League Two
· Regular Season - 43
April 11, 2026 16:00
✗Model wrong — prediction Oldham, result Shrewsbury wins
W. Boyle
(ast. T. Perry)
30'
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Oldham a 56% win probability (draw 21%, Shrewsbury 22%). The final result was Shrewsbury 1–0 Oldham. In 1 previous meetings, Shrewsbury have won 0 times, with 1 draws and 0 wins for Oldham.
Match statistics
6
Total shots
8
2
Shots on target
2
2
Saves
1
48%
Possession
52%
3
Corners
5
4
Tackles
14
2
🟨 Yellow cards
2
Match Events
⚽W. Boyle
· ast. T. Perry
30'
46'
J. Garner
/
K. Payne
I. Morgan
47'
57'
D. Simeu
/
D. Daniels
62'
J. Garner
63'
F. Jalo
/
J. Hawkes
B. Ihionvien
77'
W. Gray
/ N. Freeman
79'
B. Ihionvien
/ G. Lloyd
80'
I. Morgan
/ A. Scully
85'
87'
F. Jalo
Pre-match prediction
22.6%
Shrewsbury ←
21.17%
X
56.23%
Oldham
✗ Wrong prediction —
we assigned to the actual result (Shrewsbury)
22.6%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
0.70
—
—
1.90
—
—
Lineups
1
G
25
D
5
W. Boyle
1 ⚽
D
W. Boyle
1 ⚽
D
26
Sam Stubbs
D
30
Kevin Berkoe
M
43
W. Gray
79'
M
14
T. Perry
1 👟
M
T. Perry
1 👟
M
20
M
19
I. Morgan
85'
F
27
J. Marquis
F
48
B. Ihionvien
80'
F
Bench
16
Nick Freeman
11'
M
1
G
24
D
6
D
5
D. Daniels
57'
D
16
W. Sutton
D
8
R. Woods
M
4
T. Pett
M
21
J. Hawkes
63'
M
26
K. Payne
45'
M
15
K. Drummond
M
9
M. Fondop-Talum
F
M. Fondop-Talum
F
Bench
40
D. Simeu
33'
D
22
F. Jalo
27'
F
3
Jake Leake
D
14
J. Garner
45'
F
J. Garner
45'
F
7
K. Taylor
M
27
O. Hammond
M
Best on the pitch
W. Boyle
D · Shrewsbury
8.20
1 ⚽
1 shots
· 25 pass
Sam Stubbs
D · Shrewsbury
7.30
· 44 pass
T. Perry
M · Shrewsbury
7.30
1 👟
· 36 pass
G · Shrewsbury
7.20
· 33 pass
D. Simeu
D · Oldham
7.00
· 9 pass
M. Fondop-Talum
F · Oldham
7.00
2 shots
· 25 pass
Shrewsbury — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | 90 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 33 | 16% | — | — | — | |
| D | 90 | 6.70 | — | — | 1 | 39 | 19% | — | — | — | |
| W. Boyle | D | 90 | 8.20 | 1 | — | 1 | 25 | 20% | — | — | — |
| Sam Stubbs | D | 90 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 44 | 27% | 1 | — | — |
| Kevin Berkoe | M | 90 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 38 | 24% | 1 | — | — |
| W. Gray | M | 79 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 13 | 8% | — | — | — |
| T. Perry | M | 90 | 7.30 | — | 1 | — | 36 | 28% | 1 | — | — |
| M | 90 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 17 | 11% | — | — | — | |
| I. Morgan | F | 85 | 6.50 | — | — | 2 | 25 | 14% | 1 | 1 | — |
| J. Marquis | F | 90 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 28 | 12% | — | — | — |
| B. Ihionvien | F | 80 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 5 | 1% | — | 1 | — |
| Nick Freeman | M | 11 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 6 | 5% | — | — | — |
Oldham — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | 90 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 43 | 18% | — | — | — | |
| D | 90 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 30 | 20% | 3 | — | — | |
| D | 90 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 38 | 26% | — | — | — | |
| D. Daniels | D | 57 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 19 | 13% | 1 | — | — |
| W. Sutton | D | 90 | 6.50 | — | — | 1 | 38 | 23% | 1 | — | — |
| R. Woods | M | 90 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 31 | 20% | 1 | — | — |
| T. Pett | M | 90 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 45 | 35% | 3 | — | — |
| J. Hawkes | M | 63 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 14 | 7% | — | — | — |
| K. Payne | M | 45 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 10 | 8% | — | — | — |
| K. Drummond | M | 90 | 6.70 | — | — | 2 | 32 | 18% | 3 | — | — |
| M. Fondop-Talum | F | 90 | 7.00 | — | — | 2 | 25 | 11% | — | — | — |
| D. Simeu | D | 33 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 9 | 4% | 2 | — | — |
| F. Jalo | F | 27 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 4 | 1% | — | 1 | — |
| J. Garner | F | 45 | 6.50 | — | — | 1 | 8 | 2% | — | 1 | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Shrewsbury vs Oldham?
The final score was Shrewsbury 1–0 Oldham.
What did the model predict before Shrewsbury vs Oldham?
The model assigned 22% probability to a Shrewsbury win, 21% to a draw, and 56% to an Oldham win.