Shabana - Nairobi United
Premier League
September 04, 2026 14:00
⚡ Pre-match analysis
33.33%
Win
Shabana
33.33%
Draw
33.33%
Win
Nairobi United
0.56
1.47
Expected xG
Market probabilities
Most likely result
1–1
(13.66%)
1X2 Result
1
33%
X
33%
2
33%
Double Chance
1X
67%
X2
67%
12
67%
Over / Under
Over 1.5
75%
Over 2.5
52%
The ForzaPitch prediction gives Shabana a 33% win probability, against 33% for a draw and 33% for Nairobi United. Expected goals are 0.6 for Shabana and 1.5 for Nairobi United (total 2.0), with a 75% probability of Over 1.5 goals. The most likely scoreline is 1–1 at 13.66% probability. In 2 previous meetings, Shabana have won 0 times, with 0 draws and 2 wins for Nairobi United.
Season Stats
6W
3D
6L
6W
6D
3L
Averages per game
0.8
Goals
1.3
1.1
Conceded
0.9
Percentages
47%
O 1.5
60%
33%
O 2.5
40%
33%
BTTS
47%
53%
Clean Sht
40%
ℹ
Based on the last 15 matches in Premier League. Bars use fixed scales (goals max 3.5, percentages 0–100%).
Venue Form
Goals signal (venue avg)
5%
O 3.5
30%
BTTS
5W
3D
2L
· at home
5W
3D
2L
· away
0.7
gls/g
1.2
0.4
Conceded
0.8
50%
Win %
50%
80%
Win or Draw
80%
20%
O 1.5
60%
20%
O 2.5
20%
0%
O 3.5
10%
20%
BTTS
40%
80%
Clean Sht
40%
30%
Failed to Score
30%
last 10
ℹ
Home team's record in home matches only · Away team's record in away matches only.
Score Matrix
↕ Shabana
Nairobi United →
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 13.1% | 19.3% | 14.2% | 6.9% | 2.6% | 0.8% |
| 1 | 7.4% | 10.8% | 8.0% | 3.9% | 1.4% | 0.4% |
| 2 | 2.1% | 3.0% | 2.2% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| 3 | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | — |
| 4 | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | — | — | — |
| 5 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Recent form
Playing profile
Shabana
Attack
6
Defence
42
Form
26
Nairobi United
Attack
21
Defence
36
Form
29
Indices on a 0–100 scale calculated by the model
Head-to-Head
League Table
| # | Team | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Mathare United
|
0 | 0 |
| 2 |
Ulinzi Stars
|
0 | 0 |
| 3 |
Tusker
|
0 | 0 |
| 4 |
GOR Mahia
|
0 | 0 |
| 5 |
AFC Leopards
|
0 | 0 |
| 6 |
KCB
|
0 | 0 |
| 7 |
Posta Rangers FC
|
0 | 0 |
| 8 |
Bandari
|
0 | 0 |
| 9 |
Homeboyz
|
0 | 0 |
| 10 |
Police
|
0 | 0 |
| 11 |
Migori Youth
|
0 | 0 |
| 12 |
Shabana
|
0 | 0 |
| 13 |
APS Bomet
|
0 | 0 |
| 14 |
Murang'a SEAL
|
0 | 0 |
| 15 |
Mombasa Elite
|
0 | 0 |
| 16 |
Mara Sugar
|
0 | 0 |
| 17 |
Nairobi United
|
0 | 0 |
| 18 |
3K
|
0 | 0 |
Frequently Asked Questions
Who will win Shabana vs Nairobi United?
The model gives Shabana a 33% win probability, 33% for a draw, and 33% for an Nairobi United win.
How many goals are expected in Shabana vs Nairobi United?
Expected goals: Shabana 0.6, Nairobi United 1.5 (total 2.0). Probability of over 1.5 goals: 75%.
What is the most likely score in Shabana vs Nairobi United?
1–1 is the most probable final score, with an estimated probability of 13.66%.