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Premier Division · Regular Season - 27 August 09, 2026 18:00 Tolka Park, Dublin
Shelbourne
#4 · 49 pts
1 – 2
Final score
St Patrick's Athl.
#3 · 60 pts
J. Norris (ast. M. Mbeng) 70'
7' (ast. A. Keena) A. Olusanya
34' J. Brown
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The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave St Patrick's Athl. a 46% win probability (draw 27%, Shelbourne 25%). The final result was Shelbourne 1–2 St Patrick's Athl.. In 3 previous meetings, Shelbourne have won 2 times, with 0 draws and 1 wins for St Patrick's Athl..

Match statistics
12
Total shots
9
3
Shots on target
3
1.12
Actual xG
3.15
1
Saves
2
61%
Possession
39%
5
Corners
5
19
Tackles
22
4
🟨 Yellow cards
3
1
🟥 Red cards
0
Match Events
7'
ast. A. Keena · A. Olusanya⚽
A. Coote
10'
12'
A. Olusanya
34'
J. Brown⚽
R. Freitas
45'+2
↕ J. Henry-Francis / J. Lunney
46'
↕ A. Coote / S. Moore
46'
J. Russell
58'
59'
R. Edmondson / A. Keena ↕
66'
R. Sheridan / A. Olusanya ↕
⚽J. Norris · ast. M. Mbeng
70'
↕ S. Bone / P. Barrett
71'
↕ J. Norris / K. Ledwidge
71'
76'
A. Breslin / J. McClelland ↕
76'
B. Baggley / C. Forrester ↕
R. Freitas
77'
R. Freitas
77'
81'
J. Lennon
O. Casey
82'
↕ D. Kelly / W. Jarvis
83'
90'+2
R. Sheridan
90'+6
R. Edmondson
Pre-match prediction
25.82%
Shelbourne
27.38%
X
46.8%
St ←
we assigned to the actual result (St Patrick's Athl.) 46.8% (medium confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
Shelbourne
1.10
1.12
+0.02
St
1.62
3.15
+1.53
St Patrick's Athl. dominated by xG (3.15 vs 1.12). The final result reflects the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
League Table
#Team GPts
1 Shamrock Rovers Shamrock Rovers 35 68
2 Bohemians Bohemians 35 62
3 St Patrick's Athl. St Patrick's Athl. 35 60
4 Shelbourne Shelbourne 35 49
5 Derry City Derry City 35 47
6 Galway United Galway United 35 42
7 Dundalk Dundalk 35 42
8 Waterford Waterford 35 40
9 Drogheda United Drogheda United 35 37
10 Sligo Rovers Sligo Rovers 35 24
Lineups
Shelbourne Shelbourne 4-2-3-1
19 E. Beach E. Beach G 7.00
18 James Barry Norris James Barry Norris 1 ⚽ 71' D 6.90
15 S. Bone S. Bone 70' D 6.70
16 O. Casey O. Casey D 6.30
25 M. Mbeng M. Mbeng 1 👟 D 6.90
23 Kerr McInroy Kerr McInroy M 7.20
21 Jack Henry-Francis Jack Henry-Francis 45' M 7.00
17 D. Kelly D. Kelly 83' M 6.50
27 E. Caffrey E. Caffrey M 6.60
14 A. Coote A. Coote 45' M 6.30
20 R. Freitas R. Freitas 77' F 6.20
Bench
44 Daniel Ring Daniel Ring F
55 James Roche James Roche D
6 J. Lunney J. Lunney 50' M 7.30
4 K. Ledwidge K. Ledwidge 24' D 7.20
13 M. Johnson M. Johnson G
29 Paddy Barrett Paddy Barrett 25' D 6.60
2 S. Gannon S. Gannon D
22 S. Moore S. Moore 50' D 6.50
36 W. Jarvis W. Jarvis 12' M 6.50
St Patrick's Athl. St Patrick's Athl. 3-5-2
94 J. Anang J. Anang G 7.00
24 L. Turner L. Turner D 6.90
2 S. Hoare S. Hoare D 7.30
4 J. Redmond J. Redmond D 7.00
11 J. McClelland J. McClelland 76' M 6.00
8 C. Forrester C. Forrester 76' M 6.60
6 J. Lennon J. Lennon M 7.30
16 D. Nugent D. Nugent M 6.50
23 J. Brown J. Brown 1 ⚽ M 7.50
9 A. Keena A. Keena 1 👟 59' F 6.70
21 A. Olusanya A. Olusanya 1 ⚽ 66' F 6.90
Bench
3 A. Breslin A. Breslin 19' D 6.60
19 B. Baggley B. Baggley 19' M 6.90
1 D. Rogers D. Rogers G
37 Joe Byrne Joe Byrne M
27 R. Edmondson R. Edmondson 36' F 6.50
48 R. Sheridan R. Sheridan 29' M 6.30
25 Simon Power Simon Power F
33 S. McHale S. McHale D
35 S. Rooney S. Rooney F
Best on the pitch
J. Brown
J. Brown
M · St
7.50
1 ⚽
1 shots · 21 pass
J. Lunney
J. Lunney
M · Shelbourne
7.30
· 50 pass
J. Lennon
J. Lennon
M · St
7.30
· 33 pass
S. Hoare
S. Hoare
D · St
7.30
· 35 pass
K. Ledwidge
K. Ledwidge
D · Shelbourne
7.20
· 23 pass
Kerr McInroy
Kerr McInroy
M · Shelbourne
7.20
· 59 pass
Shelbourne Shelbourne — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
E. Beach G 95 7.00 — — — 31 23% — — —
James Barry Norris D 71 6.90 1 — 1 35 33% 1 — —
S. Bone D 70 6.70 — — — 36 32% 1 — —
O. Casey D 95 6.30 — — — 66 55% 2 1 —
M. Mbeng D 95 6.90 — 1 3 52 41% 3 — —
Kerr McInroy M 95 7.20 — — — 59 54% 2 — —
Jack Henry-Francis M 45 7.00 — — — 38 30% 4 — —
D. Kelly M 83 6.50 — — 2 19 14% — — —
E. Caffrey M 95 6.60 — — 4 19 15% — — —
A. Coote M 45 6.30 — — — 22 19% 2 1 —
R. Freitas F 77 6.20 — — 1 16 8% — 2 1
J. Lunney M 50 7.30 — — — 50 46% 2 — —
K. Ledwidge D 24 7.20 — — — 23 19% 1 — —
Paddy Barrett D 25 6.60 — — — 20 17% — — —
S. Moore D 50 6.50 — — 1 15 11% — — —
W. Jarvis M 12 6.50 — — — 1 1% 1 — —
St Patrick's Athl. St Patrick's Athl. — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
J. Anang G 95 7.00 — — — 33 21% — — —
L. Turner D 95 6.90 — — — 42 32% 3 — —
S. Hoare D 95 7.30 — — — 35 30% 2 — —
J. Redmond D 95 7.00 — — — 33 21% 3 — —
J. McClelland M 76 6.00 — — 1 19 13% 2 — —
C. Forrester M 76 6.60 — — 1 26 18% 1 — —
J. Lennon M 95 7.30 — — — 33 26% 3 1 —
D. Nugent M 95 6.50 — — 1 26 20% — — —
J. Brown M 95 7.50 1 — 1 21 18% 3 — —
A. Keena F 59 6.70 — 1 1 13 9% 1 — —
A. Olusanya F 66 6.90 1 — 2 14 11% — 1 —
A. Breslin D 19 6.60 — — — 4 3% 1 — —
B. Baggley M 19 6.90 — — — 10 8% 1 — —
R. Edmondson F 36 6.50 — — 2 6 4% — — —
R. Sheridan M 29 6.30 — — — 15 12% 2 1 —
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Shelbourne vs St Patrick's Athl.?
The final score was Shelbourne 1–2 St Patrick's Athl..
What did the model predict before Shelbourne vs St Patrick's Athl.?
The model assigned 25% probability to a Shelbourne win, 27% to a draw, and 46% to an St Patrick's Athl. win.