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Shandong Luneng - Chongqing Tongliang Long

Super League May 16, 2026 13:35
Shandong Luneng
#5 · 14 pts
vs
Chongqing Tongliang Long
#2 · 20 pts
⚡ Pre-match analysis
46.1%
Win
Shandong Luneng
27.03%
Draw
26.87%
Win
Chongqing Tongliang Long
1.46
Expected xG
0.96

The ForzaPitch prediction gives Shandong Luneng a 46% win probability, against 27% for a draw and 26% for Chongqing Tongliang Long. Expected goals are 1.5 for Shandong Luneng and 1.0 for Chongqing Tongliang Long (total 2.4), with a 76% probability of Over 1.5 goals. The most likely scoreline is 1–0 at 13.0% probability.

Score Matrix
↕ Shandong Luneng Chongqing Tongliang Long →
0 1 2 3 4 5
0 8.9% 8.5% 4.1% 1.3% 0.3% 0.1%
1 13.0% 12.5% 6.0% 1.9% 0.5% 0.1%
2 9.5% 9.1% 4.4% 1.4% 0.3% 0.1%
3 4.6% 4.4% 2.1% 0.7% 0.2% —
4 1.7% 1.6% 0.8% 0.2% 0.1% —
5 0.5% 0.5% 0.2% 0.1% — —
Recent form
Shandong Luneng Shandong Luneng
W Sichuan Jiuniu 1–2
W Shanghai Shenhua 4–1
D Qingdao Youth Island 1–1
L Qingdao Jonoon 4–1
W Tianjin Teda 1–2
Clean sheet in casa (120gg) 22%
Chongqing Tongliang Long Chongqing Tongliang Long
D Shanghai Shenhua 2–2
D Henan Jianye 1–1
L Dalian Zhixing 1–0
D Qingdao Youth Island 1–1
W SHANGHAI SIPG 1–2
Clean sheet in trasferta (120gg) 33%
Playing profile
Shandong Luneng Shandong Luneng
Attack
41
Defence
66
Form
55
Chongqing Tongliang Long Chongqing Tongliang Long
Attack
35
Defence
77
Form
58
Indices on a 0–100 scale calculated by the model
League Table
# Team G Pts
1 Chengdu Better City Chengdu Better City 11 31
2 Chongqing Tongliang Long Chongqing Tongliang Long 11 20
3 Dalian Zhixing Dalian Zhixing 11 18
4 Yunnan Yukun Yunnan Yukun 11 16
5 Shandong Luneng Shandong Luneng 11 14
6 Shanghai Shenhua Shanghai Shenhua 11 11
7 Qingdao Jonoon Qingdao Jonoon 11 10
8 Hangzhou Greentown Hangzhou Greentown 11 10
9 Sichuan Jiuniu Sichuan Jiuniu 11 10
10 Qingdao Youth Island Qingdao Youth Island 11 10
11 Beijing Guoan Beijing Guoan 11 8
12 SHANGHAI SIPG SHANGHAI SIPG 11 7
13 Shenyang Urban Shenyang Urban 11 7
14 Henan Jianye Henan Jianye 11 6
15 Wuhan Three Towns Wuhan Three Towns 11 4
16 Tianjin Teda Tianjin Teda 11 1
Frequently Asked Questions
Who will win Shandong Luneng vs Chongqing Tongliang Long?
The model gives Shandong Luneng a 46% win probability, 27% for a draw, and 26% for an Chongqing Tongliang Long win.
How many goals are expected in Shandong Luneng vs Chongqing Tongliang Long?
Expected goals: Shandong Luneng 1.5, Chongqing Tongliang Long 1.0 (total 2.4). Probability of over 1.5 goals: 76%.
What is the most likely score in Shandong Luneng vs Chongqing Tongliang Long?
1–0 is the most probable final score, with an estimated probability of 13.0%.