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Model wrong — prediction West Brom, result Sheffield Wednesday wins
N. Chalobah 36'
L. Palmer 40'
82' K. Grant
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The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave West Brom a 67% win probability (draw 19%, Sheffield Wednesday 13%). The final result was Sheffield Wednesday 2–1 West Brom. In 2 previous meetings, Sheffield Wednesday have won 0 times, with 1 draws and 1 wins for West Brom.

Match statistics
8
Total shots
8
5
Shots on target
5
1.50
Actual xG
1.60
3
Saves
3
38%
Possession
62%
5
Corners
2
20
Tackles
17
3
🟨 Yellow cards
2
Match Events
12'
O. Diakite
N. Chalobah
32'
N. Chalobah
36'
L. Palmer
40'
46'
T. Bany / J. Maja
46'
K. Grant / O. Bostock
46'
D. Dike / A. Heggebo
W. Grainger / C. McNeill
55'
G. Otegbayo / D. Iorfa
55'
M. Lowe
57'
J. Lowe / O. Kobacki
81'
J. Heskey
81'
82'
K. Grant
88'
J. Wallace / I. Price
89'
S. Mandey / O. Diakite
L. Palmer / M. Maltby
90'+6
90'
T. Bany
Pre-match prediction
13.47%
Sheffield ←
19.02%
X
67.51%
West
✗ Wrong prediction — we assigned to the actual result (Sheffield Wednesday) 13.47% (low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
Sheffield
0.46
1.50
+1.04
West
1.94
1.60
-0.34
xG dominance was balanced (1.50 – 1.60). The final result does not reflect the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
League Table
#Team GPts
1 Birmingham Birmingham 0 0
2 Blackburn Blackburn 0 0
3 Bolton Bolton 0 0
4 Derby Derby 0 0
5 Middlesbrough Middlesbrough 0 0
6 Portsmouth Portsmouth 0 0
7 West Ham West Ham 0 0
8 Bristol City Bristol City 0 0
9 Burnley Burnley 0 0
10 Cardiff Cardiff 0 0
11 Charlton Charlton 0 0
12 Norwich Norwich 0 0
13 Preston Preston 0 0
14 QPR QPR 0 0
15 Sheffield Utd Sheffield Utd 0 0
16 Stoke City Stoke City 0 0
17 Watford Watford 0 0
18 West Brom West Brom 0 0
19 Wolves Wolves 0 0
20 Millwall Millwall 0 0
21 Swansea Swansea 0 0
22 Lincoln Lincoln 0 0
23 Wrexham Wrexham 0 0
24 Southampton Southampton 0 0
Lineups
1 Pierce Charles Pierce Charles G 7.60
3
M. Lowe D 6.30
22
G. Otegbayo 55' D 7.30
2
L. Palmer 1 ⚽ 89' D 8.00
45 Tayo Adaramola Tayo Adaramola M 7.00
14
N. Chalobah 1 ⚽ M 7.60
24
J. Heskey M 6.90
4
Sean Fusire M 6.60
9 J. Lowe J. Lowe 81' F 7.50
31
W. Grainger 55' F 6.50
12
J. Yates F 6.30
Bench
17
C. McNeill 35' F 6.90
37
J. Thornton M
18
Marvelous Nakamba M
19 Olaf Kobacki Olaf Kobacki 9' F 6.90
West Brom West Brom 4-4-2
1
G 6.70
4 C. Styles C. Styles D 6.20
6
G. Campbell D 6.70
14
D 6.90
30
D. Imray D 6.30
21 Isaac Price Isaac Price 88' M 6.90
27
Alex Mowatt M 7.30
17
O. Diakite 89' M 6.70
37 Oliver Bostock Oliver Bostock 45' M 6.30
19
A. Heggebo 45' F 7.00
9
J. Maja 45' F 6.70
Bench
12
D. Dike 45' F 6.70
10
K. Grant 1 ⚽ 45' F 7.70
26
T. Bany 45' F 6.50
Best on the pitch
L. Palmer
D · Sheffield
8.00
1 ⚽
1 shots · 42 pass
K. Grant
F · West
7.70
1 ⚽
1 shots · 23 pass
Pierce Charles
Pierce Charles
G · Sheffield
7.60
· 42 pass
N. Chalobah
M · Sheffield
7.60
1 ⚽
1 shots · 45 pass
J. Lowe
J. Lowe
F · Sheffield
7.50
2 shots · 15 pass
G. Otegbayo
D · Sheffield
7.30
· 27 pass
Sheffield Wednesday Sheffield Wednesday — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating 👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
Pierce Charles G 90 7.60 42 25%
M. Lowe D 90 6.30 1 42 30% 3 1
G. Otegbayo D 55 7.30 27 24%
L. Palmer D 89 8.00 1 1 42 30% 1
Tayo Adaramola M 90 7.00 1 30 26% 1
N. Chalobah M 90 7.60 1 1 45 37% 3 1
J. Heskey M 90 6.90 30 24% 5 1
Sean Fusire M 90 6.60 22 17% 2
J. Lowe F 81 7.50 2 15 12% 1
W. Grainger F 55 6.50 12 9%
J. Yates F 90 6.30 1 16 12%
C. McNeill F 35 6.90 6 6% 2
Olaf Kobacki F 9 6.90 1 1 1% 2
West Brom West Brom — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating 👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
G 90 6.70 25 19%
C. Styles D 90 6.20 1 61 54% 3
G. Campbell D 90 6.70 96 84%
D 90 6.90 70 64%
D. Imray D 90 6.30 1 43 40%
Isaac Price M 88 6.90 1 45 32% 4
Alex Mowatt M 90 7.30 82 77% 3
O. Diakite M 89 6.70 2 68 59% 2 1
Oliver Bostock M 45 6.30 9 7% 1
A. Heggebo F 45 7.00 1 5 5%
J. Maja F 45 6.70 1 9 9%
D. Dike F 45 6.70 4 2%
K. Grant F 45 7.70 1 1 23 20% 1
T. Bany F 45 6.50 13 10% 3 1
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Sheffield Wednesday vs West Brom?
The final score was Sheffield Wednesday 2–1 West Brom.
What did the model predict before Sheffield Wednesday vs West Brom?
The model assigned 13% probability to a Sheffield Wednesday win, 19% to a draw, and 67% to an West Brom win.