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AFC Champions League Two · Group Stage - 3 October 29, 2026 13:15 Shanghai Stadium, Shanghai
Shanghai Shenhua
#3 · 4 pts
0 – 1
Final score
Machida Zelvia
#1 · 9 pts
28' Ryohei Shirasaki
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The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Machida Zelvia a 38% win probability (draw 30%, Shanghai Shenhua 30%). The final result was Shanghai Shenhua 0–1 Machida Zelvia. In 1 previous meetings, Shanghai Shenhua have won 0 times, with 0 draws and 1 wins for Machida Zelvia.

Match statistics
11
Total shots
13
3
Shots on target
3
1.55
Actual xG
1.31
2
Saves
3
37%
Possession
63%
5
Corners
7
12
Tackles
16
1
🟨 Yellow cards
0
Match Events
28'
Ryohei Shirasaki⚽
63'
Takahiro Akimoto / Takuma Nishimura ↕
63'
Koki Ogawa / Mitchell Duke ↕
72'
Thomas Ouwejan / Henry Heroki Mochizuki ↕
72'
Hiroyuki Mae / Hokuto Shimoda ↕
↕ João Teixeira / Xie Pengfei
74'
↕ Gao Tianyi / Jin Shunkai
74'
Xie Pengfei
77'
↕ Luis Asue / Han Jiawen
80'
82'
Yuki Soma / Keiya Sento ↕
↕ Jiang Shenglong / Li Songyi
82'
Pre-match prediction
30.87%
Shanghai
30.64%
X
38.5%
Machida ←
we assigned to the actual result (Machida Zelvia) 38.5% (low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
Shanghai
0.98
1.55
+0.57
Machida
1.11
1.31
+0.2
xG dominance was balanced (1.55 – 1.31). The final result does not reflect the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
League Table
#Team GPts
1 Machida Zelvia Machida Zelvia 3 9
2 Svay Rieng Svay Rieng 3 4
3 Shanghai Shenhua Shanghai Shenhua 3 4
4 Tampines Rovers Tampines Rovers 3 0
Lineups
Shanghai Shenhua Shanghai Shenhua 3-4-1-2
24 Ma Zhen Ma Zhen G 6.39
26 Yang Shuai Yang Shuai D 6.77
4 Jiang Shenglong Jiang Shenglong 82' D 6.77
16 Yang Zexiang Yang Zexiang D 6.67
21 Xu Haoyang Xu Haoyang M 6.17
17 Gao Tianyi Gao Tianyi 74' M 6.12
33 Wang Haijian Wang Haijian M 6.61
13 Wilson Manafá Wilson Manafá D 7.07
10 João Teixeira João Teixeira 74' M 6.47
9 Rafael Ratão Rafael Ratão F 6.34
19 Luís Asué Luís Asué 80' F 6.15
Bench
45 Han Jiawen Han Jiawen 10' M 6.30
36 Huang Ming Huang Ming M 0.00
3 Jin Shunkai Jin Shunkai 16' D 6.36
6 Li Songyi Li Songyi 8' D 5.77
2 Wang Shilong Wang Shilong D 0.00
30 Xie Pengfei Xie Pengfei 16' F 5.98
1 Xue Qinghao Xue Qinghao G 0.00
43 Yang Haoyu Yang Haoyu M 0.00
Machida Zelvia Machida Zelvia 3-4-3
1 K. Tani K. Tani G 7.32
5 I. Drešević I. Drešević D 7.94
24 Kim Min-Tae Kim Min-Tae D 7.26
6 H. Mochizuki H. Mochizuki 72' D 6.90
34 Futa Tokumura Futa Tokumura F 6.20
18 H. Shimoda H. Shimoda 72' M 6.75
23 R. Shirasaki R. Shirasaki 1 ⚽ M 8.20
88 H. Nakamura H. Nakamura D 7.54
8 K. Sento K. Sento 82' M 6.45
15 M. Duke M. Duke 63' F 6.47
20 T. Nishimura T. Nishimura 63' F 6.37
Bench
3 G. Shōji G. Shōji D 0.00
16 H. Mae H. Mae 18' M 7.17
9 Koki Ogawa Koki Ogawa 27' F 6.96
89 N. Guimaraes N. Guimaraes G 0.00
33 T. Akimoto T. Akimoto 27' M 7.04
13 T. Morita T. Morita G 0.00
2 T. Ouwejan T. Ouwejan 18' D 6.57
7 Y. Soma Y. Soma 8' F 6.71
Best on the pitch
R. Shirasaki
R. Shirasaki
M · Machida
8.20
1 ⚽
2 shots · 98 pass
I. Drešević
I. Drešević
D · Machida
7.94
1 shots · 84 pass
H. Nakamura
H. Nakamura
D · Machida
7.54
· 51 pass
K. Tani
K. Tani
G · Machida
7.32
· 35 pass
Kim Min-Tae
Kim Min-Tae
D · Machida
7.26
· 82 pass
H. Mae
H. Mae
M · Machida
7.17
· 25 pass
Shanghai Shenhua Shanghai Shenhua — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
Ma Zhen G 90 6.39 — — 0 38 21% 0 — —
Yang Shuai D 90 6.77 — — 1 33 29% 1 — —
Jiang Shenglong D 82 6.77 — — 0 42 36% 1 — —
Yang Zexiang D 90 6.67 — — 1 40 31% 2 — —
Xu Haoyang M 90 6.17 — — 0 33 24% 1 — —
Gao Tianyi M 74 6.12 — — 1 32 27% 2 — —
Wang Haijian M 90 6.61 — — 0 34 32% 2 — —
Wilson Manafá D 90 7.07 — — 0 47 41% 0 — —
João Teixeira M 74 6.47 — — 1 38 32% 1 — —
Rafael Ratão F 90 6.34 — — 4 17 13% 0 — —
Luís Asué F 80 6.15 — — 2 21 14% 0 — —
Han Jiawen M 10 6.30 — — 0 4 4% 1 — —
Jin Shunkai D 16 6.36 — — 0 6 6% 1 — —
Li Songyi D 8 5.77 — — 0 8 6% 0 — —
Xie Pengfei F 16 5.98 — — 1 5 2% 0 1 —
Machida Zelvia Machida Zelvia — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
K. Tani G 90 7.32 — — 0 35 25% 0 — —
I. Drešević D 90 7.94 — — 1 84 77% 2 — —
Kim Min-Tae D 90 7.26 — — 0 82 77% 3 — —
H. Mochizuki D 72 6.90 — — 0 73 69% 0 — —
Futa Tokumura F 90 6.20 — — 0 34 30% 1 — —
H. Shimoda M 72 6.75 — — 1 82 72% 0 — —
R. Shirasaki M 90 8.20 1 — 2 98 93% 0 — —
H. Nakamura D 90 7.54 — — 0 51 47% 4 — —
K. Sento M 82 6.45 — — 3 31 27% 0 — —
M. Duke F 63 6.47 — — 2 22 16% 0 — —
T. Nishimura F 63 6.37 — — 1 20 16% 3 — —
H. Mae M 18 7.17 — — 0 25 25% 1 — —
Koki Ogawa F 27 6.96 — — 2 11 9% 2 — —
T. Akimoto M 27 7.04 — — 0 24 22% 0 — —
T. Ouwejan D 18 6.57 — — 0 14 14% 0 — —
Y. Soma F 8 6.71 — — 1 4 2% 0 — —
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Shanghai Shenhua vs Machida Zelvia?
The final score was Shanghai Shenhua 0–1 Machida Zelvia.
What did the model predict before Shanghai Shenhua vs Machida Zelvia?
The model assigned 30% probability to a Shanghai Shenhua win, 30% to a draw, and 38% to an Machida Zelvia win.