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J1 League · Regular Season - 11 October 21, 2026 12:00 IAI Stadium Nihondaira, Shizuoka
Shimizu S-pulse
#13 · 14 pts
0 – 5
Final score
Machida Zelvia
#1 · 27 pts
35' Neta Lavi
50' (ast. Takahiro Akimoto) Koki Ogawa
62' (ast. Yuki Soma) Takuma Nishimura
77' (ast. Gen Shoji) Takuma Nishimura
82' Takuma Nishimura
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The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Machida Zelvia a 37% win probability (draw 34%, Shimizu S-pulse 28%). The final result was Shimizu S-pulse 0–5 Machida Zelvia.

Match statistics
6
Total shots
24
2
Shots on target
12
0.21
Actual xG
3.47
7
Saves
2
33%
Possession
67%
4
Corners
5
13
Tackles
16
1
🟨 Yellow cards
0
1
🟥 Red cards
0
Match Events
Yuki Honda
17'
Kai Matsuzaki
31'
35'
Neta Lavi⚽
50'
ast. Takahiro Akimoto · Koki Ogawa⚽
↕ Kei Koizumi / Kenta Inoue
57'
↕ Capixaba / Tomoya Fujii
57'
62'
ast. Yuki Soma · Takuma Nishimura⚽
Kai Matsuzaki
63'
↕ Oh Se-hun / Ryo Germain
69'
73'
Ryohei Shirasaki / Neta Lavi ↕
73'
Mitchell Duke / Yuki Soma ↕
73'
Hotaka Nakamura / Henry Heroki Mochizuki ↕
77'
ast. Gen Shoji · Takuma Nishimura⚽
↕ Hidehiro Sugai / Yutaka Yoshida
79'
↕ Masaki Yumiba / Kazuki Kozuka
79'
79'
Hokuto Shimoda / Hiroyuki Mae ↕
82'
Takuma Nishimura⚽
86'
Futa Tokumura / Takuma Nishimura ↕
Pre-match prediction
28.31%
Shimizu
34.37%
X
37.32%
Machida ←
we assigned to the actual result (Machida Zelvia) 37.32% (low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
Shimizu
0.60
0.21
-0.39
Machida
0.86
3.47
+2.61
Machida Zelvia dominated by xG (3.47 vs 0.21). The final result reflects the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
League Table
#Team GPts
1 Machida Zelvia Machida Zelvia 12 27
2 FC Tokyo FC Tokyo 12 27
3 Sanfrecce Hiroshima Sanfrecce Hiroshima 12 26
4 Kashiwa Reysol Kashiwa Reysol 12 25
5 Vissel Kobe Vissel Kobe 12 23
6 Kawasaki Frontale Kawasaki Frontale 12 22
7 Urawa Urawa 12 21
8 Kashima Kashima 12 20
9 Yokohama F. Marinos Yokohama F. Marinos 12 18
10 Fagiano Okayama Fagiano Okayama 12 16
11 Nagoya Grampus Nagoya Grampus 12 14
12 Cerezo Osaka Cerezo Osaka 12 14
13 Shimizu S-pulse Shimizu S-pulse 12 14
14 V-varen Nagasaki V-varen Nagasaki 12 12
15 Gamba Osaka Gamba Osaka 12 11
16 Kyoto Sanga Kyoto Sanga 12 10
17 Mito Hollyhock Mito Hollyhock 12 9
18 Tokyo Verdy Tokyo Verdy 12 8
19 Avispa Fukuoka Avispa Fukuoka 12 7
20 JEF United Chiba JEF United Chiba 12 7
Lineups
Shimizu S-pulse Shimizu S-pulse 4-1-4-1
16 T. Umeda T. Umeda G 6.32
25 Mateus Brunetti Mateus Brunetti D 5.83
15 Y. Honda Y. Honda D 5.05
4 S. Hasukawa S. Hasukawa D 5.42
24 H. Sugai H. Sugai 79' D 5.61
17 M. Yumiba M. Yumiba 79' M 6.22
7 Capixaba Capixaba 57' M 6.04
47 Y. Shimamoto Y. Shimamoto M 6.13
37 K. Koizumi K. Koizumi 57' M 5.73
21 K. Matsuzaki K. Matsuzaki 63' M 4.93
9 Oh Se-Hun Oh Se-Hun 69' F 6.41
Bench
8 K. Inoue K. Inoue 33' M 5.86
19 K. Kinoshita K. Kinoshita F 0.00
81 K. Kozuka K. Kozuka 11' M 5.89
14 Park Seung-Wook Park Seung-Wook D 0.00
13 R. Germain R. Germain 21' F 6.34
50 T. Fujii T. Fujii 33' M 5.76
18 T. Hirato T. Hirato M 0.00
1 Y. Oki Y. Oki G 0.00
28 Y. Yoshida Y. Yoshida 11' D 5.51
Machida Zelvia Machida Zelvia 3-4-2-1
1 K. Tani K. Tani G 6.77
2 T. Ouwejan T. Ouwejan D 7.39
50 D. Okamura D. Okamura D 6.62
3 G. Shōji G. Shōji 1 👟 D 7.96
33 T. Akimoto T. Akimoto 1 👟 M 7.70
31 N. Lavi N. Lavi 1 ⚽ 73' M 8.20
16 H. Mae H. Mae 79' M 7.20
6 H. Mochizuki H. Mochizuki 73' M 6.26
7 Y. Soma Y. Soma 1 👟 73' M 7.27
20 T. Nishimura T. Nishimura 3 ⚽ 86' M 9.14
9 Koki Ogawa Koki Ogawa 1 ⚽ F 7.55
Bench
34 Futa Tokumura Futa Tokumura 4' F 6.30
88 H. Nakamura H. Nakamura 17' D 6.65
18 H. Shimoda H. Shimoda 11' M 7.20
5 I. Drešević I. Drešević D 0.00
8 K. Sento K. Sento M 0.00
15 M. Duke M. Duke 17' F 6.61
23 R. Shirasaki R. Shirasaki 17' M 7.12
13 T. Morita T. Morita G 0.00
Best on the pitch
T. Nishimura
T. Nishimura
M · Machida
9.14
3 ⚽
7 shots · 25 pass
N. Lavi
N. Lavi
M · Machida
8.20
1 ⚽
1 shots · 41 pass
G. Shōji
G. Shōji
D · Machida
7.96
1 👟
1 shots · 49 pass
T. Akimoto
T. Akimoto
M · Machida
7.70
1 👟
· 51 pass
Koki Ogawa
Koki Ogawa
F · Machida
7.55
1 ⚽
9 shots · 13 pass
T. Ouwejan
T. Ouwejan
D · Machida
7.39
1 shots · 85 pass
Shimizu S-pulse Shimizu S-pulse — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
T. Umeda G 90 6.32 — — 0 33 11% 0 — —
Mateus Brunetti D 90 5.83 — — 0 35 27% 2 — —
Y. Honda D 90 5.05 — — 0 30 25% 0 1 —
S. Hasukawa D 90 5.42 — — 0 23 17% 2 — —
H. Sugai D 79 5.61 — — 0 17 8% 2 — —
M. Yumiba M 79 6.22 — — 1 30 24% 2 — —
Capixaba M 57 6.04 — — 2 11 11% 1 — —
Y. Shimamoto M 90 6.13 — — 1 30 25% 3 — —
K. Koizumi M 57 5.73 — — 0 10 8% 1 — —
K. Matsuzaki M 63 4.93 — — 1 17 14% 0 — 1
Oh Se-Hun F 69 6.41 — — 1 18 10% 0 — —
K. Inoue M 33 5.86 — — 0 4 2% 0 — —
K. Kozuka M 11 5.89 — — 0 8 7% 0 — —
R. Germain F 21 6.34 — — 0 2 2% 0 — —
T. Fujii M 33 5.76 — — 0 3 2% 0 — —
Y. Yoshida D 11 5.51 — — 0 2 2% 0 — —
Machida Zelvia Machida Zelvia — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
K. Tani G 90 6.77 — — 0 32 18% 0 — —
T. Ouwejan D 90 7.39 — — 1 85 78% 0 — —
D. Okamura D 90 6.62 — — 0 62 58% 0 — —
G. Shōji D 90 7.96 — 1 1 49 46% 2 — —
T. Akimoto M 90 7.70 — 1 0 51 48% 2 — —
N. Lavi M 73 8.20 1 — 1 41 37% 3 — —
H. Mae M 79 7.20 — — 0 44 41% 6 — —
H. Mochizuki M 73 6.26 — — 0 21 13% 1 — —
Y. Soma M 73 7.27 — 1 2 28 20% 0 — —
T. Nishimura M 86 9.14 3 — 7 25 21% 1 — —
Koki Ogawa F 90 7.55 1 — 9 13 10% 1 — —
Futa Tokumura F 4 6.30 — — 1 7 7% 0 — —
H. Nakamura D 17 6.65 — — 1 13 13% 0 — —
H. Shimoda M 11 7.20 — — 0 38 36% 0 — —
M. Duke F 17 6.61 — — 1 8 8% 0 — —
R. Shirasaki M 17 7.12 — — 0 29 29% 0 — —
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Shimizu S-pulse vs Machida Zelvia?
The final score was Shimizu S-pulse 0–5 Machida Zelvia.
What did the model predict before Shimizu S-pulse vs Machida Zelvia?
The model assigned 28% probability to a Shimizu S-pulse win, 34% to a draw, and 37% to an Machida Zelvia win.