E. Caffrey
(ast. H. Wood)
31'
M. Odubeko
(ast. H. Wood)
65'
55'
(ast. J. Mulraney)
A. Brennan
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Shelbourne a 39% win probability (draw 25%, Shamrock Rovers 35%). The final result was Shelbourne 2–1 Shamrock Rovers. In 2 previous meetings, Shelbourne have won 0 times, with 1 draws and 1 wins for Shamrock Rovers.
Match statistics
5
Total shots
13
2
Shots on target
4
0.49
Actual xG
1.46
3
Saves
0
25%
Possession
75%
1
Corners
5
16
Tackles
18
0
🟨 Yellow cards
2
Match Events
⚽E. Caffrey
· ast. H. Wood
31'
41'
A. Brennan
55'
ast. J. Mulraney ·
A. Brennan⚽
E. Chapman
/ W. Jarvis
62'
⚽M. Odubeko
· ast. H. Wood
65'
E. Caffrey
/ A. Coote
71'
M. Mbeng
/ S. Gannon
71'
73'
L. Grace
74'
D. Grant
/
J. Mulraney
74'
M. Noonan
/
D. Watts
74'
J. McGovern
/
A. Greene
M. Odubeko
/ R. Freitas
82'
D. Kelly
/ J. Norris
82'
83'
N. Razi
/
G. Burke
90'+2
C. Malley
/
E. Stevens
Pre-match prediction
39.9%
Shelbourne ←
25.02%
X
35.07%
Shamrock
we assigned to the actual result (Shelbourne)
39.9%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
1.49
0.49
-1.0
1.34
1.46
+0.12
Shamrock Rovers dominated by xG (1.46 vs 0.49).
The final result does not reflect the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Lineups
1
Wessel Speel
G
4
Kameron Ledwidge
D
29
Paddy Barrett
D
15
Sam Bone
D
25
Milan Mbeng
71'
D
6
J. Lunney
M
J. Lunney
M
5
Ellis Chapman
62'
M
Ellis Chapman
62'
M
17
D. Kelly
82'
M
D. Kelly
82'
M
7
H. Wood
2 👟
M
H. Wood
2 👟
M
27
Evan Caffrey
1 ⚽
71'
M
11
Ademipo Odubeko
1 ⚽
82'
F
Ademipo Odubeko
1 ⚽
82'
F
Bench
14
Ali Coote
22'
M
31
Conor Walsh
G
Conor Walsh
G
18
James Barry Norris
11'
D
James Barry Norris
11'
D
20
Rodrigo Freitas
11'
F
Rodrigo Freitas
11'
F
9
Sean Boyd
F
Sean Boyd
F
22
Sean Moore
D
Sean Moore
D
2
S. Gannon
22'
D
S. Gannon
22'
D
36
Will Jarvis
31'
F
24
Zeno Ibsen Rossi
D
Zeno Ibsen Rossi
D
1
Ed McGinty
G
3
Enda Stevens
D
5
Lee Grace
D
22
T. Sobowale
D
T. Sobowale
D
19
Adam Brennan
1 ⚽
M
29
J. Byrne
M
J. Byrne
M
8
M. Healy
M
M. Healy
M
11
Jake Mulraney
1 👟
74'
M
10
G. Burke
83'
F
G. Burke
83'
F
7
Dylan Watts
74'
F
9
Aaron Greene
74'
F
Bench
2
Adam Matthews
D
Adam Matthews
D
41
Alex Noonan
G
Alex Noonan
G
23
Connor Malley
1'
M
Connor Malley
1'
M
27
Cory O'Sullivan
D
Cory O'Sullivan
D
21
Daniel Grant
19'
M
Daniel Grant
19'
M
88
J. McGovern
19'
F
J. McGovern
19'
F
26
John O'Sullivan
M
John O'Sullivan
M
31
Michael Noonan
19'
F
Michael Noonan
19'
F
28
Naj Razi
10'
M
Naj Razi
10'
M
Best on the pitch
Evan Caffrey
M · Shelbourne
7.90
1 ⚽
1 shots
· 17 pass
Ademipo Odubeko
F · Shelbourne
7.70
1 ⚽
1 shots
· 7 pass
M. Healy
M · Shamrock
7.60
1 shots
· 172 pass
Lee Grace
D · Shamrock
7.60
1 shots
· 82 pass
Dylan Watts
F · Shamrock
7.30
1 shots
· 50 pass
H. Wood
M · Shelbourne
7.30
2 👟
1 shots
· 32 pass
Shelbourne — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wessel Speel | G | 93 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 24 | 9% | — | — | — |
| Kameron Ledwidge | D | 93 | 6.50 | — | — | 1 | 28 | 22% | 1 | — | — |
| Paddy Barrett | D | 93 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 28 | 28% | 1 | — | — |
| Sam Bone | D | 93 | 6.50 | — | — | 1 | 36 | 26% | 2 | — | — |
| Milan Mbeng | D | 71 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 15 | 13% | 1 | — | — |
| J. Lunney | M | 93 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 29 | 26% | — | — | — |
| Ellis Chapman | M | 62 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 13 | 12% | — | — | — |
| D. Kelly | M | 82 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 11 | 9% | 1 | — | — |
| H. Wood | M | 93 | 7.30 | — | 2 | 1 | 32 | 20% | 2 | — | — |
| Evan Caffrey | M | 71 | 7.90 | 1 | — | 1 | 17 | 14% | 3 | — | — |
| Ademipo Odubeko | F | 82 | 7.70 | 1 | — | 1 | 7 | 4% | 2 | — | — |
| Ali Coote | M | 22 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 3 | 2% | — | — | — |
| James Barry Norris | D | 11 | 6.30 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Rodrigo Freitas | F | 11 | 6.50 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| S. Gannon | D | 22 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 2 | — | 1 | — | — |
| Will Jarvis | F | 31 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 7 | 5% | 2 | — | — |
Shamrock Rovers — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ed McGinty | G | 93 | 5.90 | — | — | — | 14 | 12% | — | — | — |
| Enda Stevens | D | 92 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 82 | 74% | 2 | — | — |
| Lee Grace | D | 93 | 7.60 | — | — | 1 | 82 | 77% | 4 | 1 | — |
| T. Sobowale | D | 93 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 81 | 73% | 2 | — | — |
| Adam Brennan | M | 93 | 7.00 | 1 | — | 3 | 32 | 25% | — | 1 | — |
| J. Byrne | M | 93 | 6.90 | — | — | 2 | 122 | 109% | 3 | — | — |
| M. Healy | M | 93 | 7.60 | — | — | 1 | 172 | 166% | 2 | — | — |
| Jake Mulraney | M | 74 | 6.50 | — | 1 | 1 | 29 | 26% | 1 | — | — |
| G. Burke | F | 83 | 7.00 | — | — | 1 | 63 | 60% | 2 | — | — |
| Dylan Watts | F | 74 | 7.30 | — | — | 1 | 50 | 42% | — | — | — |
| Aaron Greene | F | 74 | 6.50 | — | — | 1 | 7 | 5% | 2 | — | — |
| Connor Malley | M | 1 | — | — | — | — | 1 | 1% | — | — | — |
| Daniel Grant | M | 19 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 10 | 7% | — | — | — |
| J. McGovern | F | 19 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 2 | 1% | — | — | — |
| Michael Noonan | F | 19 | 6.50 | — | — | 1 | 4 | 3% | — | — | — |
| Naj Razi | M | 10 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 5 | 5% | — | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Shelbourne vs Shamrock Rovers?
The final score was Shelbourne 2–1 Shamrock Rovers.
What did the model predict before Shelbourne vs Shamrock Rovers?
The model assigned 39% probability to a Shelbourne win, 25% to a draw, and 35% to an Shamrock Rovers win.