Shimizu S-pulse 1–1 Avispa Fukuoka — pre-match prediction — J1 League — May 10, 2026

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J1 League · Regular Season - 16 May 10, 2026 07:00 IAI Stadium Nihondaira, Shizuoka

Shimizu S-pulse

#13 · 14 pts

1 – 1

Final score

pens 4–3

Avispa Fukuoka

#19 · 7 pts

Oh Se-Hun (ast. K. Matsuzaki) 75'

Oh Se-Hun 120'+1 (pen.)

M. Brunetti 120'+3 (pen.)

K. Chiba 120'+4 (pen.)

Z. Uno 120'+5 (pen.)

70' (ast. M. Shigemi) S. Usui

(pen.) 120'+1 Y. Tsujioka

(pen.) 120'+3 K. Okuno

(pen.) 120'+5 T. Kamijima

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The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Shimizu S-pulse a 40% win probability (draw 28%, Avispa Fukuoka 30%). The final result was Shimizu S-pulse 1–1 Avispa Fukuoka. In 2 previous meetings, Shimizu S-pulse have won 1 times, with 1 draws and 0 wins for Avispa Fukuoka.

Match statistics

Total shots

Shots on target

Saves

57%

Possession

43%

Corners

Tackles

🟨 Yellow cards

Match Events

53'

K. Okuno

↕ R. Ohata / K. Matsuzaki

56'

↕ A. Ahmedov / Oh Se-Hun

56'

63'

M. Shigemi

↕ Y. Honda / Y. Yoshida

68'

70'

ast. M. Shigemi · S. Usui⚽

⚽Oh Se-Hun · ast. K. Matsuzaki

75'

83'

K. Yamawaki / Y. Maejima ↕

83'

D. Miya / K. Fujimoto ↕

↕ T. Takahashi / K. Chiba

86'

87'

S. Nago

Y. Yoshida

87'

K. Chiba

88'

90'+2

S. Sato / S. Nago ↕

90'+2

A. Sani Brown / S. Usui ↕

90'+2

Y. Kitajima / M. Shigemi ↕

120'+1

(pen.) Y. Tsujioka⚽

⚽Oh Se-Hun (pen.)

120'+1

120'+2

(missed pen.) Y. Kitajima⚽

⚽Matheus Bueno (missed pen.)

120'+2

120'+3

(pen.) K. Okuno⚽

⚽M. Brunetti (pen.)

120'+3

120'+4

(missed pen.) M. Tashiro⚽

⚽K. Chiba (pen.)

120'+4

120'+5

(pen.) T. Kamijima⚽

⚽Z. Uno (pen.)

120'+5

Pre-match prediction

40.85%

Shimizu

28.63%

X ←

30.52%

Avispa

we assigned to the actual result (Draw) 28.63% (low confidence)

Expected vs actual xG

Exp.

Actual

Shimizu

1.13

—

Avispa

0.97

—

League Table

#	Team	G	Pts
1	Machida Zelvia	12	27
2	FC Tokyo	12	27
3	Sanfrecce Hiroshima	12	26
4	Kashiwa Reysol	12	25
5	Vissel Kobe	12	23
6	Kawasaki Frontale	12	22
7	Urawa	12	21
8	Kashima	12	20
9	Yokohama F. Marinos	12	18
10	Fagiano Okayama	12	16
11	Nagoya Grampus	12	14
12	Cerezo Osaka	12	14
13	Shimizu S-pulse	12	14
14	V-varen Nagasaki	12	12
15	Gamba Osaka	12	11
16	Kyoto Sanga	12	10
17	Mito Hollyhock	12	9
18	Tokyo Verdy	12	8
19	Avispa Fukuoka	12	7
20	JEF United Chiba	12	7

Lineups

Shimizu S-pulse 3-4-2-1

Y. Oki G 6.50

Mateus Brunetti 1 ⚽ D 7.20

Y. Honda 68' D 6.70

J. Sumiyoshi D 6.90

Rinsei Ohata 56' M 6.70

Matheus Bueno M 7.00

Z. Uno 1 ⚽ M 7.30

Kengo Kitazume M 6.50

Toshiki Takahashi 86' F 6.30

Yudai Shimamoto F 7.30

A. Ahmedov 56' F 5.90

Bench

K. Chiba 1 ⚽ 13' F 6.50

K. Kozuka M

K. Matsuzaki 1 👟 43' M 6.30

M. Yumiba M

O. Badamassi D

Oh Se-Hun 2 ⚽ 43' F 7.30

S. Hasukawa D

Y. Yoshida 31' D 6.50

Avispa Fukuoka 3-4-2-1

K. Fujita G 6.50

Y. Tsujioka 1 ⚽ D 7.20

M. Tashiro D 6.20

T. Kamijima 1 ⚽ D 7.30

K. Fujimoto 84' M 6.70

K. Shiihashi M 6.60

K. Okuno 1 ⚽ M 6.20

Y. Maejima 84' M 6.30

S. Nago F 6.30

M. Shigemi 1 👟 F 6.70

S. Usui 1 ⚽ F 7.30

Bench

A. Sani Brown 7' F

D. Miya 15' D 6.70

Kazuki Fukushima M

Kim Moon-Hyeon D

K. Yamawaki 15' D 6.50

Powell Obinna Obi G

Sonosuke Sato 7' F

Y. Kitajima 7' M

Yutaka Michiwaki F

Best on the pitch

T. Kamijima

D · Avispa

7.30

1 ⚽

1 shots · 40 pass

Z. Uno

M · Shimizu

7.30

1 ⚽

1 shots · 31 pass

S. Usui

F · Avispa

7.30

1 ⚽

1 shots · 14 pass

Yudai Shimamoto

F · Shimizu

7.30

1 shots · 22 pass

Oh Se-Hun

F · Shimizu

7.30

2 ⚽

1 shots · 5 pass

Mateus Brunetti

D · Shimizu

7.20

1 ⚽

· 49 pass

Shimizu S-pulse — Player statistics

Team	Pos	Min	Rating	⚽	👟	Shots	Pass	Acc%	Tck	YC	RC
Y. Oki	G	99	6.50	—	—	—	31	14%	—	—	—
Mateus Brunetti	D	99	7.20	1	—	—	49	39%	2	—	—
Y. Honda	D	68	6.70	—	—	—	31	24%	—	—	—
J. Sumiyoshi	D	99	6.90	—	—	—	55	42%	2	—	—
Rinsei Ohata	M	56	6.70	—	—	—	14	6%	—	—	—
Matheus Bueno	M	99	7.00	—	—	1	69	60%	1	—	—
Z. Uno	M	99	7.30	1	—	1	31	26%	6	—	—
Kengo Kitazume	M	99	6.50	—	—	—	40	29%	1	—	—
Toshiki Takahashi	F	86	6.30	—	—	—	14	9%	—	—	—
Yudai Shimamoto	F	99	7.30	—	—	1	22	18%	3	—	—
A. Ahmedov	F	56	5.90	—	—	1	11	7%	—	—	—
K. Chiba	F	13	6.50	1	—	—	1	—	—	1	—
K. Matsuzaki	M	43	6.30	—	1	—	17	14%	—	—	—
Oh Se-Hun	F	43	7.30	2	—	1	5	3%	—	—	—
Y. Yoshida	D	31	6.50	—	—	—	20	15%	—	1	—

Avispa Fukuoka — Player statistics

Team	Pos	Min	Rating	⚽	👟	Shots	Pass	Acc%	Tck	YC	RC
K. Fujita	G	99	6.50	—	—	—	29	14%	—	—	—
Y. Tsujioka	D	99	7.20	1	—	—	34	19%	2	—	—
M. Tashiro	D	99	6.20	—	—	—	31	26%	1	—	—
T. Kamijima	D	99	7.30	1	—	1	40	29%	2	—	—
K. Fujimoto	M	84	6.70	—	—	—	13	11%	1	—	—
K. Shiihashi	M	99	6.60	—	—	—	37	27%	2	—	—
K. Okuno	M	99	6.20	1	—	1	41	27%	1	1	—
Y. Maejima	M	84	6.30	—	—	1	28	18%	1	—	—
S. Nago	F	92	6.30	—	—	1	16	12%	—	1	—
M. Shigemi	F	92	6.70	—	1	1	22	18%	1	1	—
S. Usui	F	92	7.30	1	—	1	14	8%	—	—	—
A. Sani Brown	F	7	—	—	—	1	1	—	—	—	—
D. Miya	D	15	6.70	—	—	1	3	2%	—	—	—
K. Yamawaki	D	15	6.50	—	—	—	5	2%	—	—	—
Sonosuke Sato	F	7	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Y. Kitajima	M	7	—	—	—	—	4	2%	—	—	—

Frequently Asked Questions

What was the final score of Shimizu S-pulse vs Avispa Fukuoka?

The final score was Shimizu S-pulse 1–1 Avispa Fukuoka.

What did the model predict before Shimizu S-pulse vs Avispa Fukuoka?

The model assigned 40% probability to a Shimizu S-pulse win, 28% to a draw, and 30% to an Avispa Fukuoka win.