Czech Liga
· Final
May 23, 2026 14:00
✓Model correct — prediction Sigma Olomouc
D. Sturm
(ast. P. Barath)
26'
P. Barath
(ast. A. Sylla)
29'
A. Rusek
60'
L. Lurvink
(ast. M. Beran)
82'
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Sigma Olomouc a 58% win probability (draw 19%, Karviná 21%). The final result was Sigma Olomouc 4–0 Karviná. In 3 previous meetings, Sigma Olomouc have won 1 times, with 2 draws and 0 wins for Karviná.
Match statistics
18
Total shots
5
10
Shots on target
1
1.95
Actual xG
0.38
0
Saves
6
45%
Possession
55%
6
Corners
2
26
Tackles
13
0
🟨 Yellow cards
1
Match Events
⚽D. Sturm
· ast. P. Barath
26'
⚽P. Barath
· ast. A. Sylla
29'
42'
D. Sturm
/ A. Rusek
46'
F. Krivak
/ A. Ghali
46'
46'
V. Valosek
/
A. Traore
46'
D. Samko
/
L. Ezeh
⚽A. Rusek
60'
64'
E. Ayaosi
/
J. Chytry
68'
J. Fiala
M. Hadas
/ F. Slavicek
71'
D. Janosek
/ M. Mikulenka
71'
V. Sejk
/ R. Palan
71'
81'
J. Fleisman
/
Y. Lawali
⚽L. Lurvink
· ast. M. Beran
82'
84'
M. Jarolim
90'+1
P. Kacor
/
O. Conde
Pre-match prediction
58.95%
Sigma ←
19.06%
X
21.99%
Karviná
✓ Correct prediction —
we assigned to the actual result (Sigma Olomouc)
58.95%
(medium confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
2.49
1.95
-0.54
1.57
0.38
-1.19
Sigma Olomouc dominated by xG (1.95 vs 0.38).
The final result reflects the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Lineups
29
Tadeas Stoppen
G
Tadeas Stoppen
G
3
Louis Lurvink
1 ⚽
D
Louis Lurvink
1 ⚽
D
21
Jan Král
D
Jan Král
D
2
Abdoulaye Sylla
1 👟
D
Abdoulaye Sylla
1 👟
D
88
P. Baráth
1 ⚽
1 👟
M
P. Baráth
1 ⚽
1 👟
M
7
D. Šturm
1 ⚽
45'
M
D. Šturm
1 ⚽
45'
M
39
Dominik Janošek
71'
M
Dominik Janošek
71'
M
47
Michal Beran
1 👟
M
Michal Beran
1 👟
M
22
Matěj Hadaš
71'
M
Matěj Hadaš
71'
M
10
V. Sejk
71'
F
V. Sejk
71'
F
23
F. Krivak
45'
F
F. Krivak
45'
F
Bench
70
Abubakar Ghali
45'
M
Abubakar Ghali
45'
M
77
A. Dolžnikov
M
A. Dolžnikov
M
14
Antonín Růsek
1 ⚽
45'
F
Antonín Růsek
1 ⚽
45'
F
20
Dario Grgić
M
Dario Grgić
M
16
Filip Slavíček
19'
D
Filip Slavíček
19'
D
6
Jáchym Šíp
M
Jáchym Šíp
M
19
J. Jezierski
M
J. Jezierski
M
13
J. Sláma
D
J. Sláma
D
25
Matěj Mikulenka
19'
F
Matěj Mikulenka
19'
F
98
Matúš Hruška
G
Matúš Hruška
G
15
Radek Palan
19'
F
Radek Palan
19'
F
30
Jakub Lapes
G
Jakub Lapes
G
19
Nino Milić
D
Nino Milić
D
49
S. Camara
D
99
Filip Prebsl
D
Filip Prebsl
D
3
Yahaya Danjuma Lawali
81'
D
Yahaya Danjuma Lawali
81'
D
4
Aboubacar Traore
45'
M
Aboubacar Traore
45'
M
8
Jakub Křišťan
M
Jakub Křišťan
M
24
Jan Chytrý
64'
M
Jan Chytrý
64'
M
29
Jan Fiala
M
Jan Fiala
M
31
Ousmane Conde
M
Ousmane Conde
M
26
Lucky Ezeh
45'
F
Lucky Ezeh
45'
F
Bench
9
Albert Labík
D
Albert Labík
D
10
Denny Samko
45'
M
Denny Samko
45'
M
14
Emmanuel Ayaosi
26'
M
Emmanuel Ayaosi
26'
M
25
J. Fleišman
9'
D
J. Fleišman
9'
D
20
Kahuan
F
Kahuan
F
34
Ondrej Mrozek
G
Ondrej Mrozek
G
11
Pavel Kačor
M
Pavel Kačor
M
28
Vit Valosek
45'
M
Vit Valosek
45'
M
1
Vladimir Neuman
G
Vladimir Neuman
G
44
Yevgeniy Skyba
D
Yevgeniy Skyba
D
Best on the pitch
P. Baráth
M · Sigma
8.30
1 ⚽ 1 👟
3 shots
· 32 pass
Louis Lurvink
D · Sigma
8.20
1 ⚽
1 shots
· 32 pass
Michal Beran
M · Sigma
7.90
1 👟
2 shots
· 37 pass
D. Šturm
M · Sigma
7.30
1 ⚽
3 shots
· 12 pass
Jan Král
D · Sigma
7.20
2 shots
· 36 pass
Abdoulaye Sylla
D · Sigma
7.20
1 👟
· 35 pass
Sigma Olomouc — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tadeas Stoppen | G | 90 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 31 | 17% | — | — | — |
| Louis Lurvink | D | 90 | 8.20 | 1 | — | 1 | 32 | 26% | 4 | — | — |
| Jan Král | D | 90 | 7.20 | — | — | 2 | 36 | 28% | 4 | — | — |
| Abdoulaye Sylla | D | 90 | 7.20 | — | 1 | — | 35 | 29% | 4 | — | — |
| P. Baráth | M | 90 | 8.30 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 32 | 25% | 5 | — | — |
| D. Šturm | M | 45 | 7.30 | 1 | — | 3 | 12 | 11% | — | — | — |
| Dominik Janošek | M | 71 | 7.20 | — | — | 1 | 32 | 28% | 1 | — | — |
| Michal Beran | M | 90 | 7.90 | — | 1 | 2 | 37 | 29% | 5 | — | — |
| Matěj Hadaš | M | 71 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 13 | 11% | 1 | — | — |
| V. Sejk | F | 71 | 7.00 | — | — | 1 | 17 | 13% | — | — | — |
| F. Krivak | F | 45 | 6.30 | — | — | 2 | 8 | 8% | — | — | — |
| Abubakar Ghali | M | 45 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 8 | 7% | — | — | — |
| Antonín Růsek | F | 45 | 6.90 | 1 | — | 3 | 8 | 6% | — | — | — |
| Filip Slavíček | D | 19 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 5 | 5% | 1 | — | — |
| Matěj Mikulenka | F | 19 | 6.50 | — | — | — | — | — | 1 | — | — |
| Radek Palan | F | 19 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 1 | 1% | — | — | — |
Karviná — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jakub Lapes | G | 90 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 37 | 29% | — | — | — |
| Nino Milić | D | 90 | 6.00 | — | — | — | 36 | 33% | 3 | — | — |
| S. Camara | D | 90 | 5.90 | — | — | — | 45 | 37% | 1 | — | — |
| Filip Prebsl | D | 90 | 5.90 | — | — | — | 49 | 47% | 2 | — | — |
| Yahaya Danjuma Lawali | D | 81 | 5.70 | — | — | — | 29 | 22% | — | — | — |
| Aboubacar Traore | M | 45 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 31 | 27% | — | — | — |
| Jakub Křišťan | M | 90 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 50 | 45% | 1 | — | — |
| Jan Chytrý | M | 64 | 6.20 | — | — | 1 | 25 | 22% | 1 | — | — |
| Jan Fiala | M | 90 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 21 | 18% | 3 | 1 | — |
| Ousmane Conde | M | 90 | 5.90 | — | — | 2 | 20 | 13% | — | — | — |
| Lucky Ezeh | F | 45 | 6.50 | — | — | 1 | 11 | 9% | — | — | — |
| Denny Samko | M | 45 | 6.20 | — | — | 1 | 18 | 14% | — | — | — |
| Emmanuel Ayaosi | M | 26 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 1 | 1% | — | — | — |
| J. Fleišman | D | 9 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 3 | 3% | — | — | — |
| Vit Valosek | M | 45 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 16 | 10% | 2 | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Sigma Olomouc vs Karviná?
The final score was Sigma Olomouc 4–0 Karviná.
What did the model predict before Sigma Olomouc vs Karviná?
The model assigned 58% probability to a Sigma Olomouc win, 19% to a draw, and 21% to an Karviná win.