Sierra Leone - Congo DR
Africa Cup of Nations - Qual.
November 15, 2026 18:00
⚡ Pre-match analysis
30.25%
Win
Sierra Leone
35.37%
Draw
34.38%
Win
Congo DR
0.65
0.77
Expected xG
Market probabilities
Most likely result
1–0
(14.33%)
1X2 Result
1
30%
X
35%
2
34%
Double Chance
1X
66%
X2
70%
12
65%
Over / Under
Over 1.5
78%
✓ 77.1% hit rate (48 picks)
Over 2.5
56%
The ForzaPitch prediction gives Congo DR a 34% win probability, against 35% for a draw and 30% for Sierra Leone. Expected goals are 0.7 for Sierra Leone and 0.8 for Congo DR (total 1.4), with a 78% probability of Over 1.5 goals. The most likely scoreline is 1–0 at 14.33% probability.
Season Stats
0W
0D
2L
2W
0D
0L
Averages per game
1.0
Goals
2.0
2.0
Conceded
0.5
1.5
Shots OT
4.5
2.5
Corners
2.5
53%
Poss.
54%
Percentages
50%
O 1.5
100%
50%
O 2.5
50%
50%
BTTS
50%
0%
Clean Sht
50%
ℹ
Based on the last 2 matches in Africa Cup of Nations - Qual.. Bars use fixed scales (goals max 3.5, percentages 0–100%).
Score Matrix
↕ Sierra Leone
Congo DR →
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 24.1% | 18.6% | 7.2% | 1.8% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| 1 | 15.7% | 12.1% | 4.7% | 1.2% | 0.2% | — |
| 2 | 5.1% | 4.0% | 1.5% | 0.4% | 0.1% | — |
| 3 | 1.1% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.1% | — | — |
| 4 | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | — | — | — |
| 5 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Recent form
Playing profile
Sierra Leone
Attack
22
Defence
63
Form
9
Congo DR
Attack
29
Defence
66
Form
53
Indices on a 0–100 scale calculated by the model
Group E
| # | Team | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Congo DR
|
2 | 6 |
| 2 |
Zimbabwe
|
2 | 3 |
| 3 |
Equatorial Guinea
|
2 | 3 |
| 4 |
Sierra Leone
|
2 | 0 |
What's at stake · Group E
Top 2 advance to the next round
| Current | #4 | #1 |
| → Sierra Leone | #4 | #1 |
| → Draw | #4 | #1 |
| → Congo DR | #4 | #1 |
Projected ranking after this match only. Goal difference tiebreakers not applied.
Frequently Asked Questions
Who will win Sierra Leone vs Congo DR?
The model gives Sierra Leone a 30% win probability, 35% for a draw, and 34% for an Congo DR win.
How many goals are expected in Sierra Leone vs Congo DR?
Expected goals: Sierra Leone 0.7, Congo DR 0.8 (total 1.4). Probability of over 1.5 goals: 78%.
What is the most likely score in Sierra Leone vs Congo DR?
1–0 is the most probable final score, with an estimated probability of 14.33%.