✗Model wrong — prediction Shelbourne, result Draw
H. Wood
(ast. J. Martin)
57'
65'
F. Pierrot
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Shelbourne a 59% win probability (draw 20%, Galway United 19%). The final result was Shelbourne 1–1 Galway United. In 1 previous meetings, Shelbourne have won 0 times, with 1 draws and 0 wins for Galway United.
Match statistics
15
Total shots
8
6
Shots on target
2
2.80
Actual xG
1.78
1
Saves
5
64%
Possession
36%
4
Corners
6
16
Tackles
15
2
🟨 Yellow cards
2
Match Events
E. Caffrey
17'
⚽H. Wood
· ast. J. Martin
57'
59'
L. Devitt
W. Jarvis
/ D. Kelly
61'
64'
F. Pierrot
/
E. McCarthy
64'
A. Piesold
/
K. Twardek
64'
W. Williams
/
M. Wolfe
65'
F. Pierrot⚽
J. Martin
/ S. Boyd
73'
A. Coote
/ M. Odubeko
73'
P. Barrett
75'
M. Mbeng
/ M. Lundgren
86'
86'
C. McCormack
/
D. Hurley
86'
A. Kazeem
/
A. Bolger
90'+4
G. Facchineri
Pre-match prediction
59.53%
Shelbourne
20.49%
X ←
19.97%
Galway
✗ Wrong prediction —
we assigned to the actual result (Draw)
20.49%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
2.32
2.80
+0.48
1.20
1.78
+0.58
Shelbourne dominated by xG (2.80 vs 1.78).
The final result does not reflect the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Lineups
1
Wessel Speel
G
4
Kameron Ledwidge
D
29
P. Barrett
D
P. Barrett
D
15
Sam Bone
D
25
Milan Mbeng
86'
D
27
Evan Caffrey
M
5
Ellis Chapman
M
36
Will Jarvis
61'
M
7
H. Wood
1 ⚽
M
H. Wood
1 ⚽
M
14
Ali Coote
73'
M
10
J. Martin
1 👟
73'
F
J. Martin
1 👟
73'
F
Bench
11
Ademipo Odubeko
21'
F
Ademipo Odubeko
21'
F
31
Conor Walsh
G
Conor Walsh
G
17
D. Kelly
33'
M
D. Kelly
33'
M
55
James Roche
D
28
Maill Lundgren
8'
M
Maill Lundgren
8'
M
20
Rodrigo Freitas
F
9
Sean Boyd
21'
F
Sean Boyd
21'
F
22
Sean Moore
D
24
Zeno Ibsen Rossi
D
1
Evan Watts
G
Evan Watts
G
20
Lee Devitt
D
Lee Devitt
D
5
Killian Brouder
D
Killian Brouder
D
12
Gianfranco Facchineri
D
Gianfranco Facchineri
D
4
Jimmy Keohane
D
Jimmy Keohane
D
8
Aaron Bolger
86'
M
Aaron Bolger
86'
M
14
Matthew Wolfe
64'
M
Matthew Wolfe
64'
M
24
Edward McCarthy
64'
M
Edward McCarthy
64'
M
10
D. Hurley
86'
M
D. Hurley
86'
M
11
K. Twardek
64'
M
K. Twardek
64'
M
7
S. Walsh
F
S. Walsh
F
Bench
30
Al-Amin Kazeem
8'
D
Al-Amin Kazeem
8'
D
6
Axel Piesold
30'
M
Axel Piesold
30'
M
3
Connor Barratt
D
Connor Barratt
D
22
Conor McCormack
8'
M
Conor McCormack
8'
M
23
F. Pierrot
1 ⚽
30'
F
F. Pierrot
1 ⚽
30'
F
9
Francely Lomboto
F
Francely Lomboto
F
16
Hugo Cunha
G
Hugo Cunha
G
29
Nicolas Fleuriau Chateau
F
Nicolas Fleuriau Chateau
F
15
Wasiri Ola Williams
30'
D
Wasiri Ola Williams
30'
D
Best on the pitch
H. Wood
M · Shelbourne
9.50
1 ⚽
4 shots
· 47 pass
D. Hurley
M · Galway
7.50
1 shots
· 28 pass
Sam Bone
D · Shelbourne
7.50
· 73 pass
F. Pierrot
F · Galway
7.50
1 ⚽
2 shots
· 4 pass
Evan Watts
G · Galway
7.30
· 35 pass
J. Martin
F · Shelbourne
7.30
1 👟
3 shots
· 11 pass
Shelbourne — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wessel Speel | G | 94 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 31 | 15% | — | — | — |
| Kameron Ledwidge | D | 94 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 75 | 60% | — | — | — |
| P. Barrett | D | 94 | 7.20 | — | — | 1 | 74 | 61% | 1 | 1 | — |
| Sam Bone | D | 94 | 7.50 | — | — | — | 73 | 64% | 3 | — | — |
| Milan Mbeng | D | 86 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 45 | 39% | 1 | — | — |
| Evan Caffrey | M | 94 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 54 | 50% | 2 | 1 | — |
| Ellis Chapman | M | 94 | 7.20 | — | — | 1 | 62 | 53% | — | — | — |
| Will Jarvis | M | 61 | 6.60 | — | — | 1 | 15 | 11% | 3 | — | — |
| H. Wood | M | 94 | 9.50 | 1 | — | 4 | 47 | 36% | 1 | — | — |
| Ali Coote | M | 73 | 6.30 | — | — | 2 | 40 | 34% | 1 | — | — |
| J. Martin | F | 73 | 7.30 | — | 1 | 3 | 11 | 10% | 4 | — | — |
| Ademipo Odubeko | F | 21 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 4 | 4% | — | — | — |
| D. Kelly | M | 33 | 6.50 | — | — | 1 | 18 | 14% | — | — | — |
| Maill Lundgren | M | 8 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 8 | 6% | — | — | — |
| Sean Boyd | F | 21 | 6.50 | — | — | 1 | 3 | 3% | — | — | — |
Galway United — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Evan Watts | G | 94 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 35 | 18% | — | — | — |
| Lee Devitt | D | 94 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 15 | 10% | 3 | 1 | — |
| Killian Brouder | D | 94 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 44 | 28% | 1 | — | — |
| Gianfranco Facchineri | D | 94 | 6.50 | — | — | 2 | 38 | 30% | 2 | 1 | — |
| Jimmy Keohane | D | 94 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 17 | 14% | 2 | — | — |
| Aaron Bolger | M | 86 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 37 | 30% | 1 | — | — |
| Matthew Wolfe | M | 64 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 23 | 16% | 2 | — | — |
| Edward McCarthy | M | 64 | 6.00 | — | — | — | 19 | 13% | — | — | — |
| D. Hurley | M | 86 | 7.50 | — | — | 1 | 28 | 21% | 1 | — | — |
| K. Twardek | M | 64 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 8 | 6% | 1 | — | — |
| S. Walsh | F | 94 | 6.50 | — | — | 1 | 18 | 8% | — | — | — |
| Al-Amin Kazeem | D | 8 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 4 | 4% | 1 | — | — |
| Axel Piesold | M | 30 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 5 | 3% | 1 | — | — |
| Conor McCormack | M | 8 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 11 | 8% | — | — | — |
| F. Pierrot | F | 30 | 7.50 | 1 | — | 2 | 4 | 1% | — | — | — |
| Wasiri Ola Williams | D | 30 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 4 | — | — | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Shelbourne vs Galway United?
The final score was Shelbourne 1–1 Galway United.
What did the model predict before Shelbourne vs Galway United?
The model assigned 59% probability to a Shelbourne win, 20% to a draw, and 19% to an Galway United win.