League Two
· Regular Season - 43
April 11, 2026 16:00
✗Model wrong — prediction Oldham, result Shrewsbury wins
W. Boyle
(ast. T. Perry)
30'
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Oldham a 56% win probability (draw 21%, Shrewsbury 22%). The final result was Shrewsbury 1–0 Oldham. In 1 previous meetings, Shrewsbury have won 0 times, with 1 draws and 0 wins for Oldham.
Match statistics
6
Total shots
8
2
Shots on target
2
2
Saves
1
48%
Possession
52%
3
Corners
5
4
Tackles
14
2
🟨 Yellow cards
2
Match Events
⚽W. Boyle
· ast. T. Perry
30'
46'
J. Garner
/
K. Payne
I. Morgan
47'
57'
D. Simeu
/
D. Daniels
62'
J. Garner
63'
F. Jalo
/
J. Hawkes
B. Ihionvien
77'
W. Gray
/ N. Freeman
79'
B. Ihionvien
/ G. Lloyd
80'
I. Morgan
/ A. Scully
85'
87'
F. Jalo
Pre-match prediction
22.6%
Shrewsbury ←
21.17%
X
56.23%
Oldham
✗ Wrong prediction —
we assigned to the actual result (Shrewsbury)
22.6%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
0.70
—
—
1.90
—
—
Lineups
1
G
25
D
5
William Boyle
1 ⚽
D
William Boyle
1 ⚽
D
26
S. Stubbs
D
S. Stubbs
D
30
Kevin Berkoe
M
Kevin Berkoe
M
43
Will Gray
79'
M
Will Gray
79'
M
14
Taylor Perry
1 👟
M
Taylor Perry
1 👟
M
20
M
19
Iwan Morgan
85'
F
Iwan Morgan
85'
F
27
J. Marquis
F
48
Bradley Ihionvien
80'
F
Bradley Ihionvien
80'
F
Bench
16
N. Freeman
11'
M
N. Freeman
11'
M
1
G
24
D
6
D
5
Donervon Daniels
57'
D
Donervon Daniels
57'
D
16
W. Sutton
D
8
R. Woods
M
4
Tom Pett
M
Tom Pett
M
21
Josh Hawkes
63'
M
Josh Hawkes
63'
M
26
Kai Payne
45'
M
Kai Payne
45'
M
15
Kane Drummond
M
Kane Drummond
M
9
M. Fondop-Talum
F
M. Fondop-Talum
F
Bench
40
Dynel Simeu
33'
D
22
F. Jalo
27'
F
3
Jake Leake
D
Jake Leake
D
14
J. Garner
45'
F
J. Garner
45'
F
7
K. Taylor
M
27
O. Hammond
M
Best on the pitch
William Boyle
D · Shrewsbury
8.20
1 ⚽
1 shots
· 25 pass
S. Stubbs
D · Shrewsbury
7.30
· 44 pass
Taylor Perry
M · Shrewsbury
7.30
1 👟
· 36 pass
G · Shrewsbury
7.20
· 33 pass
Dynel Simeu
D · Oldham
7.00
· 9 pass
M. Fondop-Talum
F · Oldham
7.00
2 shots
· 25 pass
Shrewsbury — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | 90 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 33 | 16% | — | — | — | |
| D | 90 | 6.70 | — | — | 1 | 39 | 19% | — | — | — | |
| William Boyle | D | 90 | 8.20 | 1 | — | 1 | 25 | 20% | — | — | — |
| S. Stubbs | D | 90 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 44 | 27% | 1 | — | — |
| Kevin Berkoe | M | 90 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 38 | 24% | 1 | — | — |
| Will Gray | M | 79 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 13 | 8% | — | — | — |
| Taylor Perry | M | 90 | 7.30 | — | 1 | — | 36 | 28% | 1 | — | — |
| M | 90 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 17 | 11% | — | — | — | |
| Iwan Morgan | F | 85 | 6.50 | — | — | 2 | 25 | 14% | 1 | 1 | — |
| J. Marquis | F | 90 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 28 | 12% | — | — | — |
| Bradley Ihionvien | F | 80 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 5 | 1% | — | 1 | — |
| N. Freeman | M | 11 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 6 | 5% | — | — | — |
Oldham — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | 90 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 43 | 18% | — | — | — | |
| D | 90 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 30 | 20% | 3 | — | — | |
| D | 90 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 38 | 26% | — | — | — | |
| Donervon Daniels | D | 57 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 19 | 13% | 1 | — | — |
| W. Sutton | D | 90 | 6.50 | — | — | 1 | 38 | 23% | 1 | — | — |
| R. Woods | M | 90 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 31 | 20% | 1 | — | — |
| Tom Pett | M | 90 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 45 | 35% | 3 | — | — |
| Josh Hawkes | M | 63 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 14 | 7% | — | — | — |
| Kai Payne | M | 45 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 10 | 8% | — | — | — |
| Kane Drummond | M | 90 | 6.70 | — | — | 2 | 32 | 18% | 3 | — | — |
| M. Fondop-Talum | F | 90 | 7.00 | — | — | 2 | 25 | 11% | — | — | — |
| Dynel Simeu | D | 33 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 9 | 4% | 2 | — | — |
| F. Jalo | F | 27 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 4 | 1% | — | 1 | — |
| J. Garner | F | 45 | 6.50 | — | — | 1 | 8 | 2% | — | 1 | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Shrewsbury vs Oldham?
The final score was Shrewsbury 1–0 Oldham.
What did the model predict before Shrewsbury vs Oldham?
The model assigned 22% probability to a Shrewsbury win, 21% to a draw, and 56% to an Oldham win.