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Shinnik Yaroslavl - FC UFA

First League November 07, 2026 15:00 Shinnik, Yaroslavl
Shinnik Yaroslavl
#7 · 23 pts
vs
FC UFA
#8 · 22 pts
Weather at kick-off ☁️ Overcast -0.1°C 💨 10 km/h · Yaroslavl
⚡ Pre-match analysis
39.46%
Win
Shinnik Yaroslavl
32.82%
Draw
27.71%
Win
FC UFA
0.84
Expected xG
0.47

Market probabilities

Most likely result 0–0 (26.46%)
1X2 Result
1 39%
X 33%
2 28%
Double Chance
1X 72%
X2 61%
12 67%
Over / Under
Over 1.5 65%
Over 2.5 39%
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The ForzaPitch prediction gives Shinnik Yaroslavl a 39% win probability, against 32% for a draw and 27% for FC UFA. Expected goals are 0.8 for Shinnik Yaroslavl and 0.5 for FC UFA (total 1.3), with a 64% probability of Over 1.5 goals. The most likely scoreline is 0–0 at 26.46% probability. In 2 previous meetings, Shinnik Yaroslavl have won 1 times, with 0 draws and 1 wins for FC UFA.

Season Stats

Shinnik Yaroslavl
5W 7D 3L
FC UFA
4W 7D 4L
Averages per game
1.2
Goals
1.0
1.0
Conceded
1.0
Percentages
80%
O 1.5
60%
33%
O 2.5
33%
47%
BTTS
47%
33%
Clean Sht
33%
ℹ Based on the last 15 matches in First League. Bars use fixed scales (goals max 3.5, percentages 0–100%).

Venue Form

Goals signal (venue avg)
20%
O 3.5
45%
BTTS
Shinnik Yaroslavl
3W 6D 1L · at home
FC UFA
2W 4D 4L · away
1.4
gls/g
0.6
1.0
Conceded
1.0
30%
Win %
20%
90%
Win or Draw
60%
80%
O 1.5
40%
40%
O 2.5
30%
30%
O 3.5
10%
60%
BTTS
30%
30%
Clean Sht
40%
20%
Failed to Score
50%
last 10
ℹ Home team's record in home matches only · Away team's record in away matches only.

Score Matrix

↕ Shinnik Yaroslavl FC UFA →
0 1 2 3 4 5
0 27.0% 12.7% 3.0% 0.5% 0.1% —
1 22.7% 10.6% 2.5% 0.4% — —
2 9.5% 4.5% 1.0% 0.2% — —
3 2.7% 1.3% 0.3% — — —
4 0.6% 0.3% 0.1% — — —
5 0.1% — — — — —

Recent form

Shinnik Yaroslavl Shinnik Yaroslavl
L Chelyabinsk 2–0
W Spartak Kostroma 2–1
D Veles 1–1
W Tekstilshchik 2–0
D Ska-khabarovsk 0–0
Home clean sheet (120 days) 35%
FC UFA FC UFA
D Rotor Volgograd 0–0
L Nizhny Novgorod 0–1
W Arsenal Tula 2–0
L FC Sochi 1–0
D Torpedo Moskva 0–0
Away clean sheet (120 days) 26%

Playing profile

Shinnik Yaroslavl Shinnik Yaroslavl
Attack
25
Defence
75
Form
49
FC UFA FC UFA
Attack
18
Defence
80
Form
42
Indices on a 0–100 scale calculated by the model

Head-to-Head

1
Shinnik Yaroslavl
0
Draw
1
FC UFA
9 Mar 2026 First League 1–0
2 Aug 2025 First League 0–1

League Table

# Team G Pts
1 Nizhny Novgorod Nizhny Novgorod 16 43
2 FC Sochi FC Sochi 16 32
3 Ural Ural 16 31
4 Torpedo Moskva Torpedo Moskva 16 29
5 Spartak Kostroma Spartak Kostroma 16 28
6 Veles Veles 17 28
7 Shinnik Yaroslavl Shinnik Yaroslavl 16 23
8 FC UFA FC UFA 16 22
9 Volga Ulyanovsk Volga Ulyanovsk 17 22
10 Rotor Volgograd Rotor Volgograd 16 20
11 Arsenal Tula Arsenal Tula 16 19
12 Chelyabinsk Chelyabinsk 16 18
13 Leningradets Leningradets 16 17
14 KAMAZ KAMAZ 16 14
15 Enisey Enisey 16 14
16 Ska-khabarovsk Ska-khabarovsk 16 13
17 FK Neftekhimik FK Neftekhimik 16 13
18 Tekstilshchik Tekstilshchik 16 11
Frequently Asked Questions
Who will win Shinnik Yaroslavl vs FC UFA?
The model gives Shinnik Yaroslavl a 39% win probability, 32% for a draw, and 27% for an FC UFA win.
How many goals are expected in Shinnik Yaroslavl vs FC UFA?
Expected goals: Shinnik Yaroslavl 0.8, FC UFA 0.5 (total 1.3). Probability of over 1.5 goals: 64%.
What is the most likely score in Shinnik Yaroslavl vs FC UFA?
0–0 is the most probable final score, with an estimated probability of 26.46%.