Shakhtar Donetsk - Real Madrid
Champions League
January 27, 2027 21:00
⚡ Pre-match analysis
27.34%
Win
Shakhtar Donetsk
37.6%
Draw
35.07%
Win
Real Madrid
0.44
0.71
Expected xG
Market probabilities
Most likely result
0–1
(15.53%)
1X2 Result
1
27%
X
38%
2
35%
Double Chance
1X
65%
X2
73%
12
62%
Over / Under
Over 1.5
73%
Over 2.5
52%
The ForzaPitch prediction gives Real Madrid a 35% win probability, against 37% for a draw and 27% for Shakhtar Donetsk. Expected goals are 0.4 for Shakhtar Donetsk and 0.7 for Real Madrid (total 1.2), with a 72% probability of Over 1.5 goals. The most likely scoreline is 0–1 at 15.53% probability.
Season Stats
1W
1D
1L
10W
0D
5L
Averages per game
1.3
Goals
2.4
1.0
Conceded
1.6
3.3
Shots OT
6.5
4.0
Corners
5.7
52%
Poss.
52%
Percentages
67%
O 1.5
80%
33%
O 2.5
80%
67%
BTTS
73%
0%
Clean Sht
20%
ℹ
Based on the last 15 matches in Champions League. Bars use fixed scales (goals max 3.5, percentages 0–100%).
Venue Form
Goals signal (venue avg)
82%
O 3.5
82%
BTTS
1W
0D
0L
· at home
5W
0D
3L
· away
3.0
gls/g
2.6
1.0
Conceded
2.0
100%
Win %
63%
100%
Win or Draw
63%
100%
O 1.5
75%
100%
O 2.5
75%
100%
O 3.5
63%
100%
BTTS
63%
0%
Clean Sht
25%
0%
Failed to Score
13%
last 8
ℹ
Home team's record in home matches only · Away team's record in away matches only.
Score Matrix
↕ Shakhtar Donetsk
Real Madrid →
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 31.6% | 22.4% | 7.9% | 1.9% | 0.3% | — |
| 1 | 14.0% | 9.9% | 3.5% | 0.8% | 0.1% | — |
| 2 | 3.1% | 2.2% | 0.8% | 0.2% | — | — |
| 3 | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.1% | — | — | — |
| 4 | 0.1% | — | — | — | — | — |
| 5 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Recent form
Playing profile
Shakhtar Donetsk
Attack
50
Defence
84
Form
65
Real Madrid
Attack
65
Defence
55
Form
77
Indices on a 0–100 scale calculated by the model
League Table
| # | Team | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Paris Saint Germain
|
3 | 9 |
| 2 |
Aston Villa
|
3 | 9 |
| 3 |
Liverpool
|
3 | 9 |
| 4 |
Real Madrid
|
3 | 9 |
| 5 |
Real Betis
|
3 | 9 |
| 6 |
VfB Stuttgart
|
3 | 7 |
| 7 |
Arsenal
|
3 | 7 |
| 8 |
Barcelona
|
3 | 6 |
| 9 |
Como
|
3 | 6 |
| 10 |
Manchester City
|
3 | 6 |
| 11 |
Club Brugge KV
|
3 | 6 |
| 12 |
Sporting CP
|
3 | 6 |
| 13 |
Borussia Dortmund
|
3 | 6 |
| 14 |
Bayern München
|
3 | 5 |
| 15 |
AS Roma
|
3 | 4 |
| 16 |
Atletico Madrid
|
3 | 4 |
| 17 |
Shakhtar Donetsk
|
3 | 4 |
| 18 |
PSV Eindhoven
|
3 | 4 |
| 19 |
Villarreal
|
3 | 3 |
| 20 |
Inter
|
3 | 3 |
| 21 |
Manchester United
|
3 | 3 |
| 22 |
Napoli
|
3 | 3 |
| 23 |
Galatasaray
|
3 | 3 |
| 24 |
Lask Linz
|
3 | 3 |
| 25 |
Sabah FA
|
3 | 3 |
| 26 |
Feyenoord
|
3 | 3 |
| 27 |
Lens
|
3 | 3 |
| 28 |
Bodo/Glimt
|
3 | 3 |
| 29 |
AEK Athens FC
|
3 | 3 |
| 30 |
RB Leipzig
|
3 | 3 |
| 31 |
Fenerbahçe
|
3 | 2 |
| 32 |
Slavia Praha
|
3 | 1 |
| 33 |
Viking
|
3 | 1 |
| 34 |
FC Porto
|
3 | 0 |
| 35 |
Lille
|
3 | 0 |
| 36 |
Slovan Bratislava
|
3 | 0 |
Frequently Asked Questions
Who will win Shakhtar Donetsk vs Real Madrid?
The model gives Shakhtar Donetsk a 27% win probability, 37% for a draw, and 35% for an Real Madrid win.
How many goals are expected in Shakhtar Donetsk vs Real Madrid?
Expected goals: Shakhtar Donetsk 0.4, Real Madrid 0.7 (total 1.2). Probability of over 1.5 goals: 72%.
What is the most likely score in Shakhtar Donetsk vs Real Madrid?
0–1 is the most probable final score, with an estimated probability of 15.53%.