The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Sevilla a 37% win probability (draw 32%, Valencia 30%). The final result was Sevilla 0–2 Valencia. In 2 previous meetings, Sevilla have won 1 times, with 1 draws and 0 wins for Valencia.
Match statistics
2
Shots on target
4
0.38
Actual xG
1.81
59%
Possession
41%
1
Corners
3
Pre-match prediction
37.26%
Sevilla
32.45%
X
30.29%
Valencia ←
we assigned to the actual result (Valencia)
30.29%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
0.99
0.38
-0.61
0.86
1.81
+0.95
Valencia dominated by xG (1.81 vs 0.38).
The final result reflects the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Sevilla vs Valencia?
The final score was Sevilla 0–2 Valencia.
What did the model predict before Sevilla vs Valencia?
The model assigned 37% probability to a Sevilla win, 32% to a draw, and 30% to an Valencia win.