Conference League
· Quarter-finals
April 09, 2026 21:00
Pedrinho
72'
Alisson
81'
Alisson
(ast. Eguinaldo)
83'
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Shakhtar Donetsk a 37% win probability (draw 29%, AZ Alkmaar 33%). The final result was Shakhtar Donetsk 3–0 AZ Alkmaar. In 1 previous meetings, Shakhtar Donetsk have won 0 times, with 1 draws and 0 wins for AZ Alkmaar.
Match statistics
8
Total shots
6
6
Shots on target
3
0.78
Actual xG
0.49
3
Saves
3
51%
Possession
49%
4
Corners
7
17
Tackles
16
1
🟨 Yellow cards
2
Match Events
Isaque Silva
/ A. Bondarenko
24'
46'
E. Dijkstra
/
S. Maikuma
48'
Penetra
55'
R. Daal
/
I. Sadiq
P. Henrique
59'
64'
M. de Wit
⚽Pedrinho
72'
73'
A. Oufkir
/
Weslley Patati
Kaua Elias
/ L. Traore
74'
Newerton
/ Eguinaldo
74'
74'
M. Meerdink
/
T. Parrott
⚽Alisson
81'
⚽Alisson
· ast. Eguinaldo
83'
Pedrinho
/ Y. Nazaryna
89'
Alisson
/ Y. Konoplya
89'
Pre-match prediction
37.11%
Shakhtar ←
29.07%
X
33.82%
AZ
we assigned to the actual result (Shakhtar Donetsk)
37.11%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
1.23
0.78
-0.45
1.66
0.49
-1.17
xG dominance was balanced (0.78 – 0.49).
The final result does not reflect the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Lineups
31
G
13
Pedro Henrique
D
22
Mykola Matvienko
D
Mykola Matvienko
D
5
V. Bondar
D
V. Bondar
D
17
Vinícius Tobias
D
Vinícius Tobias
D
27
Oleg Ocheretko
M
Oleg Ocheretko
M
11
Newerton Palmares
74'
M
14
Isaque
24'
M
Isaque
24'
M
10
Pedrinho
1 ⚽
89'
M
30
Alisson
2 ⚽
89'
M
19
Kauã Elias
74'
F
Kauã Elias
74'
F
Bench
21
Artem Bondarenko
66'
M
Artem Bondarenko
66'
M
7
Eguinaldo
1 👟
16'
M
Eguinaldo
1 👟
16'
M
16
Irakli Azarovi
D
2
Lassina Traoré
16'
F
49
Luca Meirelles
F
Luca Meirelles
F
37
Lucas Ferreira
M
4
Marlon
D
68
P. Obah
M
P. Obah
M
29
Yehor Nazaryna
1'
M
Yehor Nazaryna
1'
M
26
Y. Konoplya
1'
D
41
G
23
Billy van Duijl
D
Billy van Duijl
D
5
Alexandre Penetra
D
Alexandre Penetra
D
3
D
34
M. de Wit
M
M. de Wit
M
10
S. Mijnans
M
S. Mijnans
M
26
K. Smit
M
K. Smit
M
2
Seiya Maikuma
45'
M
Seiya Maikuma
45'
M
11
I. Sadiq
55'
F
I. Sadiq
55'
F
9
T. Parrott
74'
F
T. Parrott
74'
F
7
Weslley Patati
73'
F
Weslley Patati
73'
F
Bench
24
Ayoub Oufkir
17'
F
Ayoub Oufkir
17'
F
45
Bendegúz Kovács
F
Bendegúz Kovács
F
22
Elijah Dijkstra
45'
D
Elijah Dijkstra
45'
D
74
K. Boogaard
M
K. Boogaard
M
33
Matěj Šín
M
Matěj Šín
M
15
Mateo Chávez
D
Mateo Chávez
D
35
Mexx Meerdink
16'
F
Mexx Meerdink
16'
F
27
R. Daal
35'
F
R. Daal
35'
F
18
Rion Ichihara
D
Rion Ichihara
D
Best on the pitch
Alisson
M · Shakhtar
9.00
2 ⚽
3 shots
· 29 pass
Pedrinho
M · Shakhtar
8.30
1 ⚽
2 shots
· 42 pass
Mykola Matvienko
D · Shakhtar
7.90
· 69 pass
V. Bondar
D · Shakhtar
7.90
· 69 pass
R. Daal
F · AZ
7.30
1 shots
· 18 pass
Eguinaldo
M · Shakhtar
7.30
1 👟
· 5 pass
Shakhtar Donetsk — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | 90 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 27 | 21% | — | — | — | |
| Pedro Henrique | D | 90 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 53 | 48% | 1 | 1 | — |
| Mykola Matvienko | D | 90 | 7.90 | — | — | — | 69 | 62% | — | — | — |
| V. Bondar | D | 90 | 7.90 | — | — | — | 69 | 66% | — | — | — |
| Vinícius Tobias | D | 90 | 7.20 | — | — | 1 | 43 | 41% | 1 | — | — |
| Oleg Ocheretko | M | 90 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 42 | 37% | 2 | — | — |
| Newerton Palmares | M | 74 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 22 | 19% | 2 | — | — |
| Isaque | M | 24 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 3 | 3% | 1 | — | — |
| Pedrinho | M | 89 | 8.30 | 1 | — | 2 | 42 | 36% | 3 | — | — |
| Alisson | M | 89 | 9.00 | 2 | — | 3 | 29 | 25% | 2 | — | — |
| Kauã Elias | F | 74 | 6.50 | — | — | 1 | 12 | 10% | 2 | — | — |
| Artem Bondarenko | M | 66 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 23 | 19% | 1 | — | — |
| Eguinaldo | M | 16 | 7.30 | — | 1 | — | 5 | 3% | 2 | — | — |
| Lassina Traoré | F | 16 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 1 | 1% | — | — | — |
| Yehor Nazaryna | M | 1 | — | — | — | — | 5 | 4% | — | — | — |
| Y. Konoplya | D | 1 | — | — | — | — | 2 | 2% | — | — | — |
AZ Alkmaar — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | 90 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 14 | 12% | — | — | — | |
| Billy van Duijl | D | 90 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 66 | 58% | 3 | — | — |
| Alexandre Penetra | D | 90 | 5.90 | — | — | — | 65 | 59% | 1 | 1 | — |
| D | 90 | 6.00 | — | — | — | 66 | 56% | 1 | — | — | |
| M. de Wit | M | 90 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 35 | 28% | 1 | 1 | — |
| S. Mijnans | M | 90 | 6.20 | — | — | 1 | 23 | 20% | 1 | — | — |
| K. Smit | M | 90 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 56 | 48% | 2 | — | — |
| Seiya Maikuma | M | 45 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 11 | 11% | 1 | — | — |
| I. Sadiq | F | 55 | 6.60 | — | — | 2 | 24 | 16% | 1 | — | — |
| T. Parrott | F | 74 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 10 | 8% | — | — | — |
| Weslley Patati | F | 73 | 6.50 | — | — | 1 | 19 | 17% | 2 | — | — |
| Ayoub Oufkir | F | 17 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 6 | 4% | — | — | — |
| Elijah Dijkstra | D | 45 | 5.60 | — | — | — | 9 | 7% | 2 | — | — |
| Mexx Meerdink | F | 16 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 6 | 4% | 1 | — | — |
| R. Daal | F | 35 | 7.30 | — | — | 1 | 18 | 15% | — | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Shakhtar Donetsk vs AZ Alkmaar?
The final score was Shakhtar Donetsk 3–0 AZ Alkmaar.
What did the model predict before Shakhtar Donetsk vs AZ Alkmaar?
The model assigned 37% probability to a Shakhtar Donetsk win, 29% to a draw, and 33% to an AZ Alkmaar win.