Czech Liga
· Semi-finals
May 10, 2026 15:00
✗Model wrong — prediction Sigma Olomouc, result Bohemians 1905 wins
J. Sip
(ast. M. Mikulenka)
118'
31'
M. Ristovski
61'
(ast. G. Sosseh)
J. Matousek
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Sigma Olomouc a 57% win probability (draw 22%, Bohemians 1905 19%). The final result was Sigma Olomouc 1–2 Bohemians 1905. In 4 previous meetings, Sigma Olomouc have won 3 times, with 1 draws and 0 wins for Bohemians 1905.
Match statistics
16
Total shots
11
6
Shots on target
4
2.25
Actual xG
2.07
1
Saves
6
71%
Possession
29%
10
Corners
5
6
Tackles
14
2
🟨 Yellow cards
2
Match Events
18'
T. Fruhwald
⚽V. Sejk
(missed pen.)
20'
V. Sejk
26'
31'
M. Ristovski⚽
F. Krivak
/ J. Sip
46'
61'
ast. G. Sosseh ·
J. Matousek⚽
63'
O. Mikuda
/
J. Matousek
63'
J. Kovarik
/
D. Vala
L. Lurvink
/ J. Kliment
65'
73'
D. Lischka
D. Sturm
/ M. Mikulenka
74'
V. Sejk
/ F. Slavicek
78'
A. Ghali
/ A. Rusek
78'
87'
V. Zeman
/
M. Ristovski
87'
M. Kadlec
/
P. Mirvald
97'
J. Vondra
/
A. Cermak
104'
J. Tichy
/
M. Havel
M. Beran
/ D. Janosek
106'
M. Mikulenka
110'
⚽J. Sip
· ast. M. Mikulenka
118'
Pre-match prediction
57.31%
Sigma
22.74%
X
19.94%
Bohemians ←
✗ Wrong prediction —
we assigned to the actual result (Bohemians 1905)
19.94%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
1.80
2.25
+0.45
0.87
2.07
+1.2
xG dominance was balanced (2.25 – 2.07).
The final result does not reflect the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Lineups
91
Jan Koutný
G
Jan Koutný
G
3
Louis Lurvink
65'
D
Louis Lurvink
65'
D
21
Jan Král
D
Jan Král
D
2
A. Sylla
D
A. Sylla
D
70
A. Ghali
78'
M
A. Ghali
78'
M
47
M. Beran
M
M. Beran
M
88
P. Baráth
M
P. Baráth
M
22
M. Hadaš
M
M. Hadaš
M
7
D. Šturm
74'
F
D. Šturm
74'
F
10
V. Sejk
78'
F
V. Sejk
78'
F
23
F. Krivak
45'
F
F. Krivak
45'
F
Bench
77
A. Dolžnikov
M
A. Dolžnikov
M
14
A. Růsek
42'
F
A. Růsek
42'
F
20
Dario Grgić
M
Dario Grgić
M
39
D. Janošek
15'
M
D. Janošek
15'
M
16
F. Slavíček
42'
D
F. Slavíček
42'
D
19
J. Jezierski
M
J. Jezierski
M
9
J. Kliment
55'
F
J. Kliment
55'
F
6
J. Šíp
1 ⚽
75'
M
J. Šíp
1 ⚽
75'
M
98
M. Hruška
G
M. Hruška
G
33
M. Malý
D
M. Malý
D
25
M. Mikulenka
1 👟
46'
F
M. Mikulenka
1 👟
46'
F
23
T. Frühwald
G
T. Frühwald
G
24
M. Havel
D
M. Havel
D
27
D. Lischka
D
D. Lischka
D
28
L. Hůlka
D
L. Hůlka
D
18
D. Vala
63'
D
D. Vala
63'
D
99
G. Sosseh
1 👟
M
G. Sosseh
1 👟
M
32
Petr Mirvald
87'
M
Petr Mirvald
87'
M
42
V. Smrž
M
V. Smrž
M
47
A. Čermák
M
A. Čermák
M
10
J. Matoušek
1 ⚽
63'
M
J. Matoušek
1 ⚽
63'
M
77
Milan Ristovski
1 ⚽
87'
F
Milan Ristovski
1 ⚽
87'
F
Bench
17
Jakub Tichy
16'
D
Jakub Tichy
16'
D
19
J. Kovařík
57'
M
J. Kovařík
57'
M
71
J. Šiman
G
J. Šiman
G
22
J. Vondra
23'
D
J. Vondra
23'
D
3
Matej Kadlec
33'
D
Matej Kadlec
33'
D
15
M. Banda
D
M. Banda
D
12
M. Reichl
G
M. Reichl
G
66
Oliver Mikuda
57'
M
Oliver Mikuda
57'
M
13
V. Zeman
33'
F
V. Zeman
33'
F
Best on the pitch
Jan Král
D · Sigma
7.90
· 111 pass
M. Beran
M · Sigma
7.90
· 64 pass
J. Šíp
M · Sigma
7.50
1 ⚽
2 shots
· 14 pass
D. Lischka
D · Bohemians
7.30
· 27 pass
A. Čermák
M · Bohemians
7.30
· 32 pass
J. Matoušek
M · Bohemians
7.30
1 ⚽
1 shots
· 7 pass
Sigma Olomouc — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan Koutný | G | 120 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 54 | 47% | — | — | — |
| Louis Lurvink | D | 65 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 52 | 45% | 1 | — | — |
| Jan Král | D | 120 | 7.90 | — | — | — | 111 | 98% | 2 | — | — |
| A. Sylla | D | 120 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 104 | 92% | — | — | — |
| A. Ghali | M | 78 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 33 | 25% | — | — | — |
| M. Beran | M | 105 | 7.90 | — | — | — | 64 | 58% | 1 | — | — |
| P. Baráth | M | 120 | 7.30 | — | — | 1 | 57 | 48% | 1 | — | — |
| M. Hadaš | M | 120 | 6.70 | — | — | 1 | 68 | 55% | 1 | — | — |
| D. Šturm | F | 74 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 23 | 18% | — | — | — |
| V. Sejk | F | 78 | 5.90 | — | — | 5 | 17 | 11% | — | 1 | — |
| F. Krivak | F | 45 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 13 | 11% | — | — | — |
| A. Růsek | F | 42 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 11 | 11% | — | — | — |
| D. Janošek | M | 15 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 15 | 13% | — | — | — |
| F. Slavíček | D | 42 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 27 | 23% | — | — | — |
| J. Kliment | F | 55 | 6.20 | — | — | 2 | 13 | 6% | — | — | — |
| J. Šíp | M | 75 | 7.50 | 1 | — | 2 | 14 | 10% | — | — | — |
| M. Mikulenka | F | 46 | 7.20 | — | 1 | 3 | 16 | 14% | — | 1 | — |
Bohemians 1905 — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| T. Frühwald | G | 120 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 30 | 9% | — | 1 | — |
| M. Havel | D | 104 | 7.00 | — | — | 1 | 20 | 15% | 1 | — | — |
| D. Lischka | D | 120 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 27 | 21% | 1 | 1 | — |
| L. Hůlka | D | 120 | 7.00 | — | — | 1 | 30 | 19% | 3 | — | — |
| D. Vala | D | 63 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 19 | 7% | 1 | — | — |
| G. Sosseh | M | 120 | 6.90 | — | 1 | — | 29 | 21% | 3 | — | — |
| Petr Mirvald | M | 87 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 11 | 4% | 1 | — | — |
| V. Smrž | M | 120 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 23 | 17% | 1 | — | — |
| A. Čermák | M | 97 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 32 | 23% | — | — | — |
| J. Matoušek | M | 63 | 7.30 | 1 | — | 1 | 7 | 3% | 2 | — | — |
| Milan Ristovski | F | 87 | 7.30 | 1 | — | 2 | 9 | 8% | — | — | — |
| Jakub Tichy | D | 16 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 3 | 3% | — | — | — |
| J. Kovařík | M | 57 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 13 | 10% | — | — | — |
| J. Vondra | D | 23 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 5 | 2% | — | — | — |
| Matej Kadlec | D | 33 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 9 | 8% | — | — | — |
| Oliver Mikuda | M | 57 | 5.90 | — | — | 4 | 14 | 10% | 1 | — | — |
| V. Zeman | F | 33 | 6.70 | — | — | 2 | 5 | 5% | — | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Sigma Olomouc vs Bohemians 1905?
The final score was Sigma Olomouc 1–2 Bohemians 1905.
What did the model predict before Sigma Olomouc vs Bohemians 1905?
The model assigned 57% probability to a Sigma Olomouc win, 22% to a draw, and 19% to an Bohemians 1905 win.