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Shakhtar Donetsk - Fenerbahçe

Champions League November 25, 2026 21:00
#18 · 1 pts
vs
#20 · 1 pts
⚡ Pre-match analysis
28.37%
Win
Shakhtar Donetsk
38.41%
Draw
33.22%
Win
Fenerbahçe
0.49
Expected xG
0.66

Market probabilities

Most likely result 0–0 (17.16%)
1X2 Result
1 28%
X 38%
2 33%
Double Chance
1X 67%
X2 72%
12 62%
Over / Under
Over 1.5 73%
Over 2.5 52%
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The ForzaPitch prediction gives Fenerbahçe a 33% win probability, against 38% for a draw and 28% for Shakhtar Donetsk. Expected goals are 0.5 for Shakhtar Donetsk and 0.7 for Fenerbahçe (total 1.1), with a 72% probability of Over 1.5 goals. The most likely scoreline is 0–0 at 17.16% probability.

Season Stats

Shakhtar Donetsk
0W 1D 0L
Fenerbahçe
5W 4D 2L
Averages per game
1.0
Goals
1.4
1.0
Conceded
0.8
2.0
Shots OT
5.2
3.0
Corners
4.7
46%
Poss.
54%
Percentages
100%
O 1.5
64%
0%
O 2.5
27%
100%
BTTS
55%
0%
Clean Sht
36%
ℹ Based on the last 11 matches in Champions League. Bars use fixed scales (goals max 3.5, percentages 0–100%).

Score Matrix

↕ Shakhtar Donetsk Fenerbahçe →
0 1 2 3 4 5
0 31.7% 20.9% 6.9% 1.5% 0.2% —
1 15.5% 10.2% 3.4% 0.7% 0.1% —
2 3.8% 2.5% 0.8% 0.2% — —
3 0.6% 0.4% 0.1% — — —
4 0.1% — — — — —
5 — — — — — —

Recent form

D PSV Eindhoven 1–1
Home clean sheet (120 days) 36%
D AS Roma 1–1
W Lyon 1–2
D Lyon 1–1
W Sturm Graz 0–1
W Sturm Graz 2–0
Away clean sheet (120 days) 39%

Playing profile

Shakhtar Donetsk Shakhtar Donetsk
Attack
46
Defence
85
Form
62
Fenerbahçe Fenerbahçe
Attack
53
Defence
68
Form
53
Indices on a 0–100 scale calculated by the model

League Table

# Team G Pts
1 Paris Saint Germain Paris Saint Germain 1 3
2 Bayern München Bayern München 1 3
3 Barcelona Barcelona 1 3
4 Manchester United Manchester United 1 3
5 Como Como 1 3
6 VfB Stuttgart VfB Stuttgart 1 3
7 Sporting CP Sporting CP 1 3
8 Manchester City Manchester City 1 3
9 Aston Villa Aston Villa 1 3
10 Lens Lens 1 3
11 Real Betis Real Betis 1 3
12 Borussia Dortmund Borussia Dortmund 1 3
13 Liverpool Liverpool 1 3
14 Real Madrid Real Madrid 1 3
15 Arsenal Arsenal 1 3
16 AEK Athens FC AEK Athens FC 1 3
17 AS Roma AS Roma 1 1
18 Shakhtar Donetsk Shakhtar Donetsk 1 1
19 PSV Eindhoven PSV Eindhoven 1 1
20 Fenerbahçe Fenerbahçe 1 1
21 Villarreal Villarreal 1 0
22 Lille Lille 1 0
23 Slavia Praha Slavia Praha 1 0
24 Club Brugge KV Club Brugge KV 1 0
25 Inter Inter 1 0
26 Atletico Madrid Atletico Madrid 1 0
27 Napoli Napoli 1 0
28 Lask Linz Lask Linz 1 0
29 Viking Viking 1 0
30 Galatasaray Galatasaray 1 0
31 FC Porto FC Porto 1 0
32 RB Leipzig RB Leipzig 1 0
33 Feyenoord Feyenoord 1 0
34 Sabah FA Sabah FA 1 0
35 Slovan Bratislava Slovan Bratislava 1 0
36 Bodo/Glimt Bodo/Glimt 1 0
Frequently Asked Questions
Who will win Shakhtar Donetsk vs Fenerbahçe?
The model gives Shakhtar Donetsk a 28% win probability, 38% for a draw, and 33% for an Fenerbahçe win.
How many goals are expected in Shakhtar Donetsk vs Fenerbahçe?
Expected goals: Shakhtar Donetsk 0.5, Fenerbahçe 0.7 (total 1.1). Probability of over 1.5 goals: 72%.
What is the most likely score in Shakhtar Donetsk vs Fenerbahçe?
0–0 is the most probable final score, with an estimated probability of 17.16%.