✓Model correct — prediction Shamrock Rovers
Adam Brennan
(ast. John McGovern)
39'
Adam Brennan
(ast. Graham Burke)
41'
Aaron Greene
71'
Dylan Watts
74'
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Shamrock Rovers a 89% win probability (draw 7%, Sligo Rovers 3%). The final result was Shamrock Rovers 4–0 Sligo Rovers. In 3 previous meetings, Shamrock Rovers have won 2 times, with 0 draws and 1 wins for Sligo Rovers.
Match statistics
17
Total shots
6
9
Shots on target
2
1.80
Actual xG
1.13
2
Saves
5
74%
Possession
26%
7
Corners
0
14
Tackles
22
1
🟨 Yellow cards
2
Match Events
William Fitzgerald
36'
⚽Adam Brennan
· ast. John McGovern
39'
⚽Adam Brennan
· ast. Graham Burke
41'
William Fitzgerald
/ Jake Mulraney
45'
55'
Luke Pearce
/
James McManus
55'
Cian Kavanagh
/
Archie Meekison
John McGovern
/ Aaron Greene
61'
63'
A. Gabbidon
/
Daire Patton
70'
Jack Shorrock
⚽Aaron Greene
71'
Tunmise Sobowale
/ Luke O'Regan
73'
⚽Dylan Watts
74'
Graham Burke
/ Jonathan Afolabi
78'
Dylan Watts
/ Gary O'Neill
79'
79'
kyle mcdonagh
/
sean stewart
79'
Ryan O'Kane
/
Kaiyne Woolery
82'
Seb Quirk
Pre-match prediction
89.64%
Shamrock ←
7.11%
X
3.25%
Sligo
✓ Correct prediction —
we assigned to the actual result (Shamrock Rovers)
89.64%
(high confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
3.46
1.80
-1.66
0.40
1.13
+0.73
Shamrock Rovers dominated by xG (1.80 vs 1.13).
The final result reflects the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Lineups
1
E. McGinty
G
E. McGinty
G
5
L. Grace
D
L. Grace
D
4
Pico
D
Pico
D
6
D. Cleary
D
D. Cleary
D
19
A. Brennan
2 ⚽
M
A. Brennan
2 ⚽
M
26
John O'Sullivan
M
John O'Sullivan
M
24
W. Fitzgerald
45'
M
W. Fitzgerald
45'
M
22
T. Sobowale
73'
M
T. Sobowale
73'
M
10
G. Burke
1 👟
78'
M
G. Burke
1 👟
78'
M
7
D. Watts
1 ⚽
79'
M
D. Watts
1 ⚽
79'
M
88
J. McGovern
1 👟
61'
F
J. McGovern
1 👟
61'
F
Bench
9
A. Greene
1 ⚽
29'
F
A. Greene
1 ⚽
29'
F
2
A. Matthews
D
A. Matthews
D
34
B. Mahon
F
B. Mahon
F
27
C. O'Sullivan
D
C. O'Sullivan
D
16
G. O'Neill
11'
M
G. O'Neill
11'
M
18
J. Afolabi
12'
F
J. Afolabi
12'
F
11
J. Mulraney
45'
M
J. Mulraney
45'
M
17
L. O'Regan
17'
M
L. O'Regan
17'
M
25
L. Steacy
G
L. Steacy
G
1
Liam John Hughes
G
Liam John Hughes
G
3
Sean Stewart
79'
D
Sean Stewart
79'
D
52
G. McElroy
D
G. McElroy
D
15
O. Denham
D
O. Denham
D
4
S. Quirk
D
S. Quirk
D
71
D. Patton
63'
M
D. Patton
63'
M
6
L. Young
M
L. Young
M
7
J. Shorrock
M
J. Shorrock
M
14
J. McManus
55'
M
J. McManus
55'
M
10
A. Meekison
55'
M
A. Meekison
55'
M
41
K. Woolery
79'
F
K. Woolery
79'
F
Bench
51
Aidan Gabbidon
27'
D
Aidan Gabbidon
27'
D
11
C. Kavanagh
35'
F
C. Kavanagh
35'
F
61
Conor Cannon
D
Conor Cannon
D
24
J. O'Donnell
F
J. O'Donnell
F
23
K. McDonagh
11'
M
K. McDonagh
11'
M
9
L. Pearce
35'
F
L. Pearce
35'
F
28
R. O'Kane
11'
F
R. O'Kane
11'
F
Best on the pitch
A. Brennan
M · Shamrock
9.13
2 ⚽
4 shots
· 42 pass
D. Watts
M · Shamrock
8.20
1 ⚽
3 shots
· 68 pass
L. Grace
D · Shamrock
7.79
2 shots
· 103 pass
G. Burke
M · Shamrock
7.70
1 👟
3 shots
· 46 pass
G. O'Neill
M · Shamrock
7.60
· 25 pass
A. Greene
F · Shamrock
7.54
1 ⚽
1 shots
· 20 pass
Shamrock Rovers — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| E. McGinty | G | 90 | 6.89 | — | — | 0 | 17 | 15% | 0 | — | — |
| L. Grace | D | 90 | 7.79 | — | — | 2 | 103 | 94% | 3 | — | — |
| Pico | D | 90 | 7.12 | — | — | 1 | 122 | 114% | 3 | — | — |
| D. Cleary | D | 90 | 7.37 | — | — | 0 | 91 | 85% | 0 | — | — |
| A. Brennan | M | 90 | 9.13 | 2 | — | 4 | 42 | 32% | 1 | — | — |
| John O'Sullivan | M | 90 | 7.20 | — | — | 2 | 105 | 95% | 2 | — | — |
| W. Fitzgerald | M | 45 | 6.56 | — | — | 0 | 15 | 9% | 1 | 1 | — |
| T. Sobowale | M | 73 | 6.61 | — | — | 0 | 35 | 31% | 1 | — | — |
| G. Burke | M | 78 | 7.70 | — | 1 | 3 | 46 | 42% | 1 | — | — |
| D. Watts | M | 79 | 8.20 | 1 | — | 3 | 68 | 59% | 1 | — | — |
| J. McGovern | F | 61 | 6.97 | — | 1 | 0 | 12 | 9% | 0 | — | — |
| A. Greene | F | 29 | 7.54 | 1 | — | 1 | 20 | 16% | 1 | — | — |
| G. O'Neill | M | 11 | 7.60 | — | — | 0 | 25 | 25% | 0 | — | — |
| J. Afolabi | F | 12 | 6.50 | — | — | 0 | 4 | 4% | 0 | — | — |
| J. Mulraney | M | 45 | 7.20 | — | — | 1 | 17 | 16% | 0 | — | — |
| L. O'Regan | M | 17 | 6.79 | — | — | 0 | 4 | 4% | 0 | — | — |
Sligo Rovers — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Liam John Hughes | G | 90 | 6.32 | — | — | 0 | 21 | 12% | 0 | — | — |
| Sean Stewart | D | 79 | 5.26 | — | — | 0 | 26 | 18% | 0 | — | — |
| G. McElroy | D | 90 | 5.57 | — | — | 0 | 23 | 17% | 2 | — | — |
| O. Denham | D | 90 | 6.47 | — | — | 0 | 31 | 26% | 2 | — | — |
| S. Quirk | D | 90 | 5.52 | — | — | 1 | 19 | 12% | 2 | 1 | — |
| D. Patton | M | 63 | 6.03 | — | — | 0 | 20 | 14% | 3 | — | — |
| L. Young | M | 90 | 6.09 | — | — | 0 | 28 | 23% | 3 | — | — |
| J. Shorrock | M | 90 | 5.87 | — | — | 2 | 18 | 11% | 3 | 1 | — |
| J. McManus | M | 55 | 5.65 | — | — | 3 | 18 | 12% | 2 | — | — |
| A. Meekison | M | 55 | 5.93 | — | — | 0 | 16 | 14% | 0 | — | — |
| K. Woolery | F | 79 | 6.31 | — | — | 0 | 10 | 6% | 2 | — | — |
| Aidan Gabbidon | D | 27 | 5.66 | — | — | 0 | 8 | 6% | 0 | — | — |
| C. Kavanagh | F | 35 | 6.40 | — | — | 0 | 7 | 5% | 1 | — | — |
| K. McDonagh | M | 11 | 5.80 | — | — | 0 | 2 | 2% | 0 | — | — |
| L. Pearce | F | 35 | 6.64 | — | — | 0 | 5 | 3% | 2 | — | — |
| R. O'Kane | F | 11 | 6.68 | — | — | 0 | 1 | 1% | 0 | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Shamrock Rovers vs Sligo Rovers?
The final score was Shamrock Rovers 4–0 Sligo Rovers.
What did the model predict before Shamrock Rovers vs Sligo Rovers?
The model assigned 89% probability to a Shamrock Rovers win, 7% to a draw, and 3% to an Sligo Rovers win.