✗Model wrong — prediction Shelbourne, result Draw
H. Wood
(ast. J. Martin)
57'
65'
F. Pierrot
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Shelbourne a 59% win probability (draw 20%, Galway United 19%). The final result was Shelbourne 1–1 Galway United. In 3 previous meetings, Shelbourne have won 0 times, with 3 draws and 0 wins for Galway United.
Match statistics
15
Total shots
8
6
Shots on target
2
2.80
Actual xG
1.78
1
Saves
5
64%
Possession
36%
4
Corners
6
16
Tackles
15
2
🟨 Yellow cards
2
Match Events
E. Caffrey
17'
⚽H. Wood
· ast. J. Martin
57'
59'
L. Devitt
W. Jarvis
/ D. Kelly
61'
64'
F. Pierrot
/
E. McCarthy
64'
A. Piesold
/
K. Twardek
64'
W. Williams
/
M. Wolfe
65'
F. Pierrot⚽
J. Martin
/ S. Boyd
73'
A. Coote
/ M. Odubeko
73'
P. Barrett
75'
M. Mbeng
/ M. Lundgren
86'
86'
C. McCormack
/
D. Hurley
86'
A. Kazeem
/
A. Bolger
90'+4
G. Facchineri
Pre-match prediction
59.53%
Shelbourne
20.49%
X ←
19.97%
Galway
✗ Wrong prediction —
we assigned to the actual result (Draw)
20.49%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
2.32
2.80
+0.48
1.20
1.78
+0.58
Shelbourne dominated by xG (2.80 vs 1.78).
The final result does not reflect the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Lineups
1
Wessel Speel
G
Wessel Speel
G
4
K. Ledwidge
D
K. Ledwidge
D
29
Paddy Barrett
D
Paddy Barrett
D
15
S. Bone
D
S. Bone
D
25
M. Mbeng
86'
D
M. Mbeng
86'
D
27
E. Caffrey
M
E. Caffrey
M
5
E. Chapman
M
E. Chapman
M
36
W. Jarvis
61'
M
W. Jarvis
61'
M
7
H. Wood
1 ⚽
M
H. Wood
1 ⚽
M
14
A. Coote
73'
M
A. Coote
73'
M
10
J. Martin
1 👟
73'
F
J. Martin
1 👟
73'
F
Bench
31
C. Walsh
G
C. Walsh
G
17
D. Kelly
33'
M
D. Kelly
33'
M
28
I. Lundgren
8'
M
I. Lundgren
8'
M
55
James Roche
D
James Roche
D
11
M. Odubeko
21'
F
M. Odubeko
21'
F
20
R. Freitas
F
R. Freitas
F
9
Sean Boyd
21'
F
Sean Boyd
21'
F
22
S. Moore
D
S. Moore
D
24
Zeno Ibsen Rossi
D
1
Evan Watts
G
Evan Watts
G
20
M. Zaidan
D
5
Killian Brouder
D
Killian Brouder
D
12
Gianfranco Facchineri
D
Gianfranco Facchineri
D
4
J. Keohane
D
J. Keohane
D
8
A. Bolger
86'
M
A. Bolger
86'
M
14
M. Wolfe
64'
M
M. Wolfe
64'
M
24
E. McCarthy
64'
M
E. McCarthy
64'
M
10
D. Hurley
86'
M
D. Hurley
86'
M
11
K. Twardek
64'
M
K. Twardek
64'
M
7
S. Walsh
F
S. Walsh
F
Bench
30
A. Kazeem
8'
D
A. Kazeem
8'
D
6
A. Piesold
30'
M
A. Piesold
30'
M
3
Connor Barratt
D
Connor Barratt
D
22
Conor McCormack
8'
M
Conor McCormack
8'
M
9
F. Lomboto
F
F. Lomboto
F
23
F. Pierrot
1 ⚽
30'
F
F. Pierrot
1 ⚽
30'
F
16
Hugo Alberto Pires da Cunha
G
Hugo Alberto Pires da Cunha
G
29
N. Fleuriau Chateau
F
N. Fleuriau Chateau
F
15
O. Williams
30'
D
O. Williams
30'
D
Best on the pitch
H. Wood
M · Shelbourne
9.50
1 ⚽
4 shots
· 47 pass
D. Hurley
M · Galway
7.50
1 shots
· 28 pass
S. Bone
D · Shelbourne
7.50
· 73 pass
F. Pierrot
F · Galway
7.50
1 ⚽
2 shots
· 4 pass
Evan Watts
G · Galway
7.30
· 35 pass
J. Martin
F · Shelbourne
7.30
1 👟
3 shots
· 11 pass
Shelbourne — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wessel Speel | G | 94 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 31 | 15% | — | — | — |
| K. Ledwidge | D | 94 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 75 | 60% | — | — | — |
| Paddy Barrett | D | 94 | 7.20 | — | — | 1 | 74 | 61% | 1 | 1 | — |
| S. Bone | D | 94 | 7.50 | — | — | — | 73 | 64% | 3 | — | — |
| M. Mbeng | D | 86 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 45 | 39% | 1 | — | — |
| E. Caffrey | M | 94 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 54 | 50% | 2 | 1 | — |
| E. Chapman | M | 94 | 7.20 | — | — | 1 | 62 | 53% | — | — | — |
| W. Jarvis | M | 61 | 6.60 | — | — | 1 | 15 | 11% | 3 | — | — |
| H. Wood | M | 94 | 9.50 | 1 | — | 4 | 47 | 36% | 1 | — | — |
| A. Coote | M | 73 | 6.30 | — | — | 2 | 40 | 34% | 1 | — | — |
| J. Martin | F | 73 | 7.30 | — | 1 | 3 | 11 | 10% | 4 | — | — |
| D. Kelly | M | 33 | 6.50 | — | — | 1 | 18 | 14% | — | — | — |
| I. Lundgren | M | 8 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 8 | 6% | — | — | — |
| M. Odubeko | F | 21 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 4 | 4% | — | — | — |
| Sean Boyd | F | 21 | 6.50 | — | — | 1 | 3 | 3% | — | — | — |
Galway United — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Evan Watts | G | 94 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 35 | 18% | — | — | — |
| M. Zaidan | D | 94 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 15 | 10% | 3 | 1 | — |
| Killian Brouder | D | 94 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 44 | 28% | 1 | — | — |
| Gianfranco Facchineri | D | 94 | 6.50 | — | — | 2 | 38 | 30% | 2 | 1 | — |
| J. Keohane | D | 94 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 17 | 14% | 2 | — | — |
| A. Bolger | M | 86 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 37 | 30% | 1 | — | — |
| M. Wolfe | M | 64 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 23 | 16% | 2 | — | — |
| E. McCarthy | M | 64 | 6.00 | — | — | — | 19 | 13% | — | — | — |
| D. Hurley | M | 86 | 7.50 | — | — | 1 | 28 | 21% | 1 | — | — |
| K. Twardek | M | 64 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 8 | 6% | 1 | — | — |
| S. Walsh | F | 94 | 6.50 | — | — | 1 | 18 | 8% | — | — | — |
| A. Kazeem | D | 8 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 4 | 4% | 1 | — | — |
| A. Piesold | M | 30 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 5 | 3% | 1 | — | — |
| Conor McCormack | M | 8 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 11 | 8% | — | — | — |
| F. Pierrot | F | 30 | 7.50 | 1 | — | 2 | 4 | 1% | — | — | — |
| O. Williams | D | 30 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 4 | — | — | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Shelbourne vs Galway United?
The final score was Shelbourne 1–1 Galway United.
What did the model predict before Shelbourne vs Galway United?
The model assigned 59% probability to a Shelbourne win, 20% to a draw, and 19% to an Galway United win.