15'
Vinicius Junior
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Real Madrid a 45% win probability (draw 25%, Sevilla 28%). The final result was Sevilla 0–1 Real Madrid. In 2 previous meetings, Sevilla have won 0 times, with 0 draws and 2 wins for Real Madrid.
Match statistics
10
Total shots
7
5
Shots on target
1
0.59
Actual xG
1.03
1
Saves
5
41%
Possession
59%
3
Corners
4
25
Tackles
13
3
🟨 Yellow cards
0
Match Events
15'
Vinicius Junior⚽
N. Gudelj
48'
N. Maupay
/ A. Sanchez
53'
N. Gudelj
/ L. Agoume
54'
R. Vargas
/ C. Ejuke
54'
70'
F. Mastantuono
/
T. Pitarch
70'
E. Camavinga
/
A. Tchouameni
J. A. Carmona
/ J. Sanchez
70'
77'
G. Garcia
/
Vinicius Junior
77'
T. Alexander-Arnold
/
B. Diaz
Oso
/ I. Romero
78'
A. Sanchez
80'
J. Sanchez
84'
87'
A. Leiva
/
J. Bellingham
L. Agoume
90'+4
Pre-match prediction
28.95%
Sevilla
25.49%
X
45.56%
Real ←
we assigned to the actual result (Real Madrid)
45.56%
(medium confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
1.10
0.59
-0.51
1.43
1.03
-0.4
Real Madrid dominated by xG (1.03 vs 0.59).
The final result reflects the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Lineups
1
O. Vlachodimos
G
O. Vlachodimos
G
12
G. Suazo
D
G. Suazo
D
4
Kike Salas
D
Kike Salas
D
32
Andrés Castrín
D
Andrés Castrín
D
2
José Ángel Carmona
70'
D
José Ángel Carmona
70'
D
36
Oso
78'
M
Oso
78'
M
20
D. Sow
M
D. Sow
M
6
N. Gudelj
54'
M
N. Gudelj
54'
M
11
R. Vargas
54'
M
R. Vargas
54'
M
17
N. Maupay
53'
F
N. Maupay
53'
F
9
A. Adams
F
A. Adams
F
Bench
10
A. Sánchez
39'
F
A. Sánchez
39'
F
19
Batista Mendy
M
Batista Mendy
M
21
C. Ejuke
38'
F
C. Ejuke
38'
F
3
César Azpilicueta
D
César Azpilicueta
D
15
Fábio Cardoso
D
Fábio Cardoso
D
7
Isaac
14'
F
Isaac
14'
F
8
Joan Jordán
M
Joan Jordán
M
16
Juanlu Sánchez
22'
M
Juanlu Sánchez
22'
M
18
L. Agoumé
38'
M
L. Agoumé
38'
M
13
Ø. Nyland
G
Ø. Nyland
G
14
Peque Fernández
F
Peque Fernández
F
5
T. Nianzou
D
T. Nianzou
D
1
T. Courtois
G
T. Courtois
G
20
Fran García
D
Fran García
D
24
D. Huijsen
D
D. Huijsen
D
22
A. Rüdiger
D
A. Rüdiger
D
2
Dani Carvajal
D
Dani Carvajal
D
45
Thiago Pitarch
70'
M
Thiago Pitarch
70'
M
14
A. Tchouaméni
70'
M
A. Tchouaméni
70'
M
5
J. Bellingham
87'
M
J. Bellingham
87'
M
7
Vinícius Júnior
1 ⚽
77'
F
Vinícius Júnior
1 ⚽
77'
F
10
Kylian Mbappé
F
Kylian Mbappé
F
21
Brahim Díaz
77'
F
Brahim Díaz
77'
F
Bench
18
Álvaro Fernández
D
Álvaro Fernández
D
46
Alvaro Leiva
5'
F
Alvaro Leiva
5'
F
4
D. Alaba
D
D. Alaba
D
47
Dani Meso
M
Dani Meso
M
6
E. Camavinga
22'
M
E. Camavinga
22'
M
30
Franco Mastantuono
22'
F
Franco Mastantuono
22'
F
16
Gonzalo García
15'
F
Gonzalo García
15'
F
29
Javi Navarro
G
Javi Navarro
G
17
Raúl Asencio
D
Raúl Asencio
D
43
Sergio Mestre
G
Sergio Mestre
G
12
T. Alexander-Arnold
15'
D
T. Alexander-Arnold
15'
D
Best on the pitch
Andrés Castrín
D · Sevilla
7.90
1 shots
· 30 pass
Kike Salas
D · Sevilla
7.50
1 shots
· 36 pass
Vinícius Júnior
F · Real
7.30
1 ⚽
2 shots
· 22 pass
J. Bellingham
M · Real
7.30
· 33 pass
A. Tchouaméni
M · Real
7.30
· 51 pass
D. Sow
M · Sevilla
7.30
· 41 pass
Sevilla — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| O. Vlachodimos | G | 92 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 25 | 17% | — | — | — |
| G. Suazo | D | 92 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 42 | 35% | 1 | — | — |
| Kike Salas | D | 92 | 7.50 | — | — | 1 | 36 | 27% | 5 | — | — |
| Andrés Castrín | D | 92 | 7.90 | — | — | 1 | 30 | 27% | 4 | — | — |
| José Ángel Carmona | D | 70 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 28 | 25% | 1 | — | — |
| Oso | M | 78 | 6.90 | — | — | 2 | 20 | 15% | 1 | — | — |
| D. Sow | M | 92 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 41 | 37% | 5 | — | — |
| N. Gudelj | M | 54 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 21 | 15% | 1 | 1 | — |
| R. Vargas | M | 54 | 6.60 | — | — | 1 | 14 | 10% | 2 | — | — |
| N. Maupay | F | 53 | 6.30 | — | — | 2 | 14 | 13% | — | — | — |
| A. Adams | F | 92 | 6.60 | — | — | 2 | 15 | 9% | 1 | — | — |
| A. Sánchez | F | 39 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 13 | 8% | — | 1 | — |
| C. Ejuke | F | 38 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 15 | 12% | 1 | — | — |
| Isaac | F | 14 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 5 | 5% | — | — | — |
| Juanlu Sánchez | M | 22 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 13 | 9% | — | 1 | — |
| L. Agoumé | M | 38 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 19 | 17% | 3 | — | — |
Real Madrid — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| T. Courtois | G | 92 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 60 | 48% | — | — | — |
| Fran García | D | 92 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 44 | 36% | — | — | — |
| D. Huijsen | D | 92 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 73 | 67% | — | — | — |
| A. Rüdiger | D | 92 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 65 | 60% | 2 | — | — |
| Dani Carvajal | D | 92 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 41 | 37% | 1 | — | — |
| Thiago Pitarch | M | 70 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 54 | 50% | — | — | — |
| A. Tchouaméni | M | 70 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 51 | 45% | 3 | — | — |
| J. Bellingham | M | 87 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 33 | 28% | 5 | — | — |
| Vinícius Júnior | F | 77 | 7.30 | 1 | — | 2 | 22 | 16% | — | — | — |
| Kylian Mbappé | F | 92 | 5.90 | — | — | 3 | 31 | 27% | — | — | — |
| Brahim Díaz | F | 77 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 29 | 26% | — | — | — |
| Alvaro Leiva | F | 5 | — | — | — | — | 2 | 1% | — | — | — |
| E. Camavinga | M | 22 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 9 | 8% | 1 | — | — |
| Franco Mastantuono | F | 22 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 6 | 6% | 1 | — | — |
| Gonzalo García | F | 15 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 5 | 5% | — | — | — |
| T. Alexander-Arnold | D | 15 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 3 | 3% | — | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Sevilla vs Real Madrid?
The final score was Sevilla 0–1 Real Madrid.
What did the model predict before Sevilla vs Real Madrid?
The model assigned 28% probability to a Sevilla win, 25% to a draw, and 45% to an Real Madrid win.