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Shelbourne - Ajax

Conference League August 13, 2026 20:45
Shelbourne
vs
Ajax
⚡ Pre-match analysis
21.19%
Win
Shelbourne
17.62%
Draw
61.19%
Win
Ajax
1.52
Expected xG
3.3
Most likely outcome
Ajax
61.19%
Probability
82.4%
1X2 accuracy · 17 predictions (3 months)

Market probabilities

Most likely result 1–2 (7.71%)
1X2 Result ✓ 82.4% hit rate (17 picks)
1 21%
X 18%
2 61%
Double Chance
1X 39%
X2 79%
12 82%
Over / Under
Over 1.5 89%
Over 2.5 78%
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The ForzaPitch prediction gives Ajax a 61% win probability, against 17% for a draw and 21% for Shelbourne. Expected goals are 1.5 for Shelbourne and 3.3 for Ajax (total 4.8), with a 88% probability of Over 1.5 goals. The most likely scoreline is 1–2 at 7.71% probability. In 1 previous meetings, Shelbourne have won 0 times, with 0 draws and 1 wins for Ajax.

Season Stats

Shelbourne
3W 2D 6L
Ajax
3W 0D 0L
Averages per game
1.1
Goals
3.7
1.4
Conceded
1.0
2.1
Shots OT
10.0
3.3
Corners
10.7
34%
Poss.
69%
Percentages
64%
O 1.5
100%
45%
O 2.5
100%
36%
BTTS
100%
27%
Clean Sht
0%
ℹ Based on the last 11 matches in Conference League. Bars use fixed scales (goals max 3.5, percentages 0–100%).

Venue Form

Goals signal (venue avg)
70%
O 3.5
70%
BTTS
Shelbourne
2W 1D 2L · at home
Ajax
1W 0D 0L · away
1.6
gls/g
4.0
1.4
Conceded
1.0
40%
Win %
100%
60%
Win or Draw
100%
60%
O 1.5
100%
60%
O 2.5
100%
40%
O 3.5
100%
40%
BTTS
100%
20%
Clean Sht
0%
60%
Failed to Score
0%
last 5
ℹ Home team's record in home matches only · Away team's record in away matches only.

Score Matrix

↕ Shelbourne Ajax →
0 1 2 3 4 5
0 0.8% 2.7% 4.4% 4.9% 4.0% 2.6%
1 1.2% 4.1% 6.7% 7.4% 6.1% 4.0%
2 0.9% 3.1% 5.1% 5.6% 4.6% 3.0%
3 0.5% 1.5% 2.6% 2.8% 2.3% 1.5%
4 0.2% 0.6% 1.0% 1.1% 0.9% 0.6%
5 0.1% 0.2% 0.3% 0.3% 0.3% 0.2%

Recent form

Shelbourne Shelbourne
L Ajax 3–1
L Kalju Nomme 2–1
W Kalju Nomme 5–2
D Celje 0–0
L Crystal Palace 0–3
Home clean sheet (120 days) 16%
Ajax Ajax
W Shelbourne 3–1
W Vojvodina 4–1
W Vojvodina 1–4
Away clean sheet (120 days) 36%

Playing profile

Shelbourne Shelbourne
Attack
37
Defence
52
Form
49
Ajax Ajax
Attack
62
Defence
80
Form
78
Indices on a 0–100 scale calculated by the model

Head-to-Head

0
Shelbourne
0
Draw
1
Ajax
6 Aug 2026 Conference League 1–3
Frequently Asked Questions
Who will win Shelbourne vs Ajax?
The model gives Shelbourne a 21% win probability, 17% for a draw, and 61% for an Ajax win.
How many goals are expected in Shelbourne vs Ajax?
Expected goals: Shelbourne 1.5, Ajax 3.3 (total 4.8). Probability of over 1.5 goals: 88%.
What is the most likely score in Shelbourne vs Ajax?
1–2 is the most probable final score, with an estimated probability of 7.71%.