Conference League
· Quarter-finals
April 09, 2026 21:00
Pedrinho
72'
Alisson
81'
Alisson
(ast. Eguinaldo)
83'
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Shakhtar Donetsk a 37% win probability (draw 29%, AZ Alkmaar 33%). The final result was Shakhtar Donetsk 3–0 AZ Alkmaar. In 1 previous meetings, Shakhtar Donetsk have won 0 times, with 1 draws and 0 wins for AZ Alkmaar.
Match statistics
8
Total shots
6
6
Shots on target
3
0.78
Actual xG
0.49
3
Saves
3
51%
Possession
49%
4
Corners
7
17
Tackles
16
1
🟨 Yellow cards
2
Match Events
Isaque Silva
/ A. Bondarenko
24'
46'
E. Dijkstra
/
S. Maikuma
48'
Penetra
55'
R. Daal
/
I. Sadiq
P. Henrique
59'
64'
M. de Wit
⚽Pedrinho
72'
73'
A. Oufkir
/
Weslley Patati
Kaua Elias
/ L. Traore
74'
Newerton
/ Eguinaldo
74'
74'
M. Meerdink
/
T. Parrott
⚽Alisson
81'
⚽Alisson
· ast. Eguinaldo
83'
Pedrinho
/ Y. Nazaryna
89'
Alisson
/ Y. Konoplya
89'
Pre-match prediction
37.11%
Shakhtar ←
29.07%
X
33.82%
AZ
we assigned to the actual result (Shakhtar Donetsk)
37.11%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
1.23
0.78
-0.45
1.66
0.49
-1.17
xG dominance was balanced (0.78 – 0.49).
The final result does not reflect the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Lineups
31
G
13
Pedro Henrique
D
22
M. Matvienko
D
M. Matvienko
D
5
V. Bondar
D
V. Bondar
D
17
Vinícius Tobias
D
27
O. Ocheretko
M
O. Ocheretko
M
11
Newerton Palmares
74'
M
14
Isaque
24'
M
10
Pedrinho
1 ⚽
89'
M
30
Alisson Santana
2 ⚽
89'
M
19
Kauã Elias
74'
F
Bench
21
A. Bondarenko
66'
M
A. Bondarenko
66'
M
7
Eguinaldo
1 👟
16'
M
Eguinaldo
1 👟
16'
M
29
E. Nazaryna
1'
M
E. Nazaryna
1'
M
16
I. Azarovi
D
I. Azarovi
D
2
L. Traoré
16'
F
L. Traoré
16'
F
49
Luca Meirelles
F
37
Lucas Ferreira
M
4
Marlon
D
68
Prosper Obah
M
26
Y. Konoplya
1'
D
41
G
23
B. van Duijl
D
B. van Duijl
D
5
Alexandre Penetra
D
Alexandre Penetra
D
3
D
34
M. de Wit
M
M. de Wit
M
10
S. Mijnans
M
S. Mijnans
M
26
K. Smit
M
K. Smit
M
2
S. Maikuma
45'
M
S. Maikuma
45'
M
11
I. Sadiq
55'
F
9
T. Parrott
74'
F
T. Parrott
74'
F
7
Weslley Patati
73'
F
Weslley Patati
73'
F
Bench
24
A. Oufkir
17'
F
A. Oufkir
17'
F
45
B. Kovacs
F
B. Kovacs
F
22
E. Dijkstra
45'
D
E. Dijkstra
45'
D
74
K. Boogaard
M
K. Boogaard
M
15
M. Chávez
D
M. Chávez
D
35
M. Meerdink
16'
F
M. Meerdink
16'
F
33
M. Šín
M
M. Šín
M
27
R. Daal
35'
F
R. Daal
35'
F
18
Rion Ichihara
D
Rion Ichihara
D
Best on the pitch
Alisson Santana
M · Shakhtar
9.00
2 ⚽
3 shots
· 29 pass
Pedrinho
M · Shakhtar
8.30
1 ⚽
2 shots
· 42 pass
M. Matvienko
D · Shakhtar
7.90
· 69 pass
V. Bondar
D · Shakhtar
7.90
· 69 pass
R. Daal
F · AZ
7.30
1 shots
· 18 pass
Eguinaldo
M · Shakhtar
7.30
1 👟
· 5 pass
Shakhtar Donetsk — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | 90 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 27 | 21% | — | — | — | |
| Pedro Henrique | D | 90 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 53 | 48% | 1 | 1 | — |
| M. Matvienko | D | 90 | 7.90 | — | — | — | 69 | 62% | — | — | — |
| V. Bondar | D | 90 | 7.90 | — | — | — | 69 | 66% | — | — | — |
| Vinícius Tobias | D | 90 | 7.20 | — | — | 1 | 43 | 41% | 1 | — | — |
| O. Ocheretko | M | 90 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 42 | 37% | 2 | — | — |
| Newerton Palmares | M | 74 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 22 | 19% | 2 | — | — |
| Isaque | M | 24 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 3 | 3% | 1 | — | — |
| Pedrinho | M | 89 | 8.30 | 1 | — | 2 | 42 | 36% | 3 | — | — |
| Alisson Santana | M | 89 | 9.00 | 2 | — | 3 | 29 | 25% | 2 | — | — |
| Kauã Elias | F | 74 | 6.50 | — | — | 1 | 12 | 10% | 2 | — | — |
| A. Bondarenko | M | 66 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 23 | 19% | 1 | — | — |
| Eguinaldo | M | 16 | 7.30 | — | 1 | — | 5 | 3% | 2 | — | — |
| E. Nazaryna | M | 1 | — | — | — | — | 5 | 4% | — | — | — |
| L. Traoré | F | 16 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 1 | 1% | — | — | — |
| Y. Konoplya | D | 1 | — | — | — | — | 2 | 2% | — | — | — |
AZ Alkmaar — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | 90 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 14 | 12% | — | — | — | |
| B. van Duijl | D | 90 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 66 | 58% | 3 | — | — |
| Alexandre Penetra | D | 90 | 5.90 | — | — | — | 65 | 59% | 1 | 1 | — |
| D | 90 | 6.00 | — | — | — | 66 | 56% | 1 | — | — | |
| M. de Wit | M | 90 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 35 | 28% | 1 | 1 | — |
| S. Mijnans | M | 90 | 6.20 | — | — | 1 | 23 | 20% | 1 | — | — |
| K. Smit | M | 90 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 56 | 48% | 2 | — | — |
| S. Maikuma | M | 45 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 11 | 11% | 1 | — | — |
| I. Sadiq | F | 55 | 6.60 | — | — | 2 | 24 | 16% | 1 | — | — |
| T. Parrott | F | 74 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 10 | 8% | — | — | — |
| Weslley Patati | F | 73 | 6.50 | — | — | 1 | 19 | 17% | 2 | — | — |
| A. Oufkir | F | 17 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 6 | 4% | — | — | — |
| E. Dijkstra | D | 45 | 5.60 | — | — | — | 9 | 7% | 2 | — | — |
| M. Meerdink | F | 16 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 6 | 4% | 1 | — | — |
| R. Daal | F | 35 | 7.30 | — | — | 1 | 18 | 15% | — | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Shakhtar Donetsk vs AZ Alkmaar?
The final score was Shakhtar Donetsk 3–0 AZ Alkmaar.
What did the model predict before Shakhtar Donetsk vs AZ Alkmaar?
The model assigned 37% probability to a Shakhtar Donetsk win, 29% to a draw, and 33% to an AZ Alkmaar win.