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Shakhtar Donetsk - Sporting CP

Champions League November 03, 2026 18:45
#18 · 1 pts
vs
#7 · 3 pts
⚡ Pre-match analysis
26.76%
Win
Shakhtar Donetsk
36.78%
Draw
36.46%
Win
Sporting CP
0.42
Expected xG
0.78

Market probabilities

Most likely result 0–1 (16.13%)
1X2 Result
1 27%
X 37%
2 36%
Double Chance
1X 64%
X2 73%
12 63%
Over / Under
Over 1.5 73%
Over 2.5 52%
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The ForzaPitch prediction gives Sporting CP a 36% win probability, against 36% for a draw and 26% for Shakhtar Donetsk. Expected goals are 0.4 for Shakhtar Donetsk and 0.8 for Sporting CP (total 1.2), with a 73% probability of Over 1.5 goals. The most likely scoreline is 0–1 at 16.13% probability.

Season Stats

Shakhtar Donetsk
0W 1D 0L
Sporting CP
7W 2D 4L
Averages per game
1.0
Goals
1.9
1.0
Conceded
1.2
2.0
Shots OT
5.1
3.0
Corners
4.3
46%
Poss.
49%
Percentages
100%
O 1.5
85%
0%
O 2.5
77%
100%
BTTS
62%
0%
Clean Sht
23%
ℹ Based on the last 13 matches in Champions League. Bars use fixed scales (goals max 3.5, percentages 0–100%).

Score Matrix

↕ Shakhtar Donetsk Sporting CP →
0 1 2 3 4 5
0 30.1% 23.5% 9.2% 2.4% 0.5% 0.1%
1 12.7% 9.9% 3.9% 1.0% 0.2% —
2 2.7% 2.1% 0.8% 0.2% — —
3 0.4% 0.3% 0.1% — — —
4 — — — — — —
5 — — — — — —

Recent form

D PSV Eindhoven 1–1
Home clean sheet (120 days) 42%
W Galatasaray 3–1
D Arsenal 0–0
L Arsenal 0–1
W Bodo/Glimt 5–0
L Bodo/Glimt 3–0
Away clean sheet (120 days) 29%

Playing profile

Shakhtar Donetsk Shakhtar Donetsk
Attack
46
Defence
85
Form
62
Sporting CP Sporting CP
Attack
52
Defence
75
Form
66
Indices on a 0–100 scale calculated by the model

League Table

# Team G Pts
1 Paris Saint Germain Paris Saint Germain 1 3
2 Bayern München Bayern München 1 3
3 Barcelona Barcelona 1 3
4 Manchester United Manchester United 1 3
5 Como Como 1 3
6 VfB Stuttgart VfB Stuttgart 1 3
7 Sporting CP Sporting CP 1 3
8 Manchester City Manchester City 1 3
9 Aston Villa Aston Villa 1 3
10 Lens Lens 1 3
11 Real Betis Real Betis 1 3
12 Borussia Dortmund Borussia Dortmund 1 3
13 Liverpool Liverpool 1 3
14 Real Madrid Real Madrid 1 3
15 Arsenal Arsenal 1 3
16 AEK Athens FC AEK Athens FC 1 3
17 AS Roma AS Roma 1 1
18 Shakhtar Donetsk Shakhtar Donetsk 1 1
19 PSV Eindhoven PSV Eindhoven 1 1
20 Fenerbahçe Fenerbahçe 1 1
21 Villarreal Villarreal 1 0
22 Lille Lille 1 0
23 Slavia Praha Slavia Praha 1 0
24 Club Brugge KV Club Brugge KV 1 0
25 Inter Inter 1 0
26 Atletico Madrid Atletico Madrid 1 0
27 Napoli Napoli 1 0
28 Lask Linz Lask Linz 1 0
29 Viking Viking 1 0
30 Galatasaray Galatasaray 1 0
31 FC Porto FC Porto 1 0
32 RB Leipzig RB Leipzig 1 0
33 Feyenoord Feyenoord 1 0
34 Sabah FA Sabah FA 1 0
35 Slovan Bratislava Slovan Bratislava 1 0
36 Bodo/Glimt Bodo/Glimt 1 0
Frequently Asked Questions
Who will win Shakhtar Donetsk vs Sporting CP?
The model gives Shakhtar Donetsk a 26% win probability, 36% for a draw, and 36% for an Sporting CP win.
How many goals are expected in Shakhtar Donetsk vs Sporting CP?
Expected goals: Shakhtar Donetsk 0.4, Sporting CP 0.8 (total 1.2). Probability of over 1.5 goals: 73%.
What is the most likely score in Shakhtar Donetsk vs Sporting CP?
0–1 is the most probable final score, with an estimated probability of 16.13%.