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Premier Division · Regular Season - 36 October 30, 2026 20:45 Tolka Park, Dublin
Shelbourne
#4 · 49 pts
2 – 3
Final score
Waterford
#7 · 43 pts
Kerr Mcinroy (ast. James Norris) 9'
Jonathan Lunney (ast. Jack Henry-Francis) 69'
38' Evan McLaughlin
52' (ast. Tom Lonergan) Padraig Amond
88' (ast. Bernardo Piexoto Couto) Tom Lonergan
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The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Shelbourne a 43% win probability (draw 26%, Waterford 30%). The final result was Shelbourne 2–3 Waterford. In 3 previous meetings, Shelbourne have won 1 times, with 1 draws and 1 wins for Waterford.

Match statistics
16
Total shots
17
7
Shots on target
6
1.41
Actual xG
1.79
3
Saves
5
75%
Possession
25%
7
Corners
2
11
Tackles
12
1
🟨 Yellow cards
3
Match Events
⚽Kerr Mcinroy · ast. James Norris
9'
17'
Noah Mawene
27'
John Mahon
38'
Evan McLaughlin⚽
↕ Evan Caffrey / Marco Untergrabner
39'
52'
ast. Tom Lonergan · Padraig Amond⚽
54'
H. Cann
Kameron Ledwidge
59'
↕ Kerr Mcinroy / Ademipo Odubeko
62'
↕ John Martin / Sean Boyd
63'
⚽Jonathan Lunney · ast. Jack Henry-Francis
69'
78'
Dean Mcmenamy / Padraig Amond ↕
78'
Luke Heeney / Evan McLaughlin ↕
85'
joe ashton / Jørgen Voilås ↕
88'
ast. Bernardo Piexoto Couto · Tom Lonergan⚽
90'+2
goforth amedu / Noah Mawene ↕
Pre-match prediction
43.04%
Shelbourne
26.19%
X
30.78%
Waterford ←
we assigned to the actual result (Waterford) 30.78% (low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
Shelbourne
1.61
1.41
-0.2
Waterford
1.38
1.79
+0.41
Waterford dominated by xG (1.79 vs 1.41). The final result reflects the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates were accurate.
League Table
#Team GPts
1 Shamrock Rovers Shamrock Rovers 36 68
2 Bohemians Bohemians 36 65
3 St Patrick's Athl. St Patrick's Athl. 36 60
4 Shelbourne Shelbourne 36 49
5 Derry City Derry City 36 48
6 Dundalk Dundalk 36 45
7 Waterford Waterford 36 43
8 Galway United Galway United 36 42
9 Drogheda United Drogheda United 36 40
10 Sligo Rovers Sligo Rovers 36 25
Lineups
Shelbourne Shelbourne 4-4-2
19 E. Beach E. Beach G 5.97
18 James Barry Norris James Barry Norris 1 👟 D 6.84
4 K. Ledwidge K. Ledwidge D 6.04
16 O. Casey O. Casey D 6.35
27 E. Caffrey E. Caffrey 39' D 6.37
17 D. Kelly D. Kelly M 6.41
6 J. Lunney J. Lunney 1 ⚽ M 8.20
23 K. McInroy K. McInroy 1 ⚽ 62' M 8.15
21 Jack Henry-Francis Jack Henry-Francis 1 👟 M 7.40
10 J. Martin J. Martin 63' F 6.47
22 S. Moore S. Moore F 6.30
Bench
31 C. Walsh C. Walsh G 0.00
44 Daniel Ring Daniel Ring F 0.00
55 James Roche James Roche D 0.00
56 J. Wuna J. Wuna F 0.00
11 M. Odubeko M. Odubeko 28' F 6.54
24 M. Untergrabner M. Untergrabner 51' D 6.20
15 S. Bone S. Bone D 0.00
9 S. Boyd S. Boyd 27' F 6.89
2 S. Gannon S. Gannon D 0.00
Waterford Waterford 4-4-2
1 S. McMullan S. McMullan G 6.96
3 Benny Couto Benny Couto 1 👟 D 6.35
13 K. Long K. Long D 6.40
5 J. Mahon J. Mahon D 6.00
16 H. Cann H. Cann D 6.48
7 N. Mawene N. Mawene 89' M 5.90
10 C. Noonan C. Noonan M 6.56
8 E. McLaughlin E. McLaughlin 1 ⚽ 78' M 7.64
20 J. Voilås J. Voilås 85' M 6.06
18 T. Lonergan T. Lonergan 1 ⚽ 1 👟 F 9.00
9 P. Amond P. Amond 1 ⚽ 78' F 7.92
Bench
21 Arlo Ricky Hugh Doherty Arlo Ricky Hugh Doherty G 0.00
12 B. McKenzie B. McKenzie D 0.00
27 D. McMenamy D. McMenamy 12' M 6.24
32 G. Amedu G. Amedu 1' D 6.09
6 J. Ashton J. Ashton 5' D 6.16
17 J. Faria J. Faria M 0.00
15 L. Heeney L. Heeney 12' M 5.79
50 Noah O'Brien Noah O'Brien D 0.00
11 T. Coyle T. Coyle F 0.00
Best on the pitch
T. Lonergan
T. Lonergan
F · Waterford
9.00
1 ⚽ 1 👟
2 shots · 21 pass
J. Lunney
J. Lunney
M · Shelbourne
8.20
1 ⚽
1 shots · 107 pass
K. McInroy
K. McInroy
M · Shelbourne
8.15
1 ⚽
3 shots · 57 pass
P. Amond
P. Amond
F · Waterford
7.92
1 ⚽
4 shots · 12 pass
E. McLaughlin
E. McLaughlin
M · Waterford
7.64
1 ⚽
1 shots · 14 pass
Jack Henry-Francis
Jack Henry-Francis
M · Shelbourne
7.40
1 👟
2 shots · 78 pass
Shelbourne Shelbourne — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
E. Beach G 90 5.97 — — 0 37 24% 0 — —
James Barry Norris D 90 6.84 — 1 0 71 61% 4 — —
K. Ledwidge D 90 6.04 — — 0 78 68% 0 1 —
O. Casey D 90 6.35 — — 0 76 65% 1 — —
E. Caffrey D 39 6.37 — — 1 26 24% 0 — —
D. Kelly M 90 6.41 — — 1 56 42% 2 — —
J. Lunney M 90 8.20 1 — 1 107 98% 1 — —
K. McInroy M 62 8.15 1 — 3 57 50% 0 — —
Jack Henry-Francis M 90 7.40 — 1 2 78 67% 2 — —
J. Martin F 63 6.47 — — 1 15 12% 1 — —
S. Moore F 90 6.30 — — 2 32 26% 0 — —
M. Odubeko F 28 6.54 — — 1 19 15% 0 — —
M. Untergrabner D 51 6.20 — — 0 30 26% 0 — —
S. Boyd F 27 6.89 — — 4 10 6% 0 — —
Waterford Waterford — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
S. McMullan G 90 6.96 — — 0 28 13% 0 — —
Benny Couto D 90 6.35 — 1 0 25 16% 1 — —
K. Long D 90 6.40 — — 0 18 12% 1 — —
J. Mahon D 90 6.00 — — 0 19 13% 0 1 —
H. Cann D 90 6.48 — — 1 10 6% 0 1 —
N. Mawene M 89 5.90 — — 3 23 13% 3 1 —
C. Noonan M 90 6.56 — — 2 18 11% 0 — —
E. McLaughlin M 78 7.64 1 — 1 14 12% 3 — —
J. Voilås M 85 6.06 — — 0 19 11% 1 — —
T. Lonergan F 90 9.00 1 1 2 21 13% 0 — —
P. Amond F 78 7.92 1 — 4 12 6% 1 — —
D. McMenamy M 12 6.24 — — 1 6 4% 1 — —
G. Amedu D 1 6.09 — — 0 1 0% 0 — —
J. Ashton D 5 6.16 — — 1 0 0% 0 — —
L. Heeney M 12 5.79 — — 2 4 1% 1 — —
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Shelbourne vs Waterford?
The final score was Shelbourne 2–3 Waterford.
What did the model predict before Shelbourne vs Waterford?
The model assigned 43% probability to a Shelbourne win, 26% to a draw, and 30% to an Waterford win.