Czech Liga
· Final
May 23, 2026 14:00
✓Model correct — prediction Sigma Olomouc
D. Sturm
(ast. P. Barath)
26'
P. Barath
(ast. A. Sylla)
29'
A. Rusek
60'
L. Lurvink
(ast. M. Beran)
82'
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Sigma Olomouc a 58% win probability (draw 19%, Karviná 21%). The final result was Sigma Olomouc 4–0 Karviná. In 3 previous meetings, Sigma Olomouc have won 1 times, with 2 draws and 0 wins for Karviná.
Match statistics
18
Total shots
5
10
Shots on target
1
1.95
Actual xG
0.38
0
Saves
6
45%
Possession
55%
6
Corners
2
26
Tackles
13
0
🟨 Yellow cards
1
Match Events
⚽D. Sturm
· ast. P. Barath
26'
⚽P. Barath
· ast. A. Sylla
29'
42'
D. Sturm
/ A. Rusek
46'
F. Krivak
/ A. Ghali
46'
46'
V. Valosek
/
A. Traore
46'
D. Samko
/
L. Ezeh
⚽A. Rusek
60'
64'
E. Ayaosi
/
J. Chytry
68'
J. Fiala
M. Hadas
/ F. Slavicek
71'
D. Janosek
/ M. Mikulenka
71'
V. Sejk
/ R. Palan
71'
81'
J. Fleisman
/
Y. Lawali
⚽L. Lurvink
· ast. M. Beran
82'
84'
M. Jarolim
90'+1
P. Kacor
/
O. Conde
Pre-match prediction
58.95%
Sigma ←
19.06%
X
21.99%
Karviná
✓ Correct prediction —
we assigned to the actual result (Sigma Olomouc)
58.95%
(medium confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
2.49
1.95
-0.54
1.57
0.38
-1.19
Sigma Olomouc dominated by xG (1.95 vs 0.38).
The final result reflects the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Lineups
29
T. Stoppen
G
T. Stoppen
G
3
Louis Lurvink
1 ⚽
D
Louis Lurvink
1 ⚽
D
21
Jan Král
D
Jan Král
D
2
A. Sylla
1 👟
D
A. Sylla
1 👟
D
88
P. Baráth
1 ⚽
1 👟
M
P. Baráth
1 ⚽
1 👟
M
7
D. Šturm
1 ⚽
45'
M
D. Šturm
1 ⚽
45'
M
39
D. Janošek
71'
M
D. Janošek
71'
M
47
M. Beran
1 👟
M
M. Beran
1 👟
M
22
M. Hadaš
71'
M
M. Hadaš
71'
M
10
V. Sejk
71'
F
V. Sejk
71'
F
23
F. Krivak
45'
F
F. Krivak
45'
F
Bench
77
A. Dolžnikov
M
A. Dolžnikov
M
70
A. Ghali
45'
M
A. Ghali
45'
M
14
A. Růsek
1 ⚽
45'
F
A. Růsek
1 ⚽
45'
F
20
Dario Grgić
M
Dario Grgić
M
16
F. Slavíček
19'
D
F. Slavíček
19'
D
19
J. Jezierski
M
J. Jezierski
M
6
J. Šíp
M
J. Šíp
M
13
J. Sláma
D
J. Sláma
D
98
M. Hruška
G
M. Hruška
G
25
M. Mikulenka
19'
F
M. Mikulenka
19'
F
15
Radek Palan
19'
F
Radek Palan
19'
F
30
Jakub Lapes
G
Jakub Lapes
G
19
Nino Milić
D
Nino Milić
D
49
S. Camara
D
S. Camara
D
99
F. Prebsl
D
F. Prebsl
D
3
Yahaya Danjuma Lawali
81'
D
Yahaya Danjuma Lawali
81'
D
4
A. Traoré
45'
M
A. Traoré
45'
M
8
Jakub Křišťan
M
Jakub Křišťan
M
24
Jan Chytrý
64'
M
Jan Chytrý
64'
M
29
J. Fiala
M
J. Fiala
M
31
Ousmane Conde
M
Ousmane Conde
M
26
L. Ezeh
45'
F
L. Ezeh
45'
F
Bench
9
A. Labík
D
A. Labík
D
10
Denny Samko
45'
M
Denny Samko
45'
M
14
E. Ayaosi
26'
M
E. Ayaosi
26'
M
25
J. Fleišman
9'
D
J. Fleišman
9'
D
20
Kahuan Vinicius
F
Kahuan Vinicius
F
34
Ondrej Mrozek
G
Ondrej Mrozek
G
11
Pavel Kacor
M
Pavel Kacor
M
28
Vit Valosek
45'
M
Vit Valosek
45'
M
1
V. Neuman
G
V. Neuman
G
44
Y. Skyba
D
Y. Skyba
D
Best on the pitch
P. Baráth
M · Sigma
8.30
1 ⚽ 1 👟
3 shots
· 32 pass
Louis Lurvink
D · Sigma
8.20
1 ⚽
1 shots
· 32 pass
M. Beran
M · Sigma
7.90
1 👟
2 shots
· 37 pass
D. Šturm
M · Sigma
7.30
1 ⚽
3 shots
· 12 pass
Jan Král
D · Sigma
7.20
2 shots
· 36 pass
A. Sylla
D · Sigma
7.20
1 👟
· 35 pass
Sigma Olomouc — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| T. Stoppen | G | 90 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 31 | 17% | — | — | — |
| Louis Lurvink | D | 90 | 8.20 | 1 | — | 1 | 32 | 26% | 4 | — | — |
| Jan Král | D | 90 | 7.20 | — | — | 2 | 36 | 28% | 4 | — | — |
| A. Sylla | D | 90 | 7.20 | — | 1 | — | 35 | 29% | 4 | — | — |
| P. Baráth | M | 90 | 8.30 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 32 | 25% | 5 | — | — |
| D. Šturm | M | 45 | 7.30 | 1 | — | 3 | 12 | 11% | — | — | — |
| D. Janošek | M | 71 | 7.20 | — | — | 1 | 32 | 28% | 1 | — | — |
| M. Beran | M | 90 | 7.90 | — | 1 | 2 | 37 | 29% | 5 | — | — |
| M. Hadaš | M | 71 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 13 | 11% | 1 | — | — |
| V. Sejk | F | 71 | 7.00 | — | — | 1 | 17 | 13% | — | — | — |
| F. Krivak | F | 45 | 6.30 | — | — | 2 | 8 | 8% | — | — | — |
| A. Ghali | M | 45 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 8 | 7% | — | — | — |
| A. Růsek | F | 45 | 6.90 | 1 | — | 3 | 8 | 6% | — | — | — |
| F. Slavíček | D | 19 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 5 | 5% | 1 | — | — |
| M. Mikulenka | F | 19 | 6.50 | — | — | — | — | — | 1 | — | — |
| Radek Palan | F | 19 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 1 | 1% | — | — | — |
Karviná — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jakub Lapes | G | 90 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 37 | 29% | — | — | — |
| Nino Milić | D | 90 | 6.00 | — | — | — | 36 | 33% | 3 | — | — |
| S. Camara | D | 90 | 5.90 | — | — | — | 45 | 37% | 1 | — | — |
| F. Prebsl | D | 90 | 5.90 | — | — | — | 49 | 47% | 2 | — | — |
| Yahaya Danjuma Lawali | D | 81 | 5.70 | — | — | — | 29 | 22% | — | — | — |
| A. Traoré | M | 45 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 31 | 27% | — | — | — |
| Jakub Křišťan | M | 90 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 50 | 45% | 1 | — | — |
| Jan Chytrý | M | 64 | 6.20 | — | — | 1 | 25 | 22% | 1 | — | — |
| J. Fiala | M | 90 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 21 | 18% | 3 | 1 | — |
| Ousmane Conde | M | 90 | 5.90 | — | — | 2 | 20 | 13% | — | — | — |
| L. Ezeh | F | 45 | 6.50 | — | — | 1 | 11 | 9% | — | — | — |
| Denny Samko | M | 45 | 6.20 | — | — | 1 | 18 | 14% | — | — | — |
| E. Ayaosi | M | 26 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 1 | 1% | — | — | — |
| J. Fleišman | D | 9 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 3 | 3% | — | — | — |
| Vit Valosek | M | 45 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 16 | 10% | 2 | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Sigma Olomouc vs Karviná?
The final score was Sigma Olomouc 4–0 Karviná.
What did the model predict before Sigma Olomouc vs Karviná?
The model assigned 58% probability to a Sigma Olomouc win, 19% to a draw, and 21% to an Karviná win.