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J1 League · Regular Season - 15 May 06, 2026 06:03 IAI Stadium Nihondaira, Shizuoka
Shimizu S-pulse
#13 · 14 pts
1 – 1
Final score
pens 5–3
Cerezo Osaka
#12 · 14 pts
Matheus Bueno 90' (pen.)
Matheus Bueno 120'+1 (pen.)
Capixaba 120'+2 (pen.)
A. Ahmedov 120'+3 (pen.)
M. Brunetti 120'+4 (pen.)
K. Chiba 120'+5 (pen.)
19' (ast. N. Ishiwatari) S. Tanaka
(pen.) 120'+1 S. Tanaka
(pen.) 120'+2 M. Nakajima
(pen.) 120'+4 Thiago Andrade
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The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Shimizu S-pulse a 41% win probability (draw 27%, Cerezo Osaka 30%). The final result was Shimizu S-pulse 1–1 Cerezo Osaka. In 2 previous meetings, Shimizu S-pulse have won 0 times, with 1 draws and 1 wins for Cerezo Osaka.

Match statistics
16
Total shots
5
8
Shots on target
2
0
Saves
7
50%
Possession
50%
4
Corners
7
16
Tackles
9
1
🟨 Yellow cards
1
Match Events
19'
ast. N. Ishiwatari · S. Tanaka⚽
↕ T. Umeda / Y. Oki
46'
↕ H. Nakahara / Capixaba
46'
↕ Y. Yoshida / Y. Honda
62'
66'
Thiago Andrade / M. Shibayama ↕
66'
H. Okuda / D. Cools ↕
↕ T. Takahashi / K. Chiba
68'
↕ Oh Se-Hun / A. Ahmedov
76'
76'
S. Homma / Y. Yokoyama ↕
76'
M. Nakajima / S. Kagawa ↕
81'
H. Tanaka / S. Sakuragawa ↕
88'
S. Hatanaka
A. Ahmedov
90'+1
⚽Matheus Bueno (pen.)
90'
⚽Matheus Bueno (pen.)
120'+1
120'+1
(pen.) S. Tanaka⚽
120'+2
(pen.) M. Nakajima⚽
⚽Capixaba (pen.)
120'+2
⚽A. Ahmedov (pen.)
120'+3
120'+3
(missed pen.) S. Hatanaka⚽
⚽M. Brunetti (pen.)
120'+4
120'+4
(pen.) Thiago Andrade⚽
⚽K. Chiba (pen.)
120'+5
Pre-match prediction
41.74%
Shimizu
27.65%
X ←
30.6%
Cerezo
we assigned to the actual result (Draw) 27.65% (low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
Shimizu
1.26
—
—
Cerezo
1.00
—
—
League Table
#Team GPts
1 Machida Zelvia Machida Zelvia 12 27
2 FC Tokyo FC Tokyo 12 27
3 Sanfrecce Hiroshima Sanfrecce Hiroshima 12 26
4 Kashiwa Reysol Kashiwa Reysol 12 25
5 Vissel Kobe Vissel Kobe 12 23
6 Kawasaki Frontale Kawasaki Frontale 12 22
7 Urawa Urawa 12 21
8 Kashima Kashima 12 20
9 Yokohama F. Marinos Yokohama F. Marinos 12 18
10 Fagiano Okayama Fagiano Okayama 12 16
11 Nagoya Grampus Nagoya Grampus 12 14
12 Cerezo Osaka Cerezo Osaka 12 14
13 Shimizu S-pulse Shimizu S-pulse 12 14
14 V-varen Nagasaki V-varen Nagasaki 12 12
15 Gamba Osaka Gamba Osaka 12 11
16 Kyoto Sanga Kyoto Sanga 12 10
17 Mito Hollyhock Mito Hollyhock 12 9
18 Tokyo Verdy Tokyo Verdy 12 8
19 Avispa Fukuoka Avispa Fukuoka 12 7
20 JEF United Chiba JEF United Chiba 12 7
Lineups
Shimizu S-pulse Shimizu S-pulse 4-3-3
16 T. Umeda T. Umeda 45' G 6.20
28 Y. Yoshida Y. Yoshida 62' D 6.90
25 Mateus Brunetti Mateus Brunetti 1 ⚽ D 6.90
51 J. Sumiyoshi J. Sumiyoshi D 6.30
5 Kengo Kitazume Kengo Kitazume D 6.60
47 Yudai Shimamoto Yudai Shimamoto M 6.60
10 Matheus Bueno Matheus Bueno 2 ⚽ M 7.70
6 Z. Uno Z. Uno M 6.60
11
H. Nakahara 45' F 6.20
9 Oh Se-Hun Oh Se-Hun 76' F 6.90
38 Toshiki Takahashi Toshiki Takahashi 68' F 6.70
Bench
29
A. Ahmedov 1 ⚽ 23' F 7.20
7 Capixaba Capixaba 1 ⚽ 54' M 6.90
23 K. Chiba K. Chiba 1 ⚽ 31' F 6.50
81 K. Kozuka K. Kozuka M
17 M. Yumiba M. Yumiba M
97 Rinsei Ohata Rinsei Ohata M
4 S. Hasukawa S. Hasukawa D
15 Y. Honda Y. Honda 37' D 6.70
Cerezo Osaka Cerezo Osaka 4-2-3-1
21
G 7.60
66 A. Ohata A. Ohata D 6.20
44 S. Hatanaka S. Hatanaka D 6.20
4 R. Inoue R. Inoue D 6.90
27 Dion-Johan Cools Dion-Johan Cools 66' D 6.90
10 S. Tanaka S. Tanaka 2 ⚽ M 7.90
18 N. Ishiwatari N. Ishiwatari 1 👟 M 6.60
14 Yumeki Yokoyama Yumeki Yokoyama 76' M 6.20
8 S. Kagawa S. Kagawa 76' M 6.60
48 M. Shibayama M. Shibayama 66' M 6.70
9 S. Sakuragawa S. Sakuragawa 81' F 6.90
Bench
5 H. Kida H. Kida M
16 H. Okuda H. Okuda 33' D 5.90
23 Kosuke Nakamura Kosuke Nakamura G
13 M. Nakajima M. Nakajima 1 ⚽ 23' F 6.60
34
R. Osako M
19 S. Homma S. Homma 23' M 6.30
7 S. Uejo S. Uejo M
11 Thiago Andrade Thiago Andrade 1 ⚽ 33' F 6.50
Best on the pitch
S. Tanaka
S. Tanaka
M · Cerezo
7.90
2 ⚽
1 shots · 38 pass
Matheus Bueno
Matheus Bueno
M · Shimizu
7.70
2 ⚽
2 shots · 56 pass
G · Cerezo
7.60
· 39 pass
A. Ahmedov
F · Shimizu
7.20
1 ⚽
· 5 pass
S. Sakuragawa
S. Sakuragawa
F · Cerezo
6.90
· 24 pass
Dion-Johan Cools
Dion-Johan Cools
D · Cerezo
6.90
· 30 pass
Shimizu S-pulse Shimizu S-pulse — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
T. Umeda G 45 6.20 — — — 17 10% — — —
Y. Yoshida D 62 6.90 — — — 31 24% 1 — —
Mateus Brunetti D 99 6.90 1 — 1 58 49% 1 — —
J. Sumiyoshi D 99 6.30 — — 1 43 35% 2 — —
Kengo Kitazume D 99 6.60 — — — 24 17% 2 — —
Yudai Shimamoto M 99 6.60 — — 1 18 14% — — —
Matheus Bueno M 99 7.70 2 — 2 56 47% — — —
Z. Uno M 99 6.60 — — 1 27 19% 5 — —
H. Nakahara F 45 6.20 — — 4 14 12% — — —
Oh Se-Hun F 76 6.90 — — 2 19 9% — — —
Toshiki Takahashi F 68 6.70 — — 1 15 10% 1 — —
A. Ahmedov F 23 7.20 1 — — 5 4% — 1 —
Capixaba M 54 6.90 1 — 1 11 10% 2 — —
K. Chiba F 31 6.50 1 — 2 4 3% 1 — —
Y. Honda D 37 6.70 — — — 18 16% 1 — —
Cerezo Osaka Cerezo Osaka — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
G 99 7.60 — — — 39 25% — — —
A. Ohata D 99 6.20 — — — 22 18% 1 — —
S. Hatanaka D 99 6.20 — — — 40 38% 1 1 —
R. Inoue D 99 6.90 — — — 53 49% — — —
Dion-Johan Cools D 66 6.90 — — — 30 22% 2 — —
S. Tanaka M 99 7.90 2 — 1 38 29% 1 — —
N. Ishiwatari M 99 6.60 — 1 — 32 25% 3 — —
Yumeki Yokoyama M 76 6.20 — — 1 7 5% — — —
S. Kagawa M 76 6.60 — — — 35 31% — — —
M. Shibayama M 66 6.70 — — 1 13 8% 1 — —
S. Sakuragawa F 81 6.90 — — — 24 8% — — —
H. Okuda D 33 5.90 — — — 18 15% — — —
M. Nakajima F 23 6.60 1 — — 9 7% — — —
S. Homma M 23 6.30 — — 1 6 6% — — —
Thiago Andrade F 33 6.50 1 — 1 5 4% — — —
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Shimizu S-pulse vs Cerezo Osaka?
The final score was Shimizu S-pulse 1–1 Cerezo Osaka.
What did the model predict before Shimizu S-pulse vs Cerezo Osaka?
The model assigned 41% probability to a Shimizu S-pulse win, 27% to a draw, and 30% to an Cerezo Osaka win.