Mateus Dias Lima
(ast. Sardar Azmoun)
69'
Juan Alvina
(ast. Sardar Azmoun)
84'
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Esteghlal FC a 35% win probability (draw 32%, Shabab Al Ahli Dubai 32%). The final result was Shabab Al Ahli Dubai 2–0 Esteghlal FC.
Match statistics
8
Total shots
9
5
Shots on target
1
1.06
Actual xG
0.45
1
Saves
3
53%
Possession
47%
2
Corners
1
19
Tackles
7
1
🟨 Yellow cards
2
Match Events
41'
Saleh Hardani
45'+3
S. Bakhtiarizadeh
Saeid Ezatolahi
53'
Mohammad Juma
/ Mateus Dias Lima
58'
Jahnoah Markelo
/ Juan Alvina
58'
Kauan Santos Silva
/ Rikelme Hernandes Amorim Rocha
67'
Saeid Ezatolahi
/ Federico Nicolas Cartabia
67'
⚽Mateus Dias Lima
· ast. Sardar Azmoun
69'
72'
Mohammadhossein Eslami
/
Saeed Saharkhizan
82'
Amirmohammad Razaghinia
82'
Alireza Koushki
/
Esmaeil Gholizadeh
⚽Juan Alvina
· ast. Sardar Azmoun
84'
86'
Jaloliddin Masharipov
/
Amirmohammad Razaghinia
Sardar Azmoun
/ Jorge Fernandes
87'
Pre-match prediction
32.31%
Shabab ←
32.09%
X
35.6%
Esteghlal
we assigned to the actual result (Shabab Al Ahli Dubai)
32.31%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
0.99
1.06
+0.07
1.58
0.45
-1.13
Shabab Al Ahli Dubai dominated by xG (1.06 vs 0.45).
The final result reflects the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Lineups
33
Matheus Donelli
G
Matheus Donelli
G
31
Kauan Santos
67'
D
Kauan Santos
67'
D
4
W. Faes
D
W. Faes
D
3
Igor Gomes
D
Igor Gomes
D
75
Mateus Henrique
D
Mateus Henrique
D
88
N. Maksimović
M
N. Maksimović
M
6
S. Ezatolahi
67'
M
S. Ezatolahi
67'
M
8
Mohammad Juma
58'
M
Mohammad Juma
58'
M
80
Breno Cascardo
M
Breno Cascardo
M
24
J. Markelo
58'
M
J. Markelo
58'
M
20
S. Azmoun
2 👟
87'
F
S. Azmoun
2 👟
87'
F
Bench
5
E. Irala
M
E. Irala
M
10
F. Cartabia
23'
M
F. Cartabia
23'
M
79
João Marcelo
F
João Marcelo
F
44
Jorge Fernandes
3'
D
Jorge Fernandes
3'
D
55
Juan Alvina
1 ⚽
32'
F
Juan Alvina
1 ⚽
32'
F
19
Mateusão
1 ⚽
32'
F
Mateusão
1 ⚽
32'
F
1
Rakaan Waleed
G
Rakaan Waleed
G
16
Rikelme
23'
D
Rikelme
23'
D
21
Sultan Adil
F
Sultan Adil
F
76
H. Far Abbasi
G
H. Far Abbasi
G
5
R. Ashurmatov
D
R. Ashurmatov
D
33
A. Aghasi
D
A. Aghasi
D
6
S. Fallah
D
S. Fallah
D
27
H. Goudarzi
M
H. Goudarzi
M
8
A. Razzaghinia
86'
M
A. Razzaghinia
86'
M
4
R. Cheshmi
M
R. Cheshmi
M
2
Saleh Hardani
M
Saleh Hardani
M
87
E. Saitmuratov
82'
F
E. Saitmuratov
82'
F
11
S. Saharkhizan
72'
F
S. Saharkhizan
72'
F
7
J. Asani
F
J. Asani
F
Bench
20
A. Koushki
8'
F
A. Koushki
8'
F
15
A. Zamani
M
A. Zamani
M
18
A. Zoleikhaei
D
A. Zoleikhaei
D
10
J. Masharipov
4'
M
J. Masharipov
4'
M
88
M. Ahmadi
M
M. Ahmadi
M
80
M. Eslami
18'
M
M. Eslami
18'
M
60
S. Hosseinifar
G
S. Hosseinifar
G
Best on the pitch
Mateusão
F · Shabab
7.67
1 ⚽
1 shots
· 7 pass
S. Azmoun
F · Shabab
7.56
2 👟
· 23 pass
Kauan Santos
D · Shabab
7.49
1 shots
· 28 pass
Juan Alvina
F · Shabab
7.47
1 ⚽
1 shots
· 7 pass
Igor Gomes
D · Shabab
7.24
· 80 pass
Mateus Henrique
D · Shabab
6.97
· 46 pass
Shabab Al Ahli Dubai — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matheus Donelli | G | 90 | 6.88 | — | — | 0 | 30 | 23% | 0 | — | — |
| Kauan Santos | D | 67 | 7.49 | — | — | 1 | 28 | 21% | 3 | — | — |
| W. Faes | D | 90 | 6.65 | — | — | 0 | 72 | 59% | 1 | — | — |
| Igor Gomes | D | 90 | 7.24 | — | — | 0 | 80 | 72% | 2 | — | — |
| Mateus Henrique | D | 90 | 6.97 | — | — | 0 | 46 | 42% | 0 | — | — |
| N. Maksimović | M | 90 | 6.86 | — | — | 0 | 52 | 47% | 3 | — | — |
| S. Ezatolahi | M | 67 | 6.42 | — | — | 2 | 32 | 26% | 0 | 1 | — |
| Mohammad Juma | M | 58 | 6.53 | — | — | 0 | 11 | 9% | 1 | — | — |
| Breno Cascardo | M | 90 | 6.29 | — | — | 2 | 30 | 24% | 2 | — | — |
| J. Markelo | M | 58 | 6.08 | — | — | 0 | 20 | 16% | 1 | — | — |
| S. Azmoun | F | 87 | 7.56 | — | 2 | 0 | 23 | 15% | 2 | — | — |
| F. Cartabia | M | 23 | 6.56 | — | — | 0 | 13 | 12% | 1 | — | — |
| Jorge Fernandes | D | 3 | 6.50 | — | — | 0 | 3 | 3% | 0 | — | — |
| Juan Alvina | F | 32 | 7.47 | 1 | — | 1 | 7 | 6% | 0 | — | — |
| Mateusão | F | 32 | 7.67 | 1 | — | 1 | 7 | 4% | 1 | — | — |
| Rikelme | D | 23 | 6.60 | — | — | 1 | 10 | 5% | 2 | — | — |
Esteghlal FC — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H. Far Abbasi | G | 90 | 6.65 | — | — | 0 | 18 | 14% | 0 | — | — |
| R. Ashurmatov | D | 90 | 6.30 | — | — | 0 | 63 | 56% | 0 | — | — |
| A. Aghasi | D | 90 | 6.56 | — | — | 0 | 58 | 55% | 1 | — | — |
| S. Fallah | D | 90 | 6.41 | — | — | 0 | 58 | 51% | 0 | — | — |
| H. Goudarzi | M | 90 | 6.01 | — | — | 1 | 33 | 25% | 0 | — | — |
| A. Razzaghinia | M | 86 | 5.60 | — | — | 0 | 26 | 19% | 2 | 1 | — |
| R. Cheshmi | M | 90 | 5.83 | — | — | 1 | 24 | 23% | 1 | — | — |
| Saleh Hardani | M | 90 | 5.32 | — | — | 1 | 39 | 25% | 3 | 1 | — |
| E. Saitmuratov | F | 82 | 6.08 | — | — | 2 | 24 | 16% | 0 | — | — |
| S. Saharkhizan | F | 72 | 6.25 | — | — | 1 | 14 | 14% | 0 | — | — |
| J. Asani | F | 90 | 6.31 | — | — | 1 | 31 | 24% | 0 | — | — |
| A. Koushki | F | 8 | 6.40 | — | — | 1 | 4 | 4% | 0 | — | — |
| J. Masharipov | M | 4 | 6.21 | — | — | 0 | 9 | 8% | 0 | — | — |
| M. Eslami | M | 18 | 5.97 | — | — | 1 | 3 | 2% | 0 | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Shabab Al Ahli Dubai vs Esteghlal FC?
The final score was Shabab Al Ahli Dubai 2–0 Esteghlal FC.
What did the model predict before Shabab Al Ahli Dubai vs Esteghlal FC?
The model assigned 32% probability to a Shabab Al Ahli Dubai win, 32% to a draw, and 35% to an Esteghlal FC win.