Shamrock Rovers 3–2 Dundalk — pre-match prediction — Premier Division — August 07, 2026

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Premier Division · Regular Season - 27 August 07, 2026 21:00 Tallaght Stadium, Dublin

Shamrock Rovers

#2 · 59 pts

3 – 2

Final score

Dundalk

#5 · 41 pts

✓Model correct — prediction Shamrock Rovers

D. Watts 3' (pen.)

M. Noonan (ast. D. Watts) 19'

J. Afolabi 38'

15' (ast. T. Grivosti) R. Cornwall

(pen.) 27' D. Horgan

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The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Shamrock Rovers a 57% win probability (draw 20%, Dundalk 21%). The final result was Shamrock Rovers 3–2 Dundalk. In 2 previous meetings, Shamrock Rovers have won 0 times, with 1 draws and 1 wins for Dundalk.

Match statistics

Total shots

Shots on target

2.66

Actual xG

1.71

Saves

54%

Possession

46%

Corners

Tackles

🟨 Yellow cards

Match Events

⚽D. Watts (pen.)

12'

C. Kilduff

M. Kovalevskis

13'

15'

ast. T. Grivosti · R. Cornwall⚽

⚽M. Noonan · ast. D. Watts

19'

27'

(pen.) D. Horgan⚽

C. O'Sullivan

36'

⚽J. Afolabi

38'

M. Healy

43'

S. Bradley

45'

↕ M. Kovalevskis / M. Asamoah

46'

↕ C. O'Sullivan / A. Matthews

46'

47'

C. Dillon

49'

D. McDaid / M. Animasahun ↕

49'

H. Groome / R. Teahan ↕

↕ D. Watts / J. Byrne

50'

↕ M. Healy / C. Barrett

59'

↕ J. Afolabi / A. Greene

60'

62'

L. Gaxha / C. Dillon ↕

J. Byrne

70'

73'

B. Burns

C. Barrett

81'

85'

A. M. Keogh / T. Clarke ↕

89'

K. Buckley

Pre-match prediction

57.19%

Shamrock ←

20.86%

21.95%

Dundalk

✓ Correct prediction — we assigned to the actual result (Shamrock Rovers) 57.19% (medium confidence)

Expected vs actual xG

Exp.

Actual

Shamrock

2.17

2.66

+0.49

Dundalk

1.31

1.71

+0.4

Shamrock Rovers dominated by xG (2.66 vs 1.71). The final result reflects the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates were accurate.

League Table

#	Team	G	Pts
1	St Patrick's Athl.	32	59
2	Shamrock Rovers	31	59
3	Bohemians	31	56
4	Derry City	32	41
5	Dundalk	32	41
6	Shelbourne	32	40
7	Galway United	32	38
8	Waterford	32	34
9	Drogheda United	32	34
10	Sligo Rovers	32	23

Lineups

Shamrock Rovers 3-5-2

E. McGinty G 7.30

C. O'Sullivan 45' D 6.00

L. Grace D 6.90

T. Sobowale D 6.60

Luke O'Regan M 7.00

D. Watts 1 ⚽ 1 👟 50' M 7.90

M. Healy 59' M 7.20

John O'Sullivan M 7.20

Max Kovaleskis 45' M 6.00

J. Afolabi 1 ⚽ 60' F 7.60

M. Noonan 1 ⚽ F 7.70

Bench

Adam Matthews 54' D 7.00

A. Greene 39' F 6.30

Alex Noonan G

Ben Mahon F

Cian Barrett 40' M 6.50

J. Byrne 49' M 7.00

J. Mulraney M

Maleace Asamoah 54' F 6.20

W. Fitzgerald F

Dundalk 3-4-3

E. Minogue G 6.20

T. Grivosti 1 👟 D 6.20

R. Cornwall 1 ⚽ D 7.30

M. Animasahun 49' D 5.90

B. Burns M 7.00

K. Buckley M 6.70

A. Dervin M 6.90

T. Clarke 85' M 5.90

D. Horgan 1 ⚽ F 7.60

C. Dillon 62' F 6.00

Ronan Teahan 49' F 6.70

Bench

A. M. Keogh 14' M 6.50

Conor Kearns G

D. McDaid 50' M 6.50

H. Groome 50' M 6.60

Leonardo Gaxha 37' F 6.20

L. Mulligan D

P. Cherrie G

Sean Spaight D

Shay Casey M

Best on the pitch

D. Watts

M · Shamrock

7.90

1 ⚽ 1 👟

2 shots · 20 pass

M. Noonan

F · Shamrock

7.70

1 ⚽

2 shots · 30 pass

D. Horgan

F · Dundalk

7.60

1 ⚽

3 shots · 38 pass

J. Afolabi

F · Shamrock

7.60

1 ⚽

1 shots · 12 pass

E. McGinty

G · Shamrock

7.30

· 35 pass

R. Cornwall

D · Dundalk

7.30

1 ⚽

1 shots · 35 pass

Shamrock Rovers — Player statistics

Team	Pos	Min	Rating	⚽	👟	Shots	Pass	Acc%	Tck	YC	RC
E. McGinty	G	99	7.30	—	—	—	35	22%	1	—	—
C. O'Sullivan	D	45	6.00	—	—	—	36	26%	—	1	—
L. Grace	D	99	6.90	—	—	1	40	31%	4	—	—
T. Sobowale	D	99	6.60	—	—	—	45	31%	3	—	—
Luke O'Regan	M	99	7.00	—	—	—	16	13%	2	—	—
D. Watts	M	50	7.90	1	1	2	20	13%	—	—	—
M. Healy	M	59	7.20	—	—	1	39	32%	—	1	—
John O'Sullivan	M	99	7.20	—	—	2	50	39%	—	—	—
Max Kovaleskis	M	45	6.00	—	—	—	11	7%	—	1	—
J. Afolabi	F	60	7.60	1	—	1	12	9%	—	—	—
M. Noonan	F	99	7.70	1	—	2	30	27%	—	—	—
Adam Matthews	D	54	7.00	—	—	—	17	16%	—	—	—
A. Greene	F	39	6.30	—	—	—	7	5%	—	—	—
Cian Barrett	M	40	6.50	—	—	—	9	5%	—	1	—
J. Byrne	M	49	7.00	—	—	—	22	18%	—	1	—
Maleace Asamoah	F	54	6.20	—	—	3	10	4%	—	—	—

Dundalk — Player statistics

Team	Pos	Min	Rating	⚽	👟	Shots	Pass	Acc%	Tck	YC	RC
E. Minogue	G	99	6.20	—	—	—	26	12%	—	—	—
T. Grivosti	D	99	6.20	—	1	1	33	24%	2	—	—
R. Cornwall	D	99	7.30	1	—	1	35	27%	1	—	—
M. Animasahun	D	49	5.90	—	—	—	10	7%	—	—	—
B. Burns	M	99	7.00	—	—	—	41	27%	3	1	—
K. Buckley	M	99	6.70	—	—	—	50	41%	1	1	—
A. Dervin	M	99	6.90	—	—	—	29	28%	2	—	—
T. Clarke	M	85	5.90	—	—	1	8	3%	—	—	—
D. Horgan	F	99	7.60	1	—	3	38	30%	3	—	—
C. Dillon	F	62	6.00	—	—	1	12	8%	—	1	—
Ronan Teahan	F	49	6.70	—	—	—	8	3%	—	—	—
A. M. Keogh	M	14	6.50	—	—	—	4	4%	—	—	—
D. McDaid	M	50	6.50	—	—	—	11	8%	—	—	—
H. Groome	M	50	6.60	—	—	—	17	15%	1	—	—
Leonardo Gaxha	F	37	6.20	—	—	1	8	5%	—	—	—

Frequently Asked Questions

What was the final score of Shamrock Rovers vs Dundalk?

The final score was Shamrock Rovers 3–2 Dundalk.

What did the model predict before Shamrock Rovers vs Dundalk?

The model assigned 57% probability to a Shamrock Rovers win, 20% to a draw, and 21% to an Dundalk win.