✗Model wrong — prediction Leicester, result Draw
J. Yates
2'
84'
(ast. P. Daka)
J. Ayew
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Leicester a 51% win probability (draw 27%, Sheffield Wednesday 20%). The final result was Sheffield Wednesday 1–1 Leicester. In 1 previous meetings, Sheffield Wednesday have won 0 times, with 0 draws and 1 wins for Leicester.
Match statistics
3
Total shots
20
1
Shots on target
12
1.17
Actual xG
2.51
10
Saves
0
30%
Possession
70%
1
Corners
10
17
Tackles
9
Match Events
⚽J. Yates
2'
N. Chalobah
/ O. Kobacki
62'
68'
B. De Cordova-Reid
/
O. Skipp
68'
J. Vestergaard
/
J. Lascelles
68'
J. Ayew
/
D. Mukasa
L. Palmer
/ S. Fusire
74'
79'
J. Monga
/
S. Mavididi
J. Lowe
/ J. Thornton
79'
J. Yates
/ C. McNeill
79'
84'
ast. P. Daka ·
J. Ayew⚽
88'
D. Richards
/
P. Daka
Pre-match prediction
20.59%
Sheffield
27.76%
X ←
51.66%
Leicester
✗ Wrong prediction —
we assigned to the actual result (Draw)
27.76%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
0.58
1.17
+0.59
1.46
2.51
+1.05
Leicester dominated by xG (2.51 vs 1.17).
The final result does not reflect the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Lineups
1
Pierce Charles
G
Pierce Charles
G
3
M. Lowe
D
22
G. Otegbayo
D
6
D
45
Tayo Adaramola
M
Tayo Adaramola
M
8
S. Ingelsson
M
14
N. Chalobah
62'
M
2
L. Palmer
74'
M
9
J. Lowe
80'
F
J. Lowe
80'
F
24
J. Heskey
F
12
J. Yates
1 ⚽
80'
F
Bench
17
C. McNeill
17'
F
37
J. Thornton
17'
M
19
O. Kobacki
35'
F
4
Sean Fusire
23'
M
31
W. Grainger
F
1
G
33
L. Thomas
D
L. Thomas
D
24
J. Lascelles
69'
D
5
D
21
R. Pereira
D
8
H. Winks
M
22
O. Skipp
68'
M
10
S. Mavididi
79'
M
29
D. Mukasa
69'
M
7
Abdul Fatawu Issahaku
M
Abdul Fatawu Issahaku
M
20
P. Daka
1 👟
89'
F
Bench
14
B. De Cordova-Reid
29'
F
B. De Cordova-Reid
29'
F
17
Hamza Choudhury
M
28
J. Monga
18'
M
9
Jordan Ayew
1 ⚽
28'
F
Jordan Ayew
1 ⚽
28'
F
23
J. Vestergaard
28'
D
Best on the pitch
Jordan Ayew
F · Leicester
8.00
1 ⚽
3 shots
· 8 pass
G. Otegbayo
D · Sheffield
7.30
· 24 pass
O. Kobacki
F · Sheffield
7.00
· 6 pass
R. Pereira
D · Leicester
7.00
1 shots
· 80 pass
J. Vestergaard
D · Leicester
6.90
· 24 pass
H. Winks
M · Leicester
6.90
1 shots
· 84 pass
Sheffield Wednesday — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pierce Charles | G | 97 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 50 | 18% | — | — | — |
| M. Lowe | D | 97 | 6.00 | — | — | — | 22 | 13% | 1 | — | — |
| G. Otegbayo | D | 97 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 24 | 19% | 3 | — | — |
| D | 97 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 23 | 14% | 3 | — | — | |
| Tayo Adaramola | M | 97 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 10 | 7% | 3 | — | — |
| S. Ingelsson | M | 97 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 32 | 19% | 4 | — | — |
| N. Chalobah | M | 62 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 18 | 16% | — | — | — |
| L. Palmer | M | 74 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 13 | 8% | 1 | — | — |
| J. Lowe | F | 80 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 12 | 4% | — | — | — |
| J. Heskey | F | 97 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 13 | 7% | — | — | — |
| J. Yates | F | 80 | 6.70 | 1 | — | 2 | 8 | 7% | — | — | — |
| C. McNeill | F | 17 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 6 | 1% | — | — | — |
| J. Thornton | M | 17 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 5 | 5% | — | — | — |
| O. Kobacki | F | 35 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 6 | 3% | 1 | — | — |
| Sean Fusire | M | 23 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 3 | 3% | 1 | — | — |
Leicester — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | 97 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 29 | 24% | — | — | — | |
| L. Thomas | D | 97 | 6.60 | — | — | 3 | 44 | 39% | 1 | — | — |
| J. Lascelles | D | 69 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 53 | 42% | — | — | — |
| D | 97 | 6.60 | — | — | 1 | 75 | 67% | 1 | — | — | |
| R. Pereira | D | 97 | 7.00 | — | — | 1 | 80 | 68% | 6 | — | — |
| H. Winks | M | 97 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 84 | 77% | — | — | — |
| O. Skipp | M | 68 | 6.50 | — | — | 1 | 30 | 23% | 1 | — | — |
| S. Mavididi | M | 79 | 6.30 | — | — | 2 | 25 | 17% | — | — | — |
| D. Mukasa | M | 69 | 6.50 | — | — | 1 | 36 | 27% | — | — | — |
| Abdul Fatawu Issahaku | M | 97 | 6.30 | — | — | 2 | 27 | 19% | — | — | — |
| P. Daka | F | 89 | 6.30 | — | 1 | 4 | 16 | 10% | — | — | — |
| B. De Cordova-Reid | F | 29 | 6.70 | — | — | 1 | 15 | 13% | — | — | — |
| J. Monga | M | 18 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 5 | 3% | — | — | — |
| Jordan Ayew | F | 28 | 8.00 | 1 | — | 3 | 8 | 6% | — | — | — |
| J. Vestergaard | D | 28 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 24 | 20% | — | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Sheffield Wednesday vs Leicester?
The final score was Sheffield Wednesday 1–1 Leicester.
What did the model predict before Sheffield Wednesday vs Leicester?
The model assigned 20% probability to a Sheffield Wednesday win, 27% to a draw, and 51% to an Leicester win.