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Simba - Orlando Pirates

CAF Champions League November 28, 2026 17:00
⚡ Pre-match analysis
37.34%
Win
Simba
30.16%
Draw
32.5%
Win
Orlando Pirates
1.88
Expected xG
1.44

Market probabilities

Most likely result 1–0 (12.72%)
1X2 Result
1 37%
X 30%
2 33%
Double Chance
1X 68%
X2 63%
12 70%
Over / Under
Over 1.5 78%
Over 2.5 57%
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The ForzaPitch prediction gives Simba a 37% win probability, against 30% for a draw and 32% for Orlando Pirates. Expected goals are 1.9 for Simba and 1.4 for Orlando Pirates (total 3.3), with a 78% probability of Over 1.5 goals. The most likely scoreline is 1–0 at 12.72% probability.

Season Stats

Simba
7W 4D 3L
Orlando Pirates
6W 1D 1L
Averages per game
1.9
Goals
2.2
0.7
Conceded
0.5
11.0
Shots OT
—
9.0
Corners
—
64%
Poss.
—
Percentages
57%
O 1.5
75%
43%
O 2.5
75%
43%
BTTS
13%
43%
Clean Sht
75%
ℹ Based on the last 14 matches in CAF Champions League. Bars use fixed scales (goals max 3.5, percentages 0–100%).

Venue Form

Goals signal (venue avg)
15%
O 3.5
22%
BTTS
Simba
3W 3D 1L · at home
Orlando Pirates
2W 1D 1L · away
1.9
gls/g
1.0
0.7
Conceded
0.8
43%
Win %
50%
86%
Win or Draw
75%
57%
O 1.5
50%
43%
O 2.5
50%
29%
O 3.5
0%
43%
BTTS
0%
43%
Clean Sht
75%
29%
Failed to Score
50%
last 7
ℹ Home team's record in home matches only · Away team's record in away matches only.

Score Matrix

↕ Simba Orlando Pirates →
0 1 2 3 4 5
0 3.6% 5.2% 3.8% 1.8% 0.6% 0.2%
1 6.8% 9.8% 7.0% 3.4% 1.2% 0.3%
2 6.4% 9.2% 6.6% 3.2% 1.1% 0.3%
3 4.0% 5.8% 4.1% 2.0% 0.7% 0.2%
4 1.9% 2.7% 1.9% 0.9% 0.3% 0.1%
5 0.7% 1.0% 0.7% 0.3% 0.1% —

Recent form

W 15 de Agosto 3–0
W 15 de Agosto 1–6
W Be Forward Wanderers 6–1
W Be Forward Wanderers 0–1
W Stade Malien Bamako 1–0
Home clean sheet (120 days) 33%
W African Stars 4–0
W African Stars 0–1
W La Cure Waves 3–1
D La Cure Waves 0–0
W Saint Eloi Lupopo 3–0
Away clean sheet (120 days) 55%

Playing profile

Simba Simba
Attack
68
Defence
87
Form
82
Orlando Pirates Orlando Pirates
Attack
60
Defence
97
Form
81
Indices on a 0–100 scale calculated by the model
Frequently Asked Questions
Who will win Simba vs Orlando Pirates?
The model gives Simba a 37% win probability, 30% for a draw, and 32% for an Orlando Pirates win.
How many goals are expected in Simba vs Orlando Pirates?
Expected goals: Simba 1.9, Orlando Pirates 1.4 (total 3.3). Probability of over 1.5 goals: 78%.
What is the most likely score in Simba vs Orlando Pirates?
1–0 is the most probable final score, with an estimated probability of 12.72%.