✗Model wrong — prediction Sheffield Utd, result Preston wins
G. Hamer
71'
(pen.)
P. Bamford
(ast. C. O'Hare)
82'
5'
(ast. J. Thompson)
L. Lindsay
20'
(ast. A. Devine)
L. Lindsay
76'
(ast. A. Devine)
L. Dobbin
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Sheffield Utd a 55% win probability (draw 24%, Preston 19%). The final result was Sheffield Utd 2–3 Preston. In 1 previous meetings, Sheffield Utd have won 0 times, with 0 draws and 1 wins for Preston.
Match statistics
8
Total shots
8
3
Shots on target
6
2.00
Actual xG
2.80
3
Saves
1
69%
Possession
31%
8
Corners
5
9
Tackles
17
0
🟨 Yellow cards
3
Match Events
5'
ast. J. Thompson ·
L. Lindsay⚽
16'
J. Thompson
20'
ast. A. Devine ·
L. Lindsay⚽
32'
A. Vukcevic
L. F. Hjelde
/ H. Burrows
46'
T. Chong
/ D. Ings
54'
63'
R. Brady
/
T. Small
63'
B. Potts
/
P. Valentin
⚽G. Hamer
(pen.)
71'
76'
ast. A. Devine ·
L. Dobbin⚽
O. Arblaster
/ J. Rothwell
81'
⚽P. Bamford
· ast. C. O'Hare
82'
83'
D. Iversen
87'
L. Gibson
/
A. Vukcevic
90'+3
M. Smith
/
D. Jebbison
C. O'Hare
/ T. Cannon
90'+3
F. Seriki
/ K. Hoever
90'+3
Pre-match prediction
55.94%
Sheffield
24.22%
X
19.84%
Preston ←
✗ Wrong prediction —
we assigned to the actual result (Preston)
19.84%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
1.76
2.00
+0.24
0.93
2.80
+1.87
Preston dominated by xG (2.80 vs 2.00).
The final result reflects the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Lineups
17
G
5
L. F. Hjelde
45'
D
25
Mark McGuinness
D
Mark McGuinness
D
2
Japhet Tanganga
D
Japhet Tanganga
D
38
Femi Seriki
D
Femi Seriki
D
4
Oliver Arblaster
81'
M
Oliver Arblaster
81'
M
42
Sydie Peck
M
Sydie Peck
M
10
Callum O'Hare
1 👟
M
Callum O'Hare
1 👟
M
8
G. Hamer
1 ⚽
M
G. Hamer
1 ⚽
M
24
Tahith Chong
54'
M
Tahith Chong
54'
M
45
Patrick Bamford
1 ⚽
F
Patrick Bamford
1 ⚽
F
Bench
19
Chiedozie Ogbene
F
Chiedozie Ogbene
F
9
D. Ings
40'
F
14
Harrison Burrows
49'
D
Harrison Burrows
49'
D
44
Jaïro Riedewald
M
Jaïro Riedewald
M
48
Joe Rothwell
13'
M
Joe Rothwell
13'
M
12
K. Hoever
1'
D
7
Thomas Cannon
1'
F
Thomas Cannon
1'
F
1
Daniel Iversen
G
Daniel Iversen
G
3
Andrija Vukčević
87'
D
Andrija Vukčević
87'
D
6
Liam Lindsay
2 ⚽
D
Liam Lindsay
2 ⚽
D
14
Jordan Storey
D
Jordan Storey
D
2
Pol Valentín
63'
D
Pol Valentín
63'
D
26
T. Small
63'
M
21
Alfie Devine
2 👟
M
Alfie Devine
2 👟
M
15
Jordan Thompson
1 👟
M
Jordan Thompson
1 👟
M
23
Andrew Moran
M
Andrew Moran
M
17
Lewis Dobbin
1 ⚽
F
Lewis Dobbin
1 ⚽
F
9
D. Jebbison
F
Bench
44
B. Potts
31'
M
19
L. Gibson
7'
D
L. Gibson
7'
D
Best on the pitch
Liam Lindsay
D · Preston
8.90
2 ⚽
2 shots
· 14 pass
Sydie Peck
M · Sheffield
8.30
1 shots
· 82 pass
Lewis Dobbin
F · Preston
7.90
1 ⚽
3 shots
· 16 pass
Alfie Devine
M · Preston
7.90
2 👟
· 33 pass
Mark McGuinness
D · Sheffield
7.30
1 shots
· 42 pass
Andrew Moran
M · Preston
7.30
2 shots
· 17 pass
Sheffield Utd — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | 94 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 26 | 14% | — | — | — | |
| L. F. Hjelde | D | 45 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 14 | 10% | 1 | — | — |
| Mark McGuinness | D | 94 | 7.30 | — | — | 1 | 42 | 36% | 1 | — | — |
| Japhet Tanganga | D | 94 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 42 | 36% | 2 | — | — |
| Femi Seriki | D | 93 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 42 | 34% | 3 | — | — |
| Oliver Arblaster | M | 81 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 39 | 37% | — | — | — |
| Sydie Peck | M | 94 | 8.30 | — | — | 1 | 82 | 69% | — | — | — |
| Callum O'Hare | M | 93 | 6.90 | — | 1 | 2 | 29 | 22% | 2 | — | — |
| G. Hamer | M | 94 | 7.00 | 1 | — | 1 | 45 | 37% | — | — | — |
| Tahith Chong | M | 54 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 13 | 10% | — | — | — |
| Patrick Bamford | F | 94 | 6.90 | 1 | — | 2 | 12 | 9% | — | — | — |
| D. Ings | F | 40 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 12 | 12% | — | — | — |
| Harrison Burrows | D | 49 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 30 | 26% | — | — | — |
| Joe Rothwell | M | 13 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 19 | 18% | — | — | — |
| K. Hoever | D | 1 | — | — | — | — | 1 | 1% | — | — | — |
| Thomas Cannon | F | 1 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Preston — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Daniel Iversen | G | 94 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 32 | 4% | — | 1 | — |
| Andrija Vukčević | D | 87 | 5.70 | — | — | — | 9 | 5% | — | 1 | — |
| Liam Lindsay | D | 94 | 8.90 | 2 | — | 2 | 14 | 4% | 1 | — | — |
| Jordan Storey | D | 94 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 10 | 5% | 2 | — | — |
| Pol Valentín | D | 63 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 7 | 3% | 1 | — | — |
| T. Small | M | 63 | 6.70 | — | — | 1 | 8 | 5% | 1 | — | — |
| Alfie Devine | M | 94 | 7.90 | — | 2 | — | 33 | 21% | 2 | — | — |
| Jordan Thompson | M | 94 | 7.20 | — | 1 | — | 25 | 13% | 4 | 1 | — |
| Andrew Moran | M | 94 | 7.30 | — | — | 2 | 17 | 11% | 3 | — | — |
| Lewis Dobbin | F | 94 | 7.90 | 1 | — | 3 | 16 | 15% | 1 | — | — |
| D. Jebbison | F | 93 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 12 | 8% | — | — | — |
| B. Potts | M | 31 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 8 | 6% | 2 | — | — |
| L. Gibson | D | 7 | — | — | — | — | 1 | — | — | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Sheffield Utd vs Preston?
The final score was Sheffield Utd 2–3 Preston.
What did the model predict before Sheffield Utd vs Preston?
The model assigned 55% probability to a Sheffield Utd win, 24% to a draw, and 19% to an Preston win.