kike Salas
D
Kike Salas
D
32
Andres Castrin
D
Andres Castrin
D
2
José Ángel Carmona
70'
D
José Ángel Carmona
70'
D
36
Oso
78'
M
Oso
78'
M
20
Djibril Sow
M
Djibril Sow
M
6
Nemanja Gudelj
54'
M
Nemanja Gudelj
54'
M
11
R. Vargas
54'
M
R. Vargas
54'
M
17
Neal Maupay
53'
F
Neal Maupay
53'
F
9
Akor Adams
F
Akor Adams
F
Bench
10
Alexis Sánchez
39'
F
Alexis Sánchez
39'
F
19
Batista Mendy
M
Batista Mendy
M
3
César Azpilicueta
D
César Azpilicueta
D
21
Chidera Ejuke
38'
F
Chidera Ejuke
38'
F
15
Fábio Cardoso
D
Fábio Cardoso
D
7
Isaac
14'
F
Isaac
14'
F
8
Joan Jordán
M
Joan Jordán
M
16
Juanlu Sánchez
22'
M
Juanlu Sánchez
22'
M
18
L. Agoumé
38'
M
L. Agoumé
38'
M
13
Ørjan Nyland
G
Ørjan Nyland
G
14
Peque Fernández
F
Peque Fernández
F
5
Tanguy Nianzou
D
Tanguy Nianzou
D
1
Thibaut Courtois
G
Thibaut Courtois
G
20
Fran García
D
Fran García
D
24
D. Huijsen
D
D. Huijsen
D
22
A. Rüdiger
D
A. Rüdiger
D
2
Dani Carvajal
D
Dani Carvajal
D
45
Thiago Pitarch
70'
M
Thiago Pitarch
70'
M
14
Aurélien Tchouaméni
70'
M
Aurélien Tchouaméni
70'
M
5
Jude Bellingham
87'
M
Jude Bellingham
87'
M
7
Vinícius Júnior
1 ⚽
77'
F
Vinícius Júnior
1 ⚽
77'
F
10
Kylian Mbappé
F
Kylian Mbappé
F
21
Brahim Díaz
77'
F
Brahim Díaz
77'
F
Bench
18
Álvaro Fernández
D
Álvaro Fernández
D
46
Alvaro Leiva
5'
F
Alvaro Leiva
5'
F
47
Dani Meso
M
Dani Meso
M
4
David Alaba
D
David Alaba
D
6
Eduardo Camavinga
22'
M
Eduardo Camavinga
22'
M
30
Franco Mastantuono
22'
F
Franco Mastantuono
22'
F
16
Gonzalo García
15'
F
Gonzalo García
15'
F
29
Javier Navarro Jimenez
G
Javier Navarro Jimenez
G
17
Raúl Asencio
D
Raúl Asencio
D
43
Sergio Mestre
G
Sergio Mestre
G
12
Trent Alexander-Arnold
15'
D
Trent Alexander-Arnold
15'
D
Best on the pitch
Andres Castrin
D · Sevilla
7.90
1 shots
· 30 pass
Kike Salas
D · Sevilla
7.50
1 shots
· 36 pass
Vinícius Júnior
F · Real
7.30
1 ⚽
2 shots
· 22 pass
Jude Bellingham
M · Real
7.30
· 33 pass
Aurélien Tchouaméni
M · Real
7.30
· 51 pass
Djibril Sow
M · Sevilla
7.30
· 41 pass
Sevilla — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Odysseas Vlachodimos | G | 92 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 25 | 17% | — | — | — |
| G. Suazo | D | 92 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 42 | 35% | 1 | — | — |
| Kike Salas | D | 92 | 7.50 | — | — | 1 | 36 | 27% | 5 | — | — |
| Andres Castrin | D | 92 | 7.90 | — | — | 1 | 30 | 27% | 4 | — | — |
| José Ángel Carmona | D | 70 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 28 | 25% | 1 | — | — |
| Oso | M | 78 | 6.90 | — | — | 2 | 20 | 15% | 1 | — | — |
| Djibril Sow | M | 92 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 41 | 37% | 5 | — | — |
| Nemanja Gudelj | M | 54 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 21 | 15% | 1 | 1 | — |
| R. Vargas | M | 54 | 6.60 | — | — | 1 | 14 | 10% | 2 | — | — |
| Neal Maupay | F | 53 | 6.30 | — | — | 2 | 14 | 13% | — | — | — |
| Akor Adams | F | 92 | 6.60 | — | — | 2 | 15 | 9% | 1 | — | — |
| Alexis Sánchez | F | 39 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 13 | 8% | — | 1 | — |
| Chidera Ejuke | F | 38 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 15 | 12% | 1 | — | — |
| Isaac | F | 14 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 5 | 5% | — | — | — |
| Juanlu Sánchez | M | 22 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 13 | 9% | — | 1 | — |
| L. Agoumé | M | 38 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 19 | 17% | 3 | — | — |
Real Madrid — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Thibaut Courtois | G | 92 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 60 | 48% | — | — | — |
| Fran García | D | 92 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 44 | 36% | — | — | — |
| D. Huijsen | D | 92 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 73 | 67% | — | — | — |
| A. Rüdiger | D | 92 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 65 | 60% | 2 | — | — |
| Dani Carvajal | D | 92 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 41 | 37% | 1 | — | — |
| Thiago Pitarch | M | 70 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 54 | 50% | — | — | — |
| Aurélien Tchouaméni | M | 70 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 51 | 45% | 3 | — | — |
| Jude Bellingham | M | 87 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 33 | 28% | 5 | — | — |
| Vinícius Júnior | F | 77 | 7.30 | 1 | — | 2 | 22 | 16% | — | — | — |
| Kylian Mbappé | F | 92 | 5.90 | — | — | 3 | 31 | 27% | — | — | — |
| Brahim Díaz | F | 77 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 29 | 26% | — | — | — |
| Alvaro Leiva | F | 5 | — | — | — | — | 2 | 1% | — | — | — |
| Eduardo Camavinga | M | 22 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 9 | 8% | 1 | — | — |
| Franco Mastantuono | F | 22 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 6 | 6% | 1 | — | — |
| Gonzalo García | F | 15 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 5 | 5% | — | — | — |
| Trent Alexander-Arnold | D | 15 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 3 | 3% | — | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Sevilla vs Real Madrid?
The final score was Sevilla 0–1 Real Madrid.
What did the model predict before Sevilla vs Real Madrid?
The model assigned 28% probability to a Sevilla win, 25% to a draw, and 45% to an Real Madrid win.