Pedrinho
34'
(pen.)
Vinícius Tobias
(ast. Alisson)
80'
Gleiker Mendoza
(ast. Isaque)
86'
28'
(ast. Stavros Pilios)
Lovro Majer
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Shakhtar Donetsk a 34% win probability (draw 38%, AEK Athens FC 26%). The final result was Shakhtar Donetsk 3–1 AEK Athens FC.
Match statistics
12
Total shots
13
4
Shots on target
3
1.41
Actual xG
1.12
2
Saves
1
54%
Possession
46%
5
Corners
2
19
Tackles
19
1
🟨 Yellow cards
4
Match Events
18'
Lovro Majer
28'
ast. Stavros Pilios ·
Lovro Majer⚽
31'
⚽Pedrinho
(pen.)
34'
42'
Harold Moukoudi
Marlon Gomes
54'
61'
Răzvan Marin
Pedrinho
/ Isaque
63'
Newerton
/ Gleiker Mendoza
63'
71'
João Mário
/
Lovro Majer
71'
Mijat Gaćinović
/
Ambrósini António Cabaça Salvador
78'
Kaan Kairinen
/
Milan Vitális
79'
Barnabás Varga
/
Luka Jovic
⚽Vinícius Tobias
· ast. Alisson
80'
Marlon Gomes
/ Egor Nazaryna
81'
83'
Oleksandr Zubkov
/
Răzvan Marin
⚽Gleiker Mendoza
· ast. Isaque
86'
Kauã Elias
/ Luca Meirelles
87'
Alisson
/ Lucas Ferreira
87'
90'
Barnabás Varga
Pre-match prediction
34.58%
Shakhtar ←
38.98%
X
26.44%
AEK
we assigned to the actual result (Shakhtar Donetsk)
34.58%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
0.68
1.41
+0.73
0.56
1.12
+0.57
xG dominance was balanced (1.41 – 1.12).
The final result does not reflect the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Lineups
31
D. Riznyk
G
D. Riznyk
G
13
Pedrinho
1 ⚽
D
Pedrinho
1 ⚽
D
22
M. Matvienko
D
M. Matvienko
D
5
V. Bondar
D
V. Bondar
D
17
Vinícius Tobias
1 ⚽
D
Vinícius Tobias
1 ⚽
D
27
O. Ocheretko
M
O. Ocheretko
M
11
Newertton
63'
M
Newertton
63'
M
6
Marlon Gomes
81'
M
Marlon Gomes
81'
M
10
Pedrinho
1 ⚽
63'
M
Pedrinho
1 ⚽
63'
M
30
Alisson Santana
1 👟
87'
M
Alisson Santana
1 👟
87'
M
9
Kauã Elias
87'
F
Kauã Elias
87'
F
Bench
99
Bruninho
M
Bruninho
M
8
D. Kryskiv
M
D. Kryskiv
M
29
E. Nazaryna
9'
M
E. Nazaryna
9'
M
25
Gabriel Carvalho
F
Gabriel Carvalho
F
77
G. Mendoza
1 ⚽
27'
M
G. Mendoza
1 ⚽
27'
M
23
K. Fesyun
G
K. Fesyun
G
2
L. Traoré
F
L. Traoré
F
49
Luca Meirelles
3'
F
Luca Meirelles
3'
F
37
Lucas Ferreira
3'
M
Lucas Ferreira
3'
M
20
O. Karavaev
M
O. Karavaev
M
24
V. Tsukanov
M
V. Tsukanov
M
91
A. Brignoli
G
A. Brignoli
G
3
S. Pilios
1 👟
D
S. Pilios
1 👟
D
44
Filipe Relvas
D
Filipe Relvas
D
2
H. Moukoudi
D
H. Moukoudi
D
12
L. Rota
D
L. Rota
D
11
A. Koita
M
A. Koita
M
18
R. Marin
83'
M
R. Marin
83'
M
27
M. Vitális
78'
M
M. Vitális
78'
M
14
L. Majer
1 ⚽
71'
M
L. Majer
1 ⚽
71'
M
9
L. Jović
79'
F
L. Jović
79'
F
90
Zini
71'
F
Zini
71'
F
Bench
19
B. Varga
11'
F
B. Varga
11'
F
22
C. Lykogiannis
D
C. Lykogiannis
D
21
D. Vida
D
D. Vida
D
23
João Mário
19'
M
João Mário
19'
M
16
K. Arriaga
M
K. Arriaga
M
6
K. Kairinen
12'
M
K. Kairinen
12'
M
41
Marios Balamotis
G
Marios Balamotis
G
8
M. Gaćinović
19'
M
M. Gaćinović
19'
M
10
O. Zubkov
7'
M
O. Zubkov
7'
M
20
P. Mantalos
M
P. Mantalos
M
Best on the pitch
Vinícius Tobias
D · Shakhtar
7.75
1 ⚽
1 shots
· 57 pass
Alisson Santana
M · Shakhtar
7.33
1 👟
1 shots
· 21 pass
L. Majer
M · AEK
7.27
1 ⚽
1 shots
· 31 pass
G. Mendoza
M · Shakhtar
7.26
1 ⚽
3 shots
· 11 pass
Pedrinho
D · Shakhtar
7.12
1 ⚽
2 shots
· 53 pass
Pedrinho
M · Shakhtar
7.03
1 ⚽
1 shots
· 24 pass
Shakhtar Donetsk — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D. Riznyk | G | 90 | 6.98 | — | — | 0 | 34 | 30% | 0 | — | — |
| Pedrinho | D | 90 | 7.12 | 1 | — | 2 | 53 | 46% | 2 | — | — |
| M. Matvienko | D | 90 | 6.23 | — | — | 0 | 74 | 68% | 0 | — | — |
| V. Bondar | D | 90 | 6.59 | — | — | 0 | 65 | 64% | 1 | — | — |
| Vinícius Tobias | D | 90 | 7.75 | 1 | — | 1 | 57 | 50% | 4 | — | — |
| O. Ocheretko | M | 90 | 6.50 | — | — | 1 | 45 | 43% | 2 | — | — |
| Newertton | M | 63 | 6.35 | — | — | 2 | 12 | 11% | 0 | — | — |
| Marlon Gomes | M | 81 | 6.35 | — | — | 0 | 17 | 17% | 7 | 1 | — |
| Pedrinho | M | 63 | 7.03 | 1 | — | 1 | 24 | 21% | 0 | — | — |
| Alisson Santana | M | 87 | 7.33 | — | 1 | 1 | 21 | 17% | 1 | — | — |
| Kauã Elias | F | 87 | 6.47 | — | — | 1 | 12 | 10% | 1 | — | — |
| E. Nazaryna | M | 9 | 6.00 | — | — | 0 | 5 | 5% | 0 | — | — |
| G. Mendoza | M | 27 | 7.26 | 1 | — | 3 | 11 | 7% | 1 | — | — |
| Luca Meirelles | F | 3 | 6.90 | — | — | 0 | 0 | 0% | 0 | — | — |
| Lucas Ferreira | M | 3 | 6.19 | — | — | 0 | 6 | 3% | 0 | — | — |
AEK Athens FC — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A. Brignoli | G | 90 | 5.88 | — | — | 0 | 29 | 20% | 0 | — | — |
| S. Pilios | D | 90 | 6.05 | — | 1 | 1 | 32 | 26% | 1 | — | — |
| Filipe Relvas | D | 90 | 6.33 | — | — | 0 | 54 | 52% | 0 | — | — |
| H. Moukoudi | D | 90 | 6.19 | — | — | 3 | 46 | 44% | 0 | 1 | — |
| L. Rota | D | 90 | 5.84 | — | — | 0 | 33 | 28% | 3 | — | — |
| A. Koita | M | 90 | 6.45 | — | — | 2 | 21 | 18% | 6 | — | — |
| R. Marin | M | 83 | 6.51 | — | — | 2 | 40 | 37% | 0 | 1 | — |
| M. Vitális | M | 78 | 6.63 | — | — | 1 | 40 | 34% | 1 | — | — |
| L. Majer | M | 71 | 7.27 | 1 | — | 1 | 31 | 25% | 4 | 1 | — |
| L. Jović | F | 79 | 6.68 | — | — | 1 | 9 | 6% | 1 | — | — |
| Zini | F | 71 | 6.30 | — | — | 2 | 11 | 9% | 2 | — | — |
| B. Varga | F | 11 | 6.06 | — | — | 0 | 3 | 2% | 0 | 1 | — |
| João Mário | M | 19 | 5.70 | — | — | 0 | 9 | 8% | 0 | — | — |
| K. Kairinen | M | 12 | 5.59 | — | — | 0 | 6 | 5% | 0 | — | — |
| M. Gaćinović | M | 19 | 5.79 | — | — | 0 | 3 | 1% | 0 | — | — |
| O. Zubkov | M | 7 | 5.46 | — | — | 0 | 1 | 0% | 1 | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Shakhtar Donetsk vs AEK Athens FC?
The final score was Shakhtar Donetsk 3–1 AEK Athens FC.
What did the model predict before Shakhtar Donetsk vs AEK Athens FC?
The model assigned 34% probability to a Shakhtar Donetsk win, 38% to a draw, and 26% to an AEK Athens FC win.