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Championship · Regular Season - 12 October 24, 2026 13:30 Bramall Lane, Sheffield
Sheffield Utd
#12 · 16 pts
1 – 1
Final score
Derby
#23 · 7 pts
Patrick Bamford (ast. Romelle Donovan) 79'
37' Bobby Clark
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The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Sheffield Utd a 47% win probability (draw 28%, Derby 23%). The final result was Sheffield Utd 1–1 Derby. In 2 previous meetings, Sheffield Utd have won 1 times, with 0 draws and 1 wins for Derby.

Match statistics
25
Total shots
11
10
Shots on target
4
2.55
Actual xG
1.15
3
Saves
10
62%
Possession
38%
7
Corners
7
13
Tackles
18
2
🟨 Yellow cards
2
0
🟥 Red cards
1
Match Events
17'
Ryan Nyambe
37'
Bobby Clark⚽
50'
Dion Sanderson
↕ Oliver Arblaster / Sydie Peck
57'
↕ Hamza Choudhury / Femi Seriki
57'
Liam Kitching
64'
66'
Dion Sanderson
↕ Ben Brereton / Romelle Donovan
67'
↕ Thomas Cannon / Jordan Ayew
67'
73'
Oscar Fraulo / Henrik Wendel Meister ↕
73'
Jack Robinson / Sammie Szmodics ↕
73'
max johnston / Rhian Brewster ↕
Sydie Peck
75'
⚽Patrick Bamford · ast. Romelle Donovan
79'
81'
Lars-Jørgen Salvesen / Joe Ward ↕
↕ Patrick Bamford / Tyrese Campbell
81'
90'+4
Bobby Clark
90'+5
Filip Bilbija / D. Ozoh ↕
Pre-match prediction
47.53%
Sheffield
28.49%
X ←
23.98%
Derby
we assigned to the actual result (Draw) 28.49% (low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
Sheffield
1.44
2.55
+1.11
Derby
0.84
1.15
+0.3
Sheffield Utd dominated by xG (2.55 vs 1.15). The final result does not reflect the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
League Table
#Team GPts
1 Middlesbrough Middlesbrough 12 25
2 Swansea Swansea 12 23
3 West Ham West Ham 12 22
4 Wolves Wolves 12 21
5 West Brom West Brom 12 21
6 Southampton Southampton 12 20
7 Birmingham Birmingham 12 20
8 QPR QPR 12 20
9 Stoke City Stoke City 12 20
10 Blackburn Blackburn 12 18
11 Portsmouth Portsmouth 12 18
12 Sheffield Utd Sheffield Utd 12 16
13 Millwall Millwall 12 15
14 Bristol City Bristol City 12 15
15 Lincoln Lincoln 12 15
16 Cardiff Cardiff 12 14
17 Wrexham Wrexham 12 14
18 Bolton Bolton 12 14
19 Charlton Charlton 12 14
20 Norwich Norwich 12 12
21 Watford Watford 12 11
22 Burnley Burnley 12 8
23 Derby Derby 12 7
24 Preston Preston 12 5
Lineups
Sheffield Utd Sheffield Utd 4-2-3-1
1 M. Cooper M. Cooper G 7.08
14 H. Burrows H. Burrows D 6.87
15 L. Kitching L. Kitching D 6.44
5 J. Tanganga J. Tanganga D 6.78
8 H. Choudhury H. Choudhury 57' D 6.61
4 O. Arblaster O. Arblaster 57' M 6.69
27 K. Phillips K. Phillips M 7.04
22 B. Brereton B. Brereton 67' M 6.34
9 T. Cannon T. Cannon 67' M 6.34
19 T. Chong T. Chong M 6.60
45 P. Bamford P. Bamford 1 ⚽ 81' F 7.97
Bench
38 F. Seriki F. Seriki 33' D 6.68
10 J. Ayew J. Ayew 23' F 6.41
33 J. Baptiste J. Baptiste M 0.00
7 J. Rothwell J. Rothwell M 0.00
11 R. Donovan R. Donovan 1 👟 23' M 7.26
3 S. McCallum S. McCallum D 0.00
42 Sydie Peck Sydie Peck 33' M 6.11
23 T. Campbell T. Campbell 9' F 7.07
Derby Derby 4-2-3-1
1 J. Widell Zetterström J. Widell Zetterström G 8.06
26 R. Hedges R. Hedges D 6.03
28 D. Sanderson D. Sanderson 66' D 6.20
24 R. Nyambe R. Nyambe D 6.48
23 J. Ward J. Ward 81' D 6.74
4 D. Ozoh D. Ozoh M 7.05
8 B. Clark B. Clark 1 ⚽ M 7.94
19 H. Meister H. Meister 73' M 6.60
11 S. Szmodics S. Szmodics 73' M 7.20
10 R. Brewster R. Brewster 73' M 6.27
9 C. Morris C. Morris F 6.22
Bench
20 A. Mowatt A. Mowatt M 0.00
33 C. Blackett-Taylor C. Blackett-Taylor F 0.00
13 F. Bilbija F. Bilbija 1' M 0.00
14 J. Robinson J. Robinson 17' D 6.92
31 J. Vickers J. Vickers G 0.00
15 L. Salvesen L. Salvesen 9' F 6.44
16 M. Fuseini M. Fuseini F 0.00
22 M. Johnston M. Johnston 17' D 6.70
29 O. Fraulo O. Fraulo 17' M 6.42
Best on the pitch
J. Widell Zetterström
J. Widell Zetterström
G · Derby
8.06
· 36 pass
P. Bamford
P. Bamford
F · Sheffield
7.97
1 ⚽
2 shots · 13 pass
B. Clark
B. Clark
M · Derby
7.94
1 ⚽
3 shots · 29 pass
R. Donovan
R. Donovan
M · Sheffield
7.26
1 👟
3 shots · 14 pass
S. Szmodics
S. Szmodics
M · Derby
7.20
2 shots · 20 pass
M. Cooper
M. Cooper
G · Sheffield
7.08
· 32 pass
Sheffield Utd Sheffield Utd — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
M. Cooper G 90 7.08 — — 0 32 24% 0 — —
H. Burrows D 90 6.87 — — 2 47 37% 0 — —
L. Kitching D 90 6.44 — — 0 54 46% 0 1 —
J. Tanganga D 90 6.78 — — 4 63 55% 1 — —
H. Choudhury D 57 6.61 — — 0 21 17% 2 — —
O. Arblaster M 57 6.69 — — 2 17 15% 3 — —
K. Phillips M 90 7.04 — — 1 70 59% 4 — —
B. Brereton M 67 6.34 — — 2 13 10% 0 — —
T. Cannon M 67 6.34 — — 1 8 3% 0 — —
T. Chong M 90 6.60 — — 2 24 21% 2 — —
P. Bamford F 81 7.97 1 — 2 13 9% 0 — —
F. Seriki D 33 6.68 — — 0 22 18% 0 — —
J. Ayew F 23 6.41 — — 0 4 1% 0 — —
R. Donovan M 23 7.26 — 1 3 14 9% 1 — —
Sydie Peck M 33 6.11 — — 4 18 17% 0 1 —
T. Campbell F 9 7.07 — — 2 6 6% 0 — —
Derby Derby — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
J. Widell Zetterström G 90 8.06 — — 0 36 13% 0 — —
R. Hedges D 90 6.03 — — 2 25 16% 2 — —
D. Sanderson D 66 6.20 — — 0 22 20% 0 — 1
R. Nyambe D 90 6.48 — — 0 17 13% 1 1 —
J. Ward D 81 6.74 — — 0 29 21% 1 — —
D. Ozoh M 95 7.05 — — 0 21 18% 7 — —
B. Clark M 90 7.94 1 — 3 29 21% 3 1 —
H. Meister M 73 6.60 — — 3 7 4% 1 — —
S. Szmodics M 73 7.20 — — 2 20 17% 1 — —
R. Brewster M 73 6.27 — — 0 28 17% 0 — —
C. Morris F 90 6.22 — — 1 22 15% 1 — —
F. Bilbija M 1 0.00 — — 0 0 0% 0 — —
J. Robinson D 17 6.92 — — 0 1 1% 0 — —
L. Salvesen F 9 6.44 — — 0 3 1% 0 — —
M. Johnston D 17 6.70 — — 0 1 1% 1 — —
O. Fraulo M 17 6.42 — — 0 2 1% 0 — —
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Sheffield Utd vs Derby?
The final score was Sheffield Utd 1–1 Derby.
What did the model predict before Sheffield Utd vs Derby?
The model assigned 47% probability to a Sheffield Utd win, 28% to a draw, and 23% to an Derby win.