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J1 League · Regular Season - 10 October 17, 2026 06:00 IAI Stadium Nihondaira, Shizuoka
Shimizu S-pulse
#13 · 14 pts
2 – 2
Final score
Gamba Osaka
#15 · 11 pts
Yuki Honda (ast. Masaki Yumiba) 9'
Kai Matsuzaki (ast. Oh Se-hun) 42'
84' Ryotaro Meshino
90'+5 (ast. Takeru Kishimoto) Issam Jebali
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The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Shimizu S-pulse a 36% win probability (draw 38%, Gamba Osaka 25%). The final result was Shimizu S-pulse 2–2 Gamba Osaka. In 2 previous meetings, Shimizu S-pulse have won 0 times, with 1 draws and 1 wins for Gamba Osaka.

Match statistics
12
Total shots
12
5
Shots on target
4
0.77
Actual xG
1.23
2
Saves
3
35%
Possession
65%
7
Corners
4
21
Tackles
14
1
🟨 Yellow cards
2
Match Events
⚽Yuki Honda · ast. Masaki Yumiba
9'
23'
Ryoya Yamashita
24'
Ryo Hatsuse
⚽Kai Matsuzaki · ast. Oh Se-hun
42'
45'
Takashi Usami / Yusei Toshida ↕
45'
Eli Adams / Rin Mito ↕
Hidehiro Sugai
47'
↕ Kenta Inoue / Tomoya Fujii
64'
65'
Ryotaro Meshino / Welton ↕
75'
T. Myojin
↕ Mateus Brunetti Valor / Yutaka Yoshida
75'
↕ Oh Se-hun / Yudai Shimamoto
75'
76'
Tsuyoshi Ogashiwa / Shota Fukuoka ↕
77'
Ryo Hatsuse / Shinya Nakano ↕
84'
Ryotaro Meshino⚽
90'+5
ast. Takeru Kishimoto · Issam Jebali⚽
↕ Kai Matsuzaki / Park Seung-Wook
90'
Pre-match prediction
36.67%
Shimizu
38.24%
X ←
25.09%
Gamba
we assigned to the actual result (Draw) 38.24% (low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
Shimizu
0.69
0.77
+0.08
Gamba
0.39
1.23
+0.84
Gamba Osaka dominated by xG (1.23 vs 0.77). The final result does not reflect the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
League Table
#Team GPts
1 Machida Zelvia Machida Zelvia 12 27
2 FC Tokyo FC Tokyo 12 27
3 Sanfrecce Hiroshima Sanfrecce Hiroshima 12 26
4 Kashiwa Reysol Kashiwa Reysol 12 25
5 Vissel Kobe Vissel Kobe 12 23
6 Kawasaki Frontale Kawasaki Frontale 12 22
7 Urawa Urawa 12 21
8 Kashima Kashima 12 20
9 Yokohama F. Marinos Yokohama F. Marinos 12 18
10 Fagiano Okayama Fagiano Okayama 12 16
11 Nagoya Grampus Nagoya Grampus 12 14
12 Cerezo Osaka Cerezo Osaka 12 14
13 Shimizu S-pulse Shimizu S-pulse 12 14
14 V-varen Nagasaki V-varen Nagasaki 12 12
15 Gamba Osaka Gamba Osaka 12 11
16 Kyoto Sanga Kyoto Sanga 12 10
17 Mito Hollyhock Mito Hollyhock 12 9
18 Tokyo Verdy Tokyo Verdy 12 8
19 Avispa Fukuoka Avispa Fukuoka 12 7
20 JEF United Chiba JEF United Chiba 12 7
Lineups
Shimizu S-pulse Shimizu S-pulse 4-3-3
16 T. Umeda T. Umeda G 6.00
25 Mateus Brunetti Mateus Brunetti 75' D 6.12
15 Y. Honda Y. Honda 1 ⚽ D 7.72
4 S. Hasukawa S. Hasukawa D 6.99
24 H. Sugai H. Sugai D 6.03
21 K. Matsuzaki K. Matsuzaki 1 ⚽ 89' M 7.44
17 M. Yumiba M. Yumiba 1 👟 M 6.81
37 K. Koizumi K. Koizumi M 6.22
8 K. Inoue K. Inoue 64' F 6.33
9 Oh Se-Hun Oh Se-Hun 1 👟 75' F 7.69
13 R. Germain R. Germain F 6.49
Bench
7 Capixaba Capixaba M 0.00
19 K. Kinoshita K. Kinoshita F 0.00
81 K. Kozuka K. Kozuka M 0.00
14 Park Seung-Wook Park Seung-Wook 1' D 6.47
50 T. Fujii T. Fujii 26' M 6.59
18 T. Hirato T. Hirato M 0.00
1 Y. Oki Y. Oki G 0.00
47 Y. Shimamoto Y. Shimamoto 15' M 6.23
28 Y. Yoshida Y. Yoshida 15' D 6.94
Gamba Osaka Gamba Osaka 4-2-3-1
22 J. Ichimori J. Ichimori G 6.26
47 S. Nakano S. Nakano 77' D 6.27
2 S. Fukuoka S. Fukuoka 76' D 6.85
4 S. Nakatani S. Nakatani D 6.54
15 T. Kishimoto T. Kishimoto 1 👟 D 6.59
27 R. Mito R. Mito 45' M 5.83
13 S. Abe S. Abe M 6.25
97 Welton Felipe Welton Felipe 65' M 6.44
11 I. Jebali I. Jebali 1 ⚽ M 6.65
17 R. Yamashita R. Yamashita M 6.48
41 Y. Toshida Y. Toshida 45' F 6.34
Bench
20 E. Adams E. Adams 45' M 6.07
1 M. Higashiguchi M. Higashiguchi G 0.00
21 R. Hatsuse R. Hatsuse 13' D 5.71
8 R. Meshino R. Meshino 1 ⚽ 25' F 7.94
28 S. Fujiwara S. Fujiwara M 0.00
67 S. Sasaki S. Sasaki D 0.00
24 T. Ogashiwa T. Ogashiwa 14' F 6.78
16 T. Suzuki T. Suzuki M 0.00
7 T. Usami T. Usami 45' F 6.86
Best on the pitch
R. Meshino
R. Meshino
F · Gamba
7.94
1 ⚽
2 shots · 16 pass
Y. Honda
Y. Honda
D · Shimizu
7.72
1 ⚽
1 shots · 19 pass
Oh Se-Hun
Oh Se-Hun
F · Shimizu
7.69
1 👟
1 shots · 27 pass
K. Matsuzaki
K. Matsuzaki
M · Shimizu
7.44
1 ⚽
3 shots · 21 pass
S. Hasukawa
S. Hasukawa
D · Shimizu
6.99
· 16 pass
Y. Yoshida
Y. Yoshida
D · Shimizu
6.94
· 5 pass
Shimizu S-pulse Shimizu S-pulse — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
T. Umeda G 90 6.00 — — 0 26 12% 0 — —
Mateus Brunetti D 75 6.12 — — 2 28 13% 6 — —
Y. Honda D 90 7.72 1 — 1 19 16% 0 — —
S. Hasukawa D 90 6.99 — — 0 16 8% 3 — —
H. Sugai D 90 6.03 — — 0 18 10% 1 1 —
K. Matsuzaki M 89 7.44 1 — 3 21 14% 2 — —
M. Yumiba M 90 6.81 — 1 2 34 21% 5 — —
K. Koizumi M 90 6.22 — — 0 17 12% 1 — —
K. Inoue F 64 6.33 — — 0 19 14% 1 — —
Oh Se-Hun F 75 7.69 — 1 1 27 16% 1 — —
R. Germain F 90 6.49 — — 2 16 13% 1 — —
Park Seung-Wook D 1 6.47 — — 0 3 1% 0 — —
T. Fujii M 26 6.59 — — 1 11 7% 0 — —
Y. Shimamoto M 15 6.23 — — 0 5 3% 0 — —
Y. Yoshida D 15 6.94 — — 0 5 2% 0 — —
Gamba Osaka Gamba Osaka — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
J. Ichimori G 90 6.26 — — 0 32 26% 0 — —
S. Nakano D 77 6.27 — — 0 27 22% 2 — —
S. Fukuoka D 76 6.85 — — 1 43 38% 0 — —
S. Nakatani D 90 6.54 — — 2 80 64% 3 — —
T. Kishimoto D 90 6.59 — 1 0 59 50% 3 — —
R. Mito M 45 5.83 — — 0 14 13% 1 — —
S. Abe M 90 6.25 — — 1 72 57% 1 — —
Welton Felipe M 65 6.44 — — 1 12 11% 1 — —
I. Jebali M 90 6.65 1 — 3 23 11% 1 — —
R. Yamashita M 90 6.48 — — 2 34 32% 1 1 —
Y. Toshida F 45 6.34 — — 0 5 1% 0 — —
E. Adams M 45 6.07 — — 0 15 7% 0 — —
R. Hatsuse D 13 5.71 — — 0 15 14% 0 1 —
R. Meshino F 25 7.94 1 — 2 16 14% 1 — —
T. Ogashiwa F 14 6.78 — — 0 7 5% 0 — —
T. Usami F 45 6.86 — — 0 43 34% 0 — —
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Shimizu S-pulse vs Gamba Osaka?
The final score was Shimizu S-pulse 2–2 Gamba Osaka.
What did the model predict before Shimizu S-pulse vs Gamba Osaka?
The model assigned 36% probability to a Shimizu S-pulse win, 38% to a draw, and 25% to an Gamba Osaka win.