✗Model wrong — prediction Leicester, result Draw
J. Yates
2'
84'
(ast. P. Daka)
J. Ayew
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Leicester a 51% win probability (draw 27%, Sheffield Wednesday 20%). The final result was Sheffield Wednesday 1–1 Leicester. In 1 previous meetings, Sheffield Wednesday have won 0 times, with 0 draws and 1 wins for Leicester.
Match statistics
3
Total shots
20
1
Shots on target
12
1.17
Actual xG
2.51
10
Saves
0
30%
Possession
70%
1
Corners
10
17
Tackles
9
Match Events
⚽J. Yates
2'
N. Chalobah
/ O. Kobacki
62'
68'
B. De Cordova-Reid
/
O. Skipp
68'
J. Vestergaard
/
J. Lascelles
68'
J. Ayew
/
D. Mukasa
L. Palmer
/ S. Fusire
74'
79'
J. Monga
/
S. Mavididi
J. Lowe
/ J. Thornton
79'
J. Yates
/ C. McNeill
79'
84'
ast. P. Daka ·
J. Ayew⚽
88'
D. Richards
/
P. Daka
Pre-match prediction
20.59%
Sheffield
27.76%
X ←
51.66%
Leicester
✗ Wrong prediction —
we assigned to the actual result (Draw)
27.76%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
0.58
1.17
+0.59
1.46
2.51
+1.05
Leicester dominated by xG (2.51 vs 1.17).
The final result does not reflect the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Lineups
1
P. Charles
G
P. Charles
G
3
Max Lowe
D
Max Lowe
D
22
G. Otegbayo
D
G. Otegbayo
D
6
D
45
Tayo Adaramola
M
Tayo Adaramola
M
8
S. Ingelsson
M
S. Ingelsson
M
14
N. Chalobah
62'
M
N. Chalobah
62'
M
2
L. Palmer
74'
M
L. Palmer
74'
M
9
J. Lowe
80'
F
J. Lowe
80'
F
24
Jaden Heskey
F
Jaden Heskey
F
12
J. Yates
1 ⚽
80'
F
J. Yates
1 ⚽
80'
F
Bench
17
Charlie McNeill
17'
F
Charlie McNeill
17'
F
37
Jarvis Thornton
17'
M
Jarvis Thornton
17'
M
19
O. Kobacki
35'
F
O. Kobacki
35'
F
4
Sean Fusire
23'
M
Sean Fusire
23'
M
31
W. Grainger
F
W. Grainger
F
1
G
33
L. Thomas
D
L. Thomas
D
24
J. Lascelles
69'
D
5
D
21
R. Pereira
D
8
Harry Winks
M
Harry Winks
M
22
O. Skipp
68'
M
O. Skipp
68'
M
10
S. Mavididi
79'
M
S. Mavididi
79'
M
29
D. Mukasa
69'
M
D. Mukasa
69'
M
7
A. Fatawu
M
A. Fatawu
M
20
P. Daka
1 👟
89'
F
P. Daka
1 👟
89'
F
Bench
14
B. De Cordova-Reid
29'
F
B. De Cordova-Reid
29'
F
17
H. Choudhury
M
H. Choudhury
M
9
J. Ayew
1 ⚽
28'
F
J. Ayew
1 ⚽
28'
F
28
J. Monga
18'
M
23
J. Vestergaard
28'
D
Best on the pitch
J. Ayew
F · Leicester
8.00
1 ⚽
3 shots
· 8 pass
G. Otegbayo
D · Sheffield
7.30
· 24 pass
O. Kobacki
F · Sheffield
7.00
· 6 pass
R. Pereira
D · Leicester
7.00
1 shots
· 80 pass
J. Vestergaard
D · Leicester
6.90
· 24 pass
Harry Winks
M · Leicester
6.90
1 shots
· 84 pass
Sheffield Wednesday — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| P. Charles | G | 97 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 50 | 18% | — | — | — |
| Max Lowe | D | 97 | 6.00 | — | — | — | 22 | 13% | 1 | — | — |
| G. Otegbayo | D | 97 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 24 | 19% | 3 | — | — |
| D | 97 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 23 | 14% | 3 | — | — | |
| Tayo Adaramola | M | 97 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 10 | 7% | 3 | — | — |
| S. Ingelsson | M | 97 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 32 | 19% | 4 | — | — |
| N. Chalobah | M | 62 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 18 | 16% | — | — | — |
| L. Palmer | M | 74 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 13 | 8% | 1 | — | — |
| J. Lowe | F | 80 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 12 | 4% | — | — | — |
| Jaden Heskey | F | 97 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 13 | 7% | — | — | — |
| J. Yates | F | 80 | 6.70 | 1 | — | 2 | 8 | 7% | — | — | — |
| Charlie McNeill | F | 17 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 6 | 1% | — | — | — |
| Jarvis Thornton | M | 17 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 5 | 5% | — | — | — |
| O. Kobacki | F | 35 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 6 | 3% | 1 | — | — |
| Sean Fusire | M | 23 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 3 | 3% | 1 | — | — |
Leicester — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | 97 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 29 | 24% | — | — | — | |
| L. Thomas | D | 97 | 6.60 | — | — | 3 | 44 | 39% | 1 | — | — |
| J. Lascelles | D | 69 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 53 | 42% | — | — | — |
| D | 97 | 6.60 | — | — | 1 | 75 | 67% | 1 | — | — | |
| R. Pereira | D | 97 | 7.00 | — | — | 1 | 80 | 68% | 6 | — | — |
| Harry Winks | M | 97 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 84 | 77% | — | — | — |
| O. Skipp | M | 68 | 6.50 | — | — | 1 | 30 | 23% | 1 | — | — |
| S. Mavididi | M | 79 | 6.30 | — | — | 2 | 25 | 17% | — | — | — |
| D. Mukasa | M | 69 | 6.50 | — | — | 1 | 36 | 27% | — | — | — |
| A. Fatawu | M | 97 | 6.30 | — | — | 2 | 27 | 19% | — | — | — |
| P. Daka | F | 89 | 6.30 | — | 1 | 4 | 16 | 10% | — | — | — |
| B. De Cordova-Reid | F | 29 | 6.70 | — | — | 1 | 15 | 13% | — | — | — |
| J. Ayew | F | 28 | 8.00 | 1 | — | 3 | 8 | 6% | — | — | — |
| J. Monga | M | 18 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 5 | 3% | — | — | — |
| J. Vestergaard | D | 28 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 24 | 20% | — | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Sheffield Wednesday vs Leicester?
The final score was Sheffield Wednesday 1–1 Leicester.
What did the model predict before Sheffield Wednesday vs Leicester?
The model assigned 20% probability to a Sheffield Wednesday win, 27% to a draw, and 51% to an Leicester win.