✓Model correct — prediction Shamrock Rovers
D. Watts
3'
(pen.)
M. Noonan
(ast. D. Watts)
19'
J. Afolabi
38'
15'
(ast. T. Grivosti)
R. Cornwall
(pen.)
27'
D. Horgan
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Shamrock Rovers a 57% win probability (draw 20%, Dundalk 21%). The final result was Shamrock Rovers 3–2 Dundalk. In 2 previous meetings, Shamrock Rovers have won 0 times, with 1 draws and 1 wins for Dundalk.
Match statistics
12
Total shots
8
8
Shots on target
5
2.66
Actual xG
1.71
3
Saves
5
54%
Possession
46%
1
Corners
7
10
Tackles
13
5
🟨 Yellow cards
3
Match Events
⚽D. Watts
(pen.)
3'
12'
C. Kilduff
M. Kovalevskis
13'
15'
ast. T. Grivosti ·
R. Cornwall⚽
⚽M. Noonan
· ast. D. Watts
19'
27'
(pen.)
D. Horgan⚽
C. O'Sullivan
36'
⚽J. Afolabi
38'
M. Healy
43'
S. Bradley
45'
M. Kovalevskis
/ M. Asamoah
46'
C. O'Sullivan
/ A. Matthews
46'
47'
C. Dillon
49'
D. McDaid
/
M. Animasahun
49'
H. Groome
/
R. Teahan
D. Watts
/ J. Byrne
50'
M. Healy
/ C. Barrett
59'
J. Afolabi
/ A. Greene
60'
62'
L. Gaxha
/
C. Dillon
J. Byrne
70'
73'
B. Burns
C. Barrett
81'
85'
A. M. Keogh
/
T. Clarke
89'
K. Buckley
Pre-match prediction
57.19%
Shamrock ←
20.86%
X
21.95%
Dundalk
✓ Correct prediction —
we assigned to the actual result (Shamrock Rovers)
57.19%
(medium confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
2.17
2.66
+0.49
1.31
1.71
+0.4
Shamrock Rovers dominated by xG (2.66 vs 1.71).
The final result reflects the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates were accurate.
Lineups
1
Ed McGinty
G
Ed McGinty
G
27
Cory O'Sullivan
45'
D
Cory O'Sullivan
45'
D
5
Lee Grace
D
Lee Grace
D
22
Tunmise Sobowale
D
Tunmise Sobowale
D
17
Luke O'Regan
M
Luke O'Regan
M
7
D. Watts
1 ⚽
1 👟
50'
M
D. Watts
1 ⚽
1 👟
50'
M
8
Matthew Healy
59'
M
Matthew Healy
59'
M
26
John O'Sullivan
M
John O'Sullivan
M
38
Max Kovaleskis
45'
M
Max Kovaleskis
45'
M
18
Jonathan Afolabi
1 ⚽
60'
F
Jonathan Afolabi
1 ⚽
60'
F
31
Michael Noonan
1 ⚽
F
Michael Noonan
1 ⚽
F
Bench
9
Aaron Greene
39'
F
Aaron Greene
39'
F
2
Adam Matthews
54'
D
Adam Matthews
54'
D
41
Alex Noonan
G
Alex Noonan
G
34
Ben Mahon
F
Ben Mahon
F
33
Cian Barrett
40'
M
Cian Barrett
40'
M
11
Jake Mulraney
M
Jake Mulraney
M
29
J. Byrne
49'
M
J. Byrne
49'
M
15
Maleace Asamoah
54'
F
Maleace Asamoah
54'
F
24
William Fitzgerald
F
William Fitzgerald
F
1
Enda Minogue
G
Enda Minogue
G
44
Tom Grivosti
1 👟
D
Tom Grivosti
1 👟
D
24
Robert Cornwall
1 ⚽
D
Robert Cornwall
1 ⚽
D
4
Mayowa Animasahun
49'
D
Mayowa Animasahun
49'
D
3
Bobby Burns
M
Bobby Burns
M
18
Keith Buckley
M
Keith Buckley
M
6
Aodh Dervin
M
Aodh Dervin
M
15
Trevor Clarke
85'
M
Trevor Clarke
85'
M
7
Daryl Horgan
1 ⚽
F
Daryl Horgan
1 ⚽
F
9
Cian Dillon
62'
F
Cian Dillon
62'
F
11
Ronan Teahan
49'
F
Ronan Teahan
49'
F
Bench
23
Aaron Keogh
14'
M
Aaron Keogh
14'
M
13
Conor Kearns
G
Conor Kearns
G
27
Declan McDaid
50'
M
Declan McDaid
50'
M
8
Harry Groome
50'
M
Harry Groome
50'
M
10
Leonardo Gaxha
37'
F
Leonardo Gaxha
37'
F
12
Luke Mulligan
D
Luke Mulligan
D
20
Peter Cherrie
G
Peter Cherrie
G
19
Sean Spaight
D
Sean Spaight
D
25
Shay Casey
M
Shay Casey
M
Best on the pitch
D. Watts
M · Shamrock
7.90
1 ⚽ 1 👟
2 shots
· 20 pass
Michael Noonan
F · Shamrock
7.70
1 ⚽
2 shots
· 30 pass
Daryl Horgan
F · Dundalk
7.60
1 ⚽
3 shots
· 38 pass
Jonathan Afolabi
F · Shamrock
7.60
1 ⚽
1 shots
· 12 pass
Ed McGinty
G · Shamrock
7.30
· 35 pass
Robert Cornwall
D · Dundalk
7.30
1 ⚽
1 shots
· 35 pass
Shamrock Rovers — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ed McGinty | G | 99 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 35 | 22% | 1 | — | — |
| Cory O'Sullivan | D | 45 | 6.00 | — | — | — | 36 | 26% | — | 1 | — |
| Lee Grace | D | 99 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 40 | 31% | 4 | — | — |
| Tunmise Sobowale | D | 99 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 45 | 31% | 3 | — | — |
| Luke O'Regan | M | 99 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 16 | 13% | 2 | — | — |
| D. Watts | M | 50 | 7.90 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 20 | 13% | — | — | — |
| Matthew Healy | M | 59 | 7.20 | — | — | 1 | 39 | 32% | — | 1 | — |
| John O'Sullivan | M | 99 | 7.20 | — | — | 2 | 50 | 39% | — | — | — |
| Max Kovaleskis | M | 45 | 6.00 | — | — | — | 11 | 7% | — | 1 | — |
| Jonathan Afolabi | F | 60 | 7.60 | 1 | — | 1 | 12 | 9% | — | — | — |
| Michael Noonan | F | 99 | 7.70 | 1 | — | 2 | 30 | 27% | — | — | — |
| Aaron Greene | F | 39 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 7 | 5% | — | — | — |
| Adam Matthews | D | 54 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 17 | 16% | — | — | — |
| Cian Barrett | M | 40 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 9 | 5% | — | 1 | — |
| J. Byrne | M | 49 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 22 | 18% | — | 1 | — |
| Maleace Asamoah | F | 54 | 6.20 | — | — | 3 | 10 | 4% | — | — | — |
Dundalk — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Enda Minogue | G | 99 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 26 | 12% | — | — | — |
| Tom Grivosti | D | 99 | 6.20 | — | 1 | 1 | 33 | 24% | 2 | — | — |
| Robert Cornwall | D | 99 | 7.30 | 1 | — | 1 | 35 | 27% | 1 | — | — |
| Mayowa Animasahun | D | 49 | 5.90 | — | — | — | 10 | 7% | — | — | — |
| Bobby Burns | M | 99 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 41 | 27% | 3 | 1 | — |
| Keith Buckley | M | 99 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 50 | 41% | 1 | 1 | — |
| Aodh Dervin | M | 99 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 29 | 28% | 2 | — | — |
| Trevor Clarke | M | 85 | 5.90 | — | — | 1 | 8 | 3% | — | — | — |
| Daryl Horgan | F | 99 | 7.60 | 1 | — | 3 | 38 | 30% | 3 | — | — |
| Cian Dillon | F | 62 | 6.00 | — | — | 1 | 12 | 8% | — | 1 | — |
| Ronan Teahan | F | 49 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 8 | 3% | — | — | — |
| Aaron Keogh | M | 14 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 4 | 4% | — | — | — |
| Declan McDaid | M | 50 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 11 | 8% | — | — | — |
| Harry Groome | M | 50 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 17 | 15% | 1 | — | — |
| Leonardo Gaxha | F | 37 | 6.20 | — | — | 1 | 8 | 5% | — | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Shamrock Rovers vs Dundalk?
The final score was Shamrock Rovers 3–2 Dundalk.
What did the model predict before Shamrock Rovers vs Dundalk?
The model assigned 57% probability to a Shamrock Rovers win, 20% to a draw, and 21% to an Dundalk win.