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Conference League · 3rd Qualifying Round August 13, 2026 20:45
Shelbourne
2 – 2
Final score
Ajax
#9 · 0 pts
✗Model wrong — prediction Ajax, result Draw
R. Freitas (ast. E. Caffrey) 24'
S. Moore (ast. E. Caffrey) 85'
20' (ast. J. Mokio) J. Brandt
39' A. Gaaei
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The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Ajax a 65% win probability (draw 15%, Shelbourne 18%). The final result was Shelbourne 2–2 Ajax. In 1 previous meetings, Shelbourne have won 0 times, with 0 draws and 1 wins for Ajax.

Match statistics
10
Total shots
13
5
Shots on target
7
5
Saves
3
28%
Possession
72%
4
Corners
11
17
Tackles
18
3
🟨 Yellow cards
2
Match Events
20'
ast. J. Mokio · J. Brandt⚽
23'
A. Bouwman
⚽R. Freitas · ast. E. Caffrey
24'
25'
Marcos Leonardo
R. Freitas
27'
39'
A. Gaaei⚽
46'
Y. Baas / D. Blind ↕
57'
A. Ouazane / J. Brandt ↕
57'
T. Arokodare / Marcos Leonardo ↕
↕ S. Bone / S. Gannon
60'
65'
69'
Caio Henrique / O. Wijndal ↕
70'
D. Janse / M. Carrizo ↕
J. Lunney
70'
↕ R. Freitas / D. Ring
72'
↕ J. Lunney / J. Roche
72'
J. Roche
75'
↕ M. Mbeng / S. Moore
81'
↕ J. Norris / W. Jarvis
81'
⚽S. Moore · ast. E. Caffrey
85'
S. Gannon
90'+2
Pre-match prediction
18.92%
Shelbourne
15.7%
X ←
65.37%
Ajax
✗ Wrong prediction — we assigned to the actual result (Draw) 15.7% (low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
Shelbourne
1.62
—
—
Ajax
3.49
—
—
League Table
#Team GPts
1 Mjallby AIF Mjallby AIF 0 0
2 Brighton Brighton 0 0
3 Monaco Monaco 0 0
4 FK Jablonec FK Jablonec 0 0
5 Gent Gent 0 0
6 St. Truiden St. Truiden 0 0
7 SC Freiburg SC Freiburg 0 0
8 Atalanta Atalanta 0 0
9 Ajax Ajax 0 0
10 Twente Twente 0 0
11 Getafe Getafe 0 0
12 KuPS KuPS 0 0
13 CSKA Sofia CSKA Sofia 0 0
14 HNK Hajduk Split HNK Hajduk Split 0 0
15 Pafos Pafos 0 0
16 Aarhus Aarhus 0 0
17 FC Copenhagen FC Copenhagen 0 0
18 FC Midtjylland FC Midtjylland 0 0
19 FC Nordsjaelland FC Nordsjaelland 0 0
20 Panathinaikos Panathinaikos 0 0
21 Brann Brann 0 0
22 SC Braga SC Braga 0 0
23 Heart Of Midlothian Heart Of Midlothian 0 0
24 FC Lugano FC Lugano 0 0
25 FK Crvena Zvezda FK Crvena Zvezda 0 0
26 FC Thun FC Thun 0 0
27 Trabzonspor Trabzonspor 0 0
28 Borac Banja Luka Borac Banja Luka 0 0
29 Kairat Almaty Kairat Almaty 0 0
30 Egnatia Rrogozhinë Egnatia Rrogozhinë 0 0
31 Inter Club d'Escaldes Inter Club d'Escaldes 0 0
32 Kauno Žalgiris Kauno Žalgiris 0 0
33 Universitatea Craiova Universitatea Craiova 0 0
34 FC Iberia 1999 FC Iberia 1999 0 0
35 Lincoln Red Imps FC Lincoln Red Imps FC 0 0
36 Riga Riga 0 0
Lineups
Shelbourne Shelbourne 3-5-2
19 E. Beach E. Beach G 5.90
4 K. Ledwidge K. Ledwidge D 6.50
16 O. Casey O. Casey D 7.20
15 S. Bone S. Bone 60' D 6.50
18 James Barry Norris James Barry Norris 81' M 6.50
23 Kerr McInroy Kerr McInroy M 7.20
6 J. Lunney J. Lunney 72' M 6.30
27 E. Caffrey E. Caffrey 2 👟 M 6.90
25 M. Mbeng M. Mbeng 81' M 6.50
20 R. Freitas R. Freitas 1 ⚽ 72' F 7.30
17 D. Kelly D. Kelly F 6.30
Bench
44 Daniel Ring Daniel Ring 22' F 6.50
55 James Roche James Roche 22' D 6.20
56 J. Wuna J. Wuna F
60 Killian Ryan Killian Ryan M
13 M. Johnson M. Johnson G
2 S. Gannon S. Gannon 34' D 6.70
22 S. Moore S. Moore 1 ⚽ 13' D 7.70
36 W. Jarvis W. Jarvis 13' M 6.70
Ajax Ajax 4-3-3
26 M. Paes M. Paes G 7.20
5 O. Wijndal O. Wijndal 69' D 6.20
17 Daley Blind Daley Blind 45' D 6.60
30 A. Bouwman A. Bouwman D 6.90
3 A. Gaaei A. Gaaei 1 ⚽ D 8.50
24 J. Mokio J. Mokio 1 👟 M 6.30
6 Y. Regeer Y. Regeer M 7.90
8 J. Brandt J. Brandt 1 ⚽ 57' M 6.90
20 O. Edvardsen O. Edvardsen F 6.90
38 Marcos Leonardo Marcos Leonardo 57' F 6.20
7 M. Carrizo M. Carrizo 70' F 6.30
Bench
68 A. Ouazane A. Ouazane 37' M 6.20
12 Caio Henrique Caio Henrique 25' D 6.50
36 D. Janse D. Janse 24' D 6.20
18 D. Klaassen D. Klaassen M
22 J. Heerkens J. Heerkens G
9 K. Dolberg K. Dolberg F
2 Lucas Rosa Lucas Rosa D
11 M. Godts M. Godts F
1 M. ter Stegen M. ter Stegen G
10 O. Gloukh O. Gloukh M
99 T. Arokodare T. Arokodare 37' F 5.90
15 Y. Baas Y. Baas 49' D 6.60
Best on the pitch
A. Gaaei
A. Gaaei
D · Ajax
8.50
1 ⚽
2 shots · 59 pass
Y. Regeer
Y. Regeer
M · Ajax
7.90
1 shots · 77 pass
S. Moore
S. Moore
D · Shelbourne
7.70
1 ⚽
1 shots · 1 pass
R. Freitas
R. Freitas
F · Shelbourne
7.30
1 ⚽
1 shots · 9 pass
O. Casey
O. Casey
D · Shelbourne
7.20
1 shots · 30 pass
Kerr McInroy
Kerr McInroy
M · Shelbourne
7.20
4 shots · 26 pass
Shelbourne Shelbourne — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
E. Beach G 94 5.90 — — — 18 10% — — —
K. Ledwidge D 94 6.50 — — — 40 30% 2 — —
O. Casey D 94 7.20 — — 1 30 28% 3 — —
S. Bone D 60 6.50 — — — 16 14% 1 — —
James Barry Norris M 81 6.50 — — — 17 13% 1 — —
Kerr McInroy M 94 7.20 — — 4 26 19% 4 — —
J. Lunney M 72 6.30 — — — 23 20% — 1 —
E. Caffrey M 94 6.90 — 2 2 15 11% — — —
M. Mbeng M 81 6.50 — — 1 13 10% 1 — —
R. Freitas F 72 7.30 1 — 1 9 8% 1 1 —
D. Kelly F 94 6.30 — — — 15 14% — — —
Daniel Ring F 22 6.50 — — — 3 3% 1 — —
James Roche D 22 6.20 — — — 7 7% 1 1 —
S. Gannon D 34 6.70 — — — 18 13% 2 — —
S. Moore D 13 7.70 1 — 1 1 1% — — —
W. Jarvis M 13 6.70 — — — 5 4% — — —
Ajax Ajax — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
M. Paes G 94 7.20 — — — 30 27% — — —
O. Wijndal D 69 6.20 — — 2 76 70% — — —
Daley Blind D 45 6.60 — — — 72 68% — — —
A. Bouwman D 94 6.90 — — — 79 77% 5 1 —
A. Gaaei D 94 8.50 1 — 2 59 55% 3 — —
J. Mokio M 94 6.30 — 1 1 59 54% 1 — —
Y. Regeer M 94 7.90 — — 1 77 75% 6 — —
J. Brandt M 57 6.90 1 — 1 38 32% 1 — —
O. Edvardsen F 94 6.90 — — — 48 43% 2 — —
Marcos Leonardo F 57 6.20 — — — 8 7% — 1 —
M. Carrizo F 70 6.30 — — 2 31 26% — — —
A. Ouazane M 37 6.20 — — 2 17 14% — — —
Caio Henrique D 25 6.50 — — — 18 16% — — —
D. Janse D 24 6.20 — — — 8 6% — — —
T. Arokodare F 37 5.90 — — 2 7 4% — — —
Y. Baas D 49 6.60 — — — 47 44% — — —
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Shelbourne vs Ajax?
The final score was Shelbourne 2–2 Ajax.
What did the model predict before Shelbourne vs Ajax?
The model assigned 18% probability to a Shelbourne win, 15% to a draw, and 65% to an Ajax win.