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#15 · 0 pts
2 – 3
Final score
#13 · 0 pts
Model wrong — prediction Sheffield Utd, result Preston wins
G. Hamer 71' (pen.)
P. Bamford (ast. C. O'Hare) 82'
5' (ast. J. Thompson) L. Lindsay
20' (ast. A. Devine) L. Lindsay
76' (ast. A. Devine) L. Dobbin
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The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Sheffield Utd a 55% win probability (draw 24%, Preston 19%). The final result was Sheffield Utd 2–3 Preston. In 1 previous meetings, Sheffield Utd have won 0 times, with 0 draws and 1 wins for Preston.

Match statistics
8
Total shots
8
3
Shots on target
6
2.00
Actual xG
2.80
3
Saves
1
69%
Possession
31%
8
Corners
5
9
Tackles
17
0
🟨 Yellow cards
3
Match Events
5'
ast. J. Thompson · L. Lindsay
16'
J. Thompson
20'
ast. A. Devine · L. Lindsay
32'
A. Vukcevic
L. F. Hjelde / H. Burrows
46'
T. Chong / D. Ings
54'
63'
R. Brady / T. Small
63'
B. Potts / P. Valentin
G. Hamer (pen.)
71'
76'
ast. A. Devine · L. Dobbin
O. Arblaster / J. Rothwell
81'
P. Bamford · ast. C. O'Hare
82'
83'
D. Iversen
87'
L. Gibson / A. Vukcevic
90'+3
M. Smith / D. Jebbison
C. O'Hare / T. Cannon
90'+3
F. Seriki / K. Hoever
90'+3
Pre-match prediction
55.94%
Sheffield
24.22%
X
19.84%
Preston ←
✗ Wrong prediction — we assigned to the actual result (Preston) 19.84% (low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
Sheffield
1.76
2.00
+0.24
Preston
0.93
2.80
+1.87
Preston dominated by xG (2.80 vs 2.00). The final result reflects the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
League Table
#Team GPts
1 Birmingham Birmingham 0 0
2 Blackburn Blackburn 0 0
3 Bolton Bolton 0 0
4 Derby Derby 0 0
5 Middlesbrough Middlesbrough 0 0
6 Portsmouth Portsmouth 0 0
7 West Ham West Ham 0 0
8 Bristol City Bristol City 0 0
9 Burnley Burnley 0 0
10 Cardiff Cardiff 0 0
11 Charlton Charlton 0 0
12 Norwich Norwich 0 0
13 Preston Preston 0 0
14 QPR QPR 0 0
15 Sheffield Utd Sheffield Utd 0 0
16 Stoke City Stoke City 0 0
17 Watford Watford 0 0
18 West Brom West Brom 0 0
19 Wolves Wolves 0 0
20 Millwall Millwall 0 0
21 Swansea Swansea 0 0
22 Lincoln Lincoln 0 0
23 Wrexham Wrexham 0 0
24 Southampton Southampton 0 0
Lineups
Sheffield Utd Sheffield Utd 4-2-3-1
17
G 6.90
5
L. F. Hjelde 45' D 6.30
25 Mark McGuinness Mark McGuinness D 7.30
2 J. Tanganga J. Tanganga D 6.70
38 F. Seriki F. Seriki D 6.90
4
O. Arblaster 81' M 6.70
42
S. Peck M 8.30
10 C. O'Hare C. O'Hare 1 👟 M 6.90
8 G. Hamer G. Hamer 1 ⚽ M 7.00
24 T. Chong T. Chong 54' M 6.60
45 P. Bamford P. Bamford 1 ⚽ F 6.90
Bench
19 Chiedozie Ogbene Chiedozie Ogbene F
9
D. Ings 40' F 6.90
14
H. Burrows 49' D 6.20
44
J. Riedewald M
48
J. Rothwell 13' M 6.90
12
K. Hoever 1' D
7 T. Cannon T. Cannon 1' F
Preston Preston 4-4-2
1
D. Iversen G 6.30
3
A. Vukcevic 87' D 5.70
6 L. Lindsay L. Lindsay 2 ⚽ D 8.90
14 J. Storey J. Storey D 6.20
2
P. Valentin 63' D 6.60
26
T. Small 63' M 6.70
21
A. Devine 2 👟 M 7.90
15
J. Thompson 1 👟 M 7.20
23 Andrew Moran Andrew Moran M 7.30
17 L. Dobbin L. Dobbin 1 ⚽ F 7.90
9
D. Jebbison F 6.50
Bench
44
B. Potts 31' M 6.30
19
L. Gibson 7' D
Best on the pitch
L. Lindsay
L. Lindsay
D · Preston
8.90
2 ⚽
2 shots · 14 pass
S. Peck
M · Sheffield
8.30
1 shots · 82 pass
L. Dobbin
L. Dobbin
F · Preston
7.90
1 ⚽
3 shots · 16 pass
A. Devine
M · Preston
7.90
2 👟
· 33 pass
Mark McGuinness
Mark McGuinness
D · Sheffield
7.30
1 shots · 42 pass
Andrew Moran
Andrew Moran
M · Preston
7.30
2 shots · 17 pass
Sheffield Utd Sheffield Utd — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating 👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
G 94 6.90 26 14%
L. F. Hjelde D 45 6.30 14 10% 1
Mark McGuinness D 94 7.30 1 42 36% 1
J. Tanganga D 94 6.70 42 36% 2
F. Seriki D 93 6.90 42 34% 3
O. Arblaster M 81 6.70 39 37%
S. Peck M 94 8.30 1 82 69%
C. O'Hare M 93 6.90 1 2 29 22% 2
G. Hamer M 94 7.00 1 1 45 37%
T. Chong M 54 6.60 13 10%
P. Bamford F 94 6.90 1 2 12 9%
D. Ings F 40 6.90 1 12 12%
H. Burrows D 49 6.20 30 26%
J. Rothwell M 13 6.90 19 18%
K. Hoever D 1 1 1%
T. Cannon F 1
Preston Preston — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating 👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
D. Iversen G 94 6.30 32 4% 1
A. Vukcevic D 87 5.70 9 5% 1
L. Lindsay D 94 8.90 2 2 14 4% 1
J. Storey D 94 6.20 10 5% 2
P. Valentin D 63 6.60 7 3% 1
T. Small M 63 6.70 1 8 5% 1
A. Devine M 94 7.90 2 33 21% 2
J. Thompson M 94 7.20 1 25 13% 4 1
Andrew Moran M 94 7.30 2 17 11% 3
L. Dobbin F 94 7.90 1 3 16 15% 1
D. Jebbison F 93 6.50 12 8%
B. Potts M 31 6.30 8 6% 2
L. Gibson D 7 1
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Sheffield Utd vs Preston?
The final score was Sheffield Utd 2–3 Preston.
What did the model predict before Sheffield Utd vs Preston?
The model assigned 55% probability to a Sheffield Utd win, 24% to a draw, and 19% to an Preston win.