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#1 · 68 pts
2 – 1
Final score
#2 · 62 pts
John McGovern (ast. Graham Burke) 34'
Dylan Watts (ast. Lee Grace) 76'
71' (ast. James Taylor) Ross Tierney
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The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Shamrock Rovers a 39% win probability (draw 22%, Bohemians 37%). The final result was Shamrock Rovers 2–1 Bohemians. In 3 previous meetings, Shamrock Rovers have won 2 times, with 0 draws and 1 wins for Bohemians.

Match statistics
8
Total shots
15
3
Shots on target
7
1.24
Actual xG
1.24
6
Saves
1
38%
Possession
62%
3
Corners
6
17
Tackles
14
3
🟨 Yellow cards
2
Match Events
Daniel Cleary
9'
15'
Ryan Burke / Adam McDonnell ↕
⚽John McGovern · ast. Graham Burke
34'
60'
James Taylor / Dayle Rooney ↕
60'
Markuss Strods / Colm Whelan ↕
↕ Jack Byrne / John O'Reilly-O'Sullivan
65'
Matthew Healy
66'
68'
Markuss Strods
71'
ast. James Taylor · Ross Tierney⚽
⚽Dylan Watts · ast. Lee Grace
76'
79'
Dawson Devoy
John O'Reilly-O'Sullivan
79'
↕ John McGovern / Jonathan Afolabi
80'
↕ William Fitzgerald / Cory O'Sullivan
80'
↕ Graham Burke / Aaron Greene
80'
81'
Sadou Diallo / Ryan Burke ↕
81'
Harry Patrick Vaughan / Connor Parsons ↕
↕ Dylan Watts / Najemedine Razi
85'
Stephen Bradley
90'+3
Pre-match prediction
39.76%
Shamrock ←
22.58%
X
37.67%
Bohemians
we assigned to the actual result (Shamrock Rovers) 39.76% (low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
Shamrock
2.00
1.24
-0.76
Bohemians
2.02
1.24
-0.78
xG dominance was balanced (1.24 – 1.24). The final result does not reflect the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
League Table
#Team GPts
1 Shamrock Rovers Shamrock Rovers 35 68
2 Bohemians Bohemians 35 62
3 St Patrick's Athl. St Patrick's Athl. 35 60
4 Shelbourne Shelbourne 35 49
5 Derry City Derry City 35 47
6 Galway United Galway United 35 42
7 Dundalk Dundalk 35 42
8 Waterford Waterford 35 40
9 Drogheda United Drogheda United 35 37
10 Sligo Rovers Sligo Rovers 35 24
Lineups
Shamrock Rovers Shamrock Rovers 3-4-2-1
1 E. McGinty E. McGinty G 7.84
5 L. Grace L. Grace 1 👟 D 6.43
4 Pico Pico D 6.59
6 D. Cleary D. Cleary D 6.20
24 W. Fitzgerald W. Fitzgerald 80' M 6.29
7 D. Watts D. Watts 1 ⚽ 85' M 7.87
8 M. Healy M. Healy M 6.42
22 T. Sobowale T. Sobowale M 6.47
10 G. Burke G. Burke 1 👟 80' M 7.02
29
J. Byrne 65' M 6.30
88 J. McGovern J. McGovern 1 ⚽ 80' F 7.55
Bench
19 A. Brennan A. Brennan M 0.00
9 A. Greene A. Greene 10' F 6.74
27 C. O'Sullivan C. O'Sullivan 10' D 6.47
18 J. Afolabi J. Afolabi 10' F 6.90
11 J. Mulraney J. Mulraney M 0.00
26 John O'Sullivan John O'Sullivan 25' M 6.11
25 L. Steacy L. Steacy G 0.00
31 M. Noonan M. Noonan F 0.00
28 N. Razi N. Razi 5' F 6.85
Bohemians Bohemians 4-2-3-1
25 P. Walters P. Walters G 5.63
6 J. Flores J. Flores D 6.46
22 S. Todd S. Todd D 6.77
12 P. Hickey P. Hickey D 6.49
16 D. Power D. Power D 6.01
17 A. McDonnell A. McDonnell 15' M 6.35
10 D. Devoy D. Devoy M 6.16
7 C. Parsons C. Parsons 81' M 6.11
26 R. Tierney R. Tierney 1 ⚽ M 7.15
11 D. Rooney D. Rooney 60' M 5.91
9 C. Whelan C. Whelan 60' F 5.98
Bench
18 D. James-Taylor D. James-Taylor 1 👟 30' F 6.91
8 H. Vaughan H. Vaughan 9' M 6.25
21 Josh Adam Josh Adam M 0.00
1 K. Chorążka K. Chorążka G 0.00
32 M. Strods M. Strods 30' M 5.84
4 N. Morahan N. Morahan M 0.00
41 P. Madden P. Madden F 0.00
3 R. Burke R. Burke 66' D 6.65
5 S. Diallo S. Diallo 9' M 6.42
Best on the pitch
D. Watts
D. Watts
M · Shamrock
7.87
1 ⚽
1 shots · 31 pass
E. McGinty
E. McGinty
G · Shamrock
7.84
· 17 pass
J. McGovern
J. McGovern
F · Shamrock
7.55
1 ⚽
2 shots · 10 pass
R. Tierney
R. Tierney
M · Bohemians
7.15
1 ⚽
2 shots · 21 pass
G. Burke
G. Burke
M · Shamrock
7.02
1 👟
1 shots · 23 pass
D. James-Taylor
D. James-Taylor
F · Bohemians
6.91
1 👟
· 3 pass
Shamrock Rovers Shamrock Rovers — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
E. McGinty G 90 7.84 — — 0 17 8% 0 — —
L. Grace D 90 6.43 — 1 1 38 23% 3 — —
Pico D 90 6.59 — — 0 36 25% 2 — —
D. Cleary D 90 6.20 — — 0 24 17% 2 1 —
W. Fitzgerald M 80 6.29 — — 1 13 12% 2 — —
D. Watts M 85 7.87 1 — 1 31 25% 2 — —
M. Healy M 90 6.42 — — 1 43 32% 2 1 —
T. Sobowale M 90 6.47 — — 1 12 9% 2 — —
G. Burke M 80 7.02 — 1 1 23 16% 1 — —
J. Byrne M 65 6.30 — — 0 10 10% 0 — —
J. McGovern F 80 7.55 1 — 2 10 9% 0 — —
A. Greene F 10 6.74 — — 0 1 1% 1 — —
C. O'Sullivan D 10 6.47 — — 0 6 1% 0 — —
J. Afolabi F 10 6.90 — — 0 2 0% 0 — —
John O'Sullivan M 25 6.11 — — 0 1 1% 0 1 —
N. Razi F 5 6.85 — — 0 1 0% 0 — —
Bohemians Bohemians — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
P. Walters G 90 5.63 — — 0 28 18% 0 — —
J. Flores D 90 6.46 — — 2 54 42% 1 — —
S. Todd D 90 6.77 — — 0 78 70% 0 — —
P. Hickey D 90 6.49 — — 2 54 46% 3 — —
D. Power D 90 6.01 — — 1 46 36% 0 — —
A. McDonnell M 15 6.35 — — 1 4 3% 0 — —
D. Devoy M 90 6.16 — — 2 58 47% 2 1 —
C. Parsons M 81 6.11 — — 0 30 23% 1 — —
R. Tierney M 90 7.15 1 — 2 21 15% 0 — —
D. Rooney M 60 5.91 — — 1 15 5% 4 — —
C. Whelan F 60 5.98 — — 1 10 6% 0 — —
D. James-Taylor F 30 6.91 — 1 0 3 2% 1 — —
H. Vaughan M 9 6.25 — — 1 6 6% 1 — —
M. Strods M 30 5.84 — — 0 7 3% 0 1 —
R. Burke D 66 6.65 — — 2 37 32% 1 — —
S. Diallo M 9 6.42 — — 0 14 13% 0 — —
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Shamrock Rovers vs Bohemians?
The final score was Shamrock Rovers 2–1 Bohemians.
What did the model predict before Shamrock Rovers vs Bohemians?
The model assigned 39% probability to a Shamrock Rovers win, 22% to a draw, and 37% to an Bohemians win.