✓Model correct — prediction Shakhtar Donetsk
Luca Meirelles
(ast. Pedrinho)
9'
A. Ghram
(ast. Newerton)
14'
M. Shved
(ast. Isaque Silva)
90'
44'
(ast. D. Semenov)
M. Chekh
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Shakhtar Donetsk a 86% win probability (draw 8%, Obolon'-Brovar 4%). The final result was Shakhtar Donetsk 3–1 Obolon'-Brovar. In 1 previous meetings, Shakhtar Donetsk have won 1 times, with 0 draws and 0 wins for Obolon'-Brovar.
Match statistics
3
Shots on target
4
0.59
Actual xG
0.78
66%
Possession
34%
3
Corners
3
Match Events
⚽Luca Meirelles
· ast. Pedrinho
9'
⚽A. Ghram
· ast. Newerton
14'
23'
M. Chekh
44'
ast. D. Semenov ·
M. Chekh⚽
49'
T. Lyakh
63'
D. Teslyuk
/
T. Lyakh
Marlon
/ Isaque Silva
69'
P. Obah
/ Kaua Elias
69'
Pedrinho
/ M. Shved
80'
Luca Meirelles
/ V. Tsukanov
80'
80'
K. Bychek
/
I. Medynskyi
80'
R. Lyashchuk
/
M. Tretyakov
A. Ghram
/ V. Bondar
83'
Newerton
86'
I. Azarovi
87'
90'+1
R. Chernenko
/
R. Volokhatyi
⚽M. Shved
· ast. Isaque Silva
90'
Pre-match prediction
86.74%
Shakhtar ←
8.59%
X
4.67%
Obolon'-Brovar
✓ Correct prediction —
we assigned to the actual result (Shakhtar Donetsk)
86.74%
(high confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
3.94
0.59
-3.35
0.73
0.78
+0.05
xG dominance was balanced (0.59 – 0.78).
The final result does not reflect the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Lineups
34
Rostyslav Bahlai
G
16
Irakli Azarovi
D
22
Mykola Matvienko
D
Mykola Matvienko
D
29
Yehor Nazaryna
M
Yehor Nazaryna
M
18
Alaa Ghram
1 ⚽
D
27
Oleg Ocheretko
M
Oleg Ocheretko
M
11
Newerton Palmares
1 👟
M
6
Marlon Gomes
M
10
Pedrinho
1 👟
M
68
P. Obah
F
P. Obah
F
49
Luca Meirelles
1 ⚽
F
Luca Meirelles
1 ⚽
F
Bench
21
Artem Bondarenko
M
Artem Bondarenko
M
8
Dmytro Kryskiv
M
7
Eguinaldo
F
Eguinaldo
F
14
Isaque
1 👟
M
Isaque
1 👟
M
19
Kauã Elias
F
Kauã Elias
F
23
Kiril Fesyun
G
2
Lassina Traoré
F
37
Lucas Ferreira
M
9
Maryan Shved
1 ⚽
M
13
Pedro Henrique
D
5
V. Bondar
D
V. Bondar
D
24
Viktor Tsukanov
M
31
Denys Marchenko
G
28
Pavlo Polegenko
D
50
D. Semenov
1 👟
D
D. Semenov
1 👟
D
4
T. Moroz
M
T. Moroz
M
44
Oleksandr Zhovtenko
D
13
Igor Medynskyi
M
75
Maksym Tretyakov
M
6
M. Chekh
1 ⚽
M
M. Chekh
1 ⚽
M
20
Roman Volokhatyi
M
55
S. Sukhanov
F
S. Sukhanov
F
90
Taras Liakh
F
Bench
8
Artem Kulakovskyi
M
99
Denys Teslyuk
F
21
Kostiantyn Bychek
F
1
Nazary Fedorivsky
G
22
Oleksandr Feshchenko
D
91
Rostyslav Liashchuk
D
17
Ruslan Chernenko
M
Shakhtar Donetsk — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rostyslav Bahlai | G | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Irakli Azarovi | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Mykola Matvienko | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Yehor Nazaryna | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Alaa Ghram | D | — | — | 1 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Oleg Ocheretko | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Newerton Palmares | M | — | — | — | 1 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Marlon Gomes | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Pedrinho | M | — | — | — | 1 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| P. Obah | F | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Luca Meirelles | F | — | — | 1 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Obolon'-Brovar — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Denys Marchenko | G | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Pavlo Polegenko | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| D. Semenov | D | — | — | — | 1 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| T. Moroz | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Oleksandr Zhovtenko | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Igor Medynskyi | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Maksym Tretyakov | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| M. Chekh | M | — | — | 1 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Roman Volokhatyi | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| S. Sukhanov | F | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Taras Liakh | F | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Shakhtar Donetsk vs Obolon'-Brovar?
The final score was Shakhtar Donetsk 3–1 Obolon'-Brovar.
What did the model predict before Shakhtar Donetsk vs Obolon'-Brovar?
The model assigned 86% probability to a Shakhtar Donetsk win, 8% to a draw, and 4% to an Obolon'-Brovar win.