SHANGHAI SIPG - Buriram United
AFC Champions League
November 24, 2026 13:15
⚡ Pre-match analysis
49.6%
Win
SHANGHAI SIPG
25.7%
Draw
24.7%
Win
Buriram United
1.93
0.93
Expected xG
Market probabilities
Most likely result
1–0
(10.7%)
1X2 Result
1
50%
X
26%
2
25%
Double Chance
1X
75%
X2
50%
12
74%
Over / Under
Over 1.5
78%
Over 2.5
56%
The ForzaPitch prediction gives SHANGHAI SIPG a 49% win probability, against 25% for a draw and 24% for Buriram United. Expected goals are 1.9 for SHANGHAI SIPG and 0.9 for Buriram United (total 2.9), with a 78% probability of Over 1.5 goals. The most likely scoreline is 1–0 at 10.7% probability. In 1 previous meetings, SHANGHAI SIPG have won 0 times, with 0 draws and 1 wins for Buriram United.
Season Stats
1W
5D
5L
4W
6D
4L
Averages per game
1.0
Goals
1.1
1.7
Conceded
1.1
4.7
Shots OT
3.3
3.0
Corners
2.8
58%
Poss.
48%
Percentages
73%
O 1.5
71%
36%
O 2.5
36%
45%
BTTS
50%
27%
Clean Sht
36%
ℹ
Based on the last 14 matches in AFC Champions League. Bars use fixed scales (goals max 3.5, percentages 0–100%).
Venue Form
Goals signal (venue avg)
17%
O 3.5
54%
BTTS
0W
2D
4L
· at home
1W
4D
2L
· away
0.7
gls/g
0.7
2.0
Conceded
1.1
0%
Win %
14%
33%
Win or Draw
71%
83%
O 1.5
71%
50%
O 2.5
29%
33%
O 3.5
0%
50%
BTTS
57%
17%
Clean Sht
29%
50%
Failed to Score
29%
last 7
ℹ
Home team's record in home matches only · Away team's record in away matches only.
Score Matrix
↕ SHANGHAI SIPG
Buriram United →
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 5.7% | 5.3% | 2.5% | 0.8% | 0.2% | — |
| 1 | 11.1% | 10.3% | 4.7% | 1.5% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| 2 | 10.7% | 9.9% | 4.6% | 1.4% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| 3 | 6.9% | 6.4% | 3.0% | 0.9% | 0.2% | — |
| 4 | 3.3% | 3.1% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.1% | — |
| 5 | 1.3% | 1.2% | 0.6% | 0.2% | — | — |
Recent form
Playing profile
SHANGHAI SIPG
Attack
55
Defence
59
Form
60
Buriram United
Attack
35
Defence
63
Form
49
Indices on a 0–100 scale calculated by the model
Head-to-Head
0
0
Draw
1
4 Nov 2025
0–2
East Region
| # | Team | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Kashima
|
3 | 9 |
| 2 |
Vissel Kobe
|
3 | 9 |
| 3 |
Gamba Osaka
|
3 | 7 |
| 4 |
Johor Darul Takzim FC
|
3 | 7 |
| 5 |
Beijing Guoan
|
3 | 7 |
| 6 |
Kyoto Sanga
|
3 | 6 |
| 7 |
Kashiwa Reysol
|
3 | 4 |
| 8 |
SHANGHAI SIPG
|
3 | 4 |
| 9 |
Daejeon Citizen
|
3 | 4 |
| 10 |
Jeonbuk Motors
|
3 | 4 |
| 11 |
Công An Nhân Dân
|
3 | 3 |
| 12 |
Buriram United
|
3 | 2 |
| 13 |
Ratchaburi
|
3 | 1 |
| 14 |
Pohang Steelers
|
3 | 0 |
| 15 |
Port FC
|
3 | 0 |
| 16 |
Newcastle Jets
|
3 | 0 |
What's at stake · East Region
Top 2 advance to the next round
| Current | #8 | #12 |
| → SHANGHAI SIPG | #6 | #12 |
| → Draw | #7 | #11 |
| → Buriram United | #9 | #7 |
Projected ranking after this match only. Goal difference tiebreakers not applied.
Frequently Asked Questions
Who will win SHANGHAI SIPG vs Buriram United?
The model gives SHANGHAI SIPG a 49% win probability, 25% for a draw, and 24% for an Buriram United win.
How many goals are expected in SHANGHAI SIPG vs Buriram United?
Expected goals: SHANGHAI SIPG 1.9, Buriram United 0.9 (total 2.9). Probability of over 1.5 goals: 78%.
What is the most likely score in SHANGHAI SIPG vs Buriram United?
1–0 is the most probable final score, with an estimated probability of 10.7%.