90'+3
(ast. James Clarke)
Michael Duffy
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Shelbourne a 35% win probability (draw 31%, Derry City 33%). The final result was Shelbourne 0–1 Derry City. In 3 previous meetings, Shelbourne have won 1 times, with 1 draws and 1 wins for Derry City.
Match statistics
11
Total shots
18
2
Shots on target
6
5
Saves
2
54%
Possession
46%
6
Corners
5
10
Tackles
20
2
🟨 Yellow cards
3
Match Events
Odhran Casey
27'
Jonathan Lunney
50'
Alistair Coote
/ Sean Moore
57'
Ademipo Odubeko
/ Sean Boyd
57'
Jonathan Lunney
/ Jack Henry-Francis
58'
59'
James Clarke
/
Darragh Burns
59'
Liam Boyce
/
Tyler·Smith
65'
Adam O'Reilly
69'
Liam Boyce
72'
Kévin Santos
/
Ellis Chapman
Evan Caffrey
/ Rodrigo Costa Freitas
76'
83'
nick twisk
Milan Bernhard Mbeng
/ Sean Gannon
83'
90'+3
ast. James Clarke ·
Michael Duffy⚽
Pre-match prediction
35.57%
Shelbourne
31.05%
X
33.38%
Derry ←
we assigned to the actual result (Derry City)
33.38%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
1.32
—
—
1.38
—
—
Lineups
19
E. Beach
G
E. Beach
G
18
James Barry Norris
D
James Barry Norris
D
4
K. Ledwidge
D
K. Ledwidge
D
16
O. Casey
D
O. Casey
D
25
M. Mbeng
83'
D
M. Mbeng
83'
D
23
K. McInroy
M
K. McInroy
M
6
J. Lunney
58'
M
J. Lunney
58'
M
17
D. Kelly
M
D. Kelly
M
14
A. Coote
57'
M
A. Coote
57'
M
27
E. Caffrey
76'
M
E. Caffrey
76'
M
11
M. Odubeko
57'
F
M. Odubeko
57'
F
Bench
44
Daniel Ring
F
Daniel Ring
F
21
Jack Henry-Francis
32'
M
Jack Henry-Francis
32'
M
55
James Roche
D
James Roche
D
13
M. Johnson
G
M. Johnson
G
20
R. Freitas
14'
F
R. Freitas
14'
F
9
S. Boyd
33'
F
S. Boyd
33'
F
2
S. Gannon
7'
D
S. Gannon
7'
D
22
S. Moore
33'
D
S. Moore
33'
D
36
W. Jarvis
M
W. Jarvis
M
13
Tom Norcott
G
Tom Norcott
G
8
A. O'Reilly
M
A. O'Reilly
M
3
Patrick McClean
D
Patrick McClean
D
4
J. Stott
D
J. Stott
D
23
C. Dummigan
D
C. Dummigan
D
29
T. Smith
59'
F
T. Smith
59'
F
12
D. Burns
59'
F
D. Burns
59'
F
19
B. Fleming
M
B. Fleming
M
14
E. Chapman
72'
M
E. Chapman
72'
M
17
N. Twisk
M
N. Twisk
M
7
M. Duffy
1 ⚽
F
M. Duffy
1 ⚽
F
Bench
1
B. Maher
G
B. Maher
G
24
Brooklyn Lyons-Foster
D
Brooklyn Lyons-Foster
D
22
C. Barr
D
C. Barr
D
25
Christy Grogan
D
Christy Grogan
D
11
G. Whyte
M
G. Whyte
M
15
J. Clarke
1 👟
31'
M
J. Clarke
1 👟
31'
M
28
J. Olayinka
M
J. Olayinka
M
21
Kévin Santos
18'
M
Kévin Santos
18'
M
27
L. Boyce
31'
F
L. Boyce
31'
F
Best on the pitch
M. Duffy
F · Derry
8.20
1 ⚽
3 shots
· 51 pass
J. Clarke
M · Derry
7.34
1 👟
1 shots
· 16 pass
B. Fleming
M · Derry
7.30
· 46 pass
E. Beach
G · Shelbourne
7.29
· 41 pass
T. Smith
F · Derry
7.20
4 shots
· 11 pass
Tom Norcott
G · Derry
6.99
· 35 pass
Shelbourne — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| E. Beach | G | 90 | 7.29 | — | — | 0 | 41 | 28% | 0 | — | — |
| James Barry Norris | D | 90 | 6.88 | — | — | 1 | 41 | 39% | 0 | — | — |
| K. Ledwidge | D | 90 | 6.52 | — | — | 0 | 84 | 70% | 1 | — | — |
| O. Casey | D | 90 | 6.89 | — | — | 3 | 88 | 78% | 2 | 1 | — |
| M. Mbeng | D | 83 | 6.67 | — | — | 1 | 56 | 46% | 1 | — | — |
| K. McInroy | M | 90 | 5.92 | — | — | 1 | 40 | 31% | 0 | — | — |
| J. Lunney | M | 58 | 6.61 | — | — | 0 | 39 | 33% | 0 | 1 | — |
| D. Kelly | M | 90 | 6.14 | — | — | 2 | 23 | 17% | 1 | — | — |
| A. Coote | M | 57 | 6.00 | — | — | 0 | 22 | 15% | 2 | — | — |
| E. Caffrey | M | 76 | 6.53 | — | — | 1 | 25 | 20% | 1 | — | — |
| M. Odubeko | F | 57 | 5.81 | — | — | 1 | 8 | 4% | 0 | — | — |
| Jack Henry-Francis | M | 32 | 6.21 | — | — | 0 | 23 | 19% | 1 | — | — |
| R. Freitas | F | 14 | 6.28 | — | — | 0 | 5 | 4% | 0 | — | — |
| S. Boyd | F | 33 | 6.21 | — | — | 0 | 11 | 6% | 0 | — | — |
| S. Gannon | D | 7 | 6.40 | — | — | 0 | 8 | 8% | 0 | — | — |
| S. Moore | D | 33 | 6.05 | — | — | 1 | 15 | 10% | 1 | — | — |
Derry City — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tom Norcott | G | 90 | 6.99 | — | — | 0 | 35 | 27% | 0 | — | — |
| A. O'Reilly | M | 90 | 6.94 | — | — | 3 | 41 | 31% | 0 | 1 | — |
| Patrick McClean | D | 90 | 6.55 | — | — | 0 | 69 | 50% | 4 | — | — |
| J. Stott | D | 90 | 6.51 | — | — | 0 | 44 | 35% | 1 | — | — |
| C. Dummigan | D | 90 | 6.57 | — | — | 2 | 45 | 33% | 3 | — | — |
| T. Smith | F | 59 | 7.20 | — | — | 4 | 11 | 8% | 1 | — | — |
| D. Burns | F | 59 | 6.32 | — | — | 1 | 13 | 11% | 0 | — | — |
| B. Fleming | M | 90 | 7.30 | — | — | 0 | 46 | 41% | 3 | — | — |
| E. Chapman | M | 72 | 6.38 | — | — | 2 | 24 | 18% | 0 | — | — |
| N. Twisk | M | 90 | 6.76 | — | — | 0 | 53 | 48% | 3 | 1 | — |
| M. Duffy | F | 90 | 8.20 | 1 | — | 3 | 51 | 39% | 2 | — | — |
| J. Clarke | M | 31 | 7.34 | — | 1 | 1 | 16 | 12% | 1 | — | — |
| Kévin Santos | M | 18 | 6.60 | — | — | 1 | 9 | 6% | 1 | — | — |
| L. Boyce | F | 31 | 6.31 | — | — | 1 | 10 | 8% | 1 | 1 | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Shelbourne vs Derry City?
The final score was Shelbourne 0–1 Derry City.
What did the model predict before Shelbourne vs Derry City?
The model assigned 35% probability to a Shelbourne win, 31% to a draw, and 33% to an Derry City win.