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✗Model wrong — prediction West Brom, result Sheffield Wednesday wins
N. Chalobah 36'
L. Palmer 40'
82' K. Grant
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The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave West Brom a 67% win probability (draw 19%, Sheffield Wednesday 13%). The final result was Sheffield Wednesday 2–1 West Brom. In 2 previous meetings, Sheffield Wednesday have won 0 times, with 1 draws and 1 wins for West Brom.

Match statistics
8
Total shots
8
5
Shots on target
5
1.50
Actual xG
1.60
3
Saves
3
38%
Possession
62%
5
Corners
2
20
Tackles
17
3
🟨 Yellow cards
2
Match Events
12'
O. Diakite
N. Chalobah
32'
⚽N. Chalobah
36'
⚽L. Palmer
40'
46'
T. Bany / J. Maja ↕
46'
K. Grant / O. Bostock ↕
46'
D. Dike / A. Heggebo ↕
↕ W. Grainger / C. McNeill
55'
↕ G. Otegbayo / D. Iorfa
55'
M. Lowe
57'
↕ J. Lowe / O. Kobacki
81'
J. Heskey
81'
82'
K. Grant⚽
88'
J. Wallace / I. Price ↕
89'
S. Mandey / O. Diakite ↕
↕ L. Palmer / M. Maltby
90'+6
90'
T. Bany
Pre-match prediction
13.47%
Sheffield ←
19.02%
X
67.51%
West
✗ Wrong prediction — we assigned to the actual result (Sheffield Wednesday) 13.47% (low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
Sheffield
0.46
1.50
+1.04
West
1.94
1.60
-0.34
xG dominance was balanced (1.50 – 1.60). The final result does not reflect the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
League Table
#Team GPts
1 Middlesbrough Middlesbrough 12 25
2 Swansea Swansea 12 23
3 West Ham West Ham 12 22
4 Wolves Wolves 12 21
5 West Brom West Brom 12 21
6 Southampton Southampton 12 20
7 Birmingham Birmingham 12 20
8 QPR QPR 12 20
9 Stoke City Stoke City 12 20
10 Blackburn Blackburn 12 18
11 Portsmouth Portsmouth 12 18
12 Sheffield Utd Sheffield Utd 12 16
13 Millwall Millwall 12 15
14 Bristol City Bristol City 12 15
15 Lincoln Lincoln 12 15
16 Cardiff Cardiff 12 14
17 Wrexham Wrexham 12 14
18 Bolton Bolton 12 14
19 Charlton Charlton 12 14
20 Norwich Norwich 12 12
21 Watford Watford 12 11
22 Burnley Burnley 12 8
23 Derby Derby 12 7
24 Preston Preston 12 5
Lineups
1 P. Charles P. Charles G 7.60
3 M. Lowe M. Lowe D 6.30
22 G. Otegbayo G. Otegbayo 55' D 7.30
2 L. Palmer L. Palmer 1 ⚽ 89' D 8.00
45 Tayo Adaramola Tayo Adaramola M 7.00
14 N. Chalobah N. Chalobah 1 ⚽ M 7.60
24 Jaden Heskey Jaden Heskey M 6.90
4 S. Fusire S. Fusire M 6.60
9 J. Lowe J. Lowe 81' F 7.50
31 W. Grainger W. Grainger 55' F 6.50
12 J. Yates J. Yates F 6.30
Bench
17 Charlie McNeill Charlie McNeill 35' F 6.90
37 Jarvis Thornton Jarvis Thornton M
18 M. Nakamba M. Nakamba M
19 O. Kobacki O. Kobacki 9' F 6.90
West Brom West Brom 4-4-2
1
G 6.70
4 C. Styles C. Styles D 6.20
6 G. Campbell G. Campbell D 6.70
14
D 6.90
30 Daniel Edward Peter Imray Daniel Edward Peter Imray D 6.30
21 I. Price I. Price 88' M 6.90
27 A. Mowatt A. Mowatt M 7.30
17 O. Diakité O. Diakité 89' M 6.70
37 Oliver Bostock Oliver Bostock 45' M 6.30
19 A. Heggebø A. Heggebø 45' F 7.00
9 J. Maja J. Maja 45' F 6.70
Bench
12 D. Dike D. Dike 45' F 6.70
10 K. Ahearne-Grant K. Ahearne-Grant 1 ⚽ 45' F 7.70
26 T. Bany T. Bany 45' F 6.50
Best on the pitch
L. Palmer
L. Palmer
D · Sheffield
8.00
1 ⚽
1 shots · 42 pass
K. Ahearne-Grant
K. Ahearne-Grant
F · West
7.70
1 ⚽
1 shots · 23 pass
P. Charles
P. Charles
G · Sheffield
7.60
· 42 pass
N. Chalobah
N. Chalobah
M · Sheffield
7.60
1 ⚽
1 shots · 45 pass
J. Lowe
J. Lowe
F · Sheffield
7.50
2 shots · 15 pass
G. Otegbayo
G. Otegbayo
D · Sheffield
7.30
· 27 pass
Sheffield Wednesday Sheffield Wednesday — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
P. Charles G 90 7.60 — — — 42 25% — — —
M. Lowe D 90 6.30 — — 1 42 30% 3 1 —
G. Otegbayo D 55 7.30 — — — 27 24% — — —
L. Palmer D 89 8.00 1 — 1 42 30% 1 — —
Tayo Adaramola M 90 7.00 — — 1 30 26% 1 — —
N. Chalobah M 90 7.60 1 — 1 45 37% 3 1 —
Jaden Heskey M 90 6.90 — — — 30 24% 5 1 —
S. Fusire M 90 6.60 — — — 22 17% 2 — —
J. Lowe F 81 7.50 — — 2 15 12% 1 — —
W. Grainger F 55 6.50 — — — 12 9% — — —
J. Yates F 90 6.30 — — 1 16 12% — — —
Charlie McNeill F 35 6.90 — — — 6 6% 2 — —
O. Kobacki F 9 6.90 — — 1 1 1% 2 — —
West Brom West Brom — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
G 90 6.70 — — — 25 19% — — —
C. Styles D 90 6.20 — — 1 61 54% 3 — —
G. Campbell D 90 6.70 — — — 96 84% — — —
D 90 6.90 — — — 70 64% — — —
Daniel Edward Peter Imray D 90 6.30 — — 1 43 40% — — —
I. Price M 88 6.90 — — 1 45 32% 4 — —
A. Mowatt M 90 7.30 — — — 82 77% 3 — —
O. Diakité M 89 6.70 — — 2 68 59% 2 1 —
Oliver Bostock M 45 6.30 — — — 9 7% 1 — —
A. Heggebø F 45 7.00 — — 1 5 5% — — —
J. Maja F 45 6.70 — — 1 9 9% — — —
D. Dike F 45 6.70 — — — 4 2% — — —
K. Ahearne-Grant F 45 7.70 1 — 1 23 20% 1 — —
T. Bany F 45 6.50 — — — 13 10% 3 1 —
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Sheffield Wednesday vs West Brom?
The final score was Sheffield Wednesday 2–1 West Brom.
What did the model predict before Sheffield Wednesday vs West Brom?
The model assigned 13% probability to a Sheffield Wednesday win, 19% to a draw, and 67% to an West Brom win.