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Conference League · Quarter-finals April 09, 2026 21:00
Shakhtar Donetsk
#6 · 13 pts
3 – 0
Final score
AZ Alkmaar
#14 · 10 pts
Pedrinho 72'
Alisson 81'
Alisson (ast. Eguinaldo) 83'

The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Shakhtar Donetsk a 37% win probability (draw 29%, AZ Alkmaar 33%). The final result was Shakhtar Donetsk 3–0 AZ Alkmaar. In 1 previous meetings, Shakhtar Donetsk have won 0 times, with 1 draws and 0 wins for AZ Alkmaar.

Match statistics
8
Total shots
6
6
Shots on target
3
0.78
Actual xG
0.49
3
Saves
3
51%
Possession
49%
4
Corners
7
17
Tackles
16
1
🟨 Yellow cards
2
Match Events
↕ Isaque Silva / A. Bondarenko
24'
46'
E. Dijkstra / S. Maikuma ↕
48'
Penetra
55'
R. Daal / I. Sadiq ↕
P. Henrique
59'
64'
M. de Wit
⚽Pedrinho
72'
73'
A. Oufkir / Weslley Patati ↕
↕ Kaua Elias / L. Traore
74'
↕ Newerton / Eguinaldo
74'
74'
M. Meerdink / T. Parrott ↕
⚽Alisson
81'
⚽Alisson · ast. Eguinaldo
83'
↕ Pedrinho / Y. Nazaryna
89'
↕ Alisson / Y. Konoplya
89'
Pre-match prediction
37.11%
Shakhtar ←
29.07%
X
33.82%
AZ
we assigned to the actual result (Shakhtar Donetsk) 37.11% (low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
Shakhtar
1.23
0.78
-0.45
AZ
1.66
0.49
-1.17
xG dominance was balanced (0.78 – 0.49). The final result does not reflect the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
League Table
#Team GPts
1 Strasbourg Strasbourg 6 16
2 Raków Częstochowa Raków Częstochowa 6 14
3 AEK Athens FC AEK Athens FC 6 13
4 Sparta Praha Sparta Praha 6 13
5 Rayo Vallecano Rayo Vallecano 6 13
6 Shakhtar Donetsk Shakhtar Donetsk 6 13
7 FSV Mainz 05 FSV Mainz 05 6 13
8 AEK Larnaca AEK Larnaca 6 12
9 Lausanne Lausanne 6 11
10 Crystal Palace Crystal Palace 6 10
11 Lech Poznan Lech Poznan 6 10
12 Samsunspor Samsunspor 6 10
13 Celje Celje 6 10
14 AZ Alkmaar AZ Alkmaar 6 10
15 Fiorentina Fiorentina 6 9
16 HNK Rijeka HNK Rijeka 6 9
17 Jagiellonia Jagiellonia 6 9
18 Omonia Nicosia Omonia Nicosia 6 8
19 FC Noah FC Noah 6 8
20 Drita Drita 6 8
21 KuPS KuPS 6 7
22 Shkendija Shkendija 6 7
23 Zrinjski Zrinjski 6 7
24 Sigma Olomouc Sigma Olomouc 6 7
25 Universitatea Craiova Universitatea Craiova 6 7
26 Lincoln Red Imps FC Lincoln Red Imps FC 6 7
27 Dynamo Kyiv Dynamo Kyiv 6 6
28 Legia Warszawa Legia Warszawa 6 6
29 Slovan Bratislava Slovan Bratislava 6 6
30 Breidablik Breidablik 6 5
31 Shamrock Rovers Shamrock Rovers 6 4
32 BK Hacken BK Hacken 6 3
33 Hamrun Spartans Hamrun Spartans 6 3
34 Shelbourne Shelbourne 6 2
35 Aberdeen Aberdeen 6 2
36 Rapid Vienna Rapid Vienna 6 1
Lineups
Shakhtar Donetsk Shakhtar Donetsk 4-1-4-1
31
G 7.30
13
Pedro Henrique D 7.00
22
Mykola Matvienko D 7.90
5
Valerii Bondar D 7.90
17 Vinícius Tobias Vinícius Tobias D 7.20
27
Oleg Ocheretko M 6.90
11
Newerton Palmares 74' M 6.90
14
Isaque 24' M 6.60
10
Pedrinho 1 ⚽ 89' M 8.30
30
Alisson 2 ⚽ 89' M 9.00
19
Kauã Elias 74' F 6.50
Bench
21
Artem Bondarenko 66' M 6.70
7
Eguinaldo 1 👟 16' M 7.30
16
Irakli Azarovi D
2
Lassina Traoré 16' F 6.70
49
Luca Meirelles F
37
Lucas Ferreira M
4
Marlon D
68
Prosper Obah M
29
Yehor Nazaryna 1' M
26
Y. Konoplya 1' D
AZ Alkmaar AZ Alkmaar 3-4-3
41
G 6.20
23 Billy van Duijl Billy van Duijl D 6.50
5 Alexandre Penetra Alexandre Penetra D 5.90
3
D 6.00
34 M. de Wit M. de Wit M 6.30
10 S. Mijnans S. Mijnans M 6.20
26 K. Smit K. Smit M 6.30
2 Seiya Maikuma Seiya Maikuma 45' M 6.90
11 I. Sadiq I. Sadiq 55' F 6.60
9 T. Parrott T. Parrott 74' F 6.50
7 Weslley Patati Weslley Patati 73' F 6.50
Bench
24
A. Oufkir 17' F 6.30
45 Bendegúz Kovács Bendegúz Kovács F
22 Elijah Dijkstra Elijah Dijkstra 45' D 5.60
74 Kasper Boogaard Kasper Boogaard M
33 Matěj Šín Matěj Šín M
15 Mateo Chávez Mateo Chávez D
35 Mexx Meerdink Mexx Meerdink 16' F 6.30
27 R. Daal R. Daal 35' F 7.30
18 Rion Ichihara Rion Ichihara D
Best on the pitch
Alisson
M · Shakhtar
9.00
2 ⚽
3 shots · 29 pass
Pedrinho
M · Shakhtar
8.30
1 ⚽
2 shots · 42 pass
Mykola Matvienko
D · Shakhtar
7.90
· 69 pass
Valerii Bondar
D · Shakhtar
7.90
· 69 pass
R. Daal
R. Daal
F · AZ
7.30
1 shots · 18 pass
Eguinaldo
M · Shakhtar
7.30
1 👟
· 5 pass
Shakhtar Donetsk Shakhtar Donetsk — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
G 90 7.30 — — — 27 21% — — —
Pedro Henrique D 90 7.00 — — — 53 48% 1 1 —
Mykola Matvienko D 90 7.90 — — — 69 62% — — —
Valerii Bondar D 90 7.90 — — — 69 66% — — —
Vinícius Tobias D 90 7.20 — — 1 43 41% 1 — —
Oleg Ocheretko M 90 6.90 — — 1 42 37% 2 — —
Newerton Palmares M 74 6.90 — — — 22 19% 2 — —
Isaque M 24 6.60 — — — 3 3% 1 — —
Pedrinho M 89 8.30 1 — 2 42 36% 3 — —
Alisson M 89 9.00 2 — 3 29 25% 2 — —
Kauã Elias F 74 6.50 — — 1 12 10% 2 — —
Artem Bondarenko M 66 6.70 — — — 23 19% 1 — —
Eguinaldo M 16 7.30 — 1 — 5 3% 2 — —
Lassina Traoré F 16 6.70 — — — 1 1% — — —
Yehor Nazaryna M 1 — — — — 5 4% — — —
Y. Konoplya D 1 — — — — 2 2% — — —
AZ Alkmaar AZ Alkmaar — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
G 90 6.20 — — — 14 12% — — —
Billy van Duijl D 90 6.50 — — — 66 58% 3 — —
Alexandre Penetra D 90 5.90 — — — 65 59% 1 1 —
D 90 6.00 — — — 66 56% 1 — —
M. de Wit M 90 6.30 — — — 35 28% 1 1 —
S. Mijnans M 90 6.20 — — 1 23 20% 1 — —
K. Smit M 90 6.30 — — — 56 48% 2 — —
Seiya Maikuma M 45 6.90 — — 1 11 11% 1 — —
I. Sadiq F 55 6.60 — — 2 24 16% 1 — —
T. Parrott F 74 6.50 — — — 10 8% — — —
Weslley Patati F 73 6.50 — — 1 19 17% 2 — —
A. Oufkir F 17 6.30 — — — 6 4% — — —
Elijah Dijkstra D 45 5.60 — — — 9 7% 2 — —
Mexx Meerdink F 16 6.30 — — — 6 4% 1 — —
R. Daal F 35 7.30 — — 1 18 15% — — —
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Shakhtar Donetsk vs AZ Alkmaar?
The final score was Shakhtar Donetsk 3–0 AZ Alkmaar.
What did the model predict before Shakhtar Donetsk vs AZ Alkmaar?
The model assigned 37% probability to a Shakhtar Donetsk win, 29% to a draw, and 33% to an AZ Alkmaar win.