Shakhtar Donetsk - AEK Athens FC
Champions League
October 14, 2026 21:00
⚡ Pre-match analysis
26.58%
Win
Shakhtar Donetsk
39.79%
Draw
33.63%
Win
AEK Athens FC
0.41
0.64
Expected xG
Market probabilities
Most likely result
0–0
(18.7%)
1X2 Result
1
27%
X
40%
2
34%
Double Chance
1X
66%
X2
73%
12
60%
Over / Under
Over 1.5
72%
Over 2.5
51%
The ForzaPitch prediction gives AEK Athens FC a 33% win probability, against 39% for a draw and 26% for Shakhtar Donetsk. Expected goals are 0.4 for Shakhtar Donetsk and 0.6 for AEK Athens FC (total 1.0), with a 71% probability of Over 1.5 goals. The most likely scoreline is 0–0 at 18.7% probability.
Season Stats
0W
1D
0L
2W
1D
0L
Averages per game
1.0
Goals
1.7
1.0
Conceded
0.0
2.0
Shots OT
4.0
3.0
Corners
5.0
46%
Poss.
48%
Percentages
100%
O 1.5
33%
0%
O 2.5
33%
100%
BTTS
0%
0%
Clean Sht
100%
ℹ
Based on the last 3 matches in Champions League. Bars use fixed scales (goals max 3.5, percentages 0–100%).
Score Matrix
↕ Shakhtar Donetsk
AEK Athens FC →
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 35.3% | 22.4% | 7.1% | 1.5% | 0.2% | — |
| 1 | 14.3% | 9.1% | 2.9% | 0.6% | 0.1% | — |
| 2 | 2.9% | 1.8% | 0.6% | 0.1% | — | — |
| 3 | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.1% | — | — | — |
| 4 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 5 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Recent form
Playing profile
Shakhtar Donetsk
Attack
34
Defence
86
Form
55
AEK Athens FC
Attack
66
Defence
90
Form
87
Indices on a 0–100 scale calculated by the model
League Table
| # | Team | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Paris Saint Germain
|
1 | 3 |
| 2 |
Bayern München
|
1 | 3 |
| 3 |
Barcelona
|
1 | 3 |
| 4 |
Manchester United
|
1 | 3 |
| 5 |
Como
|
1 | 3 |
| 6 |
VfB Stuttgart
|
1 | 3 |
| 7 |
Sporting CP
|
1 | 3 |
| 8 |
Manchester City
|
1 | 3 |
| 9 |
Aston Villa
|
1 | 3 |
| 10 |
Lens
|
1 | 3 |
| 11 |
Real Betis
|
1 | 3 |
| 12 |
Borussia Dortmund
|
1 | 3 |
| 13 |
Liverpool
|
1 | 3 |
| 14 |
Real Madrid
|
1 | 3 |
| 15 |
Arsenal
|
1 | 3 |
| 16 |
AEK Athens FC
|
1 | 3 |
| 17 |
AS Roma
|
1 | 1 |
| 18 |
Shakhtar Donetsk
|
1 | 1 |
| 19 |
PSV Eindhoven
|
1 | 1 |
| 20 |
Fenerbahçe
|
1 | 1 |
| 21 |
Villarreal
|
1 | 0 |
| 22 |
Lille
|
1 | 0 |
| 23 |
Slavia Praha
|
1 | 0 |
| 24 |
Club Brugge KV
|
1 | 0 |
| 25 |
Inter
|
1 | 0 |
| 26 |
Atletico Madrid
|
1 | 0 |
| 27 |
Napoli
|
1 | 0 |
| 28 |
Lask Linz
|
1 | 0 |
| 29 |
Viking
|
1 | 0 |
| 30 |
Galatasaray
|
1 | 0 |
| 31 |
FC Porto
|
1 | 0 |
| 32 |
RB Leipzig
|
1 | 0 |
| 33 |
Feyenoord
|
1 | 0 |
| 34 |
Sabah FA
|
1 | 0 |
| 35 |
Slovan Bratislava
|
1 | 0 |
| 36 |
Bodo/Glimt
|
1 | 0 |
Frequently Asked Questions
Who will win Shakhtar Donetsk vs AEK Athens FC?
The model gives Shakhtar Donetsk a 26% win probability, 39% for a draw, and 33% for an AEK Athens FC win.
How many goals are expected in Shakhtar Donetsk vs AEK Athens FC?
Expected goals: Shakhtar Donetsk 0.4, AEK Athens FC 0.6 (total 1.0). Probability of over 1.5 goals: 71%.
What is the most likely score in Shakhtar Donetsk vs AEK Athens FC?
0–0 is the most probable final score, with an estimated probability of 18.7%.