✗Model wrong — prediction Sheffield Utd, result Blackburn wins
H. Burrows
(ast. T. Cannon)
57'
12'
(ast. R. Morishita)
Y. Ohashi
32'
R. Morishita
45'
(ast. R. Alebiosu)
Y. Ohashi
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Sheffield Utd a 55% win probability (draw 28%, Blackburn 16%). The final result was Sheffield Utd 1–3 Blackburn. In 3 previous meetings, Sheffield Utd have won 3 times, with 0 draws and 0 wins for Blackburn.
Match statistics
9
Total shots
7
4
Shots on target
5
1.54
Actual xG
1.58
2
Saves
3
67%
Possession
33%
2
Corners
4
13
Tackles
17
2
🟨 Yellow cards
4
Match Events
12'
ast. R. Morishita ·
Y. Ohashi⚽
J. Tanganga
15'
32'
R. Morishita⚽
45'
ast. R. Alebiosu ·
Y. Ohashi⚽
M. McGuinness
/ T. Bindon
46'
J. Rothwell
/ O. Arblaster
46'
T. Chong
/ L. F. Hjelde
46'
J. Riedewald
/ S. Peck
46'
53'
R. Morishita
⚽H. Burrows
· ast. T. Cannon
57'
G. Hamer
58'
K. Hoever
/ F. Seriki
66'
67'
T. Cantwell
/
T. Gardner-Hickman
79'
M. Jorgensen
/
Y. Ohashi
82'
Y. Ribeiro
87'
M. Baradji
/
R. Morishita
87'
S. Wharton
/
Y. Ribeiro
90'+4
E. Cashin
90'+4
T. Cantwell
Pre-match prediction
55.14%
Sheffield
28.17%
X
16.69%
Blackburn ←
✗ Wrong prediction —
we assigned to the actual result (Blackburn)
16.69%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
1.42
1.54
+0.12
0.59
1.58
+0.99
xG dominance was balanced (1.54 – 1.58).
The final result does not reflect the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Lineups
17
G
14
Harrison Burrows
1 ⚽
D
Harrison Burrows
1 ⚽
D
25
M. McGuinness
45'
D
M. McGuinness
45'
D
2
J. Tanganga
D
J. Tanganga
D
12
Ki-Jana Hoever
66'
D
Ki-Jana Hoever
66'
D
48
J. Rothwell
45'
M
J. Rothwell
45'
M
44
J. Riedewald
45'
M
J. Riedewald
45'
M
8
G. Hamer
M
G. Hamer
M
45
P. Bamford
M
P. Bamford
M
24
T. Chong
45'
M
T. Chong
45'
M
7
T. Cannon
1 👟
F
T. Cannon
1 👟
F
Bench
11
A. Brooks
M
A. Brooks
M
10
C. O'Hare
M
C. O'Hare
M
9
D. Ings
F
38
Femi Seriki
29'
D
Femi Seriki
29'
D
5
Leo Fuhr Hjelde
50'
D
Leo Fuhr Hjelde
50'
D
4
O. Arblaster
50'
M
O. Arblaster
50'
M
42
Sydie Peck
50'
M
Sydie Peck
50'
M
22
G
20
E. Cashin
D
E. Cashin
D
15
S. McLoughlin
D
S. McLoughlin
D
38
D
4
Yuri Ribeiro
87'
M
Yuri Ribeiro
87'
M
5
Taylor Gardner-Hickman
67'
M
28
A. Forshaw
M
A. Forshaw
M
31
Kristi Montgomery
M
Kristi Montgomery
M
2
R. Alebiosu
1 👟
M
R. Alebiosu
1 👟
M
23
Yuki Ohashi
2 ⚽
79'
F
Yuki Ohashi
2 ⚽
79'
F
25
R. Morishita
1 ⚽
1 👟
87'
F
R. Morishita
1 ⚽
1 👟
87'
F
Bench
3
H. Pickering
D
H. Pickering
D
29
Mathias Jørgensen
16'
F
Mathias Jørgensen
16'
F
24
M. Baradji
8'
M
M. Baradji
8'
M
16
S. Wharton
8'
D
10
T. Cantwell
28'
M
T. Cantwell
28'
M
Best on the pitch
Yuki Ohashi
F · Blackburn
8.60
2 ⚽
3 shots
· 13 pass
G. Hamer
M · Sheffield
7.70
2 shots
· 48 pass
J. Tanganga
D · Sheffield
7.30
· 121 pass
Sydie Peck
M · Sheffield
7.30
· 56 pass
Femi Seriki
D · Sheffield
7.30
· 12 pass
Harrison Burrows
D · Sheffield
7.20
1 ⚽
2 shots
· 72 pass
Sheffield Utd — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | 95 | 6.00 | — | — | — | 32 | 25% | — | — | — | |
| Harrison Burrows | D | 95 | 7.20 | 1 | — | 2 | 72 | 58% | — | — | — |
| M. McGuinness | D | 45 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 68 | 65% | — | — | — |
| J. Tanganga | D | 95 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 121 | 112% | 2 | 1 | — |
| Ki-Jana Hoever | D | 66 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 54 | 41% | 1 | — | — |
| J. Rothwell | M | 45 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 24 | 21% | 1 | — | — |
| J. Riedewald | M | 45 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 49 | 46% | — | — | — |
| G. Hamer | M | 95 | 7.70 | — | — | 2 | 48 | 37% | 3 | 1 | — |
| P. Bamford | M | 95 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 17 | 12% | — | — | — |
| T. Chong | M | 45 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 17 | 17% | — | — | — |
| T. Cannon | F | 95 | 6.60 | — | 1 | 4 | 20 | 14% | 1 | — | — |
| Femi Seriki | D | 29 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 12 | 11% | 1 | — | — |
| Leo Fuhr Hjelde | D | 50 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 49 | 43% | 1 | — | — |
| O. Arblaster | M | 50 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 41 | 34% | 1 | — | — |
| Sydie Peck | M | 50 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 56 | 47% | 2 | — | — |
Blackburn — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | 95 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 28 | 14% | — | — | — | |
| E. Cashin | D | 95 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 55 | 44% | 1 | 1 | — |
| S. McLoughlin | D | 95 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 41 | 32% | 2 | — | — |
| D | 95 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 42 | 26% | 2 | — | — | |
| Yuri Ribeiro | M | 87 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 21 | 17% | 2 | 1 | — |
| Taylor Gardner-Hickman | M | 67 | 6.70 | — | — | 2 | 20 | 16% | 2 | — | — |
| A. Forshaw | M | 95 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 48 | 43% | — | — | — |
| Kristi Montgomery | M | 95 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 25 | 19% | 3 | — | — |
| R. Alebiosu | M | 95 | 7.20 | — | 1 | 1 | 25 | 19% | — | — | — |
| Yuki Ohashi | F | 79 | 8.60 | 2 | — | 3 | 13 | 11% | 3 | — | — |
| R. Morishita | F | 87 | 7.20 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 28 | 19% | — | 1 | — |
| Mathias Jørgensen | F | 16 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 3 | 2% | — | — | — |
| M. Baradji | M | 8 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 2 | 2% | 1 | — | — |
| S. Wharton | D | 8 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 1 | — | — | — | — |
| T. Cantwell | M | 28 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 3 | 3% | 1 | 1 | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Sheffield Utd vs Blackburn?
The final score was Sheffield Utd 1–3 Blackburn.
What did the model predict before Sheffield Utd vs Blackburn?
The model assigned 55% probability to a Sheffield Utd win, 28% to a draw, and 16% to an Blackburn win.