✗Model wrong — prediction Sheffield Utd, result Blackburn wins
H. Burrows
(ast. T. Cannon)
57'
12'
(ast. R. Morishita)
Y. Ohashi
32'
R. Morishita
45'
(ast. R. Alebiosu)
Y. Ohashi
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Sheffield Utd a 55% win probability (draw 28%, Blackburn 16%). The final result was Sheffield Utd 1–3 Blackburn. In 1 previous meetings, Sheffield Utd have won 1 times, with 0 draws and 0 wins for Blackburn.
Match statistics
9
Total shots
7
4
Shots on target
5
1.54
Actual xG
1.58
2
Saves
3
67%
Possession
33%
2
Corners
4
13
Tackles
17
2
🟨 Yellow cards
4
Match Events
12'
ast. R. Morishita ·
Y. Ohashi⚽
J. Tanganga
15'
32'
R. Morishita⚽
45'
ast. R. Alebiosu ·
Y. Ohashi⚽
M. McGuinness
/ T. Bindon
46'
J. Rothwell
/ O. Arblaster
46'
T. Chong
/ L. F. Hjelde
46'
J. Riedewald
/ S. Peck
46'
53'
R. Morishita
⚽H. Burrows
· ast. T. Cannon
57'
G. Hamer
58'
K. Hoever
/ F. Seriki
66'
67'
T. Cantwell
/
T. Gardner-Hickman
79'
M. Jorgensen
/
Y. Ohashi
82'
Y. Ribeiro
87'
M. Baradji
/
R. Morishita
87'
S. Wharton
/
Y. Ribeiro
90'+4
E. Cashin
90'+4
T. Cantwell
Pre-match prediction
55.14%
Sheffield
28.17%
X
16.69%
Blackburn ←
✗ Wrong prediction —
we assigned to the actual result (Blackburn)
16.69%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
1.42
1.54
+0.12
0.59
1.58
+0.99
xG dominance was balanced (1.54 – 1.58).
The final result does not reflect the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Lineups
17
G
14
Harrison Burrows
1 ⚽
D
Harrison Burrows
1 ⚽
D
25
Mark McGuinness
45'
D
Mark McGuinness
45'
D
2
Japhet Tanganga
D
Japhet Tanganga
D
12
K. Hoever
66'
D
48
Joe Rothwell
45'
M
Joe Rothwell
45'
M
44
Jaïro Riedewald
45'
M
Jaïro Riedewald
45'
M
8
G. Hamer
M
G. Hamer
M
45
Patrick Bamford
M
Patrick Bamford
M
24
Tahith Chong
45'
M
Tahith Chong
45'
M
7
Thomas Cannon
1 👟
F
Thomas Cannon
1 👟
F
Bench
11
A. Brooks
M
A. Brooks
M
10
Callum O'Hare
M
Callum O'Hare
M
9
D. Ings
F
38
Femi Seriki
29'
D
Femi Seriki
29'
D
5
L. F. Hjelde
50'
D
4
Oliver Arblaster
50'
M
Oliver Arblaster
50'
M
42
Sydie Peck
50'
M
Sydie Peck
50'
M
22
G
20
Eiran Cashin
D
Eiran Cashin
D
15
Sean McLoughlin
D
Sean McLoughlin
D
38
D
4
Yuri Ribeiro
87'
M
Yuri Ribeiro
87'
M
5
Taylor Gardner-Hickman
67'
M
28
Adam Forshaw
M
Adam Forshaw
M
31
Kristi Montgomery
M
Kristi Montgomery
M
2
Ryan Alebiosu
1 👟
M
Ryan Alebiosu
1 👟
M
23
Yuki Ohashi
2 ⚽
79'
F
Yuki Ohashi
2 ⚽
79'
F
25
Ryoya Morishita
1 ⚽
1 👟
87'
F
Ryoya Morishita
1 ⚽
1 👟
87'
F
Bench
3
Harry Pickering
D
Harry Pickering
D
24
M. Baradji
8'
M
29
M. Jorgensen
16'
F
16
S. Wharton
8'
D
10
Todd Cantwell
28'
M
Todd Cantwell
28'
M
Best on the pitch
Yuki Ohashi
F · Blackburn
8.60
2 ⚽
3 shots
· 13 pass
G. Hamer
M · Sheffield
7.70
2 shots
· 48 pass
Japhet Tanganga
D · Sheffield
7.30
· 121 pass
Sydie Peck
M · Sheffield
7.30
· 56 pass
Femi Seriki
D · Sheffield
7.30
· 12 pass
Harrison Burrows
D · Sheffield
7.20
1 ⚽
2 shots
· 72 pass
Sheffield Utd — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | 95 | 6.00 | — | — | — | 32 | 25% | — | — | — | |
| Harrison Burrows | D | 95 | 7.20 | 1 | — | 2 | 72 | 58% | — | — | — |
| Mark McGuinness | D | 45 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 68 | 65% | — | — | — |
| Japhet Tanganga | D | 95 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 121 | 112% | 2 | 1 | — |
| K. Hoever | D | 66 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 54 | 41% | 1 | — | — |
| Joe Rothwell | M | 45 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 24 | 21% | 1 | — | — |
| Jaïro Riedewald | M | 45 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 49 | 46% | — | — | — |
| G. Hamer | M | 95 | 7.70 | — | — | 2 | 48 | 37% | 3 | 1 | — |
| Patrick Bamford | M | 95 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 17 | 12% | — | — | — |
| Tahith Chong | M | 45 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 17 | 17% | — | — | — |
| Thomas Cannon | F | 95 | 6.60 | — | 1 | 4 | 20 | 14% | 1 | — | — |
| Femi Seriki | D | 29 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 12 | 11% | 1 | — | — |
| L. F. Hjelde | D | 50 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 49 | 43% | 1 | — | — |
| Oliver Arblaster | M | 50 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 41 | 34% | 1 | — | — |
| Sydie Peck | M | 50 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 56 | 47% | 2 | — | — |
Blackburn — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | 95 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 28 | 14% | — | — | — | |
| Eiran Cashin | D | 95 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 55 | 44% | 1 | 1 | — |
| Sean McLoughlin | D | 95 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 41 | 32% | 2 | — | — |
| D | 95 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 42 | 26% | 2 | — | — | |
| Yuri Ribeiro | M | 87 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 21 | 17% | 2 | 1 | — |
| Taylor Gardner-Hickman | M | 67 | 6.70 | — | — | 2 | 20 | 16% | 2 | — | — |
| Adam Forshaw | M | 95 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 48 | 43% | — | — | — |
| Kristi Montgomery | M | 95 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 25 | 19% | 3 | — | — |
| Ryan Alebiosu | M | 95 | 7.20 | — | 1 | 1 | 25 | 19% | — | — | — |
| Yuki Ohashi | F | 79 | 8.60 | 2 | — | 3 | 13 | 11% | 3 | — | — |
| Ryoya Morishita | F | 87 | 7.20 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 28 | 19% | — | 1 | — |
| M. Baradji | M | 8 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 2 | 2% | 1 | — | — |
| M. Jorgensen | F | 16 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 3 | 2% | — | — | — |
| S. Wharton | D | 8 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 1 | — | — | — | — |
| Todd Cantwell | M | 28 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 3 | 3% | 1 | 1 | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Sheffield Utd vs Blackburn?
The final score was Sheffield Utd 1–3 Blackburn.
What did the model predict before Sheffield Utd vs Blackburn?
The model assigned 55% probability to a Sheffield Utd win, 28% to a draw, and 16% to an Blackburn win.