✗Model wrong — prediction West Brom, result Sheffield Wednesday wins
N. Chalobah
36'
L. Palmer
40'
82'
K. Grant
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave West Brom a 67% win probability (draw 19%, Sheffield Wednesday 13%). The final result was Sheffield Wednesday 2–1 West Brom. In 2 previous meetings, Sheffield Wednesday have won 0 times, with 1 draws and 1 wins for West Brom.
Match statistics
8
Total shots
8
5
Shots on target
5
1.50
Actual xG
1.60
3
Saves
3
38%
Possession
62%
5
Corners
2
20
Tackles
17
3
🟨 Yellow cards
2
Match Events
12'
O. Diakite
N. Chalobah
32'
⚽N. Chalobah
36'
⚽L. Palmer
40'
46'
T. Bany
/
J. Maja
46'
K. Grant
/
O. Bostock
46'
D. Dike
/
A. Heggebo
W. Grainger
/ C. McNeill
55'
G. Otegbayo
/ D. Iorfa
55'
M. Lowe
57'
J. Lowe
/ O. Kobacki
81'
J. Heskey
81'
82'
K. Grant⚽
88'
J. Wallace
/
I. Price
89'
S. Mandey
/
O. Diakite
L. Palmer
/ M. Maltby
90'+6
90'
T. Bany
Pre-match prediction
13.47%
Sheffield ←
19.02%
X
67.51%
West
✗ Wrong prediction —
we assigned to the actual result (Sheffield Wednesday)
13.47%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
0.46
1.50
+1.04
1.94
1.60
-0.34
xG dominance was balanced (1.50 – 1.60).
The final result does not reflect the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Lineups
1
Pierce Charles
G
Pierce Charles
G
3
M. Lowe
D
22
G. Otegbayo
55'
D
2
L. Palmer
1 ⚽
89'
D
45
Tayo Adaramola
M
Tayo Adaramola
M
14
N. Chalobah
1 ⚽
M
24
J. Heskey
M
4
Sean Fusire
M
9
J. Lowe
81'
F
J. Lowe
81'
F
31
W. Grainger
55'
F
12
J. Yates
F
Bench
17
C. McNeill
35'
F
37
J. Thornton
M
18
Marvelous Nakamba
M
19
Olaf Kobacki
9'
F
Olaf Kobacki
9'
F
1
G
4
C. Styles
D
C. Styles
D
6
G. Campbell
D
14
D
30
D. Imray
D
21
Isaac Price
88'
M
Isaac Price
88'
M
27
Alex Mowatt
M
17
O. Diakite
89'
M
37
Oliver Bostock
45'
M
Oliver Bostock
45'
M
19
A. Heggebo
45'
F
9
J. Maja
45'
F
Bench
12
D. Dike
45'
F
10
K. Grant
1 ⚽
45'
F
26
T. Bany
45'
F
Best on the pitch
L. Palmer
D · Sheffield
8.00
1 ⚽
1 shots
· 42 pass
K. Grant
F · West
7.70
1 ⚽
1 shots
· 23 pass
Pierce Charles
G · Sheffield
7.60
· 42 pass
N. Chalobah
M · Sheffield
7.60
1 ⚽
1 shots
· 45 pass
J. Lowe
F · Sheffield
7.50
2 shots
· 15 pass
G. Otegbayo
D · Sheffield
7.30
· 27 pass
Sheffield Wednesday — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pierce Charles | G | 90 | 7.60 | — | — | — | 42 | 25% | — | — | — |
| M. Lowe | D | 90 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 42 | 30% | 3 | 1 | — |
| G. Otegbayo | D | 55 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 27 | 24% | — | — | — |
| L. Palmer | D | 89 | 8.00 | 1 | — | 1 | 42 | 30% | 1 | — | — |
| Tayo Adaramola | M | 90 | 7.00 | — | — | 1 | 30 | 26% | 1 | — | — |
| N. Chalobah | M | 90 | 7.60 | 1 | — | 1 | 45 | 37% | 3 | 1 | — |
| J. Heskey | M | 90 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 30 | 24% | 5 | 1 | — |
| Sean Fusire | M | 90 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 22 | 17% | 2 | — | — |
| J. Lowe | F | 81 | 7.50 | — | — | 2 | 15 | 12% | 1 | — | — |
| W. Grainger | F | 55 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 12 | 9% | — | — | — |
| J. Yates | F | 90 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 16 | 12% | — | — | — |
| C. McNeill | F | 35 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 6 | 6% | 2 | — | — |
| Olaf Kobacki | F | 9 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 1 | 1% | 2 | — | — |
West Brom — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | 90 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 25 | 19% | — | — | — | |
| C. Styles | D | 90 | 6.20 | — | — | 1 | 61 | 54% | 3 | — | — |
| G. Campbell | D | 90 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 96 | 84% | — | — | — |
| D | 90 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 70 | 64% | — | — | — | |
| D. Imray | D | 90 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 43 | 40% | — | — | — |
| Isaac Price | M | 88 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 45 | 32% | 4 | — | — |
| Alex Mowatt | M | 90 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 82 | 77% | 3 | — | — |
| O. Diakite | M | 89 | 6.70 | — | — | 2 | 68 | 59% | 2 | 1 | — |
| Oliver Bostock | M | 45 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 9 | 7% | 1 | — | — |
| A. Heggebo | F | 45 | 7.00 | — | — | 1 | 5 | 5% | — | — | — |
| J. Maja | F | 45 | 6.70 | — | — | 1 | 9 | 9% | — | — | — |
| D. Dike | F | 45 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 4 | 2% | — | — | — |
| K. Grant | F | 45 | 7.70 | 1 | — | 1 | 23 | 20% | 1 | — | — |
| T. Bany | F | 45 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 13 | 10% | 3 | 1 | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Sheffield Wednesday vs West Brom?
The final score was Sheffield Wednesday 2–1 West Brom.
What did the model predict before Sheffield Wednesday vs West Brom?
The model assigned 13% probability to a Sheffield Wednesday win, 19% to a draw, and 67% to an West Brom win.