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#4 · 49 pts
2 – 1
Final score
#1 · 68 pts
E. Caffrey (ast. H. Wood) 31'
M. Odubeko (ast. H. Wood) 65'
55' (ast. J. Mulraney) A. Brennan
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The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Shelbourne a 39% win probability (draw 25%, Shamrock Rovers 35%). The final result was Shelbourne 2–1 Shamrock Rovers. In 3 previous meetings, Shelbourne have won 0 times, with 2 draws and 1 wins for Shamrock Rovers.

Match statistics
5
Total shots
13
2
Shots on target
4
0.49
Actual xG
1.46
3
Saves
0
25%
Possession
75%
1
Corners
5
16
Tackles
18
0
🟨 Yellow cards
2
Match Events
⚽E. Caffrey · ast. H. Wood
31'
41'
A. Brennan
55'
ast. J. Mulraney · A. Brennan⚽
↕ E. Chapman / W. Jarvis
62'
⚽M. Odubeko · ast. H. Wood
65'
↕ E. Caffrey / A. Coote
71'
↕ M. Mbeng / S. Gannon
71'
73'
L. Grace
74'
D. Grant / J. Mulraney ↕
74'
M. Noonan / D. Watts ↕
74'
J. McGovern / A. Greene ↕
↕ M. Odubeko / R. Freitas
82'
↕ D. Kelly / J. Norris
82'
83'
N. Razi / G. Burke ↕
90'+2
C. Malley / E. Stevens ↕
Pre-match prediction
39.9%
Shelbourne ←
25.02%
X
35.07%
Shamrock
we assigned to the actual result (Shelbourne) 39.9% (low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
Shelbourne
1.49
0.49
-1.0
Shamrock
1.34
1.46
+0.12
Shamrock Rovers dominated by xG (1.46 vs 0.49). The final result does not reflect the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
League Table
#Team GPts
1 Shamrock Rovers Shamrock Rovers 36 68
2 Bohemians Bohemians 36 65
3 St Patrick's Athl. St Patrick's Athl. 36 60
4 Shelbourne Shelbourne 36 49
5 Derry City Derry City 36 48
6 Dundalk Dundalk 36 45
7 Waterford Waterford 36 43
8 Galway United Galway United 36 42
9 Drogheda United Drogheda United 36 40
10 Sligo Rovers Sligo Rovers 36 25
Lineups
Shelbourne Shelbourne 4-2-3-1
1 Wessel Speel Wessel Speel G 6.30
4 K. Ledwidge K. Ledwidge D 6.50
29 Paddy Barrett Paddy Barrett D 7.20
15 S. Bone S. Bone D 6.50
25 M. Mbeng M. Mbeng 71' D 6.20
6 J. Lunney J. Lunney M 6.90
5 E. Chapman E. Chapman 62' M 6.90
17 D. Kelly D. Kelly 82' M 6.60
7 H. Wood H. Wood 2 👟 M 7.30
27 E. Caffrey E. Caffrey 1 ⚽ 71' M 7.90
11 M. Odubeko M. Odubeko 1 ⚽ 82' F 7.70
Bench
14 A. Coote A. Coote 22' M 6.50
31 C. Walsh C. Walsh G
18 James Barry Norris James Barry Norris 11' D 6.30
20 R. Freitas R. Freitas 11' F 6.50
9 Sean Boyd Sean Boyd F
2 S. Gannon S. Gannon 22' D 6.30
22 S. Moore S. Moore D
36 W. Jarvis W. Jarvis 31' F 6.90
24
Zeno Ibsen Rossi D
Shamrock Rovers Shamrock Rovers 3-4-2-1
1 E. McGinty E. McGinty G 5.90
3 E. Stevens E. Stevens D 6.30
5 L. Grace L. Grace D 7.60
22 T. Sobowale T. Sobowale D 6.90
19 Adam Brennan Adam Brennan 1 ⚽ M 7.00
29
J. Byrne M 6.90
8 M. Healy M. Healy M 7.60
11 J. Mulraney J. Mulraney 1 👟 74' M 6.50
10 G. Burke G. Burke 83' F 7.00
7 D. Watts D. Watts 74' F 7.30
9 A. Greene A. Greene 74' F 6.50
Bench
41 Alex Noonan Alex Noonan G
2 A. Matthews A. Matthews D
23 C. Malley C. Malley 1' M
27 C. O'Sullivan C. O'Sullivan D
21 D. Grant D. Grant 19' M 6.30
88 J. McGovern J. McGovern 19' F 6.50
26 John O'Sullivan John O'Sullivan M
31 M. Noonan M. Noonan 19' F 6.50
28 N. Razi N. Razi 10' M 6.30
Best on the pitch
E. Caffrey
E. Caffrey
M · Shelbourne
7.90
1 ⚽
1 shots · 17 pass
M. Odubeko
M. Odubeko
F · Shelbourne
7.70
1 ⚽
1 shots · 7 pass
M. Healy
M. Healy
M · Shamrock
7.60
1 shots · 172 pass
L. Grace
L. Grace
D · Shamrock
7.60
1 shots · 82 pass
D. Watts
D. Watts
F · Shamrock
7.30
1 shots · 50 pass
H. Wood
H. Wood
M · Shelbourne
7.30
2 👟
1 shots · 32 pass
Shelbourne Shelbourne — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
Wessel Speel G 93 6.30 — — — 24 9% — — —
K. Ledwidge D 93 6.50 — — 1 28 22% 1 — —
Paddy Barrett D 93 7.20 — — — 28 28% 1 — —
S. Bone D 93 6.50 — — 1 36 26% 2 — —
M. Mbeng D 71 6.20 — — — 15 13% 1 — —
J. Lunney M 93 6.90 — — — 29 26% — — —
E. Chapman M 62 6.90 — — — 13 12% — — —
D. Kelly M 82 6.60 — — — 11 9% 1 — —
H. Wood M 93 7.30 — 2 1 32 20% 2 — —
E. Caffrey M 71 7.90 1 — 1 17 14% 3 — —
M. Odubeko F 82 7.70 1 — 1 7 4% 2 — —
A. Coote M 22 6.50 — — — 3 2% — — —
James Barry Norris D 11 6.30 — — — — — — — —
R. Freitas F 11 6.50 — — — — — — — —
S. Gannon D 22 6.30 — — — 2 — 1 — —
W. Jarvis F 31 6.90 — — — 7 5% 2 — —
Shamrock Rovers Shamrock Rovers — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
E. McGinty G 93 5.90 — — — 14 12% — — —
E. Stevens D 92 6.30 — — — 82 74% 2 — —
L. Grace D 93 7.60 — — 1 82 77% 4 1 —
T. Sobowale D 93 6.90 — — — 81 73% 2 — —
Adam Brennan M 93 7.00 1 — 3 32 25% — 1 —
J. Byrne M 93 6.90 — — 2 122 109% 3 — —
M. Healy M 93 7.60 — — 1 172 166% 2 — —
J. Mulraney M 74 6.50 — 1 1 29 26% 1 — —
G. Burke F 83 7.00 — — 1 63 60% 2 — —
D. Watts F 74 7.30 — — 1 50 42% — — —
A. Greene F 74 6.50 — — 1 7 5% 2 — —
C. Malley M 1 — — — — 1 1% — — —
D. Grant M 19 6.30 — — 1 10 7% — — —
J. McGovern F 19 6.50 — — — 2 1% — — —
M. Noonan F 19 6.50 — — 1 4 3% — — —
N. Razi M 10 6.30 — — — 5 5% — — —
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Shelbourne vs Shamrock Rovers?
The final score was Shelbourne 2–1 Shamrock Rovers.
What did the model predict before Shelbourne vs Shamrock Rovers?
The model assigned 39% probability to a Shelbourne win, 25% to a draw, and 35% to an Shamrock Rovers win.