Shakhtar Donetsk 3–1 Obolon'-Brovar — pre-match prediction — Premier League — May 13, 2026

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Premier League · Regular Season - 28 May 13, 2026 17:00 Arena Lviv, Lviv

Shakhtar Donetsk

#2 · 25 pts

3 – 1

Final score

Obolon'-Brovar

#13 · 7 pts

✓Model correct — prediction Shakhtar Donetsk

Luca Meirelles (ast. Pedrinho) 9'

A. Ghram (ast. Newerton) 14'

M. Shved (ast. Isaque Silva) 90'

44' (ast. D. Semenov) M. Chekh

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The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Shakhtar Donetsk a 86% win probability (draw 8%, Obolon'-Brovar 4%). The final result was Shakhtar Donetsk 3–1 Obolon'-Brovar. In 1 previous meetings, Shakhtar Donetsk have won 1 times, with 0 draws and 0 wins for Obolon'-Brovar.

Match statistics

Shots on target

0.59

Actual xG

0.78

66%

Possession

34%

Corners

Match Events

⚽Luca Meirelles · ast. Pedrinho

⚽A. Ghram · ast. Newerton

14'

23'

M. Chekh

44'

ast. D. Semenov · M. Chekh⚽

49'

T. Lyakh

63'

D. Teslyuk / T. Lyakh ↕

↕ Marlon / Isaque Silva

69'

↕ P. Obah / Kaua Elias

69'

↕ Pedrinho / M. Shved

80'

↕ Luca Meirelles / V. Tsukanov

80'

K. Bychek / I. Medynskyi ↕

80'

R. Lyashchuk / M. Tretyakov ↕

↕ A. Ghram / V. Bondar

83'

Newerton

86'

I. Azarovi

87'

90'+1

R. Chernenko / R. Volokhatyi ↕

⚽M. Shved · ast. Isaque Silva

90'

Pre-match prediction

86.74%

Shakhtar ←

8.59%

4.67%

Obolon'-Brovar

✓ Correct prediction — we assigned to the actual result (Shakhtar Donetsk) 86.74% (high confidence)

Expected vs actual xG

Exp.

Actual

Shakhtar

3.94

0.59

-3.35

Obolon'-Brovar

0.73

0.78

+0.05

xG dominance was balanced (0.59 – 0.78). The final result does not reflect the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.

League Table

#	Team	G	Pts
1	Polessya	10	25
2	Shakhtar Donetsk	10	25
3	FC Kharkiv	9	21
4	Dynamo Kyiv	9	19
5	Karpaty	10	16
6	LNZ Cherkasy	10	15
7	Zorya Luhansk	10	15
8	Kolos Kovalivka	9	11
9	Epitsentr Dunayivtsi	10	9
10	Bukovyna	10	9
11	Veres Rivne	10	9
12	Livyi Bereh	9	8
13	Obolon'-Brovar	9	7
14	Chornomorets	9	6
15	Kryvbas KR	8	6
16	Kudrivka	10	5

Lineups

Shakhtar Donetsk 4-1-4-1

Rostyslav Bahlai G

I. Azarovi D

M. Matvienko D

E. Nazaryna M

A. Ghram 1 ⚽ D

O. Ocheretko M

Newertton 1 👟 M

Marlon Gomes M

Pedrinho 1 👟 M

P. Obah F

Luca Meirelles 1 ⚽ F

Bench

A. Bondarenko M

D. Kryskiv M

Eguinaldo F

Isaque 1 👟 M

Kauã Elias F

K. Fesyun G

L. Traoré F

Lucas Ferreira M

Maryan Shved 1 ⚽ M

Pedrinho 1 👟 D

V. Bondar D

V. Tsukanov M

Obolon'-Brovar 5-4-1

D. Marchenko G

P. Polehenko D

D. Semenov 1 👟 D

T. Moroz M

O. Zhovtenko D

I. Medynskyi M

Maksym Tretyakov M

M. Chekh 1 ⚽ M

R. Volokhatyi M

S. Sukhanov F

Taras Liakh F

Bench

A. Kulakovskyi M

D. Teslyuk F

K. Bychek F

N. Fedorivskyi G

Oleksandr Feshchenko D

Rostyslav Liashchuk D

Ruslan Chernenko M

Shakhtar Donetsk — Player statistics

Team	Pos	Min	Rating	⚽	👟	Shots	Pass	Acc%	Tck	YC	RC
Rostyslav Bahlai	G	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
I. Azarovi	D	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
M. Matvienko	D	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
E. Nazaryna	M	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
A. Ghram	D	—	—	1	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
O. Ocheretko	M	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Newertton	M	—	—	—	1	—	—	—	—	—	—
Marlon Gomes	M	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Pedrinho	M	—	—	—	1	—	—	—	—	—	—
P. Obah	F	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Luca Meirelles	F	—	—	1	—	—	—	—	—	—	—

Obolon'-Brovar — Player statistics

Team	Pos	Min	Rating	⚽	👟	Shots	Pass	Acc%	Tck	YC	RC
D. Marchenko	G	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
P. Polehenko	D	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
D. Semenov	D	—	—	—	1	—	—	—	—	—	—
T. Moroz	M	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
O. Zhovtenko	D	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
I. Medynskyi	M	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Maksym Tretyakov	M	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
M. Chekh	M	—	—	1	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
R. Volokhatyi	M	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
S. Sukhanov	F	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Taras Liakh	F	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—

Frequently Asked Questions

What was the final score of Shakhtar Donetsk vs Obolon'-Brovar?

The final score was Shakhtar Donetsk 3–1 Obolon'-Brovar.

What did the model predict before Shakhtar Donetsk vs Obolon'-Brovar?

The model assigned 86% probability to a Shakhtar Donetsk win, 8% to a draw, and 4% to an Obolon'-Brovar win.