✗Model wrong — prediction Shanghai Shenhua, result Sichuan Jiuniu wins
Rafael Ratao
24'
(pen.)
5'
A. Ademi
(pen.)
17'
E. Kartsev
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Shanghai Shenhua a 63% win probability (draw 20%, Sichuan Jiuniu 15%). The final result was Shanghai Shenhua 1–2 Sichuan Jiuniu.
Match statistics
7
Total shots
7
3
Shots on target
6
4
Saves
2
60%
Possession
40%
7
Corners
5
20
Tackles
9
3
🟨 Yellow cards
1
Match Events
5'
A. Ademi⚽
Yang Zexiang
16'
17'
(pen.)
E. Kartsev⚽
⚽Rafael Ratao
(pen.)
24'
28'
Yu Rui
Wang Haijian
/ Xie Pengfei
58'
61'
Wesley Moraes
/
Xia Dalong
61'
Yao Junsheng
/
Dai Wai-Tsun
63'
Chan Shinichi
69'
69'
Jiang Zhipeng
/
Tian Yifan
Yang Zexiang
/ Wang Shilong
76'
Yang Haoyu
/ L. Ke
76'
85'
J. Yao
/
D. Owusu-Sekyere
85'
Zhang Xiaobin
/
A. Ademi
Xu Haoyang
/ Yang Shuai
88'
Wang Shilong
90'+5
Pre-match prediction
63.78%
Shanghai
20.34%
X
15.88%
Sichuan ←
✗ Wrong prediction —
we assigned to the actual result (Sichuan Jiuniu)
15.88%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
2.05
—
—
0.57
—
—
Lineups
1
Xue Qinghao
G
Xue Qinghao
G
27
Shinichi Chan
D
5
Chenjie Zhu
D
Chenjie Zhu
D
3
Jin Shunkai
D
Jin Shunkai
D
16
Yang Zexiang
76'
D
Yang Zexiang
76'
D
17
Gao Tianyi
M
Gao Tianyi
M
33
Haijian Wang
58'
M
Haijian Wang
58'
M
15
Wu Xi
M
Wu Xi
M
43
Haoyu Yang
76'
M
Haoyu Yang
76'
M
21
Haoyang Xu
88'
M
Haoyang Xu
88'
M
9
Rafael Ratão
1 ⚽
F
Rafael Ratão
1 ⚽
F
Bench
45
Jiawen Han
M
Jiawen Han
M
8
Li Ke
14'
M
Li Ke
14'
M
18
Liu Chengyu
F
Liu Chengyu
F
36
Ming Huang
D
Ming Huang
D
2
Shilong Wang
14'
D
Shilong Wang
14'
D
40
Wang Jie
G
Wang Jie
G
38
Wu Qipeng
D
Wu Qipeng
D
30
Xie Pengfei
32'
M
Xie Pengfei
32'
M
26
Yang Shuai
13'
D
Yang Shuai
13'
D
24
Zhen Ma
G
Zhen Ma
G
25
Zhu Yue
D
Zhu Yue
D
13
Peng Peng
G
Peng Peng
G
14
Li Long
D
Li Long
D
46
Huanming Shen
D
Huanming Shen
D
15
Rui Yu
D
Rui Yu
D
2
Tian Yifan
69'
D
Tian Yifan
69'
D
8
Tim Chow
M
Tim Chow
M
36
Eden Karzev
1 ⚽
M
Eden Karzev
1 ⚽
M
11
Albion Ademi
1 ⚽
85'
M
Albion Ademi
1 ⚽
85'
M
10
Dai Wai Tsun
61'
M
Dai Wai Tsun
61'
M
31
Deabeas Owusu-Sekyere
85'
M
Deabeas Owusu-Sekyere
85'
M
29
Dalong Xia
61'
F
Dalong Xia
61'
F
Bench
37
Hu Jiajin
M
Hu Jiajin
M
1
Jiabao Ji
G
Jiabao Ji
G
4
Jiang Zhipeng
21'
D
Jiang Zhipeng
21'
D
6
Junsheng Yao
29'
M
Junsheng Yao
29'
M
5
Ruibao Hu
D
Ruibao Hu
D
34
Shahsat Hujahmat
F
Shahsat Hujahmat
F
21
Song Nan
M
Song Nan
M
35
Wei Minzhe
G
Wei Minzhe
G
7
Wesley Moraes
29'
F
Wesley Moraes
29'
F
12
Xiaobing Zhang
16'
M
Xiaobing Zhang
16'
M
54
Yao Junyi
16'
D
Yao Junyi
16'
D
56
Yuheng Wang
M
Yuheng Wang
M
Best on the pitch
Albion Ademi
M · Sichuan
8.20
1 ⚽
1 shots
· 16 pass
Eden Karzev
M · Sichuan
7.70
1 ⚽
1 shots
· 36 pass
Jin Shunkai
D · Shanghai
7.30
· 44 pass
Rui Yu
D · Sichuan
7.30
· 26 pass
Jiang Zhipeng
D · Sichuan
7.30
· 9 pass
Shinichi Chan
D · Shanghai
7.20
· 49 pass
Shanghai Shenhua — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Xue Qinghao | G | 90 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 26 | 20% | — | — | — |
| Shinichi Chan | D | 90 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 49 | 42% | 4 | 1 | — |
| Chenjie Zhu | D | 90 | 7.00 | — | — | 2 | 49 | 43% | 1 | — | — |
| Jin Shunkai | D | 90 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 44 | 37% | 1 | — | — |
| Yang Zexiang | D | 76 | 5.20 | — | — | — | 31 | 25% | 1 | 1 | — |
| Gao Tianyi | M | 90 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 54 | 38% | 5 | — | — |
| Haijian Wang | M | 58 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 22 | 17% | — | — | — |
| Wu Xi | M | 90 | 7.20 | — | — | 2 | 52 | 42% | 1 | — | — |
| Haoyu Yang | M | 76 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 16 | 15% | 2 | — | — |
| Haoyang Xu | M | 88 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 41 | 36% | 1 | — | — |
| Rafael Ratão | F | 90 | 7.00 | 1 | — | 3 | 23 | 17% | 1 | — | — |
| Li Ke | M | 14 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 13 | 12% | 1 | — | — |
| Shilong Wang | D | 14 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 11 | 11% | — | 1 | — |
| Xie Pengfei | M | 32 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 15 | 11% | — | — | — |
| Yang Shuai | D | 13 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 8 | 5% | 2 | — | — |
Sichuan Jiuniu — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Peng Peng | G | 90 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 29 | 14% | — | — | — |
| Li Long | D | 90 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 29 | 18% | 2 | — | — |
| Huanming Shen | D | 90 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 38 | 32% | 1 | — | — |
| Rui Yu | D | 90 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 26 | 21% | — | 1 | — |
| Tian Yifan | D | 69 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 23 | 19% | — | — | — |
| Tim Chow | M | 90 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 40 | 33% | — | — | — |
| Eden Karzev | M | 90 | 7.70 | 1 | — | 1 | 36 | 31% | 5 | — | — |
| Albion Ademi | M | 85 | 8.20 | 1 | — | 1 | 16 | 13% | — | — | — |
| Dai Wai Tsun | M | 61 | 6.50 | — | — | 2 | 19 | 15% | — | — | — |
| Deabeas Owusu-Sekyere | M | 85 | 6.70 | — | — | 2 | 14 | 13% | 1 | — | — |
| Dalong Xia | F | 61 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 11 | 7% | — | — | — |
| Jiang Zhipeng | D | 21 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 9 | 6% | — | — | — |
| Junsheng Yao | M | 29 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 10 | 7% | — | — | — |
| Wesley Moraes | F | 29 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 7 | 4% | — | — | — |
| Xiaobing Zhang | M | 16 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 6 | 5% | — | — | — |
| Yao Junyi | D | 16 | 6.60 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Shanghai Shenhua vs Sichuan Jiuniu?
The final score was Shanghai Shenhua 1–2 Sichuan Jiuniu.
What did the model predict before Shanghai Shenhua vs Sichuan Jiuniu?
The model assigned 63% probability to a Shanghai Shenhua win, 20% to a draw, and 15% to an Sichuan Jiuniu win.