Premier Division · Regular Season - 25 June 22, 2026 21:00 Tallaght Stadium, Dublin

Shamrock Rovers

#1 · 56 pts

1 – 1

Final score

Derry City

#5 · 37 pts

✗Model wrong — prediction Shamrock Rovers, result Draw

A. Greene (ast. J. McGovern) 83'

25' (ast. J. McClean) L. Boyce

The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Shamrock Rovers a 61% win probability (draw 21%, Derry City 17%). The final result was Shamrock Rovers 1–1 Derry City. In 3 previous meetings, Shamrock Rovers have won 1 times, with 1 draws and 1 wins for Derry City.

Match statistics

8

Shots on target

4

1.45

Actual xG

1.31

70%

Possession

30%

6

Corners

2

Match Events

4'

J. McClean

24'

D. Markey / K. Santos ↕

25'

ast. J. McClean · L. Boyce⚽

45'+4

B. Fleming

50'

C. Dummigan

56'

C. Winchester / D. Markey ↕

56'

J. Olayinka / C. Dummigan ↕

G. Burke

56'

61'

L. Boyce

↕ D. Watts / J. McGovern

70'

↕ G. Burke / N. Razi

70'

↕ C. O'Sullivan / J. O'Sullivan

70'

↕ M. Noonan / A. Greene

70'

72'

T. Doherty / L. Boyce ↕

72'

L. Kelly / J. McClean ↕

↕ J. Mulraney / M. Kovalevskis

76'

77'

C. Winchester

⚽A. Greene · ast. J. McGovern

83'

A. Brennan

89'

Pre-match prediction

61.16%

Shamrock

21.63%

X ←

17.21%

Derry

✗ Wrong prediction — we assigned to the actual result (Draw) 21.63% (low confidence)

Expected vs actual xG

Exp.

Actual

Δ

Shamrock

1.85

1.45

-0.4

Derry

0.80

1.31

+0.51

xG dominance was balanced (1.45 – 1.31). The final result reflects the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.

League Table

#	Team	G	Pts
1	Shamrock Rovers	30	56
2	St Patrick's Athl.	30	53
3	Bohemians	30	53
4	Dundalk	30	41
5	Derry City	30	37
6	Shelbourne	29	36
7	Galway United	29	34
8	Waterford	30	33
9	Drogheda United	30	31
10	Sligo Rovers	30	23

Lineups

Shamrock Rovers 3-5-2

1 E. McGinty G

22 T. Sobowale D

3 E. Stevens D

5 L. Grace D

29 J. Byrne M

11 J. Mulraney M

7 D. Watts M

8 M. Healy M

19 Adam Brennan M

9 A. Greene 1 ⚽ F

10 G. Burke F

Derry City 4-2-3-1

13 E. Beach G

19 B. Fleming M

3 Patrick McClean D

22 C. Barr D

28 J. Olayinka M

23 C. Dummigan D

8 A. O'Reilly M

7 M. Duffy M

10 D. Markey M

21 Kévin Santos M

15 J. Clarke M

Shamrock Rovers — Player statistics

Team	Pos	Min	Rating	⚽	👟	Shots	Pass	Acc%	Tck	YC	RC
E. McGinty	G	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
T. Sobowale	D	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
E. Stevens	D	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
L. Grace	D	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
J. Byrne	M	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
J. Mulraney	M	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
D. Watts	M	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
M. Healy	M	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Adam Brennan	M	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
A. Greene	F	—	—	1	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
G. Burke	F	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—

Derry City — Player statistics

Team	Pos	Min	Rating	⚽	👟	Shots	Pass	Acc%	Tck	YC	RC
E. Beach	G	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
B. Fleming	M	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Patrick McClean	D	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
C. Barr	D	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
J. Olayinka	M	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
C. Dummigan	D	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
A. O'Reilly	M	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
M. Duffy	M	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
D. Markey	M	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Kévin Santos	M	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
J. Clarke	M	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—