✗Model wrong — prediction Sheffield Utd, result Preston wins
G. Hamer
71'
(pen.)
P. Bamford
(ast. C. O'Hare)
82'
5'
(ast. J. Thompson)
L. Lindsay
20'
(ast. A. Devine)
L. Lindsay
76'
(ast. A. Devine)
L. Dobbin
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Sheffield Utd a 55% win probability (draw 24%, Preston 19%). The final result was Sheffield Utd 2–3 Preston. In 1 previous meetings, Sheffield Utd have won 0 times, with 0 draws and 1 wins for Preston.
Match statistics
8
Total shots
8
3
Shots on target
6
2.00
Actual xG
2.80
3
Saves
1
69%
Possession
31%
8
Corners
5
9
Tackles
17
0
🟨 Yellow cards
3
Match Events
5'
ast. J. Thompson ·
L. Lindsay⚽
16'
J. Thompson
20'
ast. A. Devine ·
L. Lindsay⚽
32'
A. Vukcevic
L. F. Hjelde
/ H. Burrows
46'
T. Chong
/ D. Ings
54'
63'
R. Brady
/
T. Small
63'
B. Potts
/
P. Valentin
⚽G. Hamer
(pen.)
71'
76'
ast. A. Devine ·
L. Dobbin⚽
O. Arblaster
/ J. Rothwell
81'
⚽P. Bamford
· ast. C. O'Hare
82'
83'
D. Iversen
87'
L. Gibson
/
A. Vukcevic
90'+3
M. Smith
/
D. Jebbison
C. O'Hare
/ T. Cannon
90'+3
F. Seriki
/ K. Hoever
90'+3
Pre-match prediction
55.94%
Sheffield
24.22%
X
19.84%
Preston ←
✗ Wrong prediction —
we assigned to the actual result (Preston)
19.84%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
1.76
2.00
+0.24
0.93
2.80
+1.87
Preston dominated by xG (2.80 vs 2.00).
The final result reflects the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Lineups
17
G
5
Leo Fuhr Hjelde
45'
D
Leo Fuhr Hjelde
45'
D
25
M. McGuinness
D
M. McGuinness
D
2
J. Tanganga
D
J. Tanganga
D
38
Femi Seriki
D
Femi Seriki
D
4
O. Arblaster
81'
M
O. Arblaster
81'
M
42
Sydie Peck
M
Sydie Peck
M
10
C. O'Hare
1 👟
M
C. O'Hare
1 👟
M
8
G. Hamer
1 ⚽
M
G. Hamer
1 ⚽
M
24
T. Chong
54'
M
T. Chong
54'
M
45
P. Bamford
1 ⚽
F
P. Bamford
1 ⚽
F
Bench
19
C. Ogbene
F
C. Ogbene
F
9
D. Ings
40'
F
14
Harrison Burrows
49'
D
Harrison Burrows
49'
D
44
J. Riedewald
M
J. Riedewald
M
48
J. Rothwell
13'
M
J. Rothwell
13'
M
12
Ki-Jana Hoever
1'
D
Ki-Jana Hoever
1'
D
7
T. Cannon
1'
F
T. Cannon
1'
F
1
D. Iversen
G
D. Iversen
G
3
A. Vukčević
87'
D
A. Vukčević
87'
D
6
L. Lindsay
2 ⚽
D
L. Lindsay
2 ⚽
D
14
J. Storey
D
J. Storey
D
2
Pol Valentín
63'
D
Pol Valentín
63'
D
26
T. Small
63'
M
T. Small
63'
M
21
A. Devine
2 👟
M
A. Devine
2 👟
M
15
J. Thompson
1 👟
M
J. Thompson
1 👟
M
23
A. Moran
M
A. Moran
M
17
L. Dobbin
1 ⚽
F
L. Dobbin
1 ⚽
F
9
Daniel Jebbison
F
Daniel Jebbison
F
Bench
44
B. Potts
31'
M
19
L. Gibson
7'
D
L. Gibson
7'
D
Best on the pitch
L. Lindsay
D · Preston
8.90
2 ⚽
2 shots
· 14 pass
Sydie Peck
M · Sheffield
8.30
1 shots
· 82 pass
L. Dobbin
F · Preston
7.90
1 ⚽
3 shots
· 16 pass
A. Devine
M · Preston
7.90
2 👟
· 33 pass
M. McGuinness
D · Sheffield
7.30
1 shots
· 42 pass
A. Moran
M · Preston
7.30
2 shots
· 17 pass
Sheffield Utd — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | 94 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 26 | 14% | — | — | — | |
| Leo Fuhr Hjelde | D | 45 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 14 | 10% | 1 | — | — |
| M. McGuinness | D | 94 | 7.30 | — | — | 1 | 42 | 36% | 1 | — | — |
| J. Tanganga | D | 94 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 42 | 36% | 2 | — | — |
| Femi Seriki | D | 93 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 42 | 34% | 3 | — | — |
| O. Arblaster | M | 81 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 39 | 37% | — | — | — |
| Sydie Peck | M | 94 | 8.30 | — | — | 1 | 82 | 69% | — | — | — |
| C. O'Hare | M | 93 | 6.90 | — | 1 | 2 | 29 | 22% | 2 | — | — |
| G. Hamer | M | 94 | 7.00 | 1 | — | 1 | 45 | 37% | — | — | — |
| T. Chong | M | 54 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 13 | 10% | — | — | — |
| P. Bamford | F | 94 | 6.90 | 1 | — | 2 | 12 | 9% | — | — | — |
| D. Ings | F | 40 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 12 | 12% | — | — | — |
| Harrison Burrows | D | 49 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 30 | 26% | — | — | — |
| J. Rothwell | M | 13 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 19 | 18% | — | — | — |
| Ki-Jana Hoever | D | 1 | — | — | — | — | 1 | 1% | — | — | — |
| T. Cannon | F | 1 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Preston — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D. Iversen | G | 94 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 32 | 4% | — | 1 | — |
| A. Vukčević | D | 87 | 5.70 | — | — | — | 9 | 5% | — | 1 | — |
| L. Lindsay | D | 94 | 8.90 | 2 | — | 2 | 14 | 4% | 1 | — | — |
| J. Storey | D | 94 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 10 | 5% | 2 | — | — |
| Pol Valentín | D | 63 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 7 | 3% | 1 | — | — |
| T. Small | M | 63 | 6.70 | — | — | 1 | 8 | 5% | 1 | — | — |
| A. Devine | M | 94 | 7.90 | — | 2 | — | 33 | 21% | 2 | — | — |
| J. Thompson | M | 94 | 7.20 | — | 1 | — | 25 | 13% | 4 | 1 | — |
| A. Moran | M | 94 | 7.30 | — | — | 2 | 17 | 11% | 3 | — | — |
| L. Dobbin | F | 94 | 7.90 | 1 | — | 3 | 16 | 15% | 1 | — | — |
| Daniel Jebbison | F | 93 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 12 | 8% | — | — | — |
| B. Potts | M | 31 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 8 | 6% | 2 | — | — |
| L. Gibson | D | 7 | — | — | — | — | 1 | — | — | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Sheffield Utd vs Preston?
The final score was Sheffield Utd 2–3 Preston.
What did the model predict before Sheffield Utd vs Preston?
The model assigned 55% probability to a Sheffield Utd win, 24% to a draw, and 19% to an Preston win.