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SHANGHAI SIPG - Buriram United

AFC Champions League November 24, 2026 13:15
#8 · 4 pts
vs
#12 · 2 pts
⚡ Pre-match analysis
49.6%
Win
SHANGHAI SIPG
25.7%
Draw
24.7%
Win
Buriram United
1.93
Expected xG
0.93

Market probabilities

Most likely result 1–0 (10.7%)
1X2 Result
1 50%
X 26%
2 25%
Double Chance
1X 75%
X2 50%
12 74%
Over / Under
Over 1.5 78%
Over 2.5 56%
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The ForzaPitch prediction gives SHANGHAI SIPG a 49% win probability, against 25% for a draw and 24% for Buriram United. Expected goals are 1.9 for SHANGHAI SIPG and 0.9 for Buriram United (total 2.9), with a 78% probability of Over 1.5 goals. The most likely scoreline is 1–0 at 10.7% probability. In 1 previous meetings, SHANGHAI SIPG have won 0 times, with 0 draws and 1 wins for Buriram United.

Season Stats

SHANGHAI SIPG
1W 5D 5L
Buriram United
4W 6D 4L
Averages per game
1.0
Goals
1.1
1.7
Conceded
1.1
4.7
Shots OT
3.3
3.0
Corners
2.8
58%
Poss.
48%
Percentages
73%
O 1.5
71%
36%
O 2.5
36%
45%
BTTS
50%
27%
Clean Sht
36%
ℹ Based on the last 14 matches in AFC Champions League. Bars use fixed scales (goals max 3.5, percentages 0–100%).

Venue Form

Goals signal (venue avg)
17%
O 3.5
54%
BTTS
SHANGHAI SIPG
0W 2D 4L · at home
Buriram United
1W 4D 2L · away
0.7
gls/g
0.7
2.0
Conceded
1.1
0%
Win %
14%
33%
Win or Draw
71%
83%
O 1.5
71%
50%
O 2.5
29%
33%
O 3.5
0%
50%
BTTS
57%
17%
Clean Sht
29%
50%
Failed to Score
29%
last 7
ℹ Home team's record in home matches only · Away team's record in away matches only.

Score Matrix

↕ SHANGHAI SIPG Buriram United →
0 1 2 3 4 5
0 5.7% 5.3% 2.5% 0.8% 0.2% —
1 11.1% 10.3% 4.7% 1.5% 0.3% 0.1%
2 10.7% 9.9% 4.6% 1.4% 0.3% 0.1%
3 6.9% 6.4% 3.0% 0.9% 0.2% —
4 3.3% 3.1% 1.4% 0.4% 0.1% —
5 1.3% 1.2% 0.6% 0.2% — —

Recent form

L Công An Nhân Dân 2–3
D Daejeon Citizen 1–1
W Ratchaburi 4–6
D Ulsan Hyundai FC 0–0
D Gangwon FC 0–0
Home clean sheet (120 days) 28%
D Gamba Osaka 1–1
L Beijing Guoan 0–1
D Johor Darul Takzim FC 1–1
L Shabab Al Ahli Dubai 2–3
D Melbourne City 0–0
Away clean sheet (120 days) 33%

Playing profile

SHANGHAI SIPG SHANGHAI SIPG
Attack
55
Defence
59
Form
60
Buriram United Buriram United
Attack
35
Defence
63
Form
49
Indices on a 0–100 scale calculated by the model

Head-to-Head

0
SHANGHAI SIPG
0
Draw
1
Buriram United
4 Nov 2025 AFC Champions League 0–2

East Region

What's at stake · East Region

Top 2 advance to the next round

SHANGHAI SIPG Buriram United
Current #8 #12
→ SHANGHAI SIPG #6 #12
→ Draw #7 #11
→ Buriram United #9 #7

Projected ranking after this match only. Goal difference tiebreakers not applied.

Frequently Asked Questions
Who will win SHANGHAI SIPG vs Buriram United?
The model gives SHANGHAI SIPG a 49% win probability, 25% for a draw, and 24% for an Buriram United win.
How many goals are expected in SHANGHAI SIPG vs Buriram United?
Expected goals: SHANGHAI SIPG 1.9, Buriram United 0.9 (total 2.9). Probability of over 1.5 goals: 78%.
What is the most likely score in SHANGHAI SIPG vs Buriram United?
1–0 is the most probable final score, with an estimated probability of 10.7%.