Sierra Leone - Zimbabwe
Africa Cup of Nations - Qual.
September 24, 2026 21:00
⚡ Pre-match analysis
35.03%
Win
Sierra Leone
31.15%
Draw
33.82%
Win
Zimbabwe
1.45
1.38
Expected xG
Market probabilities
Most likely result
1–1
(11.87%)
1X2 Result
1
35%
X
31%
2
34%
Double Chance
1X
66%
X2
65%
12
69%
Over / Under
Over 1.5
75%
Over 2.5
52%
The ForzaPitch prediction gives Sierra Leone a 35% win probability, against 31% for a draw and 33% for Zimbabwe. Expected goals are 1.4 for Sierra Leone and 1.4 for Zimbabwe (total 2.8), with a 75% probability of Over 1.5 goals. The most likely scoreline is 1–1 at 11.87% probability.
Season Stats
0W
1D
0L
0W
1D
2L
Averages per game
1.0
Goals
1.3
1.0
Conceded
2.0
Percentages
100%
O 1.5
100%
0%
O 2.5
67%
100%
BTTS
100%
0%
Clean Sht
0%
ℹ
Based on the last 3 matches across all competitions (friendlies excluded) — no in-tournament history yet.
Score Matrix
↕ Sierra Leone
Zimbabwe →
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 5.9% | 8.2% | 5.6% | 2.6% | 0.9% | 0.2% |
| 1 | 8.6% | 11.8% | 8.2% | 3.8% | 1.3% | 0.4% |
| 2 | 6.2% | 8.5% | 5.9% | 2.7% | 0.9% | 0.3% |
| 3 | 3.0% | 4.1% | 2.8% | 1.3% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| 4 | 1.1% | 1.5% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.2% | — |
| 5 | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.1% | — | — |
Recent form
Playing profile
Sierra Leone
Attack
25
Defence
65
Form
46
Zimbabwe
Attack
29
Defence
77
Form
59
Indices on a 0–100 scale calculated by the model
Frequently Asked Questions
Who will win Sierra Leone vs Zimbabwe?
The model gives Sierra Leone a 35% win probability, 31% for a draw, and 33% for an Zimbabwe win.
How many goals are expected in Sierra Leone vs Zimbabwe?
Expected goals: Sierra Leone 1.4, Zimbabwe 1.4 (total 2.8). Probability of over 1.5 goals: 75%.
What is the most likely score in Sierra Leone vs Zimbabwe?
1–1 is the most probable final score, with an estimated probability of 11.87%.