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Sheppey United - Chertsey Town

FA Cup October 03, 2026 16:00
⚡ Pre-match analysis
34.51%
Win
Sheppey United
31.71%
Draw
33.78%
Win
Chertsey Town
1.84
Expected xG
1.71

Market probabilities

Most likely result 1–1 (11.18%)
1X2 Result
1 35%
X 32%
2 34%
Double Chance
1X 66%
X2 66%
12 68%
Over / Under
Over 1.5 78%
Over 2.5 56%
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The ForzaPitch prediction gives Sheppey United a 34% win probability, against 31% for a draw and 33% for Chertsey Town. Expected goals are 1.8 for Sheppey United and 1.7 for Chertsey Town (total 3.5), with a 77% probability of Over 1.5 goals. The most likely scoreline is 1–1 at 11.18% probability.

Season Stats

Sheppey United
4W 0D 1L
Chertsey Town
3W 1D 1L
Averages per game
3.0
Goals
2.0
0.8
Conceded
1.6
Percentages
80%
O 1.5
100%
60%
O 2.5
80%
40%
BTTS
100%
40%
Clean Sht
0%
ℹ Based on the last 5 matches in FA Cup. Bars use fixed scales (goals max 3.5, percentages 0–100%).

Venue Form

Goals signal (venue avg)
50%
O 3.5
75%
BTTS
Sheppey United
2W 0D 0L · at home
Chertsey Town
1W 0D 0L · away
6.0
gls/g
2.0
0.5
Conceded
1.0
100%
Win %
100%
100%
Win or Draw
100%
100%
O 1.5
100%
100%
O 2.5
100%
100%
O 3.5
0%
50%
BTTS
100%
50%
Clean Sht
0%
0%
Failed to Score
0%
last 2
ℹ Home team's record in home matches only · Away team's record in away matches only.

Score Matrix

↕ Sheppey United Chertsey Town →
0 1 2 3 4 5
0 2.9% 4.9% 4.2% 2.4% 1.0% 0.4%
1 5.3% 9.1% 7.7% 4.4% 1.9% 0.6%
2 4.9% 8.3% 7.1% 4.1% 1.7% 0.6%
3 3.0% 5.1% 4.3% 2.5% 1.1% 0.4%
4 1.4% 2.3% 2.0% 1.1% 0.5% 0.2%
5 0.5% 0.9% 0.7% 0.4% 0.2% 0.1%

Recent form

W Snodland 0–1
W Redhill 1–2
L Westfield (Surrey) 2–0
W Eastbourne United 9–0
W Metropolitan Police 3–1
W Greenwich Borough 3–2
W Carshalton Athletic 1–2
D Carshalton Athletic 1–1
L Cray Valley PM 2–3
W Thame United 2–1
Away clean sheet (120 days) 18%

Playing profile

Sheppey United Sheppey United
Attack
39
Defence
87
Form
77
Chertsey Town Chertsey Town
Attack
58
Defence
71
Form
73
Indices on a 0–100 scale calculated by the model
Frequently Asked Questions
Who will win Sheppey United vs Chertsey Town?
The model gives Sheppey United a 34% win probability, 31% for a draw, and 33% for an Chertsey Town win.
How many goals are expected in Sheppey United vs Chertsey Town?
Expected goals: Sheppey United 1.8, Chertsey Town 1.7 (total 3.5). Probability of over 1.5 goals: 77%.
What is the most likely score in Sheppey United vs Chertsey Town?
1–1 is the most probable final score, with an estimated probability of 11.18%.