Daniel Kelly
(ast. Ademipo Odubeko)
12'
Ademipo Odubeko
(ast. Evan Caffrey)
50'
John Martin
(ast. Daniel Kelly)
52'
Milan Bernhard Mbeng
57'
John Martin
(ast. Daniel Kelly)
59'
45'+1
(ast. Jack Shorrock)
Kaiyne Woolery
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Shelbourne a 61% win probability (draw 26%, Sligo Rovers 12%). The final result was Shelbourne 5–1 Sligo Rovers. In 3 previous meetings, Shelbourne have won 1 times, with 2 draws and 0 wins for Sligo Rovers.
Match statistics
26
Total shots
9
11
Shots on target
1
2.60
Actual xG
0.50
0
Saves
6
54%
Possession
46%
10
Corners
6
15
Tackles
10
4
🟨 Yellow cards
2
Match Events
⚽Daniel Kelly
· ast. Ademipo Odubeko
12'
27'
Kaiyne Woolery
Jack Henry-Francis
28'
45'+1
ast. Jack Shorrock ·
Kaiyne Woolery⚽
⚽Ademipo Odubeko
· ast. Evan Caffrey
50'
Ademipo Odubeko
/ John Martin
52'
⚽John Martin
· ast. Daniel Kelly
52'
Odhran Casey
55'
⚽Milan Bernhard Mbeng
57'
59'
Daire Patton
/
James McManus
59'
Cian Kavanagh
/
Archie Meekison
⚽John Martin
· ast. Daniel Kelly
59'
60'
Seb Quirk
/
Ruben Gillespie
Milan Bernhard Mbeng
61'
Milan Bernhard Mbeng
/ Marco Untergrabner
64'
Jack Henry-Francis
/ Alistair Coote
64'
65'
Kevin Zefi
/
A. Gabbidon
James Norris
/ james roche
76'
Daniel Kelly
/ Sean Boyd
76'
76'
Luke Young
81'
Luke Pearce
/
Kaiyne Woolery
Sean Moore
85'
Pre-match prediction
61.11%
Shelbourne ←
26.67%
X
12.22%
Sligo
we assigned to the actual result (Shelbourne)
61.11%
(high confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
1.48
2.60
+1.13
0.51
0.50
-0.01
Shelbourne dominated by xG (2.60 vs 0.50).
The final result reflects the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Lineups
19
E. Beach
G
E. Beach
G
4
K. Ledwidge
D
K. Ledwidge
D
17
D. Kelly
1 ⚽
2 👟
76'
D
D. Kelly
1 ⚽
2 👟
76'
D
16
O. Casey
D
O. Casey
D
18
James Barry Norris
76'
M
James Barry Norris
76'
M
23
K. McInroy
M
K. McInroy
M
21
Jack Henry-Francis
64'
M
Jack Henry-Francis
64'
M
25
M. Mbeng
1 ⚽
64'
M
M. Mbeng
1 ⚽
64'
M
27
E. Caffrey
1 👟
F
E. Caffrey
1 👟
F
11
M. Odubeko
1 ⚽
1 👟
52'
F
M. Odubeko
1 ⚽
1 👟
52'
F
22
S. Moore
F
S. Moore
F
Bench
14
A. Coote
26'
M
A. Coote
26'
M
31
C. Walsh
G
C. Walsh
G
44
Daniel Ring
F
Daniel Ring
F
55
James Roche
14'
D
James Roche
14'
D
10
J. Martin
2 ⚽
38'
F
J. Martin
2 ⚽
38'
F
24
M. Untergrabner
26'
D
M. Untergrabner
26'
D
15
S. Bone
D
S. Bone
D
9
S. Boyd
14'
F
S. Boyd
14'
F
36
W. Jarvis
M
W. Jarvis
M
1
Liam John Hughes
G
Liam John Hughes
G
3
Sean Stewart
D
Sean Stewart
D
16
C. McHugh
D
C. McHugh
D
52
G. McElroy
D
G. McElroy
D
51
Aidan Gabbidon
65'
D
Aidan Gabbidon
65'
D
50
60'
M
6
L. Young
M
L. Young
M
7
J. Shorrock
1 👟
M
J. Shorrock
1 👟
M
14
J. McManus
59'
M
J. McManus
59'
M
10
A. Meekison
59'
M
A. Meekison
59'
M
41
K. Woolery
1 ⚽
81'
F
K. Woolery
1 ⚽
81'
F
Bench
11
C. Kavanagh
31'
F
C. Kavanagh
31'
F
61
Conor Cannon
D
Conor Cannon
D
71
D. Patton
31'
M
D. Patton
31'
M
77
Kevin Zefi
25'
F
Kevin Zefi
25'
F
9
L. Pearce
9'
F
L. Pearce
9'
F
15
O. Denham
D
O. Denham
D
4
S. Quirk
30'
M
S. Quirk
30'
M
Best on the pitch
D. Kelly
D · Shelbourne
9.70
1 ⚽ 2 👟
6 shots
· 37 pass
J. Martin
F · Shelbourne
8.72
2 ⚽
3 shots
· 5 pass
M. Odubeko
F · Shelbourne
8.65
1 ⚽ 1 👟
2 shots
· 11 pass
M. Mbeng
M · Shelbourne
8.20
1 ⚽
1 shots
· 41 pass
E. Caffrey
F · Shelbourne
7.50
1 👟
3 shots
· 38 pass
K. Woolery
F · Sligo
7.10
1 ⚽
3 shots
· 18 pass
Shelbourne — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| E. Beach | G | 90 | 6.06 | — | — | 0 | 32 | 21% | 0 | — | — |
| K. Ledwidge | D | 90 | 7.09 | — | — | 0 | 55 | 46% | 2 | — | — |
| D. Kelly | D | 76 | 9.70 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 37 | 32% | 1 | — | — |
| O. Casey | D | 90 | 6.35 | — | — | 0 | 44 | 35% | 3 | 1 | — |
| James Barry Norris | M | 76 | 6.44 | — | — | 0 | 35 | 33% | 0 | — | — |
| K. McInroy | M | 90 | 6.65 | — | — | 3 | 56 | 45% | 2 | — | — |
| Jack Henry-Francis | M | 64 | 6.63 | — | — | 0 | 26 | 24% | 1 | 1 | — |
| M. Mbeng | M | 64 | 8.20 | 1 | — | 1 | 41 | 36% | 0 | 1 | — |
| E. Caffrey | F | 90 | 7.50 | — | 1 | 3 | 38 | 31% | 0 | — | — |
| M. Odubeko | F | 52 | 8.65 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 11 | 7% | 1 | — | — |
| S. Moore | F | 90 | 6.05 | — | — | 3 | 26 | 18% | 1 | 1 | — |
| A. Coote | M | 26 | 6.68 | — | — | 3 | 17 | 15% | 0 | — | — |
| James Roche | D | 14 | 6.51 | — | — | 1 | 3 | 3% | 1 | — | — |
| J. Martin | F | 38 | 8.72 | 2 | — | 3 | 5 | 5% | 1 | — | — |
| M. Untergrabner | D | 26 | 6.22 | — | — | 1 | 20 | 14% | 2 | — | — |
| S. Boyd | F | 14 | 6.45 | — | — | 0 | 1 | 0% | 0 | — | — |
Sligo Rovers — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Liam John Hughes | G | 90 | 6.64 | — | — | 0 | 24 | 6% | 0 | — | — |
| Sean Stewart | D | 90 | 6.05 | — | — | 1 | 29 | 25% | 2 | — | — |
| C. McHugh | D | 90 | 6.06 | — | — | 0 | 46 | 37% | 1 | — | — |
| G. McElroy | D | 90 | 5.64 | — | — | 0 | 41 | 30% | 2 | — | — |
| Aidan Gabbidon | D | 65 | 5.63 | — | — | 0 | 42 | 34% | 1 | — | — |
| M | 60 | 5.85 | — | — | 0 | 15 | 11% | 0 | — | — | |
| L. Young | M | 90 | 6.38 | — | — | 1 | 52 | 41% | 2 | 1 | — |
| J. Shorrock | M | 90 | 6.50 | — | 1 | 0 | 15 | 11% | 1 | — | — |
| J. McManus | M | 59 | 5.94 | — | — | 1 | 37 | 30% | 0 | — | — |
| A. Meekison | M | 59 | 5.96 | — | — | 1 | 29 | 24% | 1 | — | — |
| K. Woolery | F | 81 | 7.10 | 1 | — | 3 | 18 | 12% | 0 | 1 | — |
| C. Kavanagh | F | 31 | 6.34 | — | — | 1 | 5 | 3% | 0 | — | — |
| D. Patton | M | 31 | 5.88 | — | — | 1 | 5 | 3% | 0 | — | — |
| Kevin Zefi | F | 25 | 6.50 | — | — | 0 | 8 | 7% | 0 | — | — |
| L. Pearce | F | 9 | 6.30 | — | — | 0 | 1 | 1% | 0 | — | — |
| S. Quirk | M | 30 | 5.77 | — | — | 0 | 8 | 7% | 0 | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Shelbourne vs Sligo Rovers?
The final score was Shelbourne 5–1 Sligo Rovers.
What did the model predict before Shelbourne vs Sligo Rovers?
The model assigned 61% probability to a Shelbourne win, 26% to a draw, and 12% to an Sligo Rovers win.